Roku posted solid first-quarter results, topping $1 billion in revenue and narrowing its losses. The company posted a loss of 19 cents a share on a diluted basis, which beat Wall Street forecasts and showed improvement from the year-earlier’s loss of 35 cents. Revenue also nipped expectations, coming in at $1.02 billion, up 16% from the same period in 2024. As media and tech companies offer a glimpse of how advertising and electronic goods are holding up in a turbulent economy, Roku looks to be a company w ...

Fellow Shareholders, May 1, 2025 Exhibit 99.1 In Q1 we grew Platform revenue 17%, in line with our outlook, with contributions from both video advertising and streaming services distribution activities. Our scale in the U.S. exceeds half of broadband households and continues to grow. Beginning with our Home Screen, we continue to enhance the Roku Experience to improve content discovery for viewers, which is increasing engagement, ad reach, and subscriptions. In the U.S., The Roku Channel is now the #2 app o ...

Core Viewpoint - Roku's stock experienced significant volatility, reaching a 52-week high after strong financial results but subsequently losing over a third of its value since then [1][2]. Financial Performance Expectations - Roku is expected to report revenue of $1.005 billion for the first quarter, representing a 14% increase year-over-year, with a 16% increase in its ad-driven platform business [3]. - The adjusted EBITDA is projected to be $55 million, indicating a nearly 35% year-over-year increase, although it reflects a sequential decline from the previous holiday quarter [4]. - A net loss of $40 million is anticipated for the quarter, translating to approximately $0.27 per share, which is an improvement from the $50.9 million loss in the same quarter last year [5]. Analyst Sentiment - Analysts have recently reduced their price targets for Roku, with cuts of $36 and $25, but the new targets of $93 and $100 still suggest a potential upside of 34% to 44% [6]. - Despite concerns about an ad recession and tariff impacts, analysts maintain a bullish outlook on Roku's ability to meet its full-year bottom-line guidance [7]. Market Dynamics - The advertising market is expected to face challenges in a softening economy, but Roku is likely to gain market share as spending shifts from traditional TV to connected TV platforms [11]. - Roku started the quarter with 89.8 million streaming households, showing increased engagement and a rising average revenue per user (ARPU) for four consecutive quarters [12].

Core Viewpoint - Roku is positioned for significant revenue growth due to its international expansion and improved user monetization capabilities [1] Group 1: Company Overview - Roku has a strong potential for revenue growth driven by its international market expansion [1] - The company is enhancing its ability to monetize existing users, which is a positive indicator for future financial performance [1] Group 2: Analyst Background - The analyst has over 30 years of experience as a Merchant Seaman and 15 years of investing experience, with a focus on technology stocks due to an engineering background [1] - The insights shared are based on personal opinions and experiences, with no external compensation influencing the analysis [1]

Group 1 - Roku Inc is currently trading at $69.75, up 2.4%, ahead of its first-quarter earnings report [1] - The stock has shown a history of volatile post-earnings movements, averaging a 16.5% change after the last eight reports, with a current options market pricing in a 20.4% post-earnings swing [2] - Roku is experiencing an eight-day winning streak, reducing its year-to-date deficit to 6.3% after previously trading as low as $52.53 [3] Group 2 - There has been a notable increase in put options activity, with Roku's 10-day put/call volume ratio at 0.53, ranking higher than 85% of readings from the past year [5] - Despite the potential for significant price movements, Roku's Schaeffer's Volatility Scorecard indicates a low score of 6 out of 100, suggesting it is a prime candidate for premium selling [6]

Core Viewpoint - Roku is expected to report first-quarter 2025 results with total net revenues projected at $1.005 billion, reflecting a 14% year-over-year increase, driven by strong Platform revenue growth of 16% [1][8] Revenue Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for first-quarter revenues is set at $1 billion, indicating a year-over-year growth of 13.96% [2] - The consensus estimate for Devices revenues is $127 million, while Platform revenues are expected to reach $877 million [13] Earnings Expectations - Roku anticipates a total gross profit of $450 million and adjusted EBITDA of $55 million for the first quarter [1] - The consensus mark for loss is estimated at 20 cents per share, representing a year-over-year growth of 42.86% [2] Earnings Surprise History - In the last reported quarter, Roku achieved an earnings surprise of 45.45%, with an average surprise of 55.07% over the trailing four quarters [5] Factors Influencing Results - Platform growth remains robust, with management estimating a 16% year-over-year increase, supported by streaming services distribution and advertising activities [8] - However, Devices revenues and gross profit were impacted by increased seasonal discounting, leading to excess inventory and slight pressure on gross margins [7][10] Competitive Landscape - Roku faces intensified competition in the advertising space as major players like Netflix, Warner Bros. Discovery, and Disney expand their ad-supported streaming offerings [11] - The absence of political advertising compared to the previous quarter may have also tempered advertising momentum [8] International Expansion - Roku's international growth into markets such as Mexico, Canada, and the United Kingdom is expected to drive user growth, although immediate revenue impact is limited as the focus is on scaling [12] Valuation Metrics - Roku currently trades at a price-to-cash flow ratio of 43.86X, significantly higher than the industry average of 31.54X, indicating high growth expectations but an unattractive valuation for value investors [18] Investment Considerations - While Roku shows strong platform fundamentals and user engagement, caution is advised due to elevated inventory levels, margin pressures, and competitive challenges in the ad-supported streaming market [21][22]

One way to navigate current market volatility is to buy shares of promising companies on dips. Investing while stocks are down can lead to significant long-term returns since every bear market will eventually give way to a bull run that will be even longer, according to the historical record. But which stocks should investors buy in this environment?Let's consider two favorites of Cathie Wood, the founder and CEO of Ark Invest: Block (XYZ 1.01%) and Roku (ROKU 1.69%). The latter is the fifth-largest holding ...

Core Viewpoint - Roku has launched new streaming devices and software updates aimed at enhancing the user experience for over 90 million households, focusing on personalized content discovery and improved sports highlights [1][4]. Product Innovations - The company introduced compact streaming sticks, upgraded Roku TVs, and expanded into smart home technology with battery-powered cameras, aiming to increase user engagement and simplify streaming [2][4]. - Innovations are part of a broader strategy to enhance the Roku Experience and differentiate the brand in a competitive market [4]. Financial Performance - Roku achieved a significant milestone in Q4 2024, crossing $1 billion in platform revenues, a 25% increase year-over-year, and ended the year with 89.8 million global streaming households [5]. - User engagement metrics improved, with total streaming hours rising 18% year-over-year to 34.1 billion in Q4 and reaching 127.1 billion for 2024 [6]. Future Guidance - For 2025, Roku expects total net revenues of $4.61 billion, indicating a 12% year-over-year growth, with platform revenues anticipated to reach $3.95 billion [7]. - The company projects an adjusted EBITDA of $350 million for 2025, reflecting a 35% increase from 2024 [7]. Competitive Landscape - Roku faces intense competition in the advertising sector from companies like Netflix, Warner Bros. Discovery, and Disney, which have launched their own ad-supported streaming services [10][11]. - The competitive environment poses risks to Roku's business and growth prospects if it cannot enhance its platform capabilities [11]. Stock Performance and Valuation - Roku shares have declined 20.3% year-to-date, underperforming the Zacks Consumer Discretionary sector and the Broadcast Radio and Television industry [12]. - The company currently trades at a price-to-cash flow ratio of 41.78X, significantly higher than the industry average of 30.28X, indicating high growth expectations but an unattractive valuation for value investors [15][16]. Conclusion - Despite recent challenges, Roku's long-term outlook remains positive due to investments in product innovation and platform enhancements aimed at increasing user engagement [19]. - Elevated valuation levels and stock underperformance suggest a cautious approach for investors, with a recommendation to hold the stock for now [19][20].

Core Insights - The article emphasizes the importance of conducting personal in-depth research and due diligence before making investment decisions [3]. Group 1 - The analysis is intended for informational purposes and should not be considered professional investment advice [3]. - There is a clear statement that past performance does not guarantee future results, highlighting the inherent uncertainties in investment [4]. - The article expresses that the views or opinions may not reflect those of the platform as a whole, indicating a diversity of perspectives among analysts [4].

Core Viewpoint - The comparison between Fox (FOXA) and Roku (ROKU) indicates that FOXA currently presents a better value opportunity for investors based on earnings outlook and valuation metrics [1][3][7] Valuation Metrics - FOXA has a forward P/E ratio of 10.68, while ROKU's forward P/E is significantly higher at 11,834.01 [5] - The PEG ratio for FOXA is 0.99, indicating a more favorable growth expectation compared to ROKU's PEG ratio of 214.07 [5] - FOXA's P/B ratio stands at 1.85, compared to ROKU's P/B ratio of 3.46, suggesting FOXA is more undervalued relative to its book value [6] Zacks Rank and Value Grades - FOXA holds a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), while ROKU has a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold), indicating a stronger earnings outlook for FOXA [3][7] - Based on valuation metrics, FOXA has a Value grade of B, whereas ROKU has a Value grade of D, further supporting FOXA as the superior investment choice [6][7]