Skyworks(SWKS)

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Skyworks (SWKS) Up 7.5% Since Last Earnings Report: Can It Continue?
ZACKS· 2024-12-12 17:36
Core Viewpoint - Skyworks Solutions reported mixed financial results for Q4 fiscal 2024, with earnings beating estimates but revenues declining year-over-year, raising questions about future performance leading up to the next earnings release [2][3][14]. Financial Performance - Non-GAAP earnings per share for Q4 fiscal 2024 were $1.55, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1.97% but down 29.5% year-over-year [2]. - Revenues totaled $1.02 billion, a decrease of 15.9% year-over-year, yet slightly above the consensus mark by 0.31% [3]. - Mobile revenues accounted for nearly 65% of total revenues, showing a sequential increase of 21% due to normalization of customer orders and inventory levels [3]. Market and Product Developments - Skyworks gained design wins in 5G for premium Android smartphones and expanded its Wi-Fi 7 pipeline with major partners, indicating strong product momentum [4]. - Broad markets contributed approximately 35% to total revenues, with signs of stabilization in demand for edge IoT and automotive electrification [5]. Operating Metrics - Non-GAAP gross margin contracted by 70 basis points year-over-year to 46.5% [6]. - Research and development expenses increased by 390 basis points year-over-year to 16% of revenues [7]. - Selling, general and administrative expenses rose by 120 basis points to 7.2% [8]. - Non-GAAP operating margin decreased by 600 basis points year-over-year to 26.7% [9]. Balance Sheet and Cash Flow - As of September 27, 2024, cash and cash equivalents were $1.57 billion, up from $1.28 billion as of June 28, 2024 [10]. - Long-term debt remained stable at $994.3 million [11]. - Cash generated by operating activities was $476 million, compared to $273.5 million in the prior quarter [11]. - Free cash flow was reported at $393.2 million, with a free cash flow margin of 38.4% [12]. - The company paid dividends totaling $112 million in the reported quarter [13]. Guidance and Market Sentiment - For Q1 fiscal 2025, Skyworks expects revenues between $1.05 billion and $1.08 billion, indicating a sequential increase at the mid-point [14]. - The consensus estimate for earnings per share has shifted downward by 7.19% in the past month [15][16]. - Skyworks currently holds a Zacks Rank 4 (Sell), reflecting a negative outlook based on estimate revisions [18]. Industry Context - Skyworks is part of the Zacks Semiconductors - Radio Frequency industry, which has seen mixed performance; for instance, Qorvo reported a year-over-year revenue decline of 5.2% [19].
SWKS Plunges 23% YTD: How Should Investors Play the Stock?
ZACKS· 2024-11-29 17:06
Core Viewpoint - Skyworks Solutions (SWKS) has underperformed compared to the broader Computer & Technology sector and competitor Broadcom (AVGO) in the year-to-date period, with shares declining by 22.7% while Broadcom's shares increased by 43.1% [1][2] Group 1: Performance and Market Challenges - Skyworks' underperformance is attributed to challenges in broad markets and data centers, including high inventory levels and sluggishness in wireless infrastructure and traditional data center markets [2] - The company faces stiff competition from rivals like Qorvo (QRVO), which adds pressure to its market position [2][7] Group 2: Portfolio Strength and Opportunities - Despite challenges, Skyworks benefits from a diversified portfolio with design wins in infrastructure, automotive, and emerging IoT sectors [2][3] - The company has secured 5G content for premium Android smartphones and expanded its Wi-Fi 7 design win pipeline, indicating progress in key markets [4] - New AI features in smartphones are expected to drive a multiyear upgrade cycle, increasing Radio Frequency complexity and positioning Skyworks favorably in the market [5] Group 3: Financial Outlook - For Q1 fiscal 2025, Skyworks expects revenues between $1.05 billion and $1.08 billion, reflecting a 4% sequential increase at the mid-point, but an 11.34% year-over-year decline is anticipated [8] - The consensus estimate for earnings is $1.57 per share, indicating a 20.3% year-over-year decline [8] Group 4: Valuation and Investment Sentiment - Skyworks shares are considered cheap with a Value Score of B, but the sluggish outlook makes it a risky investment for growth-oriented investors, reflected in a Growth Score of D [10][11] - The forward 12-month Price/Sales ratio for SWKS is 3.68, lower than the sector's 6.12, suggesting potential undervaluation [11]
Skyworks(SWKS) - 2024 Q4 - Annual Report
2024-11-15 21:37
5G and IoT Growth - Skyworks Solutions reported a global mobile data for 5G estimated to triple in the next three years, driven by new users and AI convergence, with 39 billion IoT connections expected by 2029[19] - Skyworks is focused on enabling 5G and IoT connectivity, with solutions supporting cellular, Wi-Fi 7, Bluetooth, and GPS technologies[20] - Global mobile data for 5G is estimated to triple in the next three years, driven by new users, innovative services, and the convergence of AI and 5G technology[19] - By 2029, approximately 39 billion connections will be related to IoT, including connected cars, machines, meters, sensors, and consumer electronics[19] High-Growth Markets and Diversification - The company is targeting high-growth verticals, including electric vehicles, 5G infrastructure, and smart home applications, leveraging its investments in next-generation technologies[14] - The company is diversifying into markets beyond mobile devices, including automotive, data centers, and industrial automation, serving 6,000 customers with 6,000 unique products[27] - The company serves approximately 6,000 customers with 6,000 unique products, expanding into automotive, home automation, data centers, and other high-performance analog markets[27] - Strategic investments in next-generation technologies and fabrication capabilities have enabled the company to expand into high-growth markets like electric vehicles, industrial control, and data centers[14] Customer and Revenue Concentration - Skyworks' customer base includes major companies like Apple, Amazon, Tesla, and Samsung, with competitors such as Qualcomm and Broadcom[15] - Apple constituted more than ten percent of the company's net revenue in fiscal 2024, fiscal 2023, and fiscal 2022[38] - The company's three largest accounts receivable balances comprised 80% and 83% of aggregate gross accounts receivable as of September 27, 2024, and September 29, 2023, respectively[38] - The company relies on a small number of customers, with one customer accounting for over 10% of net revenue in fiscal 2024, 2023, and 2022[60] - The company's revenue is highly concentrated, with a small number of OEMs accounting for a significant portion of net revenue, particularly Apple[38] Product Portfolio and Innovation - Skyworks' product portfolio includes advanced TC-SAW and BAW filters, MIMO modules, and digital power isolators, supported by approximately 5,000 patents[25] - The company maintains a broad product portfolio, including amplifiers, antenna tuners, automotive tuners, wireless ASoC, and DC/DC converters[32] - The company's product portfolio includes amplifiers, antenna tuners, automotive tuners, wireless ASoC, and over 30 other categories of wireless communication products[32][33] - The company owns approximately 5,000 worldwide patents and other intellectual property, reinforcing its product portfolio[25] - Research and development investment was $631.7 million in fiscal 2024, $606.8 million in fiscal 2023, and $617.9 million in fiscal 2022, reflecting continuous efforts in product and technology advancements[41] Manufacturing and Supply Chain - The company operates globally with engineering, manufacturing, and sales facilities across Asia, Europe, and North America[16] - The company's strategy includes delivering operational excellence through advanced supply chain management and hybrid manufacturing models[28] - The company operates wafer processing facilities in Osaka, Japan, and packaging, assembly, and test facilities in Singapore and Mexicali, Mexico[53] - The company's manufacturing processes are highly complex and subject to disruption, with minor errors potentially causing substantial product rejection or malfunction[62] - The Singapore Filter Manufacturing Facility's sublease expires in July 2025, with potential relocation complexities and risks of production interruptions or delays[62][63] - Manufacturing yield improvements are critical for gross margin and profitability, with initial yields for new products typically lower and increasing over time[64] - The company relies on third-party foundries for silicon-based products, facing risks such as wafer shortages, higher prices, and limited control over delivery schedules and yields[65] - Long-term capacity reservation agreements with third-party foundries may adversely affect operating results if future supply needs fall below minimum purchase expectations[66] - The company depends on a limited number of sole-source suppliers for raw materials, with potential risks of supply disruptions and higher costs[67] Financial and Operational Risks - The company's sales are subject to seasonal fluctuations, with the highest demand occurring in the first and fourth fiscal quarters[48] - The company's backlog may not be a reliable indicator of future revenue due to industry practices allowing customers to cancel orders with limited notice[43] - The company is subject to international, federal, state, and local regulations related to environmental compliance, worker health, and safety[45] - The company faces risks related to global, regional, and local economic and political conditions, including supply chain instability and armed conflicts[53] - The company is subject to risks in emerging markets where legal systems may be less developed, potentially impacting recourse in disputes[54] - Changes in U.S. tax law, including the Inflation Reduction Act, could increase the company's tax liability and reduce near-term cash flows[55] - The company operates under a tax holiday in Singapore, which decreased taxes by a cumulative $329.8 million from fiscal 2021 to 2024[55] - Demand from Chinese customers may be adversely affected by China's evolving laws and regulations, including taxation and import/export restrictions[56] - The company faces risks related to order cancellations, inventory write-downs, and rapid demand changes, which could impact financial condition[71] - The use of AI tools may expose the company to competitive, legal, regulatory, and intellectual property risks, with potential adverse impacts on operations[73] Competition and Market Dynamics - The semiconductor industry is highly cyclical, with potential for rapid declines in demand, manufacturing overcapacity, and excess inventory levels[78] - The company faces intense competition in wireless communications and analog markets, leading to pricing pressures and potential loss of market share[79] - Key competitive factors include rapid time-to-market, product innovation, and the ability to capture design wins in growth markets like 5G[79] - The company's ability to remain competitive depends on constant innovation, timely product development, and cost-effective manufacturing[81] - Transitioning to smaller geometry process technologies has resulted in manufacturing challenges, including sub-optimal yields and increased expenses[81] - The wireless communications semiconductor industry faces intense competition, leading to potential pricing pressures, decreased gross margins, and rapid loss of market share[79] - Competitors benefit from long market presence, brand recognition, vertical integration, and strong financial resources, which may allow them to adapt more quickly to emerging technologies like AI[79] Cybersecurity and Intellectual Property - Cybersecurity risks, including data breaches and ransomware attacks, could harm reputation, financial results, and supplier relationships[84] - Intellectual property protection challenges may result in loss of market share and price erosion[85] - Dependence on third-party technology licenses may lead to unmarketable products or increased costs if terms become unfavorable[87] - Potential product defects and warranty claims could result in liability, reputational damage, and increased development costs[88] - Geopolitical tensions, such as conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East, may heighten cybersecurity risks[84] - Open-source software in products may introduce cybersecurity vulnerabilities or compliance challenges[84] - The company relies on patents, copyrights, trademarks, and trade secrets to protect its intellectual property, but litigation or disputes could divert significant resources and management attention[85] - The company may face claims of infringement of third-party intellectual property rights, which could result in costly litigation, damages, or the need to develop alternative technologies[89] Financial Structure and Debt - The company issued $500 million of 1.80% Senior Notes due 2026 and $500 million of 3.00% Senior Notes due 2031 to finance the acquisition of Silicon Labs' Infrastructure and Automotive business[76] - The company entered into a $750 million revolving credit facility to support general corporate purposes and working capital needs[76] - The company's indebtedness could reduce flexibility to respond to changing business conditions and increase interest payments due to variable rates[76] - The company's credit ratings and interest rate fluctuations affect the cost and availability of future borrowings[76] - The company's agreements governing indebtedness contain restrictive covenants that may limit operational flexibility[76] - The company incurred $1 billion in debt through the issuance of Senior Notes to finance the acquisition of Silicon Labs' Infrastructure and Automotive business in 2021[76] - The company's Revolving Credit Facility of $750 million is subject to variable interest rates, and interest rate increases have led to higher interest payments[76] Environmental and Regulatory Compliance - Increasing environmental regulations and customer expectations may lead to higher operational costs and require product redesigns[82] - Compliance with EU RoHS Directive and conflict mineral regulations may increase costs and limit material sourcing options[82] - Climate change regulations may require changes to manufacturing processes, increasing expenses and affecting operating results[82] - The company is subject to international, federal, state, and local regulations, including environmental laws and worker health and safety laws, which could impact capital expenditures and financial condition[45] Workforce and Talent Management - The company's workforce consists of approximately 10,100 employees, with 54% located in Mexico, 25% in the United States, and 19% in Asia[49] - Approximately 3,400 employees in Mexico, 570 in Singapore, and 440 in Japan are covered by collective bargaining and union agreements[49] - Attracting and retaining qualified personnel, especially in engineering, is critical due to intense competition in the semiconductor industry[68] - The departure of senior management could harm the company's ability to implement its business strategy and maintain customer relationships[69] Market Volatility and Investor Relations - The company's stock price is subject to significant volatility due to factors such as economic conditions, market perceptions, and global health events[90] - Public stock market volatility, particularly in technology sectors, could negatively impact the company's stock price and trading volume[91] - The company may adjust or cease cash dividends and stock repurchases based on capital requirements, earnings, and acquisition activities[92] - Anti-takeover provisions in the company's organizational documents and Delaware law could make it difficult for an unsolicited acquisition to occur[93] - Future cash dividends and stock repurchases may be affected by capital requirements, earnings, and changes in tax or corporate laws[92]
Skyworks Solutions Q4: I Can See Light At The End Of The Tunnel, But It's Still Far
Seeking Alpha· 2024-11-13 18:37
Core Insights - Skyworks Solutions, Inc. (NASDAQ: SWKS) has reported its fiscal Q4 and full-year results, prompting an analysis of the numbers and future outlook for the next year [1]. Financial Performance - The company has released its fiscal Q4 results, which are critical for assessing its performance and future potential [1]. Investment Perspective - The analysis suggests a long-term investment horizon, typically between 5 to 10 years, focusing on a balanced portfolio that includes growth, value, and dividend-paying stocks, with a tendency to prioritize value investments [1].
Skyworks Beats Q4 Estimates: Will 1Q25 Outlook Drag Shares Down?
ZACKS· 2024-11-13 18:26
Core Insights - Skyworks Solutions (SWKS) reported non-GAAP earnings of $1.55 per share for Q4 fiscal 2024, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1.97% but down 29.5% year-over-year [1] - Revenues for the quarter were $1.02 billion, a decline of 15.9% year-over-year, yet slightly above the consensus estimate by 0.31% [1] Revenue Breakdown - Mobile revenues accounted for nearly 65% of total revenues, increasing 21% sequentially due to normalization of customer orders and inventory levels, along with support for seasonal product ramps [2] - The company achieved design wins in 5G for premium Android smartphones and expanded its Wi-Fi 7 pipeline with major partners [2] - Broad markets contributed approximately 35% to total revenues, showing signs of stabilization with demand in edge IoT and automotive electrification [3] Operational Performance - Non-GAAP gross margin decreased by 70 basis points year-over-year to 46.5% [5] - Research & development expenses rose by 390 basis points year-over-year to 16% of revenues [5] - Non-GAAP operating margin contracted by 600 basis points year-over-year to 26.7% [5] Financial Position - As of September 27, 2024, cash and cash equivalents along with marketable securities totaled $1.57 billion, up from $1.28 billion as of June 28, 2024 [6] - Long-term debt remained stable at $994.3 million [6] - Cash generated from operating activities was $476 million for the quarter, compared to $273.5 million in the previous quarter [6] - Free cash flow was reported at $393.2 million, reflecting a 38.4% free cash flow margin [6] Dividend and Guidance - The company paid dividends amounting to $112 million in the reported quarter [7] - For Q1 fiscal 2025, Skyworks expects revenues between $1.05 billion and $1.08 billion, indicating a 4% sequential increase at the mid-point, with non-GAAP diluted earnings projected at $1.57 per share [8] Market Performance - Skyworks shares have declined by 22.6% year-to-date, contrasting with a 39.7% increase in the Zacks Computer and Technology sector [3]
Skyworks(SWKS) - 2024 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2024-11-13 02:05
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Skyworks reported revenue of $1.025 billion for Q4 2024, with earnings per share of $1.55 and free cash flow of $393 million [7][19] - Gross profit was $476 million, resulting in a gross margin of 46.5%, which grew by 50 basis points sequentially [18] - The company generated over $1.6 billion in free cash flow for fiscal 2024, marking the second consecutive year of strong cash generation [20] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Mobile revenue accounted for approximately 65% of total revenue, increasing by 21% sequentially, while broad markets contributed about 35% of total revenue, showing a slight increase of $1 million sequentially [17] - In mobile, customer orders and channel inventory have normalized, supporting seasonal product ramps [9] - Broad markets have shown signs of stabilization, with modest growth since the bottom in December 2023, driven by trends in edge IoT and automotive electrification [11][12] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Demand in edge IoT is improving as customers adopt Wi-Fi 6E and 7 systems, indicating a multi-year upgrade cycle [12] - The automotive and industrial markets are experiencing muted global demand as Tier 1s and OEMs work down excess inventory [14] - The company is undershipping natural demand in traditional data centers and wireless infrastructure due to elevated inventory levels [13] Company Strategy and Development Direction - Skyworks aims to leverage robust cash generation to invest in technology and product roadmaps for long-term growth while diversifying its business [16] - The company is well-positioned to capitalize on the transformative smartphone upgrade cycle driven by AI advancements [10] - Strategic investments are being made in connectivity, power isolation, and digital broadcast solutions for connected cars and EV markets [15] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expects revenue for Q1 2025 to be between $1.05 billion and $1.08 billion, reflecting a 4% sequential increase at the midpoint [22] - The recovery pace is more measured than anticipated due to excess inventory in select segments [23] - Gross margin is projected to be between 46% and 47%, with operating expenses expected to increase sequentially [24] Other Important Information - The company paid $112 million in dividends during the quarter and ended with approximately $1.6 billion in cash and investments [21] - An impairment charge was taken in Q4 related to a process R&D from an acquisition, but the business remains well-positioned for growth [70][71] Q&A Session Summary Question: Trends in the Android portion of the mobile business - Management highlighted a robust pipeline with Android players like Google and Samsung, indicating strong design wins and performance [26][28] Question: Sustainability of recovery in broad markets - Management confirmed that broad markets have shown three consecutive quarters of modest sequential growth, with expectations for further growth despite excess inventory [31][32] Question: Impact of AI on Edge IoT business - Management noted that AI advancements are expected to drive growth in both smartphone and Edge IoT markets, with significant design wins in the automotive sector [66][67] Question: Inventory management and gross margin outlook - Management stated that inventory levels have been reduced for seven consecutive quarters, and while gross margins are expected to be flattish in fiscal 2025, improvements are anticipated towards the end of the year [61][56] Question: M&A environment and buyback strategy - Management expressed confidence in the company's strong cash flow and balance sheet, indicating flexibility for M&A and share buybacks while remaining disciplined [42][64]
Skyworks Solutions (SWKS) Q4 Earnings and Revenues Top Estimates
ZACKS· 2024-11-12 23:15
Core Viewpoint - Skyworks Solutions reported quarterly earnings of $1.55 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.52 per share, but down from $2.20 per share a year ago, indicating a decline in profitability [1][2] Financial Performance - The company achieved revenues of $1.02 billion for the quarter ended September 2024, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 0.31%, but down from $1.22 billion year-over-year [2] - Over the last four quarters, Skyworks has surpassed consensus EPS estimates three times and topped consensus revenue estimates two times [2] Stock Performance - Skyworks shares have declined approximately 21.7% since the beginning of the year, contrasting with the S&P 500's gain of 25.8% [3] - The current Zacks Rank for Skyworks is 3 (Hold), indicating expected performance in line with the market in the near future [6] Earnings Outlook - The consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $1.68 on revenues of $1.08 billion, and for the current fiscal year, it is $6.38 on revenues of $4.23 billion [7] - The trend of estimate revisions for Skyworks is mixed, which could change following the recent earnings report [6] Industry Context - The Semiconductors - Radio Frequency industry, to which Skyworks belongs, is currently ranked in the bottom 7% of over 250 Zacks industries, suggesting a challenging environment [8]
Skyworks(SWKS) - 2024 Q4 - Annual Results
2024-11-12 21:03
Financial Performance - Skyworks reported Q4 revenue of $1.025 billion, representing a 13% sequential growth[2] - GAAP diluted EPS for Q4 was $0.37, while non-GAAP diluted EPS was $1.55[2] - Total operating income for Q4 was $59 million, down from $254 million in the same quarter last year[2] - GAAP operating income for the three months ended September 27, 2024, was $59.5 million, a decrease from $254.0 million for the same period in 2023[17] - Non-GAAP operating income for the three months ended September 27, 2024, was $273.5 million, down from $397.9 million year-over-year[17] - GAAP net income for the three months ended September 27, 2024, was $60.5 million, compared to $244.8 million in the same quarter of 2023[18] - Non-GAAP net income for the twelve months ended September 27, 2024, was $1,012.7 million, a decline from $1,366.7 million in the previous year[18] - Net income for the three months ended September 27, 2024, was $60.5 million, down 75.3% from $244.8 million in the same period last year[30] Cash Flow and Margins - Annual operating cash flow reached $1.825 billion, with a 44% operating cash flow margin, and free cash flow was $1.668 billion, reflecting a 40% free cash flow margin[1] - Non-GAAP free cash flow for the three months ended September 27, 2024, was $393.2 million, up from $295.6 million year-over-year[18] - GAAP net cash provided by operating activities for the three months ended September 27, 2024, was $476.0 million, compared to $365.7 million in the same period of 2023[18] - Net cash provided by operating activities increased to $476.0 million from $365.7 million year-over-year, a growth of 30.3%[30] Assets and Liabilities - Total assets decreased to $8,283.3 million from $8,426.7 million year-over-year, a decline of 1.7%[29] - Debt reduced to $994.3 million from $1,292.2 million, a decrease of 23.1%[29] - Stockholders' equity increased to $6,336.7 million from $6,082.7 million, a growth of 4.2%[29] Inventory and Capital Expenditures - Inventory decreased to $784.8 million from $1,119.7 million, a reduction of 29.9%[29] - Capital expenditures for the three months were $82.8 million, compared to $70.1 million in the prior year, an increase of 18.5%[30] Dividends and Shareholder Returns - The company declared a cash dividend of $0.70 per share, payable on December 24, 2024[7] - Dividends paid increased to $112.0 million from $108.4 million, a rise of 3.3%[30] Future Outlook - Skyworks expects Q1 2025 revenue to be between $1.05 billion and $1.08 billion, with non-GAAP diluted EPS projected at $1.57 at the midpoint[6] - The mobile business is anticipated to grow mid-single digits sequentially, driven by seasonal product ramps[6] - The company expects non-GAAP diluted earnings per share for Q1 2025 to be impacted by estimated share-based compensation expense of $0.20 to $0.40 per diluted share[27] Product Development and Market Position - Skyworks secured 5G content for premium Android smartphones, including Google Pixel 9 and Samsung Galaxy[4] - Skyworks expanded its Wi-Fi 7 design wins with major companies like Linksys and NETGEAR[4] - Skyworks is well-positioned to capitalize on the transformative smartphone upgrade cycle driven by AI[3] Operating Margins - GAAP operating margin for the three months ended September 27, 2024, was 5.8%, significantly lower than 20.8% in the same quarter of 2023[17] - Non-GAAP operating margin for the three months ended September 27, 2024, was 26.7%, down from 32.6% year-over-year[17] Share-Based Compensation - Share-based compensation expense for the three months ended September 27, 2024, was $38.2 million, compared to $49.9 million in the same period of 2023[18]
Skyworks Set to Report Q4 Earnings: What's in Store for the Stock?
ZACKS· 2024-11-06 15:15
Core Viewpoint - Skyworks Solutions (SWKS) is expected to report a decline in earnings and revenues for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2024, with earnings projected at $1.52 per share, reflecting a 30.91% year-over-year decrease, and revenues estimated between $1 billion and $1.04 billion, indicating a 16.17% decline from the previous year [1][2]. Financial Performance Expectations - Earnings per share for Q4 fiscal 2024 are anticipated to be $1.52, consistent with the Zacks Consensus Estimate over the past month [1] - Revenue guidance for the quarter is set between $1 billion and $1.04 billion, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate at $1.02 billion [2] Influencing Factors - The performance in Q4 is likely to benefit from a diversified portfolio, strong mobile demand, and growth in edge IoT and automotive sectors [3] - A 20% sequential increase in mobile business revenues is expected due to normalizing demand and supply conditions in the smartphone market [3] - The proliferation of 5G content in new smartphones is anticipated to positively impact revenues [4] - Strong demand for edge IoT, particularly Wi-Fi 7 systems, is contributing to a multiyear upgrade cycle, which is expected to enhance performance [5] - The rising adoption of generative AI and 5G technologies is driving demand for high-performance RF solutions, benefiting the company [6] - Long-term growth opportunities in the automotive sector are noted, driven by the increasing complexity of radio solutions in software-defined vehicles and connected cars [7] Challenges - Despite positive factors, challenges such as excess inventory, supply chain issues, and economic uncertainty are expected to negatively impact top-line growth [8] Earnings Model Insights - According to the Zacks model, Skyworks currently has an Earnings ESP of 0.00% and a Zacks Rank of 3, indicating that the odds of an earnings beat are not favorable [9]
SWKS Declines 14% YTD: How Should Investors Play the Stock?
ZACKS· 2024-10-04 16:26
Core Viewpoint - Skyworks (SWKS) has underperformed compared to its peers and the broader technology sector, facing challenges in inventory levels and competition, despite having a strong design win pipeline and diversified portfolio [1][2][4]. Group 1: Performance Comparison - Skyworks shares have dropped 14% year-to-date, while Broadcom's shares surged 54% and Qorvo's shares declined 9.7%. The broader sector appreciated 22.5% during the same period [1]. - The company is experiencing sluggishness in wireless infrastructure and traditional data center markets, which is contributing to its underperformance [1]. Group 2: Design Wins and Market Position - Skyworks has a robust design win pipeline, particularly in automotive and industrial sectors, with improving demand in edge IoT markets [2]. - The company showcased its Si82Fx gate driver solutions at PCIM Europe, enhancing efficiency in AI data servers and electric vehicle charging applications [2]. - In the mobile segment, which contributed approximately 61% to total revenues in Q3 2024, Skyworks is seeing signs of inventory normalization and improved order patterns [2]. Group 3: AI and Smartphone Market - New AI features in smartphones are expected to drive a multiyear upgrade cycle, increasing Radio Frequency complexity and positioning Skyworks as a market leader [3]. - Skyworks secured 5G content for premium Android smartphones, including models like Google Pixel 8a and Samsung Galaxy M, strengthening its market presence [3]. - Collaboration with Semtech has boosted low-power wide-area network solutions for industrial and smart city applications [3]. Group 4: Financial Outlook - For Q4 fiscal 2024, Skyworks expects revenues between $1 billion and $1.04 billion, with earnings projected at $1.52 per share at the mid-point of this guidance [4]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Q4 fiscal 2024 revenue is $1.02 billion, indicating a 16.17% year-over-year decline, while earnings are expected to decline by 30.91% year-over-year [4]. Group 5: Valuation and Investment Considerations - Skyworks shares are considered cheap with a Value Score of B, having a forward 12-month Price/Sales ratio of 3.68, lower than the sector's 6.12 [6]. - However, the sluggish prospects lead to a Growth Score of D, indicating potential risks for growth-oriented investors [6]. - Skyworks currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), suggesting a cautious approach for potential investors [6].