Company Overview - Rithm (RITM) closed at $12.38, reflecting a -1.28% change from the previous day, underperforming the S&P 500 which saw a loss of 0.05% [1] - The stock has increased by 1.37% over the past month, lagging behind the Finance sector's gain of 4.15% and the S&P 500's gain of 3.44% [1] Financial Performance - Upcoming EPS for Rithm is projected at $0.52, indicating a 3.70% decrease compared to the same quarter last year [2] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenue is $1.22 billion, representing a significant increase of 96.45% from the previous year [2] - For the full year, earnings are projected at $2.12 per share, with revenue expected to be $4.52 billion, showing changes of +0.95% and -13.64% respectively from the prior year [3] Analyst Estimates and Market Sentiment - Changes in analyst estimates for Rithm are crucial as they reflect short-term business trends, with positive revisions indicating optimism regarding business and profitability [3] - The Zacks Rank system, which assesses these estimate changes, currently ranks Rithm at 3 (Hold) [5] Valuation Metrics - Rithm's Forward P/E ratio is 5.92, which is a discount compared to the industry average Forward P/E of 13.33 [6] - The Financial - Miscellaneous Services industry, to which Rithm belongs, holds a Zacks Industry Rank of 63, placing it in the top 26% of over 250 industries [6]

Focus of Article: The focus of PART 1 of this article is to analyze Rithm Capital Corp.’s (NYSE:RITM) recent results and compare several of the company’s metrics to 17 mortgage real estate investment trust (mREIT) peers. This analysis will show past and current data with supporting documentation. Table 1a will compare RITM’s investment composition, recent leverage, hedging coverage ratio, and change in investment portfolio size to the 17 mREIT peers. Table 1b will compare RITM’s BV, economic return (loss), ...

Focus of Article: The focus of PART 1 of this article is to analyze Rithm Capital Corp.’s (NYSE:RITM) recent results and compare several of the company’s metrics to 17 mortgage real estate investment trust (mREIT) peers. This analysis will show past and current data with supporting documentation. Table 1a will compare RITM’s investment composition, recent leverage, hedging coverage ratio, and change in investment portfolio size to the 17 mREIT peers. Table 1b will compare RITM’s BV, economic return (loss), ...

Group 1 - Paramount Group's stock price rose by 3.7% after reports of multiple bidders in the second round of sales [1] - Bidders include Vornado Realty (VNO.US), SL Green Realty (SLG.US), Empire State Realty Trust (ESRT.US), Blackstone (BX.US), DivcoWest, and Rithm Capital (RITM.US) [1] - Paramount Group initiated a strategic review in May to maximize shareholder value [1] Group 2 - Paramount Group is a real estate investment trust focused on owning, operating, managing, acquiring, and redeveloping high-quality Class A office properties in central business districts of New York City and San Francisco [1] - The company's stock has increased by 40% year-to-date [1]

Core Viewpoint - Rithm (RITM) has been upgraded to a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), indicating a positive trend in earnings estimates which is a significant factor influencing stock prices [1][2]. Earnings Estimates and Stock Price Movement - The Zacks rating system highlights the strong correlation between changes in earnings estimates and near-term stock price movements, driven by institutional investors who adjust their valuations based on these estimates [3][5]. - An increase in earnings estimates typically leads to higher fair value for a stock, prompting institutional buying or selling actions that affect stock prices [3]. Rithm's Earnings Outlook - The upgrade reflects an improvement in Rithm's underlying business, with analysts raising their earnings estimates by 3.8% over the past three months for the fiscal year ending December 2025, projecting earnings of $2.12 per share [7][4]. - The Zacks Rank 2 places Rithm in the top 20% of Zacks-covered stocks, suggesting a strong potential for market-beating returns in the near term [9][8]. Zacks Rank System - The Zacks Rank system classifies stocks into five groups based on earnings estimates, with a proven track record of Zacks Rank 1 stocks generating an average annual return of +25% since 1988 [6][8]. - The system maintains a balanced distribution of ratings, ensuring that only the top 5% of stocks receive a "Strong Buy" rating, while the next 15% are rated as "Buy" [8].

Core Viewpoint - Rithm Capital Corp. (NYSE:RITM) reported solid Q2 results with earnings exceeding the dividend and a minor book value gain, indicating effective management execution and fair pricing of shares at current levels [1]. Group 1: Financial Performance - RITM's book value (BV) showed a minor increase, aligning with expectations, and achieving a variance within 1.5% for three consecutive quarters, reflecting stability amidst sector volatility [2][9]. - Funded loan originations increased from $11.8 billion in Q1 2025 to $16.3 billion in Q2 2025, slightly outperforming the projected $15.0 billion [3]. - The gross origination spread (GOS) margin decreased from 1.37% in Q1 2025 to 1.22% in Q2 2025, closely matching the projected 1.25% [4][5]. - RITM's adjusted core earnings per share for Q2 2025 were reported at $0.472, slightly outperforming expectations [26][27]. Group 2: Sub-Portfolio Performance - The MSR sub-portfolio experienced valuation changes of $22 million and amortization of $177 million, with results closely matching projections [9][10]. - Genesis Capital's origination volume increased from $0.9 billion in Q1 2025 to $1.2 billion in Q2 2025, exceeding the projected $1.1 billion [22]. - Asset management revenues rose from $88 million in Q1 2025 to $95 million in Q2 2025, although slightly below the projected $100 million [23][24]. Group 3: Operational Insights - RITM's operational expenses increased from $509 million in Q1 2025 to $534 million in Q2 2025, slightly above the projected $525 million [29]. - The company maintained a strong dividend coverage, with adjusted core earnings comfortably exceeding the quarterly dividend rate of $0.25 per share [42]. - Management is considering a potential spin-off of its mortgage origination and servicing businesses, with no definitive timeline provided [39][41]. Group 4: Market Position and Valuation - RITM's current valuation is deemed appropriate, with a hold recommendation, as the company is not currently viewed as a strong buy [47]. - The company’s risk/performance rating remains at 3.5, indicating a balanced approach to managing interest rate fluctuations [32][35].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses dividend-paying stocks as a stable income option for investors amid fluctuating trade policies, highlighting recommendations from top Wall Street analysts [1]. Chevron (CVX) - Chevron reported market-beating earnings for Q2, although earnings declined year-over-year due to lower oil prices [2]. - The company returned $5.5 billion to shareholders in Q2 through share repurchases of $2.6 billion and dividends of $2.9 billion, with a dividend yield of 4.4% [3]. - Morgan Stanley analyst Devin McDermott resumed coverage with a buy rating and a price target of $174, while TipRanks' AI Analyst has an "outperform" rating with a price target of $171 [3]. - The recent Hess acquisition is expected to enhance Chevron's growth and portfolio duration, removing a major overhang [4]. - McDermott noted that Chevron's free cash flow yield for 2026 is projected at 8%, compared to Exxon Mobil's 6% and ConocoPhillips' 7% [5]. Rithm Capital (RITM) - Rithm Capital announced better-than-expected Q2 results, paying a dividend of 25 cents per share, resulting in an annualized dividend yield of 8.2% [7]. - RBC Capital analyst Kenneth Lee raised the price forecast for RITM stock to $14 from $13, maintaining a buy rating [8]. - Rithm's Q2 earnings available for distribution (EAD) were 54 cents per share, exceeding estimates, leading to an increase in EAD estimates for 2025 and 2026 [9]. - The company is focusing on growth and return on equity enhancement, with notable cost benefits from AI initiatives [10]. AT&T (T) - AT&T delivered better-than-expected Q2 earnings, driven by strong wireless equipment revenues, and offers a quarterly dividend of $0.2775 per share, resulting in a dividend yield of about 4% [12]. - RBC Capital analyst Jonathan Atkin reiterated a buy rating with a price target of $31, while TipRanks' AI Analyst has a neutral rating with a price target of $30 [13]. - The company's revised 2025 guidance reflects cash tax benefits and an improved trajectory in the Wireline business, with free cash flow outlook adjusted to the low-to-mid $16 billion range [15]. - AT&T's free cash flow outlook for 2026 and 2027 was increased by $1 billion, supporting management's focus on capital investments for long-term growth [16].

UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION Washington, D.C. 20549 FORM 10-Q ☒ QUARTERLY REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 For the quarterly period ended June 30, 2025 or ☐ TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 For the transition period from ________________to________________ Commission File Number: 001-35777 Rithm Capital Corp. (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter) | Delaware | | 45-3449660 ...

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or ...

Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article. Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or a ...