消息称壳牌正就收购英国石油进行初步谈判 金十数据6月25日讯，知情人士称，壳牌正在就收购竞争对手英国石油进行早期谈判，这将是近几十年 来最大的一笔石油交易。公司代表之间的谈判正在积极进行，英国石油正在仔细考虑这一做法。收购将 使壳牌在挑战埃克森美孚和雪佛龙等规模更大的竞争对手方面拥有更坚实的基础。英国石油目前的估值 约为800亿美元，考虑到溢价，这笔交易最终可能成为自本世纪初埃克森美孚830亿美元巨额合并以来最 大的石油企业交易，也将轻松成为今年迄今为止最大的并购交易。壳牌在谈判中处于有利地位，其股价 近年来大幅超过英国石油，市值超过2000亿美元。 ...

Key Takeaways Shell-led LNG Canada begins production, marking a milestone for Canada's export capabilities. The facility offers faster Pacific shipping to Asia, targeting 14M tons of annual LNG exports. Canada eyes reduced U.S. export reliance as more LNG projects near completion through 2028.LNG Canada, a joint venture project, led by Shell plc (SHEL) has officially entered the global LNG export market with its facility in Kitimat, British Columbia, producing the first batch of liquefied natural gas (“LN ...

Investment Rating - The report provides a "Neutral" rating for BP and Eni, while it assigns a "Buy" rating to Chevron, ExxonMobil, Shell, TotalEnergies, GALP, OMV, and Cenovus Energy, indicating a positive outlook for these companies [10]. Core Insights - The report highlights that the global oil and gas sector is expected to experience a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 6.5% from 2024 to 2027, driven by increasing demand and recovering prices [10]. - The Brent front month price is projected to stabilize around $65.99 per barrel in 2025, while WTI is expected to be at $62.13 per barrel, reflecting a recovery from previous lows [7]. - Refining margins are anticipated to fluctuate, with European composite margins expected to average around $5.00 per barrel in 2025, indicating a challenging environment for refiners [7]. Summary by Sections Company Ratings and Projections - BP: Current price at 393.0, target price 400, with a 2% upside and a Neutral rating [10] - Chevron: Current price at 148.19, target price 177, with a 19% upside and a Buy rating [10] - ExxonMobil: Current price at 113.19, target price 130, with a 15% upside and a Buy rating [10] - Shell: Current price at 2,698, target price 2,900, with a 7% upside and a Buy rating [10] - TotalEnergies: Current price at 54.90, target price 60.0, with a 9% upside and a Buy rating [10] - Eni: Current price at 14.26, target price 13.0, with a -9% downside and a Neutral rating [10] - Cenovus Energy: Current price at 14.64, target price 25, with a 71% upside and a Buy rating [10] Market Assumptions - The report outlines macro assumptions for commodity prices, with Brent and WTI prices expected to stabilize in 2025 [7]. - The report also discusses refining margins, indicating a challenging environment for refiners with European margins projected at $5.00 per barrel [7]. Performance Metrics - The report includes performance metrics such as EV/DACF, FCF yield, and P/E ratios for major oil companies, providing a comprehensive view of their financial health and market positioning [10].

Investment Commitment - Shell plc has pledged an investment of RM9 billion ($2.12 billion) in Malaysia over the next two to three years, enhancing its operations and creating high-skilled employment opportunities [1][7] - This investment is one of the most substantial foreign investment commitments in recent times, reflecting Malaysia's ability to attract multinational corporations in the Oils-Energy sector [2][8] Strategic Importance - The funding commitment reinforces Shell's long-standing relationship with Malaysia and indicates a deeper strategic alignment in its regional growth plans [3] - The investment is seen as an endorsement of Malaysia's macroeconomic stability and governance structure, boosting the country's appeal to other foreign investors [7][8] Economic and Employment Impact - The investment is expected to create high-skilled job opportunities, aligning with Malaysia's objectives to transition towards a more technologically advanced, skills-based economy [4] - Although specific project details are not disclosed, the initiative is positioned as a long-term driver of workforce development [4][9] Global Context and Risks - Shell is managing broader geopolitical risks that could impact global energy markets, particularly in light of tensions in the Middle East affecting shipping operations [5][6] - The company is closely monitoring developments and has contingency plans in place, highlighting the potential impact on global trade if critical shipping lanes are disrupted [6] Conclusion on Investment Landscape - Shell's RM9 billion investment marks a significant development in Malaysia's economic growth story and serves as a powerful indicator of international confidence in the country's leadership and economic policy [9]

Group 1 - Shell's CEO Wael Sawan warned that a potential blockade of the Strait of Hormuz could have significant impacts on global trade, emphasizing the importance of this route for oil supply [1] - The company has developed contingency plans to address potential disruptions in oil supply from the Middle East due to escalating conflicts between Israel and Iran [1] - Approximately 20% of global oil trade passes through the Strait of Hormuz, and any incident affecting this area could lead to increased oil prices [1] Group 2 - Recent reports indicated that two oil tankers collided and caught fire near the Strait of Hormuz, potentially due to electronic interference related to the ongoing Israel-Iran conflict [2] - Wael Sawan noted that signal interference is currently a significant challenge, and Shell is operating with extreme caution in its shipping operations in the Middle East [2]

Group 1 - The outbreak of conflict in Israel has made a significant portion of global oil trade, particularly through the Strait of Hormuz, increasingly dangerous, leading to a dramatic rise in charter rates for large oil tankers [1] - The daily rental rate for a Very Large Crude Carrier (VLCC) on the route from Gulf countries to China surged from $19,998 on June 11 to $47,609 on June 18, marking an increase of 138% [1] - The rental rate for Large Range 2 (LR2) tankers also increased from $21,097 to $51,879 during the same period, significantly outpacing the 12% rise in the global crude tanker freight index [1] Group 2 - Market sentiment is influenced by concerns over Iran's ability to maintain crude oil exports amid the conflict, although there are currently no signs that Israeli attacks have impacted Iran's oil export capacity [2] - Shipping companies are becoming more cautious in the region due to signal interference issues affecting navigation, which could have substantial implications for global trade if the Strait of Hormuz is blocked [2] - A recent incident involving the Front Eagle tanker colliding with a "shadow fleet" vessel after leaving the Strait of Hormuz underscores the heightened navigation risks in the area [2]

Core Insights - The current oil market remains balanced according to Shell's CEO [1] - GPS interference in the Strait of Hormuz poses challenges, leading Shell to exercise caution in shipping operations in the region [1] Company Summary - Shell is maintaining a cautious approach to shipping in the Strait of Hormuz due to GPS interference challenges [1] Industry Summary - The oil market is currently in a state of balance, indicating stable supply and demand dynamics [1]

Group 1: Company Overview - Shell is an oil and gas supermajor with operations across the entire energy supply chain [1] - The company has made strategic moves to focus solely on being UK-headquartered and is shifting towards cleaner energy [1] Group 2: Investment Focus - The analysis emphasizes a focus on undervalued and disliked companies or industries with strong fundamentals and good cash flows [2] - Energy Transfer is highlighted as a company that was previously overlooked but has potential for substantial returns [2] - The investment strategy leans towards long-term value investing while also considering deal arbitrage opportunities [2]

Group 1 - Shell (NYSE: SHEL) is on track to reach a new all-time high, driven by significant buybacks despite market uncertainties related to Trump's tariffs and the Israel-Iran conflict [1] - The company has a history of extensive research, covering over 1000 companies across various sectors including commodities and technology, indicating a strong analytical background [1] Group 2 - The focus on value investing has shifted towards a YouTube channel, where the company has researched hundreds of different companies, particularly favoring metals and mining stocks [1]

Core Insights - The article highlights the author's extensive experience in investment banking, particularly in equity analysis across various sectors, emphasizing the importance of understanding the underlying stories behind financial statements [1]. Group 1: Background and Experience - The author has over six years of experience in the investment world, starting as an equity analyst at European banks [1]. - The author has worked across multiple sectors, including telecom and industry, indicating a broad understanding of different market dynamics [1]. - The educational background includes a bachelor's degree in Antwerp, a master's at KU Leuven, and an MBA in Finance from Vlerick, showcasing a strong academic foundation in finance [1]. Group 2: Current Focus and Passion - The author is currently building an investment project focused on the CIS region, indicating a strategic interest in emerging markets [1]. - There is a passion for applying Western analytical tools to uncover hidden value in these markets, suggesting a methodology that combines theory with practical application [1].