World's largest industrial real-estate owner says consumer-goods sellers and e-commerce companies are leasing new space. ...

Warehouse operator Prologis said Wednesday that the market has turned and that key metrics like net absorption, occupancy and rents will improve throughout 2026. It noted on a quarterly call with analysts that vacancy rates have already peaked and rents are turning positive in some markets. The San Francisco-based real estate investment trust said it achieved record lease signings in 2025, securing deals covering 228 million square feet of space. Notably, the e-commerce sector accounted for 20% of these n ...

Arndt said net effective rent change was 44% for the quarter, contributing about $60 million of annualized NOI, and bringing net effective rent change for the year to more than 50%. He added that net effective lease mark-to-market ended at 18%, representing nearly $800 million of embedded NOI “yet to be realized without any increase in market rents.”On an own-and-manage basis, average occupancy was 95.3% for the quarter and 95% for the full year, with period-end occupancy at 95.8%. Arndt attributed results ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Q4 core FFO was $1.44 per share, finishing at the top end of guidance ranges [10] - Average occupancy was 95.3% for Q4 and 95% for the full year, with period-end occupancy at 95.8% [10] - Same-store NOI growth was 4.7% on a net effective basis and 5.7% on a cash basis, exceeding guidance [11] - Net effective rent change for the year was over 50%, with a quarterly change of 44% [10][11] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company signed 57 million sq ft of leases in Q4, driving occupancy towards 96% [9] - Development platform, particularly build-to-suits, exceeded expectations, capturing significant market share [9] - The Data Center business saw a growing power pipeline, with expectations for solid starts in the upcoming year [9] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Q4 net absorption was 59 million sq ft in the U.S., leading to a decline in U.S. vacancy to 7.4% [14] - Many markets are experiencing a slowdown in rent decline, with some showing positive growth [14] - International markets, particularly in Latin America and Europe, are outperforming, with strong occupancy and rent growth [16] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company focuses on three priorities: extending leadership as a best-in-class operator, capturing value creation opportunities in logistics and data centers, and enhancing shareholder returns through growth in assets under management [7][8] - The company aims to develop critical infrastructure in logistics and data centers, leveraging customer relationships and expertise [7][8] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the operational momentum and strategic initiatives in place for 2026, indicating a strong position for long-term growth [22] - The tone of customer conversations is increasingly positive, with e-commerce driving demand [15] - Management noted that while uncertainties exist, they are treated as planning assumptions rather than impediments [15] Other Important Information - The company sold approximately $900 million of value-maximized assets and acquired $625 million at attractive discounts [11] - The company achieved significant milestones in strategic capital, including the IPO of the China AMC Prologis Logistics REIT [17] Q&A Session Summary Question: Changes in strategic initiatives with new leadership - Management highlighted a focus on compounding the core logistics business while broadening the platform, with plans to grow strategic capital significantly [24][25] Question: Market rent growth expectations for 2026 - Management expects net absorption to approach 200 million sq ft in 2026, with vacancies declining to 7.1%-7.2% by year-end [33] Question: Data Center project details and guidance - Management indicated that 40% of the overall development starts guidance will be in Data Centers, with a mix of powered shell and turnkey projects [38] Question: Update on the 10 GW power outlook - Management remains confident in the 10 GW pipeline, emphasizing the significant opportunities available [43] Question: Capital deployment pipeline and ramp-up - Management noted that capital deployment decisions are made based on market conditions, with a significant number of opportunities available [56][57] Question: Same-store growth guidance breakdown - Management indicated that occupancy gains are expected across geographies, with a smaller contribution from mark-to-market as rent changes normalize [79]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Fourth quarter core FFO was $1.44 per share, finishing at the top end of guidance ranges [10] - Average occupancy was 95.3% for the quarter and 95% for the full year, with period-end finishing at 95.8% [10] - Net effective rent change was 44% for the quarter, contributing approximately $60 million of annualized NOI, with a full-year net effective rent change exceeding 50% [10] - Same-store NOI growth was 4.7% on a net effective basis and 5.7% on a cash basis, each ahead of guidance midpoint [11] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company signed 57 million sq ft of leases in the quarter, driving occupancy toward 96% [9] - Development platform, particularly in build-to-suits, continues to outperform, with $1.1 billion in new buildings started in the quarter [12] - In strategic capital, two new investment vehicles were formed in the U.S. and China [9] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Fourth quarter net absorption was 59 million sq ft in the U.S., with a decline in U.S. vacancy to 7.4% [13][14] - Many markets are beginning to see expansion as market rent growth starts to outpace portfolio churn [11] - International markets, particularly in Latin America and Europe, are outperforming, with strong occupancy and ongoing rent growth [16] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company focuses on three priorities: extending leadership as a best-in-class operator, capturing value creation opportunities in logistics and data centers, and enhancing shareholder returns through growth in assets under management [6][8] - The company aims to develop critical infrastructure with a growing power pipeline and deep customer relationships [7] - Strategic capital partners are increasingly seeking fewer managers who can deliver consistent performance across geographies and strategies [8] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the operational and financial results despite challenges in 2025, highlighting the strength and resilience of the platform [20] - The company anticipates positive rent growth to emerge more clearly over the course of 2026, with market vacancies expected to improve [30][31] - Management noted that e-commerce remains a significant driver of demand, representing approximately 20% of new leasing activity over the last year [15] Other Important Information - The company achieved significant milestones in strategic capital, including the IPO of the China AMC Prologis Logistics REIT [17] - The installed capacity in the energy business reached 1.1 gigawatts, surpassing the previous goal [12] Q&A Session Summary Question: Changes in strategic initiatives with new leadership - Management emphasized a focus on compounding the core logistics business while broadening the platform, with plans to grow the strategic capital area significantly [22][24] Question: Market rent growth expectations for 2026 - Management expects net absorption to approach 200 million sq ft in 2026, with vacancies declining to 7.1%-7.2% by year-end [30][31] Question: Data center project details and guidance - Approximately 40% of the development starts guidance for 2026 is expected to be in data centers, with a small number of imminent projects [35] Question: Clarification on occupancy growth and FFO growth limits - Management expressed confidence in occupancy growth despite potential downticks, with a forecast of a 25 basis points increase in average occupancy [43] Question: Capital deployment pipeline and ramp-up - Management highlighted a significant number of opportunities and the ability to make decisions based on market conditions [51][52] Question: Same-store growth guidance breakdown - The guidance reflects a mix of occupancy gains and mark-to-market improvements, with occupancy drag expected to lessen over time [64]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Fourth quarter core FFO was $1.44 per share, including net promote expense, and $1.46 per share, excluding net promote expense, finishing at the top end of guidance ranges [9] - Average occupancy was 95.3% for the quarter and 95% for the full year, with period-end finishing at 95.8% [9] - Net effective rent change was 44% for the quarter, contributing approximately $60 million of annualized NOI, driving net effective rent change for the year to more than 50% [9] - Same-store NOI growth was 4.7% on a net effective basis and 5.7% on a cash basis, each ahead of guidance midpoint [10] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company signed 57 million sq ft of leases in the quarter, driving occupancy toward 96% [8] - The development platform, particularly in build-to-suits, continues to outperform, with 48% of new buildings started being build-to-suit [11] - In strategic capital, two new investment vehicles were formed in the U.S. and China [8] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Fourth quarter net absorption was 59 million sq ft in the U.S., leading to a decline in U.S. vacancy to 7.4% [12] - Many markets are beginning to see expansion as market rent growth starts to outpace portfolio churn [10] - International markets, particularly in Latin America and Europe, are showing robust consumption trends and high occupancy [14][15] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company focuses on three priorities: extending leadership as a best-in-class operator, capturing value creation opportunities in logistics and data centers, and enhancing shareholder returns through growth in assets under management [5][6] - The company aims to develop critical infrastructure with a growing power pipeline and deep customer relationships [5] - The strategic capital area is expected to grow significantly through existing and new vehicles [22] Management Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the operational and financial results despite challenges in 2025, highlighting the strength and resilience of the platform [19] - The company anticipates positive rent growth to emerge more clearly over the course of 2026, with net absorption expected to approach 200 million sq ft [26] - Management noted that uncertainty remains, but it is treated more as a planning assumption rather than an impediment [13] Other Important Information - The company achieved significant milestones in strategic capital, including the IPO of the China AMC Prologis Logistics REIT [15] - The installed capacity in the energy business reached 1.1 gigawatts, surpassing the previous goal [11] Q&A Session Summary Question: Changes in strategic initiatives with new leadership - The focus remains on compounding the core logistics business while broadening the platform, with an emphasis on development where supply is constrained [22] Question: Market rent growth expectations for 2026 - Market vacancies are expected to improve, with net absorption anticipated to approach 200 million sq ft in 2026 [26] Question: Data center project details and guidance - Approximately 40% of the development starts guidance is expected to be in data centers, with a mix of Powered Shell and Turnkey projects [28] Question: Clarification on occupancy growth in U.S. vs. international markets - Occupancy gains are expected to be dispersed across geographies, with more weight coming from the U.S. [50] Question: Contribution expectations for new vehicles in 2026 - The contribution guidance includes the Agility Fund, which will undertake development activities and take contributions of land from Prologis [45]

Core Insights - Prologis, Inc. (PLD) reported fourth-quarter 2025 core funds from operations (FFO) per share of $1.44, matching the Zacks Consensus Estimate but down from $1.50 in the same quarter last year [1][11] - The company generated rental revenues of $2.09 billion, which was below the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.17 billion, but increased from $1.94 billion year-over-year [2] - Total revenues for the quarter were $2.25 billion, slightly up from $2.20 billion in the previous year [2] Financial Performance - For the full year 2025, Prologis reported core FFO per share of $5.81, a 4.5% increase from the previous year, aligning with the Zacks Consensus Estimate [3] - Rental revenues for 2025 reached $8.16 billion, an 8.6% year-over-year increase, although it fell short of the consensus mark of $8.38 billion [3] Leasing and Occupancy - In Q4, Prologis commenced 43.8 million square feet of leases, with a retention level of 77.7% [4] - The average occupancy level in the owned and managed portfolio was 95.3%, up from 94.8% in the prior quarter but down from 95.6% year-over-year [4] Rent and Income Metrics - The company's share of net effective rent change was 43.8% in Q4, with a cash rent change of 27.3% [5] - Cash same-store net operating income (NOI) grew by 5.7%, compared to 5.2% in the previous quarter [5] Capital and Debt Management - Prologis' share of building acquisitions totaled $516.8 million, with a weighted average stabilized cap rate of 5.2% [6] - Interest expenses increased by 12.2% year-over-year to $260.5 million [7] - The company exited Q4 2025 with cash and cash equivalents of $1.15 billion and total liquidity of $7.6 billion [8] 2026 Guidance - Prologis provided guidance for 2026 core FFO per share in the range of $6.00-$6.20, with expected average occupancy between 94.75% and 95.75% [11][12] - Projected cash same-store NOI growth is estimated to be between 5.75% and 6.75% [12] - The company anticipates capital deployment for development starts of $3.00-$4.00 billion and acquisitions of $1.00 billion-$1.50 billion [13]

Prologis Park Bottrop, Bottrop, Germany FOURTH QUARTER 2025 Prologis Supplemental Information Unaudited Contents Q4 2025 Supplemental Highlights Financial Information Operations Capital Deployment Strategic Capital Capitalization Notes and Definitions 35 Notes and Definitions 1 Company Profile 2 Company Performance 4 Prologis Leading Indicators and Proprietary Metrics 5 Guidance 6 Consolidated Balance Sheets 7 Consolidated Statements of Income 8 Reconciliations of Net Earnings to FFO 9 Reconciliations of Ne ...

Logistics warehouse operator Prologis signed a record number of new leases in 2025 as more customers go long on real estate following a prolonged downturn and trade war scare. Prologis (NYSE: PLD) reported fourth-quarter consolidated revenue of $2.09 billion on Wednesday, up 8% year over year and in line with analysts’ expectations. Core funds from operations (FFO) of $1.44 per share also matched the consensus estimate. “2025 was a record year for lease signings, setting the business up with strong mome ...

Prologis posted higher fourth-quarter revenue as demand for warehouses continues to bounce back following a multiyear period of weakness. ...