Core Viewpoint - D-Wave Quantum has seen significant stock price appreciation, but its financial fundamentals raise concerns about its valuation and sustainability [1][5][6] Group 1: Stock Performance - D-Wave Quantum's stock price has increased by over 400% in the last year, reflecting strong investor interest in quantum technology [1] - The stock debuted at $10 per share in August 2022 but fell below $2 by mid-December of the same year [1] - Currently, the stock is trading around $28.83, with a market cap exceeding $10 billion [2] Group 2: Financial Metrics - D-Wave generated $24.14 million in sales over the last 12 months, indicating limited revenue generation relative to its market cap [5] - The company has a price-to-sales ratio exceeding 400, suggesting a high valuation compared to its sales [5] - D-Wave reported a net loss of nearly $400 million in the same period, highlighting ongoing financial challenges [5] Group 3: Investment Considerations - The company's rise has been largely driven by hype and speculation, with concerns about its long-term viability at current valuations [6] - D-Wave faced potential delisting 18 months ago, raising questions about its stability and future prospects [6] - While the quantum computing sector holds long-term potential, the technology is still considered experimental, warranting caution for investors [6]

Industry Overview - Quantum computing is still in the experimental phase, with significant challenges such as error-proneness and stability of qubits needing to be addressed [2][3] - Companies are making progress, with Nvidia's CEO indicating that quantum computing is nearing an inflection point for solving practical problems [4] D-Wave Quantum - D-Wave is recognized as a leader in quantum annealing, focusing on finding optimal solutions for specific problems rather than solving complex mathematical problems [6] - The company has a market cap of $10 billion, with a current price of $28.83 and a gross margin of 82.82% [8] - D-Wave has over 100 paying customers and is experiencing growth in revenue and bookings, while also moving into gate-based quantum computing [8][9] - The acquisition of Quantum Circuits aims to develop an error-correcting, gate-based system [9] Rigetti Computing - Rigetti is pursuing a universal gate-based quantum system, which is expected to solve more complex computational problems [10] - The company has a market cap of $8.5 billion, with a current price of $25.62, but has a significantly negative gross margin of -6849.48% [11][12] - Rigetti's systems are reported to be over 1,000 times faster than competitors, but it lags in accuracy, achieving only 99.5% 2-gate fidelity compared to IonQ's 99.99% [12] - The company has minimal revenue and faced setbacks, including not advancing in the DARPA Quantum Benchmarking Initiative and delaying the availability of its new 108-qubit machine due to fidelity issues [13][15] Comparative Analysis - D-Wave is preferred for its established niche in quantum annealing and its strategic move towards gate-based systems, which could leverage its existing business [14] - Rigetti's challenges with accuracy and setbacks in key programs highlight its competitive disadvantages [15]

Core Insights - The upcoming fourth-quarter 2025 earnings season is critical for three quantum computing companies: D-Wave Quantum, Rigetti, and IonQ, as it will reveal their ability to convert quantum technology into revenue [1][11] Group 1: Company Performance - IonQ's third-quarter revenues increased by 222% year over year, with expectations for fourth-quarter revenues to surpass the third quarter [2][18] - D-Wave reported nearly doubled revenues of $3.7 million in the third quarter, with record bookings of $2.4 million and a strong pipeline, including a €10 million contract [8][11] - Rigetti's third-quarter revenues were $1.9 million, down year over year, but recent orders and contracts are expected to improve fourth-quarter revenues [14][15] Group 2: Market Sentiment and Stock Performance - During the fourth quarter of 2025, D-Wave's stock gained 2%, while Rigetti and IonQ saw declines of 25.8% and 28.9%, respectively, due to investor skepticism about high valuations and broader tech sentiment [4][5] - The overall market sentiment weakened in late 2025, leading to significant stock corrections for these companies [5] Group 3: Financial Outlook - D-Wave's fourth-quarter revenue growth is expected to be gradual due to deferred revenue recognition from multi-year contracts, despite strong bookings exceeding $12 million [9][12] - Rigetti is projected to report fourth-quarter earnings growth of 37.5% on revenue growth of 17.7%, with no formal guidance for 2025 [16][17] - IonQ is expected to report fourth-quarter earnings growth of 48.4% on revenue growth of 244.2%, supported by strong commercial interest and a robust cash position of about $3.5 billion [20][19] Group 4: Investor Strategy - Investors are advised to adopt a long-term allocation strategy in this emerging sector, given the volatility and valuation sensitivity of these quantum computing stocks [21]

Company Overview - D-Wave Quantum (NYSE: QBTS) is a notable player in the quantum computing sector with a market capitalization of $10 billion, attracting investors due to its smaller size and growth potential [1] - The company is not pursuing a general-purpose quantum computing model but is focusing on quantum annealing technology, which optimizes solutions by finding the lowest energy state in a system [6] Industry Context - Quantum computing is a complex technology that utilizes qubits, allowing for multiple calculation paths, unlike traditional bits which are limited to binary states [3] - The competition in the quantum computing field is intense, with significant risks involved, making it a challenging investment area [2] - DARPA has been involved in selecting technologies for military applications, and while D-Wave did not apply for a significant contract, it has been forming partnerships with major manufacturing companies [4][7]

Core Insights - Retail investors have shown significant interest in five stocks this week, driven by hype around AI and corporate news, including Nebius Group NV, IREN Ltd., D-Wave Quantum Inc., Microsoft Corp., and Oklo Inc. [1] Nebius Group NV (NBIS) - Nebius Group is experiencing bullish momentum due to its plans for early adoption of Nvidia's Vera Rubin platform, with Morgan Stanley initiating coverage and projecting a potential upside of 23.55% [5] - The stock has a 52-week range of $18.31 to $141.10, currently trading around $103 to $105, with a yearly increase of 176.36% and 94.87% over the last six months [6] IREN Ltd. (IREN) - IREN has gained analyst enthusiasm, particularly after a significant Microsoft contract, leading H.C. Wainwright to upgrade the stock to Buy with a price target of $80 [6] - Bernstein has reiterated IREN as a top AI pick for 2026, reflecting optimism in AI demand following CES [6] D-Wave Quantum Inc. (QBTS) - D-Wave Quantum has made a key technical breakthrough in scalable on-chip cryogenic control of qubits, enhancing its roadmap towards error-corrected systems [11] - The stock has a 52-week range of $5.12 to $76.87, trading around $51 to $53, with a yearly return of 353.19% and 199.77% over the last six months [11] Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) - Microsoft is facing a near-term decline amid news of an emergency auction for power contracts, but sentiment remains positive with predictions of reclaiming a $4 trillion valuation [15] - The stock has a 52-week range of $344.79 to $555.45, currently trading around $456 to $458, with a yearly increase of 7.56% but a decline of 9.68% over the last six months [16] Oklo Inc. (OKLO) - Oklo is advancing a nuclear power campus project in partnership with Meta Platforms, with pre-construction expected to start in 2026 and first power by 2030 [16] - The stock has a 52-week range of $4.45 to $46.75, trading around $28 to $30, with a yearly increase of 394.32% and 69.84% over the last six months [12]

Core Insights - Retail investors have shown significant interest in five stocks this week, driven by retail hype, AI developments, and corporate news [1] Group 1: Nebius Group NV (NASDAQ:NBIS) - Nebius Group is experiencing bullish momentum due to its early adoption plans for Nvidia's Vera Rubin platform, expected in the second half of 2026 [5] - Morgan Stanley initiated coverage on Nebius, highlighting aggressive scaling targets and strategic positioning in AI infrastructure, indicating a potential upside of 23.55% [5] - The stock has a 52-week range of $18.31 to $141.10, trading around $103 to $105, with a yearly increase of 176.36% and 94.87% over the last six months [6] Group 2: IREN Ltd. (NASDAQ:IREN) - IREN is benefiting from renewed analyst enthusiasm, particularly due to a significant Microsoft hyperscaler contract [6] - H.C. Wainwright upgraded IREN to Buy with a price target of $80, citing its exposure to AI demand through the Microsoft deal [6] - The stock has a 52-week range of $4.45 to $46.75, trading around $28 to $30, with a yearly increase of 394.32% and 69.84% over the last six months [12] Group 3: D-Wave Quantum Inc. (NYSE:QBTS) - D-Wave Quantum has made a key technical breakthrough in scalable on-chip cryogenic control of gate-model qubits, enhancing its dual-platform roadmap [11] - The stock has a 52-week range of $5.12 to $76.87, trading around $51 to $53, with a yearly return of 353.19% and 199.77% over the last six months [11] Group 4: Microsoft Corp. (NASDAQ:MSFT) - Positive sentiment surrounds Microsoft despite a near-term decline, with predictions of reclaiming a $4 trillion valuation amid rising power costs [15] - The stock has a 52-week range of $344.79 to $555.45, trading around $456 to $458, with a yearly increase of 7.56% but a decline of 9.68% over the last six months [16] Group 5: Oklo Inc. (NYSE:OKLO) - Oklo is advancing a nuclear power campus project in Ohio, supported by a multi-billion-dollar agreement with Meta Platforms [16] - The stock has a 52-week range of $17.42 to $193.84, trading around $91 to $93, with a yearly surge of 277.42% [18]

Core Insights - Rigetti has delayed the timeline for its next system, indicating potential challenges in its development process [1] - Competitors in the sector are actively making acquisitions and forming new partnerships, suggesting a competitive landscape [1] - Analysts maintain a positive outlook on the long-term prospects of the industry, reflecting confidence in future growth [1]

Core Insights - D-Wave Quantum (QBTS) is experiencing increased adoption of its quantum computing solutions, as evidenced by several new and renewed customer agreements across various industries during Q3 2025 [1][8] Group 1: Customer Agreements and Industry Engagements - D-Wave signed agreements with major players including a large U.S.-based international airline, SkyWater Technology, and Japan Tobacco's pharmaceutical division, indicating strong interest in quantum computing across aviation, semiconductors, and pharmaceuticals [1][2] - The company also entered into an agreement with Yapi Kredi, a leading Turkish bank, showcasing the relevance of quantum computing in financial services [2] - An engagement with Korea Quantum Computing was established to enhance D-Wave's presence in the Asia-Pacific region [2] - Collectively, these agreements contributed to $2.4 million in bookings for the third quarter [3][8] - A significant EUR 10 million agreement was highlighted for deploying a D-Wave Advantage2 annealing quantum computer in Europe shortly after the third quarter [3] Group 2: Peer Updates - Quantum Computing Inc. (QUBT) announced a purchase order from a top 5 U.S. bank for its quantum security solutions, marking a milestone for its platform [4] - Rigetti Computing (RGTI) formed strategic collaborations to advance quantum networking and integrate its QPUs with AI supercomputing environments [5] Group 3: Stock Performance and Valuation - QBTS shares have increased by 509.3% over the past year, significantly outperforming the broader Internet Software industry's growth of 6.2% and the S&P 500's gain of 22.1% [6] - The current forward Price-to-Sales (P/S) ratio for QBTS is 234.36X, compared to the industry average of 5.55X, indicating a high valuation [9] Group 4: Earnings Estimates - The loss per share estimate for D-Wave has narrowed by 1 cent to 20 cents for 2025 over the past 30 days [10]

Core Viewpoint - D-Wave Quantum is experiencing a surge in stock prices due to government momentum and potential adoption of its Advantage2 technology, which could lead to significant upside for investors [1] Group 1: Government Adoption - Government adoption of quantum technology is seen as a key driver for D-Wave's stock performance, indicating a growing interest and investment in the sector [1] - The potential for government contracts and partnerships could unlock substantial financial opportunities for D-Wave [1] Group 2: Advantage2 Technology - The Advantage2 quantum computing system is highlighted as a pivotal factor that could enhance D-Wave's market position and drive stock prices higher [1] - The technology's capabilities may attract more clients and applications, further boosting revenue potential [1] Group 3: Financial Conditions - Specific financial conditions must be met for D-Wave to realize its potential upside, suggesting that investors should monitor the company's financial health closely [1] - Understanding the financial metrics and performance indicators will be crucial for assessing the investment opportunity [1]

Core Insights - Quantum computing stocks have seen significant price increases, with some rising by up to 5,400% in 2024, attracting investor interest despite skepticism from industry insiders [2][3][10] - The global addressable market for quantum computing is projected to reach $1 trillion by 2035, indicating substantial long-term growth potential [3] - High-profile partnerships with major companies like Amazon and Microsoft are enhancing the visibility and credibility of quantum computing firms [5][6] Company Performance - Quantum computing companies such as IonQ, Rigetti Computing, D-Wave Quantum, and Quantum Computing Inc. are expected to experience triple-digit annual sales growth, with Rigetti's revenue projected to increase from less than $8 million in 2025 to $152 million by 2029 [9] - D-Wave Quantum's revenue is anticipated to rise from less than $26 million in 2025 to $219 million by 2029, showcasing the growth trajectory of these firms [9] Insider Activity - Over the past three years, insiders of quantum computing companies have sold approximately $840 million more in stock than they have purchased, raising concerns about the companies' future prospects [12][13] - Notably, there has been minimal insider buying activity, with Quantum Computing Inc. and Rigetti Computing showing no insider purchases during this period, which may signal a lack of confidence in the stock's future performance [16][17] Market Dynamics - The surge in quantum computing stocks in 2025 was partly fueled by a report from JPMorgan Chase outlining a $1.5 trillion initiative that includes quantum computing as a critical area for investment [7][8] - Despite the excitement surrounding quantum computing, the high price-to-sales ratios of these stocks suggest they may be overvalued, indicating potential market corrections in the future [17][18]