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Buy 5 Stocks That Have Survived April's Tariff-Led Market Mayhem
ZACKS· 2025-04-29 13:15
Core Viewpoint - Wall Street experienced significant volatility in April due to President Trump's tariffs and trade policies, with major stock indexes mostly in negative territory for the month [1][2] Group 1: Stock Performance and Recommendations - A number of corporate giants with market capitalizations over $50 billion have managed to provide positive returns of over 5% month to date despite the turmoil [2] - Five recommended stocks with favorable Zacks Rank include Netflix Inc. (NFLX), Newmont Corp. (NEM), Philip Morris International Inc. (PM), Agnico Eagle Mines Ltd. (AEM), and Spotify Technology S.A. (SPOT) [3] Group 2: Netflix Inc. (NFLX) - Netflix exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings in Q1 2025, maintaining healthy engagement levels despite trade-related challenges [7] - The launch of Netflix's Ad Suite in the U.S. is expected to drive subscriber and average revenue per user (ARPU) growth, with plans for international expansion in Q2 [8] - NFLX's expected revenue and earnings growth rates for the current year are 14% and 27.7%, respectively, with a 1.8% improvement in earnings estimates over the last week [11] Group 3: Newmont Corp. (NEM) - Newmont is advancing its growth projects, including the Ahafo North project, with commercial production expected to start in the second half of 2025 [12][13] - NEM's expected revenue and earnings growth rates for the current year are 0.9% and 16.4%, respectively, with a 2% improvement in earnings estimates over the last week [14] Group 4: Philip Morris International Inc. (PM) - Philip Morris is transitioning to smoke-free products, with strong pricing power and a projected 12-14% growth in smoke-free product sales [15][16] - PM's expected revenue and earnings growth rates for the current year are 7.3% and 13.2%, respectively, with a 2.9% improvement in earnings estimates over the last week [17] Group 5: Agnico Eagle Mines Ltd. (AEM) - Agnico Eagle is focused on production growth through projects like the Kittila expansion and acquisitions, enhancing its market position [18][19] - AEM's expected revenue and earnings growth rates for the current year are 18.9% and 33.3%, respectively, with a 5.8% improvement in earnings estimates over the last week [20] Group 6: Spotify Technology S.A. (SPOT) - Spotify operates through Premium and Ad-Supported segments, with total Monthly Active Users (MAUs) reaching 675 million, surpassing estimates [21][23] - SPOT's expected revenue and earnings growth rates for the current year are 14.8% and 75.8%, respectively, with a 1.6% improvement in earnings estimates over the last week [24]
Spotify Stock Set to Extend Pullback on Mixed Q1 Results
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2025-04-29 13:02
Core Insights - Spotify reported first-quarter operating income of 509 million euros, missing analyst estimates of 519.9 million euros, while revenue matched expectations at 4.2 billion euros [1] - Monthly active users (MAUs) grew to 678 million, consistent with the company's prior guidance [1] - The company issued a disappointing operating income forecast for the current quarter [1] Stock Performance - Spotify stock is down 4.8% to $568.90 before the market opens, following a 3.7% dip that ended a four-day winning streak [2] - The stock has increased by 106.4% year over year and 33.6% year to date [2] - The stock's recent rally lost momentum around the $625 level, which also capped a breakout attempt towards its all-time high of $652.18 [2] Options Market Sentiment - A shift in sentiment among options traders, who were more bullish than usual before earnings, may add pressure on the stock [3] - The 10-day call/put volume ratio for Spotify is 1.58, ranking higher than 97% of all readings from the past year [3] Analyst Outlook - The disappointing results may lead analysts to reassess their positive outlooks on Spotify [4] - Currently, 21 of 30 covering brokerages rate Spotify stock as a "buy" or better, with an average 12-month target price of $637.52, representing a 6.6% premium to its latest close [4]
Spotify (SPOT) Q1 Earnings and Revenues Lag Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-04-29 13:01
分组1 - Spotify reported quarterly earnings of $1.13 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.29 per share, representing an earnings surprise of -50.66% [1] - The company posted revenues of $4.41 billion for the quarter ended March 2025, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 4.08%, compared to year-ago revenues of $3.95 billion [2] - Over the last four quarters, Spotify has surpassed consensus EPS estimates just once and topped consensus revenue estimates two times [2] 分组2 - Spotify shares have increased approximately 33.6% since the beginning of the year, while the S&P 500 has declined by -6% [3] - The current consensus EPS estimate for the coming quarter is $2.46 on revenues of $4.74 billion, and for the current fiscal year, it is $10.61 on revenues of $19.65 billion [7] - The estimate revisions trend for Spotify is currently favorable, resulting in a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy) for the stock, indicating expected outperformance in the near future [6] 分组3 - The Zacks Industry Rank for Internet - Software is currently in the bottom 43% of over 250 Zacks industries, suggesting that the industry outlook can materially impact stock performance [8] - Empirical research indicates a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions, which can be tracked by investors [5]
Spotify(SPOT.US)迎来阵痛期?Q1利润不及预期,但订阅用户强劲增长
智通财经网· 2025-04-29 12:08
Group 1 - Spotify reported Q1 revenue of €4.2 billion ($4.8 billion), a 15% year-over-year increase, meeting guidance and analyst expectations [1] - Operating profit was €509 million, below the expected €548 million, impacted by over €76 million in social costs related to employee wages and benefits [1] - Subscription users grew by 12% to 268 million, exceeding analyst expectations of 265.2 million, with Q2 user forecast at 273 million [1] Group 2 - CEO Daniel Ek expressed confidence in the long-term outlook despite short-term challenges, stating the company's direction is clearer than ever [1] - Monthly active users increased by 10% to 678 million, slightly below analyst expectations of 679 million, with Q2 forecast at 689 million [1] - Analysts noted that despite uncertainties, competitive advantages are strengthening, with positive long-term prospects driven by potential price increases and new features [2] Group 3 - Spotify is expanding into audiobooks and podcasts, recently entering the video content space to compete with YouTube [2] - The company has launched a new partnership program compensating creators based on content consumption rather than advertising, paying $100 million to podcast publishers and creators since the start of the year [2] - The music industry is experiencing a slowdown, prompting record labels to seek new revenue streams from artists, while Spotify is developing a higher-priced "Music Pro" package [3] Group 4 - Following the earnings report, Spotify's stock initially dropped over 8% in pre-market trading but later narrowed the decline to 5% [3] - As of March 31, the company's stock had risen 22% year-to-date, with a more than 100% increase over the past 12 months [3]
Spotify第一季度收入为41.9亿欧元,市场预估为42.1亿欧元。第一季度毛利率为31.6%,市场预估为31.5%。第一季度月活跃用户为678百万,市场预估为679.04百万。第一季度总付费订阅用户为2.68亿,市场预估为2.6522亿。第一季度每股收益为1.07欧元。预计第二季度月活跃用户689百万,市场预估694.38百万。预计第二季度营业收入为539百万欧元,市场预估为553.2百万欧元。预计第二季度总付费订阅用户为2.73亿,市场预估为2.7141亿。Spotify盘前跌超6%。
news flash· 2025-04-29 10:15
Group 1 - Spotify's Q1 revenue was €4.19 billion, slightly below market expectations of €4.21 billion [1] - The Q1 gross margin was 31.6%, exceeding market expectations of 31.5% [1] - The number of monthly active users in Q1 reached 678 million, slightly below the market estimate of 679.04 million [1] - Total paid subscribers in Q1 were 268 million, surpassing market expectations of 265.22 million [1] Group 2 - Q1 earnings per share were €1.07 [2] - For Q2, the expected monthly active users are 689 million, below the market estimate of 694.38 million [2] - Projected Q2 revenue is €539 million, lower than the market expectation of €553.2 million [2] - Expected total paid subscribers for Q2 are 273 million, slightly above the market estimate of 271.41 million [2] Group 3 - Spotify's stock dropped over 6% in pre-market trading [3]
Spotify paid over $100 million to podcasts in the first quarter, including Joe Rogan, Alex Cooper and Theo Von
CNBC· 2025-04-28 17:25
Group 1 - Spotify paid over $100 million to podcast publishers and podcasters worldwide in Q1 2025 [1] - The payment includes all creators on the platform across various formats and agreements [1] - Notable podcasters benefiting from this include Joe Rogan, Alex Cooper, and Theo Von, who were among the top podcasts on Spotify globally in 2024 [1] Group 2 - Joe Rogan's exclusivity deal with Spotify has ended, but he signed a new deal last year worth up to $250 million, which includes revenue sharing and the ability to post on YouTube [2] - Alex Cooper signed a deal with SiriusXM in August, marking a shift from her previous exclusivity with Spotify [2]
据英国金融时报:知情人士透露,今年夏天,Spotify将在全球数十个国家提高订阅价格。
news flash· 2025-04-25 18:18
据英国金融时报:知情人士透露,今年夏天,Spotify将在全球数十个国家提高订阅价格。 ...
北欧流媒体音乐公司Spotify将在美国之外的市场对订阅服务涨价。计划实施幅度等同于1欧元的涨价。本轮涨价政策适用于欧洲和拉美市场。(英国金融时报)
news flash· 2025-04-25 18:03
Group 1 - Spotify, a Nordic streaming music company, plans to increase subscription prices in markets outside the United States [1] - The price increase will be equivalent to an increase of 1 euro [1] - This pricing policy will apply to the European and Latin American markets [1]
Should You Buy Spotify Stock Ahead of Q1 Earnings Report?
ZACKS· 2025-04-25 18:00
Core Viewpoint - Spotify Technology S.A. is expected to report strong earnings growth in Q1 2025, with earnings per share estimated at $2.32, reflecting a 121% year-over-year increase, and revenues projected at $4.5 billion, indicating a 13.3% growth compared to the previous year [1]. Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Q1 earnings has seen two upward revisions and one downward revision in the past 30 days, with a 1.3% increase in the 2024 earnings estimate during the same period [2]. - The current earnings estimates for Q1, Q2, E1, and F2 are $2.32, $2.44, $10.55, and $13.56 respectively, showing a positive trend in revisions over the last 60 days [3]. Earnings Surprise History - Spotify has a notable earnings surprise history, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate in two of the last four quarters, with an average positive surprise of 22% [4]. Earnings Prediction Model - The current Earnings ESP for Spotify is -8.61%, and it holds a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold), indicating that the model does not predict a definitive earnings beat this time [5][6]. Subscriber Growth - The growth in subscribers and monthly active users (MAU) is expected to positively impact both revenue and earnings, with total MAUs estimated at 678.3 million (10.3% year-over-year growth), ad-supported MAUs at 426.4 million (10% growth), and premium subscribers at 265.41 million (11% growth) [8]. Stock Performance - Spotify's stock has experienced significant price increases, rallying 35% year-to-date, 58% over the past six months, and 109% in the past year, indicating a strong upward trend [9]. Investment Considerations - The company's strong performance metrics are attributed to price hikes, a loyal consumer base, and cost reductions, which have contributed to growth in both top and bottom lines [10]. - The expectation is for another robust quarterly performance driven by subscriber gains and increases in average revenue per user (ARPU), which will enhance the company's financial position [11]. Long-term Outlook - While current growth prospects for Spotify appear strong, there may be a potential correction in the stock price, suggesting that investors might consider waiting for a more opportune moment to invest [12]. - The long-term growth potential of the company remains strong, making it a stock to monitor for future investment opportunities [14].