BING-JHEN HONG / iStock Editorial via Getty Images Quick Read Michael Burry holds more bearish exposure to Palantir than Nvidia via put options. Billionaire Chris Rokos recently sold Palantir and bought Nvidia. Nvidia trades at 24.5x forward P/E while Palantir’s valuation remains significantly higher. A recent study identified one single habit that doubled Americans’ retirement savings and moved retirement from dream, to reality. Read more here. It seems quite risky to place a bet on either Pa ...

科技龙头英伟达（NVDA）上涨3.2%、苹果（AAPL）上涨1.9%、Alphabet（GOOGL）上涨2.5%， Palantir（PLTR）小幅上扬0.05%。科技类ETF（XLK）也同步上扬1.6%。 来源：环球市场播报 ...

在投资者持续涌入人工智能（AI）相关股票的推动下，科技股成为2025年表现最佳的板块，带动整体 市场大幅上涨。标普500指数去年上涨逾16%，实现连续第三年年度上涨；纳斯达克综合指数去年跃升 逾20%；道琼斯工业平均指数则上涨约13%。这三大基准指数去年均创下历史新高。 德意志银行策略师写道："总体而言，2025年是强劲的一年，得益于经济持续增长、对人工智能的乐观 情绪以及更多央行降息举措。然而，这些表面上的涨幅掩盖了巨大的波动性，尤其是在4月，特朗普 的'解放日'关税公告引发了二战以来标普500指数第五大两日跌幅。" 北京时间1月2日晚，美股周五高开。今年是2026年的首个交易日，科技股尝试延续去年的上涨势头。 在过去三年中，标普500指数在每年首个交易日均收跌。据Bespoke Investment Group数据，回溯至1950 年代，并无明显趋势，首日收涨的概率约为48%。 科技股普遍上涨。英伟达、Palantir延续去年涨势。这两只人工智能相关股票在2025年表现亮眼，英伟 达全年上涨约39%，Palantir则飙升135%。苹果、Alphabet和微软等其他科技股也普遍走高。 此外，在线家居用品公 ...

Core Viewpoint - Palantir's shares have experienced volatility but are showing signs of recovery, despite a recent 7% decline attributed to a broader tech stock slump, suggesting potential resilience and investor confidence in CEO Alex Karp's leadership [1] Company Performance - The recent 7% drop in Palantir's stock is noted as part of a "Santa Claus slump" affecting tech stocks, indicating seasonal market trends [1] - Investors are encouraged to consider the company's potential for a comeback, particularly in light of bearish positions taken by notable investors like Michael Burry [1]

Core Viewpoint - The iShares Expanded Tech Sector ETF has shown strong performance driven by major technology companies, particularly in the AI sector, and is expected to continue outperforming the S&P 500 in 2026 [2][12]. Group 1: ETF Performance - The iShares Expanded Tech Sector ETF achieved a return of 27.5% in 2025, significantly surpassing the S&P 500's 17.5% return [2]. - Since its inception in 2001, the ETF has consistently outperformed the S&P 500, with a compound annual return of 11.6% compared to the S&P 500's 8.5% [12]. - Over the last decade, the ETF's accelerated compound annual return reached 22.9%, while the S&P 500 grew by 13.4% annually [12]. Group 2: Portfolio Composition - The ETF holds 291 stocks, primarily in the technology sector, with nearly 27% of its portfolio invested in semiconductor stocks [4]. - The top 10 holdings of the ETF account for 56% of its total weight, including major companies like Nvidia (8.92%), Microsoft (8.87%), and Apple (8.55%) [5][6]. - Other notable AI-related stocks in the ETF include Palantir Technologies, which saw a 139% stock gain due to high demand for its AI software products [10][11]. Group 3: Market Trends and Future Outlook - Major tech companies are expected to increase spending on AI data centers and infrastructure in 2026, which will likely benefit stocks like Nvidia, Broadcom, AMD, and Micron [13]. - Cloud platforms operated by Alphabet and Microsoft are experiencing accelerating revenue growth, indicating successful investments in AI infrastructure [13]. - The dynamic nature of the tech sector suggests that even if the AI boom slows, other technologies such as robotics and quantum computing could drive growth for the ETF [14].

Joe Lonsdale, co-founder of Palantir Technologies Inc. (NYSE:PLTR) , reflected on the company's employee equity strategy, saying early stock grants generated substantial wealth for the first team members.Equity-First Compensation ModelIn an interview released by Heartland Ventures last month, Lonsdale told host and founder, Max Brickman, that during early recruitment, he showed candidates equity value tables based on different company valuations.He explained that the company's equity-first compensation mode ...

Core Insights - Palantir has established itself as a leading AI company with a market capitalization exceeding $400 billion, benefiting from the growing adoption of artificial intelligence across organizations [2]. Group 1: Company Overview - Palantir's software offerings have gained traction as organizations navigate the complexities of AI adoption [2]. - The company is part of The Retirement Forum, which focuses on building retirement portfolios and employs a fact-based research strategy for investment identification [2]. Group 2: Investment Strategy - The Value Portfolio, associated with The Retirement Forum, emphasizes extensive analysis of 10Ks, analyst commentary, market reports, and investor presentations to inform investment decisions [2]. - The leader of The Retirement Forum actively invests real money in the stocks recommended, indicating a commitment to the investment strategy [2].

【文/观察者网专栏作者 心智观察所】 在过去一年里，全球AI软件领域出现了一种颇具象征意义的分化： 一边是Salesforce这样的标准化订阅制SaaS巨头，持续推出AI功能，却面临收入增速放缓、资本市场反 应平淡； 另一边则是Palantir——一家起家于政府与情报系统、长期以"定制化""重交付"著称的公司，却在AI应用 浪潮中实现收入加速与股价重估。 这一对比背后，隐藏的是一个更深层的变化：AI正在改变软件的价值交付方式。在这个背景下，中国 的第四范式，正越来越多地被拿来与Palantir相提并论。 为什么AI时代重新"奖励"Palantir这样的公司？ 先简单交代背景。 Palantir是一家美国软件公司，最早为政府、军方和情报机构提供数据分析系统，其核心产品并不是某 个具体应用，而是把分散的数据、模型和业务流程整合成一个"决策操作系统"。后来，它把同样的能力 推广到医疗、制造、能源等行业，用于支持复杂决策和跨系统协同。 近年来Palantir接连拿到大型政府与企业合同，例如被报道的与美国陆军达成的长期企业级协议（未来 十年上限约100亿美元）以及面向海军舰船供应链和核潜艇项目的数亿美元合同。这些都不是 ...

Core Viewpoint - U.S. financial markets are experiencing a pause for the New Year's Day holiday, with trading set to resume on January 2nd, 2026. Despite a recent pullback, 2025 was a strong year for major stock indexes, which posted significant gains. Market Performance - On December 31st, 2025, major U.S. stock indexes closed lower, continuing a four-session losing streak. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.6% to 48,063.29, the S&P 500 declined 0.7% to 6,845.50, and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.8% to 23,241.99. Trading volume was light as many institutional investors had closed their books for the year [2][3]. - Sector performance was predominantly negative, with technology stocks being a major drag. The Energy Select Sector SPDR rose 0.8%, while the Information Technology Select Sector SPDR, Financials Select Sector SPDR, and Industrials Select Sector SPDR all declined by 0.3% [4]. Notable Stock Movements - Ares Management Corporation saw a share decline of 3.4%. Micron Technology and Western Digital experienced drops of 2.5% and 2.2%, respectively. Corcept Therapeutics shares plunged significantly after the FDA did not approve its treatment. Conversely, Nike shares rose 4.1% following the CEO's purchase of approximately $1 million in company stock [5]. Year-End Market Drivers - The strong performance in 2025 was largely driven by optimism surrounding artificial intelligence, with companies like Micron Technology, Palantir, Advanced Micro Devices, Alphabet, and Nvidia being significant contributors. The S&P 500 finished 2025 up approximately 16.4%, the Nasdaq Composite surged around 20.4%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average added roughly 13% [6]. Upcoming Economic Data - Key economic data releases are scheduled for early January, including Initial Claims data and Construction PDF on January 2nd, ISM Manufacturing index on January 5th, and various employment reports on January 7th. Important inflation indicators like the Consumer Price Index and Producer Price Index will be released on January 13th and 14th, respectively [8]. Federal Reserve Meeting - The U.S. Federal Reserve's Federal Open Market Committee meeting is set for January 28th, where market participants will seek guidance on monetary policy for 2026, particularly regarding inflation and potential interest rate adjustments [9]. Upcoming Earnings Releases - The earnings season for Q4 2025 will begin to gain momentum later in January, with notable companies like BHP Group, JPMorgan Chase, and Bank of America expected to report. These earnings will provide critical insights into corporate performance and outlooks for the new year [10].

As the calendar turns to January 1, 2026, the U.S. stock markets observe the New Year's Day holiday, with both the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) and Nasdaq remaining closed for trading. This means no official pre-market or after-hours trading activity is taking place today. However, investors are keenly assessing the market's trajectory after a remarkably strong 2025 and looking ahead to the factors that will shape trading when markets reopen on Friday, January 2, 2026. Futures markets, though experiencing ...