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Sweetgreen: 25%+ Annualized Potential Upside Through 2027
Seeking Alpha· 2025-04-06 22:04
Core Insights - The article discusses the investment potential of Sweetgreen (NYSE: SG) and indicates that the timing for such an analysis has been awaited for some time [1]. Group 1: Company Overview - Sweetgreen is positioned as a high-yield investment opportunity for individual investors, focusing on healthy food options [1][2]. - The company has garnered attention due to its unique market positioning and growth potential within the fast-casual dining sector [1]. Group 2: Investment Analysis - The analysis aims to simplify complex investment concepts and provide actionable advice to enhance investor returns [2]. - The article emphasizes the importance of expert research in making informed investment decisions, particularly in the context of Sweetgreen [2].
Why Sweetgreen Stock Was Wilting Today
The Motley Fool· 2025-04-03 21:18
Core Viewpoint - Sweetgreen's stock experienced a significant decline of 12% following President Trump's tariff announcement, amidst a broader market drop of 4.8% in the S&P 500 [1]. Group 1: Tariff Exposure - Sweetgreen primarily sources its ingredients domestically but does import some food products from Mexico and relies on components from China for its Infinite Kitchen systems [2]. - The potential impact of tariffs may be overshadowed by a decline in consumer spending, as falling consumer confidence could lead to a recession, adversely affecting restaurant stocks reliant on discretionary spending [3]. Group 2: Recovery Potential - Earlier in the year, Sweetgreen's stock had already fallen due to disappointing guidance, partly attributed to wildfires in Los Angeles. However, investments in the Infinite Kitchen, an automated system, may provide a competitive edge by reducing labor costs [4]. - Despite the challenges posed by tariffs and economic headwinds, Sweetgreen's long-term growth trajectory remains intact, as it leads the fast-casual salad market and has significant growth opportunities ahead [5].
Sweetgreen, Inc. (SG) Stock Dips While Market Gains: Key Facts
ZACKS· 2025-03-31 23:21
Company Performance - Sweetgreen, Inc. (SG) closed at $25.02, reflecting a -2% change from the previous day, underperforming the S&P 500 which gained 0.55% [1] - Over the past month, Sweetgreen's shares have increased by 12.17%, while the Retail-Wholesale sector and S&P 500 have decreased by 8.04% and 6.22% respectively [1] Earnings Projections - The upcoming EPS for Sweetgreen is projected at -$0.22, indicating a 4.35% increase compared to the same quarter last year [2] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenue is $164.57 million, up 4.26% from the previous year [2] - For the full year, earnings are projected at -$0.59 per share and revenue at $764.46 million, reflecting increases of +25.32% and +12.95% respectively from the prior year [3] Analyst Sentiment - Recent shifts in analyst projections for Sweetgreen should be monitored, as upward revisions indicate positive sentiment regarding the company's business operations [4] - The Zacks Rank system, which evaluates estimate changes, currently ranks Sweetgreen at 4 (Sell), with a 14.73% decrease in the consensus EPS estimate over the past month [6] Industry Context - Sweetgreen operates within the Retail - Restaurants industry, which has a Zacks Industry Rank of 184, placing it in the bottom 27% of over 250 industries [7] - The Zacks Industry Rank measures the strength of industry groups based on the average Zacks Rank of individual stocks, with top-rated industries outperforming the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1 [7]
Sweetgreen, Inc. (SG) Rises But Trails Market: What Investors Should Know
ZACKS· 2025-03-14 23:00
In the latest market close, Sweetgreen, Inc. (SG) reached $23.80, with a +0.68% movement compared to the previous day. The stock's performance was behind the S&P 500's daily gain of 2.13%. Meanwhile, the Dow gained 1.65%, and the Nasdaq, a tech-heavy index, added 2.61%.Heading into today, shares of the company had lost 12.96% over the past month, outpacing the Retail-Wholesale sector's loss of 13.31% and lagging the S&P 500's loss of 9.57% in that time.The upcoming earnings release of Sweetgreen, Inc. will ...
Why Sweetgreen Stock Plunged 31% Last Month
The Motley Fool· 2025-03-07 16:45
Shares of salad restaurant chain Sweetgreen (SG -2.42%) plunged 30.9% in February, according to data provided by S&P Global Market Intelligence. The company did report financial results for the fourth quarter of 2024 during the month, but that report didn't come until Feb. 26. Sweetgreen stock was already down by about 30% by then, meaning the report wasn't the problem per se.Perhaps some commentary from analysts can help explain what was going on with Sweetgreen stock in February. On Feb. 11, analysts at C ...
Sweetgreen Bets on Fries and Loyalty for Growth
The Motley Fool· 2025-03-06 11:00
Core Insights - Sweetgreen achieved its first full year of positive adjusted EBITDA in 2024, reporting $18.7 million, a $21.5 million improvement from the previous year [2][3] - The company is focusing on expanding its Infinite Kitchen technology, which has shown to deliver significant labor cost reductions and improved operational efficiency [4][5] - Sweetgreen plans to enhance its menu innovation and launch a revamped loyalty program to increase customer frequency and broaden its customer base [6][7] Financial Performance - Sweetgreen's adjusted EBITDA for 2024 was $18.7 million, marking a key milestone in the company's history [2][3] - The restaurant-level margin expanded by over 200 basis points year over year to 19.6%, indicating improved operational efficiency [3] - For 2025, the company expects revenue between $760 million and $780 million, with same-store sales growth of 1%-3% and adjusted EBITDA between $32 million and $38 million [8] Strategic Initiatives - The Infinite Kitchen technology is operational in 12 locations, with plans to install it in 20 of the 40 new restaurant locations planned for 2025 [5] - Sweetgreen is launching a new loyalty program, SG Rewards, in April 2025, offering customers 10 points for every eligible dollar spent [7] - The company aims to drive traffic through menu innovation and enhance the digital experience, focusing on strengthening brand engagement [9]
Sweetgreen: Disappointing Slide In Growth, Recovery Will Likely Take Time (Downgrade)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-02-28 00:39
Group 1 - Gary Alexander has extensive experience in covering technology companies on Wall Street and working in Silicon Valley, which provides insights into current industry themes [1] - He has been a contributor on Seeking Alpha since 2017 and has been quoted in various web publications, indicating his influence in the investment community [1] - His articles are syndicated to popular trading apps like Robinhood, suggesting a broad reach to retail investors [1]
Here's What Key Metrics Tell Us About Sweetgreen (SG) Q4 Earnings
ZACKS· 2025-02-27 16:31
For the quarter ended December 2024, Sweetgreen, Inc. (SG) reported revenue of $160.9 million, up 5.2% over the same period last year. EPS came in at -$0.25, compared to -$0.24 in the year-ago quarter.The reported revenue compares to the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $162.25 million, representing a surprise of -0.83%. The company delivered an EPS surprise of -19.05%, with the consensus EPS estimate being -$0.21.While investors closely watch year-over-year changes in headline numbers -- revenue and earnings -- ...
Sweetgreen(SG) - 2024 Q4 - Annual Report
2025-02-27 02:29
Financial Performance - Revenue for the fiscal year ended December 29, 2024, was $676.826 million, an increase of 16% compared to $584.041 million in 2023[478]. - Net loss for the fiscal year ended December 29, 2024, was $90.373 million, compared to a net loss of $113.384 million in 2023, representing a reduction of about 20%[478]. - The company reported a basic and diluted net loss per share of $0.79 for 2024, an improvement from $1.01 in 2023[478]. - Total revenue for the fiscal year ended December 29, 2024, was $676.8 million, an increase of 15.9% from $584.0 million in 2023[553]. - The company recognized $730,000 in revenue from gift card liability in 2024, up from $480,000 in 2023[554]. - The net loss for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2023, was $113.384 million, resulting in a basic and diluted loss per share of $1.01[612]. Cash and Liquidity - As of December 29, 2024, the company had $214.8 million in cash and cash equivalents, down from $257.2 million as of December 31, 2023[461]. - Cash provided by operating activities increased to $43,390 thousand in fiscal year 2024, compared to $26,480 thousand in fiscal year 2023[482]. - Cash and cash equivalents decreased to $214.789 million in 2024 from $257.230 million in 2023, a decline of approximately 16%[477]. - Total current assets decreased to $234.537 million in 2024 from $276.111 million in 2023, a decline of approximately 15%[477]. Expenses and Costs - The company incurred total restaurant operating costs of $543.877 million in 2024, up from $482.121 million in 2023, an increase of approximately 13%[478]. - General and administrative expenses were $149.942 million in 2024, slightly up from $146.762 million in 2023, reflecting a marginal increase of about 1%[478]. - Marketing expenses for the fiscal year ended December 29, 2024, were $16.9 million, an increase from $14.3 million in 2023[538]. - The company incurred restructuring charges of $2,300 thousand in fiscal year 2024, down from $7,400 thousand in fiscal year 2023[502]. Supply Chain and Operational Challenges - The company experienced supply chain disruptions for tomatoes and cucumbers in Q4 FY 2024 due to extreme weather conditions, leading to higher prices or temporary discontinuation of these products in certain markets[460]. - The company has been facing supply chain disruptions for bowls and plates since the beginning of 2023, resulting in the use of alternative packaging solutions[460]. - The company is exposed to commodity price risks, with potential adverse effects on results if ingredient prices increase and menu prices do not adjust accordingly[458]. Growth and Expansion - The company opened 25 net new restaurants in fiscal year 2024, bringing the total to 246 restaurants across 22 states and Washington, D.C.[483]. - The company’s future growth is highly dependent on its ability to open new restaurants, which is subject to unpredictable factors[33]. - The company’s long-term success relies on effectively identifying and securing appropriate sites for new restaurants[33]. Assets and Liabilities - Total liabilities increased to $410.613 million in 2024 from $373.960 million in 2023, an increase of approximately 10%[477]. - Operating lease liabilities, net of current portion, rose to $288.941 million in 2024 from $271.439 million in 2023, an increase of about 6%[477]. - Total stockholders' equity decreased to $446.145 million in 2024 from $482.597 million in 2023, a decline of about 8%[477]. - Total property and equipment increased from $452.95 million in 2023 to $535.90 million in 2024, with accumulated depreciation rising from $186.05 million to $239.41 million[561]. Tax and Deferred Assets - The company had a net operating loss carryforward of $794.8 million as of December 29, 2024, with $692.9 million eligible for indefinite carryforward[606]. - The total deferred tax assets, net of valuation allowance, amounted to $53.6 million as of December 29, 2024[604]. - The company recorded an income tax benefit of $(1.3) million for the fiscal year ended December 29, 2024[602]. Stock and Equity - The Company recognized stock-based compensation expense of $39.0 million for the fiscal year ended December 29, 2024, a decrease from $49.5 million in the previous year[601]. - The total intrinsic value of options exercised in fiscal year 2024 was $50.8 million, significantly higher than $7.5 million in 2023[586]. - The Company issued 535,789 restricted stock units (RSUs) during the fiscal year ended December 29, 2024, with a weighted average grant date fair value of $20.81[592]. - The Company had 13,169,869 stock options outstanding as of December 29, 2024, with a weighted average exercise price of $9.88[586]. Legal and Regulatory Matters - The Company is subject to various claims and lawsuits, but does not anticipate a material effect on its financial position from these matters[616]. - The Company has various operating leases with contingent rent obligations based on sales exceeding specified thresholds[614].
Sweetgreen(SG) - 2024 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-02-27 01:40
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total revenue for Q4 2024 was $160.9 million, up from $153 million in Q4 2023, representing a growth of approximately 4% [39] - Same-store sales for Q4 grew by 4%, driven by a 4% benefit from menu price increases and flat traffic and mix [39] - For the fiscal year 2024, same-store sales grew by 6%, with a 4% benefit from menu price increases and 2% from traffic and mix [40] - Adjusted EBITDA for the fiscal year was $18.7 million, a significant improvement from a loss of $2.8 million in 2023, marking the first full year of positive adjusted EBITDA in the company's history [45][46] - Net loss for Q4 was $29 million, compared to a loss of $27.4 million in the prior year, primarily due to increased impairment and pre-opening costs [44] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Restaurant level profit margin for Q4 was 17.4%, compared to 16.2% a year ago, marking the eighth consecutive quarter of year-over-year margin expansion [42] - Restaurant level profit for Q4 was $28 million, up 13% year-over-year [42] - The company opened 10 new restaurants in Q4, bringing the total to 246, with 12 of these being Infinite Kitchens [41][42] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company expanded into three new markets in 2024, achieving strong opening weeks in Seattle, Columbus, and Charlotte [12] - The 2024 class of new restaurants is on track to hit $2.8 million in year one sales, aligning with year two targets [13] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to revolutionize fast food through menu and technology innovation, strengthen guest connection, and strategically expand its footprint [10] - Plans for 2025 include opening at least 40 new restaurants, with half featuring Infinite Kitchens, and a focus on menu innovation and loyalty program enhancements [16][49] - The company is committed to leveraging its G&A while scaling its real estate footprint and investing in marketing [9][10] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged external challenges in early 2025, including weather disruptions and the impact of wildfires in Los Angeles, which affected guest traffic [47][48] - Despite these challenges, management remains confident in the fundamental strength of the business and anticipates sequential improvement throughout the year [70] - The company expects revenue for fiscal year 2025 to range from $760 million to $780 million, with same-store sales growth between 1% and 3% [49] Other Important Information - The company introduced new menu items in 2024, including grass-fed steak, and plans to launch Ripple Fries and a revamped loyalty program in 2025 [11][22] - The Infinite Kitchen locations have shown at least 7 percentage points in labor savings and improved cost of goods sold compared to traditional restaurants [14][123] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you speak specifically to what you're doing from a media and marketing perspective? - Management highlighted a shift towards more frequent menu launches and increased marketing support, particularly in Q2 and beyond, to drive customer engagement [56][60] Question: Can you provide more texture around how 2025 is going to unfold? - Management noted that external factors have created a headwind, but they expect sales to build throughout the year, with improvements anticipated in Q2, Q3, and Q4 [70] Question: What are the learnings from the Infinite Kitchen performance? - Management reported strong performance from Infinite Kitchens, with significant labor savings and high customer satisfaction, and plans to deploy more in 2025 [123] Question: How sustainable is the current food cost structure? - Management expressed confidence in maintaining and improving restaurant level margins, with opportunities in labor productivity and cost of goods as the company scales [106][108] Question: What are the plans for menu innovation and simplification? - Management confirmed ongoing efforts to simplify operations while introducing new menu items, ensuring that the restaurants can handle the innovation [116]