Summary of Triple Flag Precious Metals Conference Call Company Overview - **Company Name**: Triple Flag Precious Metals (NYSE: TFPM) - **Founded**: 2016 - **Market Position**: Fourth largest streaming and royalty company in the precious metals sector [2][3] - **Current Sales Guidance**: 105,000 to 115,000 gold-equivalent ounces for 2025, projected to rise to 135,000 to 145,000 by 2029 [3][30] - **Portfolio**: 237 assets, with 30 currently producing [3] Financial Performance - **Dividend**: $0.23 per share, increased annually since IPO in May 2021 [3] - **Available Liquidity**: Approximately $1 billion for new investments [3] - **Capital Deployment**: $2.8 billion since inception, correlating to about $280 million annually [14][15] - **Free Cash Flow**: Operating cash flow and free cash flow are effectively the same due to the absence of ongoing capital expenditures [13] Business Model and Strategy - **Streaming and Royalty Model**: Generates robust free cash flows without the drag of capital expenditures, allowing for a diverse portfolio [4][5] - **Diversification**: Includes various operators, commodities (primarily gold and silver), and jurisdictions [5][21] - **Optionality**: Embedded in contracts, allowing for direct benefits from rising commodity prices without margin variability [6][10] - **Focus on Cash Flow**: Emphasis on acquiring producing mines and near-mine exploration to quickly add value [45][46] Growth Drivers - **Current and Future Projects**: Growth to 135,000 to 145,000 gold-equivalent ounces will come from expansions of existing mines and new exploration projects [30] - **Key Assets**: Northparkes, Beta Hunt, and Hope Bay are highlighted as significant contributors to future growth [30][49] - **Recent Acquisitions**: - 1% royalty on Arthur Gold Project for slightly less than $250 million [51] - 0.5% royalty on Zhejiang's flagship lithium mine for just under $30 million [55] - 5% silver stream on Arcata and Azuca for $35 million [57] Market Outlook - **Gold Price**: Currently nearing $4,000 per ounce, with a positive long-term outlook due to structural factors such as government debt [10][11] - **Investment Philosophy**: Focus on high-quality assets with significant exploration potential, while maintaining a strong balance sheet [40][74] Cultural and Operational Insights - **Team Background**: Predominantly from larger mining companies, emphasizing a blend of operational and financial expertise [44] - **Transparency and Due Diligence**: Strong emphasis on detailed asset evaluation and open communication with partners [47][48] Conclusion - **Long-term Vision**: Commitment to growing free cash flow per share and maintaining alignment with shareholder interests, with a focus on high-quality precious metals exposure [40][74]

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8/28/2025This gold streaming company's profit grew 118%. The gold stock is in the buy zone. BREAKING: Inflation Data Cements Rate Cut Expectations Gold stock Triple Flag Precious Metals (TFPM) is tightening up after breaking out of a base and reaching a record high. Triple Flag Precious Metals is joined by fellow gold stocks Agnico-Eagle Mines (AEM) and Kinross Gold (KGC) in topping the IBD Sector Leaders list. Its solid fundamentals and robust chart also helped it land on the IBD 50, along… Related news Th ...

Core Viewpoint - The surge in precious metal prices is leading to increased profits for mining companies, resulting in higher dividends for investors Group 1: Pan American Silver (PAAS) - Pan American Silver has increased its quarterly dividend by 20% due to strong silver gains, with a current dividend yield of 1.51% and an annual dividend of $0.48 [1][3] - In Q2 2025, the company produced 5.1 million ounces of silver and approximately 178,000 ounces of gold, achieving record basic earnings per share (EPS) of 52 cents and free cash flow of $33 million [2][3] - The total return for Pan American Silver shares in Q2 2025 was over 58%, with silver prices rising by 32% and gold prices by 27% [2] Group 2: AngloGold Ashanti (AU) - AngloGold Ashanti has announced a 16% increase in its interim dividend to $0.80 per share, supported by a 149% increase in free cash flow [5][7] - The company produced 804,000 ounces of gold in Q2 2025, a 21% increase from the previous year, with the average gold price rising by 41% to $3,287 [6][7] - The current dividend yield for AngloGold Ashanti is approximately 2.2%, with a payout ratio of 50% of free cash flow [8] Group 3: Triple Flag Precious Metals (TFPM) - Triple Flag Precious Metals has increased its annual dividend by 5% to $0.23, with a current dividend yield of 0.85% [9][10] - The company reported a record operating cash flow of 38 cents per share, a 50% increase, and achieved 57,000 gold equivalent ounces (GEOs) in the first half of the year [10][11] - The total return for Triple Flag Precious Metals in 2025 was 75% [11]

Group 1: Inflation and Economic Indicators - The Producer Price Index (PPI) in the U.S. increased by 0.9% in July from the previous month and 3.3% year-over-year, marking the largest monthly increase in three years [3][5] - Services were the primary driver of the PPI increase, rising by 1.1% in July, indicating that companies may be passing higher import costs to consumers [5][24] - The PPI report has influenced expectations regarding Federal Reserve rate cuts, with traders still anticipating a reduction in September, but the likelihood of a significant half-point cut has decreased [6][24] Group 2: Gold Market Dynamics - Gold prices have remained resilient, trading near historic highs, with spot prices consolidating in the mid-$3,300s after reaching an all-time high of $3,500 per ounce in April [7][8] - Factors contributing to gold's steady performance include inflation concerns, a weaker U.S. dollar, central bank demand, and expectations of lower interest rates [8][27] - Gold-backed exchange-traded funds (ETFs) saw inflows of $3.2 billion in July, bringing total assets under management to $386 billion, indicating strong investor interest [10] Group 3: Royalty and Streaming Companies - Royalty and streaming companies have reported record quarterly results, with Franco-Nevada achieving revenue of $369.4 million, up 42% year-over-year, and Wheaton Precious Metals generating $503 million in revenue [16][17] - These companies provide upfront financing to miners in exchange for a portion of future production, offering lower risk exposure and strong cash flow [13][14] - The model of royalty and streaming companies is seen as a balanced approach between owning bullion and traditional mining equities, capturing upside in rising gold prices while providing downside protection [15][20] Group 4: Traditional Miners and Market Outlook - Traditional gold miners are regaining favor, with UBS analysts upgrading their outlook on the sector due to improved capital management and rebuilding investor trust [21] - If gold prices remain stable, there is potential for increased stock buybacks and merger and acquisition activity among miners [22] - The ongoing inflationary environment and tariff impacts are expected to shift costs to consumers, reinforcing gold's role as a hedge against inflation [24][25]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Triple Flag achieved record sales of nearly 29,000 GEOs in Q2 2025, resulting in record adjusted EBITDA of CAD 76 million and operating cash flow of CAD 0.38 per share [3][4] - Operating cash flow per share increased by over 50% year over year, marking a new quarterly record [9] - The company exited the quarter with zero debt and expects to maintain a net cash position by the end of Q3 2025 [10][11] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - North Park and Cerro Lindo remain the two largest contributors to revenue, with North Park achieving a record quarter due to higher open pit grades from stockpiled ore [11][12] - Revenues were derived 100% from precious metals, with approximately two-thirds from gold, indicating a strong focus on gold and silver exposure [12] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported strong performance amid record precious metals prices, benefiting from high margins that consistently exceed 90% [4][9] - Approximately 90% of revenue was derived from assets located in Australia and The Americas, highlighting the company's focus on mining-friendly jurisdictions [12] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on accretive acquisitions, with recent transactions including the Tre Corvadis Lithia mine in Argentina and additional royalties on the Johnson Camp copper mine in Arizona [4][5] - The acquisition of a 1% NSR royalty on the Arthur Gold project in Nevada is expected to provide long-term growth potential [5] - The investment thesis remains centered on top-tier assets, a focus on precious metals, and a predominantly North American and Australian portfolio [11] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in achieving the 2025 guidance of 105,000 to 115,000 ounces, supported by strong operating cash flows and a robust transaction pipeline [4][16] - The company anticipates several catalysts, including the commencement of production at multiple mines and ongoing exploration successes [16][18] Other Important Information - The company announced a 5% increase in its annual dividend to CAD 0.02, marking the fourth consecutive annual increase since its IPO [10] - The company maintains a strong balance sheet with total liquidity available of nearly CAD 1 billion, allowing for continued investment in growth opportunities [11] Q&A Session Summary Question: What should be expected as steady state production from the Johnson Camp royalty? - Management indicated that the Johnson Camp royalty is a small purchase and did not provide specific asset guidance [20][21] Question: Can you walk through potential offsets for declining production in 2026? - Management noted that while North Park's high-grade stockpiles will deplete, production from the Arcata mine and Johnson Camp mine is expected to come online, providing potential offsets [33][35] Question: What is the current deal pipeline looking like? - Management stated that the pipeline is full, with a mix of larger and smaller opportunities, predominantly in the $100 million to $300 million range, focusing on precious metals [39][40] Question: Is the focus still on safe jurisdictions like The Americas and Australia? - Management confirmed that the focus remains on The Americas and Australia, with limited interest in opportunities in Africa [47][48]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Triple Flag achieved record adjusted EBITDA of CAD76 million in Q2 2025, with operating cash flow of CAD0.38 per share, reflecting strong margins exceeding 90% [3][4] - Operating cash flow per share increased by over 50% year over year, marking a new quarterly record [8] - The company exited the quarter with zero debt and expects to maintain a net cash position by the end of Q3 2025 [10][11] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The portfolio produced nearly 29,000 GEOs in Q2, contributing to a record first half of over 57,000 GEOs, aligning with the 2025 sales guidance of 105,000 to 115,000 ounces [8][11] - North Park and Cerro Lindo remain the largest revenue contributors, with North Park achieving a record quarter due to higher open pit grades [11][12] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenues were derived 100% from precious metals, with approximately two-thirds from gold, positioning the company favorably within the sector [12] - The company noted a strong rise in silver prices benefiting Cerro Lindo towards the end of the quarter [11] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on accretive acquisitions, including the recently completed acquisition of a 1% NSR royalty on the Arthur Gold project in Nevada, which is expected to provide long-term growth potential [5][6] - The capital allocation strategy emphasizes returns to shareholders, highlighted by a 5% increase in the annual dividend to CAD0.02 [9][11] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in achieving 2025 guidance despite potential production declines from certain assets, citing a robust portfolio and upcoming production from new mines [16][36] - The company remains optimistic about the exploration potential at the Fletcher Zone, which nearly doubled the resource base at Beta Hunt [15][16] Other Important Information - The company maintains a strong balance sheet with total liquidity of nearly CAD1 billion, allowing for continued investment in growth opportunities [11] - The transaction pipeline is robust, with a focus on opportunities in safe jurisdictions, primarily in the Americas and Australia [40][49] Q&A Session Summary Question: What should we expect as steady state production from the Johnson Camp royalty? - Management indicated that while the Johnson Camp royalty is a small purchase, it provides incremental copper exposure, but no specific asset guidance will be provided [21][22] Question: What is the process for enforcing security on the stream with STEP Gold? - Management noted that the current arrears from STEP Gold are approximately USD8 million, and they have a good relationship with the management team, emphasizing confidence in their position [24][28] Question: How will production decline in 2026 be offset? - Management acknowledged potential declines but highlighted upcoming production from the Arcata mine and Johnson Camp mine as offsets, while refraining from specific asset guidance [34][36] Question: What is the current deal pipeline looking like? - Management described a full pipeline with a mix of larger and smaller opportunities, primarily in the CAD100 million to CAD300 million range, focusing on precious metals [38][40] Question: Is the focus still on safe jurisdictions? - Management confirmed that the focus remains on the Americas and Australia, with limited interest in opportunities in Africa [49]

Financial Performance - The company achieved record financial results in Q2 2025, including 29,000 Gold Equivalent Ounces (GEOs)[15] - Adjusted EBITDA increased by 54% from $49.6 million in Q2 2024 to $76.2 million in Q2 2025[17] - Operating Cash Flow increased by 54% from $49.4 million in Q2 2024 to $76.1 million in Q2 2025[17] - Operating Cash Flow per Share increased by 52% from $0.25 in Q2 2024 to $0.38 in Q2 2025[17] - Revenue increased from $63.6 million in Q2 2024 to $94.1 million in Q2 2025[17] - Adjusted net earnings increased from $22.9 million to $47.9 million, with adjusted EPS increasing from $0.11 to $0.24[17] Portfolio and Growth - The company closed the acquisition of a 1.0% NSR royalty on the Arthur (Expanded Silicon) gold project[15] - The company acquired an additional 1.5% GR royalty on the Johnson Camp Mine in Arizona[15] - A maiden resource of 2.3 million ounces was declared for the Fletcher Zone at Westgold's Beta Hunt Mine[15, 25] Capital Allocation - The annualized dividend increased by 5% to $0.23 per share, marking the 4th consecutive annual increase since the IPO in 2021[15]

Core Viewpoint - Investors in the Mining - Gold sector should consider Barrick Mining (B) and Triple Flag Precious Metals (TFPM) for potential value opportunities [1] Group 1: Zacks Rank and Earnings Outlook - Barrick Mining has a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy), indicating a positive earnings outlook, while Triple Flag Precious Metals has a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [3] - The Zacks Rank system favors stocks with positive revisions to earnings estimates, suggesting that Barrick Mining has an improving earnings outlook [3] Group 2: Valuation Metrics - Barrick Mining has a forward P/E ratio of 10.75, significantly lower than Triple Flag Precious Metals' forward P/E of 27.51 [5] - Barrick Mining's PEG ratio is 0.32, while Triple Flag Precious Metals has a PEG ratio of 1.04, indicating Barrick Mining may be undervalued relative to its growth expectations [5] - Barrick Mining's P/B ratio is 1.08 compared to Triple Flag Precious Metals' P/B of 2.62, further supporting Barrick Mining's valuation advantage [6] Group 3: Value Grades - Barrick Mining has received a Value grade of A, while Triple Flag Precious Metals has a Value grade of D, highlighting the relative attractiveness of Barrick Mining for value investors [6] - Stronger estimate revision activity and more attractive valuation metrics position Barrick Mining as the superior option for value investors [7]