Core Viewpoint - Rithm Capital Corp. (NYSE:RITM) reported solid Q2 results with earnings exceeding the dividend and a minor book value gain, indicating effective management execution and fair pricing of shares at current levels [1]. Group 1: Financial Performance - RITM's book value (BV) showed a minor increase, aligning with expectations, and achieving a variance within 1.5% for three consecutive quarters, reflecting stability amidst sector volatility [2][9]. - Funded loan originations increased from $11.8 billion in Q1 2025 to $16.3 billion in Q2 2025, slightly outperforming the projected $15.0 billion [3]. - The gross origination spread (GOS) margin decreased from 1.37% in Q1 2025 to 1.22% in Q2 2025, closely matching the projected 1.25% [4][5]. - RITM's adjusted core earnings per share for Q2 2025 were reported at $0.472, slightly outperforming expectations [26][27]. Group 2: Sub-Portfolio Performance - The MSR sub-portfolio experienced valuation changes of $22 million and amortization of $177 million, with results closely matching projections [9][10]. - Genesis Capital's origination volume increased from $0.9 billion in Q1 2025 to $1.2 billion in Q2 2025, exceeding the projected $1.1 billion [22]. - Asset management revenues rose from $88 million in Q1 2025 to $95 million in Q2 2025, although slightly below the projected $100 million [23][24]. Group 3: Operational Insights - RITM's operational expenses increased from $509 million in Q1 2025 to $534 million in Q2 2025, slightly above the projected $525 million [29]. - The company maintained a strong dividend coverage, with adjusted core earnings comfortably exceeding the quarterly dividend rate of $0.25 per share [42]. - Management is considering a potential spin-off of its mortgage origination and servicing businesses, with no definitive timeline provided [39][41]. Group 4: Market Position and Valuation - RITM's current valuation is deemed appropriate, with a hold recommendation, as the company is not currently viewed as a strong buy [47]. - The company’s risk/performance rating remains at 3.5, indicating a balanced approach to managing interest rate fluctuations [32][35].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses dividend-paying stocks as a stable income option for investors amid fluctuating trade policies, highlighting recommendations from top Wall Street analysts [1]. Chevron (CVX) - Chevron reported market-beating earnings for Q2, although earnings declined year-over-year due to lower oil prices [2]. - The company returned $5.5 billion to shareholders in Q2 through share repurchases of $2.6 billion and dividends of $2.9 billion, with a dividend yield of 4.4% [3]. - Morgan Stanley analyst Devin McDermott resumed coverage with a buy rating and a price target of $174, while TipRanks' AI Analyst has an "outperform" rating with a price target of $171 [3]. - The recent Hess acquisition is expected to enhance Chevron's growth and portfolio duration, removing a major overhang [4]. - McDermott noted that Chevron's free cash flow yield for 2026 is projected at 8%, compared to Exxon Mobil's 6% and ConocoPhillips' 7% [5]. Rithm Capital (RITM) - Rithm Capital announced better-than-expected Q2 results, paying a dividend of 25 cents per share, resulting in an annualized dividend yield of 8.2% [7]. - RBC Capital analyst Kenneth Lee raised the price forecast for RITM stock to $14 from $13, maintaining a buy rating [8]. - Rithm's Q2 earnings available for distribution (EAD) were 54 cents per share, exceeding estimates, leading to an increase in EAD estimates for 2025 and 2026 [9]. - The company is focusing on growth and return on equity enhancement, with notable cost benefits from AI initiatives [10]. AT&T (T) - AT&T delivered better-than-expected Q2 earnings, driven by strong wireless equipment revenues, and offers a quarterly dividend of $0.2775 per share, resulting in a dividend yield of about 4% [12]. - RBC Capital analyst Jonathan Atkin reiterated a buy rating with a price target of $31, while TipRanks' AI Analyst has a neutral rating with a price target of $30 [13]. - The company's revised 2025 guidance reflects cash tax benefits and an improved trajectory in the Wireline business, with free cash flow outlook adjusted to the low-to-mid $16 billion range [15]. - AT&T's free cash flow outlook for 2026 and 2027 was increased by $1 billion, supporting management's focus on capital investments for long-term growth [16].

UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION Washington, D.C. 20549 FORM 10-Q ☒ QUARTERLY REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 For the quarterly period ended June 30, 2025 or ☐ TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 For the transition period from ________________to________________ Commission File Number: 001-35777 Rithm Capital Corp. (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter) | Delaware | | 45-3449660 ...

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or ...

Core Insights - The article discusses the current market trends and potential investment opportunities within specific sectors, highlighting the importance of thorough analysis before making investment decisions [2]. Group 1: Market Trends - Recent market fluctuations have shown a significant impact on investor sentiment, with a notable increase in volatility observed in the tech sector [2]. - Analysts are focusing on the performance of companies that have demonstrated resilience during economic downturns, particularly those with strong balance sheets [2]. Group 2: Investment Opportunities - There is a growing interest in renewable energy companies, driven by government incentives and a shift towards sustainable practices [2]. - The healthcare sector is also highlighted as a potential area for investment, especially companies involved in innovative treatments and technologies [2]. Group 3: Risks and Considerations - Investors are advised to remain cautious due to potential regulatory changes that could affect various industries, particularly in technology and healthcare [2]. - The importance of diversifying investment portfolios to mitigate risks associated with market volatility is emphasized [2].

Core Insights - Rithm (RITM) reported revenue of $1.22 billion for the quarter ended June 2025, reflecting a 1% decrease year-over-year and a surprise of -2.6% compared to the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.25 billion. EPS was $0.54, up from $0.47 in the same quarter last year, exceeding the consensus estimate of $0.51 by +5.88% [1]. Revenue Breakdown - Interest income was reported at $478.46 million, slightly below the estimated $500.01 million, with no change compared to the previous year [4]. - Gain on originated residential mortgage loans, held-for-sale, net was $169.7 million, exceeding the estimate of $196.27 million, showing a year-over-year increase of +10.4% [4]. - Other revenues totaled $54.07 million, surpassing the estimate of $36.43 million, but represented a year-over-year decline of -4.3% [4]. - Asset management revenue was $95.01 million, below the estimated $100.19 million, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of -13.2% [4]. - Servicing revenue, net was reported at $419.81 million, slightly below the estimate of $425.31 million, with a year-over-year change of -2.6% [4]. Stock Performance - Rithm's shares have returned +6.9% over the past month, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +4.9% change, and currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating potential performance in line with the broader market [3].

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a GAAP net income of $283.9 million, or $0.53 per diluted share, with a return on equity of 17% [17] - Earnings available for distribution were $291.1 million, or $0.54 per diluted share, reflecting an 18% return on equity [17] - Book value increased to $6.7 billion, or $12.71 per share, up from $12.39 in the prior quarter [17] - The company ended the quarter with a record cash and liquidity amount of $2.1 billion [17] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Genesis, the company's RTL lender, achieved a record quarter of production, with origination more than doubling since its acquisition in 2022 [6][12] - NewRez, the mortgage company, is the fourth largest originator with $16 billion in funded volume, up 38% quarter over quarter [34] - The servicing portfolio reached $864 billion, with a 19% return on equity for the servicing business [34][39] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The asset management business, including Sculptor, managed $36 billion in assets, with an increase of $3.5 billion since the last quarter [22] - The company is seeing inflows across its investment teams, particularly in real estate and asset-based finance products [6][22] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to grow its asset management platform and is focused on creating synergies and increasing earnings [10][29] - There is a strong emphasis on opportunistic acquisitions and scaling up credit and origination business lines [10][29] - The company is exploring opportunities in the insurance sector and considering M&A activities to enhance its offerings [50][86] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the economic environment, anticipating one or two rate cuts this year [24] - The company is focused on maintaining a competitive edge in the asset-based finance space and is optimistic about future growth opportunities [7][29] - Management highlighted the importance of technology and operational efficiency in driving growth and reducing costs [40] Other Important Information - The company has paid out over $6 billion in dividends since inception, indicating a strong commitment to returning value to shareholders [11] - The company is exploring the potential for a C Corp structure to enhance its asset management capabilities [66] Q&A Session Summary Question: Any updated thoughts on Nuurez listing? - Management indicated that they are focused on growing the business and earnings before considering a separate listing for Nuurez [43][44] Question: How will changes in the mortgage market impact NewRez's strategy? - Management noted that growth is expected in the non-QM business and that they are opening new origination channels [58][59] Question: What are the plans for insurance M&A? - Management is looking at smaller insurance acquisitions to grow the business rather than large-scale purchases [50][86] Question: How does the company view capital allocation across segments? - Management stated that capital can be allocated flexibly across different segments based on where the best returns can be generated [71][72] Question: What is the potential for the SMA in residential transition lending? - Management expressed excitement about the SMA and its potential to raise third-party capital while maintaining earnings at the corporate level [96][97]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - GAAP net income for the quarter was $283.9 million, or $0.53 per diluted share, with a return on equity of 17% [18] - Earnings available for distribution were $291.1 million, or $0.54 per diluted share, reflecting an 18% return on equity [18] - Book value increased to $6.7 billion, or $12.71 per share, up from $12.39 in the prior quarter [19] - The company ended the quarter with a record cash and liquidity amount of $2.1 billion [19] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Genesis Capital achieved a record quarter of production, with origination more than doubling since its acquisition in 2022 [6][10] - NewRez, the mortgage company, reported a 38% increase in funded volume, reaching $16 billion [36] - The servicing portfolio for NewRez is now $864 billion, with a 19% return on equity for the quarter [36][25] - Rhythm Asset Management saw an increase of $3.5 billion in assets under management (AUM), totaling $36 billion [24] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company noted a robust pipeline for mergers and acquisitions, focusing on scaling up credit and origination business lines [10] - The asset-based finance (ABF) market is highlighted as a key area of growth, with the company controlling both origination and servicing [7][8] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to grow its asset management platform and differentiate itself through performance and trust with investors [8][10] - There is a focus on opportunistic acquisitions and scaling up the credit business, with a desire to enter the insurance market [51][52] - The company is exploring the potential for a separate listing for NewRez but is currently focused on growing the business [45][46] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the macroeconomic environment, anticipating one or two rate cuts this year [26] - There is a belief that policy uncertainty is declining, which could benefit investment products [27] - The company is cautious about credit markets but sees opportunities in the non-QM space and direct lending [90] Other Important Information - The company has paid out over $6 billion in dividends since inception, implying a stock price of about $25 based on historical payouts [12] - The company is focused on maintaining a balance between funding through its balance sheet and third-party capital [95][96] Q&A Session Summary Question: Any updated thoughts on Nuurez and unlocking value? - Management indicated that they are focused on growing Nuurez and enhancing earnings before considering a separate listing [45][46] Question: How will changes in the mortgage market impact NewRez's strategy? - Management noted significant growth in the non-QM business and plans to continue expanding origination channels [60][61] Question: What are the most logical ways to optimize Rhythm's corporate structure? - Management is evaluating the merits of a C Corp structure and the need for scale in the REIT business [66][67] Question: How does the partnership at Genesis support capital allocation? - Management stated that capital can be allocated flexibly across segments to generate the best returns for shareholders [73][74] Question: What type of insurance acquisitions are being considered? - Management is looking at broader insurance opportunities, including P&C and life insurance, to complement their asset management capabilities [88][89]

Company Performance - Rithm reported quarterly earnings of $0.54 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.51 per share, and up from $0.47 per share a year ago, representing an earnings surprise of +5.88% [1] - The company posted revenues of $1.22 billion for the quarter ended June 2025, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 2.6%, and down from $1.23 billion year-over-year [2] - Over the last four quarters, Rithm has surpassed consensus EPS estimates four times but has topped consensus revenue estimates only once [2] Stock Performance - Rithm shares have increased approximately 12.6% since the beginning of the year, outperforming the S&P 500's gain of 8.6% [3] - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $0.53 on revenues of $1.23 billion, and for the current fiscal year, it is $2.10 on revenues of $4.56 billion [7] Industry Outlook - The Financial - Miscellaneous Services industry, to which Rithm belongs, is currently in the top 38% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating a favorable outlook [8] - Empirical research shows a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions, which can impact Rithm's stock performance [5]

Financial Performance - GAAP Net Income was $2839 million, or $053 per diluted share, with a 17% Return on Equity[15] - Earnings Available for Distribution (EAD) reached $2911 million, or $054 per diluted share, resulting in an 18% Return on Equity[15] - The company's book value stood at $67 billion, equivalent to $1271 per common share[15] - Cash and liquidity amounted to $21 billion, complemented by a common stock dividend with an 89% dividend yield, or $025 per common share[15] Business Highlights - Rithm Capital has approximately $80 billion in investable assets, including $36 billion in Assets Under Management (AUM) and $44 billion in balance sheet assets[9] - Newrez's total servicing portfolio reached $864 billion UPB, ranking it as the 3 US Mortgage Servicer and 4 US Mortgage Originator[12] - Genesis Capital's Q2'25 originations totaled $12 billion, representing a 49% year-over-year increase[30] - Sculptor Capital reported $36 billion of AUM, up $35 billion since acquisition close, with $17 billion of gross inflows in Q2[30] Strategic Initiatives - The company believes a strategy centered on earnings growth and an increased focus on fee-related earnings will lay a foundation for significant upside[17] - Rithm Property Trust has an active investment pipeline of over $2 billion[12] - The company's current valuation of 96% of book value understates the intrinsic value of Rithm's core segments[25]