"脆弱就业"拉响政策转向警报!本周财报成市场情绪试金石。上周五，美国股市从历史高点暴跌，原因是最新就业数据揭示美国 劳动力市场根基不如预期稳固。市场定价和经济学家认为，上周五的报告很可能改变整体经济叙事以及美联储未来的政策走 向。根据芝商所美联储观察工具(CME FedWatch Tool)的数据，在周五就业报告发布后，市场对美联储9月降息的概率预期从之 前一天的38%飙升至83%。尽管经济增长担忧给市场蒙上阴影，但在此之前，大型科技公司的财报显示人工智能(AI)领域的投资 不会在短期内停止，市场原本度过了积极的一周。凯投宏观高级市场经济学家James Reilly在给客户的报告中写道，上周五的市 场抛售很可能"过头了"，因为AI仍将是全球股市的"关键驱动力"。而在本周，经济数据面相对清淡，市场将迎来122家标普500 成分股密集披露财报，包括Palantir(PLTR.US)、礼来(LLY.US)和迪士尼(DIS.US)等行业巨头。 大摩继续看涨美股：盈利前景强劲，建议逢低买入。摩根士丹利策略师Michael Wilson周一表示，由于未来一年的企业盈利前景 强劲，投资者应该趁美国股市抛售之际买入。Wils ...

盘前市场动向 1. 8月4日(周一)美股盘前，美股三大股指期货齐涨。截至发稿，道指期货涨0.44%，标普500指数期货涨0.56%，纳指期货涨 0.79%。 | = US 30 | 43,778.50 | 43,895.50 | 43,507.50 | +189.90 | +0.44% | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | = US 500 | 6,272.90 | 6,282.90 | 6,225.00 | +34.90 | +0.56% | | 트 US Tech 100 | 22,942.10 | 22,961.00 | 22,705.30 | +178.80 | +0.79% | 2. 截至发稿，德国DAX指数涨1.11%，英国富时100指数涨0.41%，法国CAC40指数涨0.86%，欧洲斯托克50指数涨1.29%。 | 德国DAX30 | 23,730.79 | 23,758.65 | 23,503.00 | +259.42 | +1.11% | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 英国富时100 | 9,1 ...

Let's talk about Palunteer and whether or not we should see some fireworks. The options market, I'm just checking right now, is implying a pretty decent size move. What exactly is the street expecting or analysts expecting when it comes to Palunteer's results.>> Yeah, Dom Street's expecting upside here in terms of the quarter, but I think Street's underestimated. I mean, we're seeing this AI revolution. Palunteer is one of the leaders, and I think that's why they're the messy of AI.You know, when it comes t ...

该合同预计完成日期为2035年7月31日。 截至发稿，Palantir盘前涨1.98%。 智通财经APP获悉，Palantir(PLTR.US)的子公司Palantir USG Inc.已经获得美国陆军授予的一份价值100 亿美元的固定价格合同。根据该合同，美国陆军将把现有的分包合同和主合同整合为一份全面的企业协 议。 ...

Group 1 - Palantir reported a revenue of $883.9 million for the last quarter, exceeding analyst expectations by 2.5% and showing a year-over-year growth of 39.3% [1] - The company also surpassed market expectations in order volume and EBITDA, indicating strong execution of its business model [1] - Analysts are optimistic about the upcoming quarter, forecasting a revenue increase of 38.6% to $939.6 million, significantly higher than the previous year's growth of 27.2% [1] Group 2 - Over the past 30 days, most analysts tracking Palantir have reaffirmed their original forecasts, reflecting confidence in the company's earnings sustainability [4] - Historical data shows that Palantir has only missed revenue expectations once in the past two years, with an average beat of 2.6%, highlighting its stability compared to peers [4] - The data analytics software sector has shown mixed results, with MicroStrategy reporting a 2.7% revenue increase and a subsequent stock price drop of 8.7%, while Commvault achieved a 25.5% revenue growth, leading to an 18.2% stock price increase [4] Group 3 - Despite a challenging market environment, Palantir's stock price increased by 11.5%, indicating market recognition of its technological barriers and business execution capabilities [5] - The average analyst target price for Palantir is $113.54, significantly lower than its current stock price of $155.16, suggesting potential market valuation discrepancies [5] - The upcoming quarterly earnings report will be a critical test for Palantir's growth trajectory and ability to maintain its performance above expectations [5]

展望本季度，华尔街分析师普遍持乐观态度，预计营收将同比增长38.6%至9.396亿美元，这一增速较去年同期的27.2%显著提升，调整 后每股收益预期为0.14美元。 智通财经APP获悉，人工智能与数据分析领域领军企业Palantir(PLTR.US)上季度业绩表现持续亮眼。数据显示，上季公司实现营收 8.839亿美元，超出分析师预测2.5%，同比增速达39.3%，延续了近两年来的强劲增长态势。除营收表现外，上季度订单金额与息税折 旧摊销前利润(EBITDA)两项核心指标均大幅超越市场预期，展现出公司商业模型的高效执行力。 值得注意的是，过去30天内多数跟踪该公司的分析师重申了原有预测，暗示对公司盈利持续性的信心。历史数据显示，Palantir在过去 两年仅有一次营收未达预期，平均超预期幅度达2.6%，业绩稳定性在同业中表现突出。 从行业横向对比看，已披露二季度业绩的数据分析软件企业呈现分化态势。MicroStrategy(MSTR.US)实现营收同比增长2.7%，超出预 期1.2%，但财报发布后股价下跌8.7%;康沃系统(CVLT.US)则实现25.5%的营收增长，超预期幅度达5.2%，推动股价单日上涨18. ...

Core Insights - The analyst emphasizes a tech-focused approach to investment research, leveraging 25 years of experience in IT and investment to provide unique insights [1] - The analyst's background includes significant experience in virtualization, cloud technologies, and telecommunications, which informs their investment strategies [1] - The research covers various themes such as automated supply chains, Generative AI, telecommunications capital expenditures, and the deflationary nature of software and semiconductors [1] Investment Philosophy - The analyst adopts a moderate stance, focusing on capital preservation strategies, particularly in light of past losses during the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) [1] - The investment journey began with mutual and indexed funds, transitioning to individual stocks, highlighting a learning curve from previous investment mistakes [1] - The analyst values unique perspectives and insights from platforms like Seeking Alpha, which enhance the investment decision-making process [1] Professional Background - The analyst has held roles as an implementer, team leader, and project lead in the IT sector, particularly within telecommunications [1] - In addition to tech investments, the analyst also covers biotech with a focus on the intersection of technology and biology [1] - The analyst engages in non-profit work, contributing to community support and peer reviews in enterprise technology [1]

Market Overview - US stock market experienced significant declines last Friday, with the Dow Jones falling by 1.23%, Nasdaq down by 2.24%, and S&P 500 decreasing by 1.6% [1] - Major tech stocks also saw losses, including Amazon down 8.27%, Meta Platforms down 3.03%, Apple down 2.50%, Nvidia down 2.33%, Tesla down 1.83%, Microsoft down 1.76%, and Google A down 1.44% [1] Employment Data - In July, the US non-farm payroll added only 73,000 jobs, significantly below expectations, with previous two months' data revised down by 258,000 [2] - The unemployment rate rose to 4.2% [2] AI Developments - Sam Altman announced that OpenAI's valuation has reached $300 billion, with plans to release numerous products in the coming months [2] - Anthropic has blocked OpenAI's API access ahead of the GPT-5 release [2] - Google released its IMO 2025 gold medal model, Gemini 2.5 Deep Think, potentially competing with GPT-5 [3] Clinical Trials - Elon Musk's brain-machine interface company is set to launch clinical trials for brain chips in the UK, aimed at helping paralyzed patients control devices with their thoughts [4] Military Contracts - The US Army is simplifying its collaboration model with Palantir, potentially leading to a contract worth $10 billion [5] Pharmaceutical Research - Eli Lilly announced long-term results from its TRAILBLAZER-ALZ 2 Phase III clinical study, confirming the long-term value of early intervention in Alzheimer's disease [6] Oil Production - OPEC+ has agreed to significantly increase oil production, raising daily output by 548,000 barrels in September [7] A-Share Market Strategy - Analysts suggest that the recent short-term index adjustments are not concerning, maintaining a "slow bull market" trend [9] - The market is supported by three core logic points: bottom-line thinking in macro and capital market policies, the emergence of new growth drivers, and the influx of incremental capital [9] - Concerns about the impact of US stock market adjustments on A-shares are mitigated by historical data indicating that A-shares are less affected during the early stages of a bull market [9] AI Coding Tools - Barclays reported that the AI website building tool Lovable achieved $100 million in annual recurring revenue within eight months, surpassing other well-known AI tools [11] - Lovable's platform allows users to input ideas in a chat interface, with AI generating backend code and completing integrations, termed "vibe coding" [11] Regulatory Developments - The National Development and Reform Commission of China is taking measures to address "involution" competition among private enterprises [12] - The People's Bank of China is establishing a macro-prudential and financial stability committee and promoting the digital yuan [12] Company Announcements - China Shenhua is considering issuing shares and cash to acquire assets from the State Energy Group, involving 13 company equities, leading to a stock suspension [16] - Jichuang Vision is planning a change in control, resulting in stock suspension [17] - Sanan Optoelectronics intends to acquire 100% of Lumileds Holding B.V. for $239 million to enhance its product line and profitability [18]

Palantir is the best-performing stock in the S&P 500 so far this year. Few stocks have defied expectations the way Palantir (PLTR -2.46%) has. After going public in Sept. 2020, the stock nearly quadrupled in just a few months' time. However, by the end of 2022, it had plummeted over 80% from its peak as part of a broad sell-off that dragged down much of the tech sector. Since hitting its all-time low of $5.92 per share in late 2022, Palantir has delivered unbelievable returns. The stock was the top performe ...

Group 1 - The Direxion Daily PLTR Bull 2X ETF (NASDAQ: PLTU) is designed to provide traders with 2x the daily performance of the underlying equity, Palantir (PLTR) [1] - The performance mechanics of PLTU suggest that it is a leveraged strategy, which may appeal to traders looking for amplified returns [1] Group 2 - The article is authored by Michael Del Monte, a buy-side equity analyst with over 5 years of industry experience, who has a background in various sectors including O&G, OFS, Midstream, Industrials, Information Technology, EPC Services, and consumer discretionary [1] - Investment recommendations are based on a comprehensive view of the investment ecosystem rather than evaluating a company in isolation [1]