Core Viewpoint - Quantum computing stocks such as Rigetti, IonQ, and D-Wave are facing potential valuation corrections as the technology is still in its infancy and may not be widely useful for at least a decade [3][15][16] Industry Overview - Quantum computing is expected to revolutionize various sectors, including drug discovery, materials science, finance, cybersecurity, supply chain management, and artificial intelligence [7] - Current quantum computing revenue is projected to reach $4 billion by 2030, while AI revenue is forecasted to hit $390 billion by 2025, indicating a significant disparity in market investment [11] Company Valuations - Rigetti, IonQ, and D-Wave are trading at extremely high valuations, with IonQ at 145 times sales, D-Wave at 270 times, and Rigetti at 980 times, compared to Nvidia's 3 times sales in 2015 [13] - Over the past three years, D-Wave increased its share count by 209%, Rigetti by 164%, and IonQ by 77%, leading to significant shareholder dilution [14] Expert Opinions - Industry experts, including Nvidia's CEO and Alphabet's CEO, suggest that practical quantum computers are still 5 to 20 years away, indicating that current market enthusiasm may be premature [12] - The expectation is that the quantum computing bubble may burst as early as 2026 due to the combination of high valuations and the long timeline for technological breakthroughs [15][16]

Core Insights - Quantum computing is gaining significant attention due to its potential to solve complex problems that classical systems cannot handle, presenting a unique investment opportunity in a future trillion-dollar industry [1] Company Approaches - Rigetti Computing (RGTI) is advancing a gate-based superconducting architecture aimed at universality and scalability, recently launching a 36-qubit system with a median two-qubit gate fidelity of approximately 99.5% [5][12] - D-Wave Quantum (QBTS) focuses on quantum annealing and hybrid solvers for immediate deployment in optimization problems, providing a near-term value proposition for industries [6][13] Price Performance - RGTI shares have increased by 67.5% year-to-date, while QBTS stock has surged by 166.7% in the same period [3] Business Models - RGTI's revenue is primarily derived from government contracts and research collaborations, leading to unpredictable revenue flows [8] - QBTS is pursuing a diversified revenue model that includes hardware sales and enterprise engagements, indicating a shift towards a more stable revenue base [9] Recent Financials - RGTI reported revenues of approximately $1.9 million, down from $2.4 million year-over-year, with elevated operating expenses of around $21 million [10] - QBTS experienced a strong quarterly performance with revenues doubling to $3.7 million and a significant increase in cash reserves to $836.2 million [11] Future Projections - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for RGTI's 2025 sales indicates a year-over-year decline of 23.82%, with a projected loss per share of 68 cents [15] - In contrast, QBTS's 2025 sales are expected to grow by 188.6%, with a projected loss per share of 23 cents [18] Investment Considerations - RGTI is positioned for long-term scalability with its gate-based systems, while QBTS offers immediate commercial activity and momentum [23] - The choice between RGTI and QBTS depends on investor preference for near-term traction versus long-term potential in quantum computing [14][23]

Core Insights - The article discusses the potential bubble in quantum computing stocks, highlighting that while the technology is promising, it is still years away from significant practical applications [1][10][17] Industry Overview - Quantum computing is expected to create substantial economic value, estimated between $450 billion to $850 billion by 2040, indicating a wide range of potential beneficiaries [3] - The early-stage commercialization of quantum computing has generated investor excitement, with major companies like Amazon and Microsoft providing access to quantum computing services [5][12] Company Performance - Quantum computing stocks such as IonQ, Rigetti Computing, D-Wave Quantum, and Quantum Computing Inc. have seen significant price increases, with some stocks rallying by as much as 829% over the past year [2][6] - Projected sales growth for these companies from 2025 to 2027 includes IonQ increasing from $108 million to $315 million, Rigetti from $8 million to $48 million, D-Wave from $25 million to $74 million, and Quantum Computing Inc. from $1 million to $10 million [7][6] Market Dynamics - The article suggests that the quantum computing bubble may burst in 2026, as historical trends indicate that investor expectations often exceed the actual adoption and utility of new technologies [8][9] - The first-mover advantage of current quantum computing companies is at risk due to competition from major tech firms like Alphabet and Microsoft, which are also investing heavily in quantum technologies [13][14] Valuation Concerns - Current valuations of quantum computing stocks suggest a high probability of a bubble, with price-to-sales ratios for these companies projected to exceed historical peaks associated with previous technology bubbles [16]

Core Insights - Quantum stocks are gaining investor interest in 2025, particularly D-Wave Quantum (QBTS) and Quantum Computing, Inc. (QUBT), with D-Wave focusing on commercial quantum annealing systems and QUBT pursuing photonics-driven initiatives [1] D-Wave Quantum (QBTS) - D-Wave is experiencing rapid commercial adoption, highlighted by a €10 million contract for an Advantage2 system in Italy and deployments supporting U.S. defense work [2] - The customer base has expanded to over 100 revenue-generating clients, including major firms like BASF and SkyWater, demonstrating practical outcomes such as significant reductions in scheduling and emergency response times [3] - D-Wave's management emphasizes its production-ready quantum solutions, which are driving bookings and revenue momentum, distinguishing it from competitors still focused on research [4] - Financially, D-Wave's revenues doubled year-over-year to $3.7 million, with a GAAP gross margin of 71.4% and a cash balance of $836.2 million, up from $29.3 million the previous year [5][6] - Despite strong revenue growth, D-Wave reported a net loss of $140.8 million in the third quarter, primarily due to high operating costs and non-cash warrant charges [7] Quantum Computing, Inc. (QUBT) - QUBT's growth is driven by a strengthened balance sheet, raising over $1.5 billion in 2025, which supports its engineering and manufacturing plans [8][9] - The company is seeing increasing commercial momentum, with revenues growing to $384,000 in the third quarter, driven by R&D contracts and initial cloud access revenues [10] - However, QUBT faces challenges with rapidly rising operating expenses, which nearly doubled to $10.5 million in the third quarter, potentially widening operating losses if revenue growth does not keep pace [11] Performance Comparison - Over the past six months, D-Wave's shares have increased by 27.7%, outperforming QUBT's decline of 10.4% and the S&P 500's rally of 17.8% [12] - Analysts suggest a significant upside for both companies, with QBTS's average price target indicating a potential increase of 64.7% and QUBT's suggesting a 104% increase from their last closing prices [14][16] Conclusion - D-Wave is positioned as a stronger long-term investment opportunity due to its validated commercial progress and extensive customer base, while QUBT remains an early-stage player with substantial capital but still developing its commercialization path [18]

Core Insights - D-Wave Quantum Inc. (NYSE:QBTS) is recognized as a leading investment opportunity in the quantum computing sector, with a price target increase from $20 to $35 by Benchmark analyst David Williams, maintaining a "Buy" rating [1][2] Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, D-Wave Quantum reported revenue of $3.7 million, marking a 100% year-over-year increase, driven by a system upgrade project contributing $1.8 million and an increase in professional service revenue of $0.2 million, despite a $0.2 million decline in QCaaS revenue [2] - The company achieved bookings of $2.4 million in Q3 2025, reflecting a year-over-year increase of approximately $100,000 or 3%, and an 80% increase compared to Q2 2025 [1][2] - Adjusted EBITDA loss for Q3 2025 was $20.6 million, an increase of $6.8 million or 49% year-over-year, primarily due to higher operating expenses, although this was partially offset by increased gross profit [3] Strategic Developments - D-Wave Quantum signed a EUR 10 million agreement to deploy a D-Wave Advantage2 system in Europe after the close of the quarter, indicating ongoing expansion efforts [2]

Core Insights - IBM anticipates building a fault-tolerant quantum computer on a large scale by the end of the decade, but the full potential of the technology may not be realized until 2033 at the earliest [1] - Alphabet's CEO compares the current state of quantum computing to artificial intelligence in the 2010s, suggesting a timeline of five to ten years for useful quantum computers [1][6] Group 1: Company Developments - IonQ has announced a roadmap aiming for interconnected systems by 2028 and applications requiring large logical qubit counts by 2030, claiming it will have the most logical qubits and lowest manufacturing costs [2] - IonQ utilizes trapped-ion technology, which produces more stable qubits than D-Wave's superconducting technology, although it is more challenging to scale due to engineering complexities [3][4] - D-Wave's annealing systems currently have more use cases than IonQ's systems, but they are limited to optimization problems [7][9] Group 2: Market Valuation and Analyst Opinions - Analysts have set target prices for D-Wave and IonQ, with D-Wave at $48 per share (128% upside) and IonQ at $100 per share (132% upside) from their current prices of $21 and $43, respectively [5] - The market shows significant enthusiasm for quantum computing, with expectations of triple-digit returns for IonQ and D-Wave in the next 12 months [6] - Despite the potential for high returns, both companies are facing absurd valuations, with IonQ trading at 130 times sales and D-Wave at 246 times sales, alongside significant shareholder dilution [8][11]

D-Wave logo positioned in front of computer chip. Key Points D-Wave Quantum shares are down more than a third in the last month following a major, drawn-out rally. Investors have turned away from the quantum computing industry more broadly in recent weeks as profitability and marketability concerns persist. Insider sales of QBTS stock are another signal that D-Wave may have further to fall before it recovers. Interested in D-Wave Quantum Inc.? Here are five stocks we like better. Although the final ...

Core Insights - The quantum-computing industry gained significant momentum in 2025, with both private and public sectors accelerating hardware development and policy support [1] - Investor interest surged, as evidenced by the Defiance Quantum Computing ETF crossing $2 billion in assets under management and delivering approximately 25% year-to-date returns [2] - Major technology companies like IBM, Google, Amazon, and NVIDIA made substantial advancements in quantum technology, indicating a strategic focus on this frontier [3] Industry Developments - IonQ reported $39.9 million in revenues for Q3 2025, exceeding guidance by 37% and achieving 222% year-over-year growth, alongside a world-record two-qubit gate fidelity of 99.99% [4] - D-Wave reported $3.7 million in Q3 revenues, doubling year-over-year, and secured a €10 million sale, showcasing increasing commercial adoption [5] - IBM introduced the Quantum Nighthawk processor with 120 qubits and advanced its fault-tolerance roadmap, targeting quantum advantage by 2026 [8] Investment Opportunities - Pure-play companies like IonQ and D-Wave present high upside potential but come with significant risks, including high cash burn and reliance on technical progress [5][11] - Large-cap technology firms provide a more stable investment avenue, supported by diversified cash flows and robust R&D capabilities, making them attractive for risk-adjusted performance [11] - Investors seeking asymmetric returns may consider modest positions in pure-plays, while those prioritizing stability should focus on established tech giants [11]

Core Insights - Quantum computing is rapidly gaining popularity as an investment opportunity, with significant share price increases for companies like IonQ, Rigetti Computing, and D-Wave, which have seen gains of 89%, 1,500%, and 1,800% respectively over the past year [1][2] Industry Overview - The potential economic value of quantum computing is estimated to reach $850 billion by 2040, driven by applications in drug discovery, climate science, new materials development, and AI refinement [2] Challenges in Quantum Computing - High error rates in quantum computing remain a significant hurdle, necessitating further advancements to make the technology transformative [5][6] - Collaboration between traditional supercomputers and quantum computers is seen as a potential solution to reduce error rates while leveraging the strengths of both technologies [6][7] - Current quantum computing systems, including those from major players like Alphabet, are not yet ready for widespread practical applications, indicating that the technology is still in its early stages [8]

Core Insights - The quantum computing sector is experiencing a significant shift towards tangible revenue and institutional interest, marking a transition from potential to real contracts and scalable pilots [2][3][6] Industry Overview - Quantum computing stocks are concluding 2025 with real contracts and revenue visibility, indicating a two-track market for the upcoming year [2] - Public companies like IonQ, D-Wave Quantum, and Rigetti Computing are demonstrating progress through earnings disclosures and government collaborations, moving towards commercial viability [3][6] Investment Trends - In 2024, nearly $2.0 billion was invested in quantum technology start-ups globally, a 50% increase from $1.3 billion in 2023, suggesting growing investor confidence [5] - Honeywell's Quantinuum raised $600 million at a $10 billion valuation, indicating strong investor conviction and a potential IPO that could re-rate the sector [4] Company Highlights - **IonQ**: Reported a 222% year-over-year revenue increase in Q3 2025, raising full-year revenue guidance to $106-$110 million, with significant technical advancements [8][9] - **D-Wave**: Achieved $3.7 million in Q3 2025 revenues, doubling year-over-year, with improved operational efficiency and a solid liquidity position [10][11] - **Rigetti**: Reported $1.9 million in revenue for Q3 2025 but has a strong cash position of approximately $600 million, allowing for ambitious growth plans [12]