Core Viewpoint - The surge in precious metal prices is leading to increased profits for mining companies, resulting in higher dividends for investors Group 1: Pan American Silver (PAAS) - Pan American Silver has increased its quarterly dividend by 20% due to strong silver gains, with a current dividend yield of 1.51% and an annual dividend of $0.48 [1][3] - In Q2 2025, the company produced 5.1 million ounces of silver and approximately 178,000 ounces of gold, achieving record basic earnings per share (EPS) of 52 cents and free cash flow of $33 million [2][3] - The total return for Pan American Silver shares in Q2 2025 was over 58%, with silver prices rising by 32% and gold prices by 27% [2] Group 2: AngloGold Ashanti (AU) - AngloGold Ashanti has announced a 16% increase in its interim dividend to $0.80 per share, supported by a 149% increase in free cash flow [5][7] - The company produced 804,000 ounces of gold in Q2 2025, a 21% increase from the previous year, with the average gold price rising by 41% to $3,287 [6][7] - The current dividend yield for AngloGold Ashanti is approximately 2.2%, with a payout ratio of 50% of free cash flow [8] Group 3: Triple Flag Precious Metals (TFPM) - Triple Flag Precious Metals has increased its annual dividend by 5% to $0.23, with a current dividend yield of 0.85% [9][10] - The company reported a record operating cash flow of 38 cents per share, a 50% increase, and achieved 57,000 gold equivalent ounces (GEOs) in the first half of the year [10][11] - The total return for Triple Flag Precious Metals in 2025 was 75% [11]

Group 1: Inflation and Economic Indicators - The Producer Price Index (PPI) in the U.S. increased by 0.9% in July from the previous month and 3.3% year-over-year, marking the largest monthly increase in three years [3][5] - Services were the primary driver of the PPI increase, rising by 1.1% in July, indicating that companies may be passing higher import costs to consumers [5][24] - The PPI report has influenced expectations regarding Federal Reserve rate cuts, with traders still anticipating a reduction in September, but the likelihood of a significant half-point cut has decreased [6][24] Group 2: Gold Market Dynamics - Gold prices have remained resilient, trading near historic highs, with spot prices consolidating in the mid-$3,300s after reaching an all-time high of $3,500 per ounce in April [7][8] - Factors contributing to gold's steady performance include inflation concerns, a weaker U.S. dollar, central bank demand, and expectations of lower interest rates [8][27] - Gold-backed exchange-traded funds (ETFs) saw inflows of $3.2 billion in July, bringing total assets under management to $386 billion, indicating strong investor interest [10] Group 3: Royalty and Streaming Companies - Royalty and streaming companies have reported record quarterly results, with Franco-Nevada achieving revenue of $369.4 million, up 42% year-over-year, and Wheaton Precious Metals generating $503 million in revenue [16][17] - These companies provide upfront financing to miners in exchange for a portion of future production, offering lower risk exposure and strong cash flow [13][14] - The model of royalty and streaming companies is seen as a balanced approach between owning bullion and traditional mining equities, capturing upside in rising gold prices while providing downside protection [15][20] Group 4: Traditional Miners and Market Outlook - Traditional gold miners are regaining favor, with UBS analysts upgrading their outlook on the sector due to improved capital management and rebuilding investor trust [21] - If gold prices remain stable, there is potential for increased stock buybacks and merger and acquisition activity among miners [22] - The ongoing inflationary environment and tariff impacts are expected to shift costs to consumers, reinforcing gold's role as a hedge against inflation [24][25]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Triple Flag achieved record sales of nearly 29,000 GEOs in Q2 2025, resulting in record adjusted EBITDA of CAD 76 million and operating cash flow of CAD 0.38 per share [3][4] - Operating cash flow per share increased by over 50% year over year, marking a new quarterly record [9] - The company exited the quarter with zero debt and expects to maintain a net cash position by the end of Q3 2025 [10][11] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - North Park and Cerro Lindo remain the two largest contributors to revenue, with North Park achieving a record quarter due to higher open pit grades from stockpiled ore [11][12] - Revenues were derived 100% from precious metals, with approximately two-thirds from gold, indicating a strong focus on gold and silver exposure [12] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported strong performance amid record precious metals prices, benefiting from high margins that consistently exceed 90% [4][9] - Approximately 90% of revenue was derived from assets located in Australia and The Americas, highlighting the company's focus on mining-friendly jurisdictions [12] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on accretive acquisitions, with recent transactions including the Tre Corvadis Lithia mine in Argentina and additional royalties on the Johnson Camp copper mine in Arizona [4][5] - The acquisition of a 1% NSR royalty on the Arthur Gold project in Nevada is expected to provide long-term growth potential [5] - The investment thesis remains centered on top-tier assets, a focus on precious metals, and a predominantly North American and Australian portfolio [11] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in achieving the 2025 guidance of 105,000 to 115,000 ounces, supported by strong operating cash flows and a robust transaction pipeline [4][16] - The company anticipates several catalysts, including the commencement of production at multiple mines and ongoing exploration successes [16][18] Other Important Information - The company announced a 5% increase in its annual dividend to CAD 0.02, marking the fourth consecutive annual increase since its IPO [10] - The company maintains a strong balance sheet with total liquidity available of nearly CAD 1 billion, allowing for continued investment in growth opportunities [11] Q&A Session Summary Question: What should be expected as steady state production from the Johnson Camp royalty? - Management indicated that the Johnson Camp royalty is a small purchase and did not provide specific asset guidance [20][21] Question: Can you walk through potential offsets for declining production in 2026? - Management noted that while North Park's high-grade stockpiles will deplete, production from the Arcata mine and Johnson Camp mine is expected to come online, providing potential offsets [33][35] Question: What is the current deal pipeline looking like? - Management stated that the pipeline is full, with a mix of larger and smaller opportunities, predominantly in the $100 million to $300 million range, focusing on precious metals [39][40] Question: Is the focus still on safe jurisdictions like The Americas and Australia? - Management confirmed that the focus remains on The Americas and Australia, with limited interest in opportunities in Africa [47][48]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Triple Flag achieved record adjusted EBITDA of CAD76 million in Q2 2025, with operating cash flow of CAD0.38 per share, reflecting strong margins exceeding 90% [3][4] - Operating cash flow per share increased by over 50% year over year, marking a new quarterly record [8] - The company exited the quarter with zero debt and expects to maintain a net cash position by the end of Q3 2025 [10][11] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The portfolio produced nearly 29,000 GEOs in Q2, contributing to a record first half of over 57,000 GEOs, aligning with the 2025 sales guidance of 105,000 to 115,000 ounces [8][11] - North Park and Cerro Lindo remain the largest revenue contributors, with North Park achieving a record quarter due to higher open pit grades [11][12] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenues were derived 100% from precious metals, with approximately two-thirds from gold, positioning the company favorably within the sector [12] - The company noted a strong rise in silver prices benefiting Cerro Lindo towards the end of the quarter [11] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on accretive acquisitions, including the recently completed acquisition of a 1% NSR royalty on the Arthur Gold project in Nevada, which is expected to provide long-term growth potential [5][6] - The capital allocation strategy emphasizes returns to shareholders, highlighted by a 5% increase in the annual dividend to CAD0.02 [9][11] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in achieving 2025 guidance despite potential production declines from certain assets, citing a robust portfolio and upcoming production from new mines [16][36] - The company remains optimistic about the exploration potential at the Fletcher Zone, which nearly doubled the resource base at Beta Hunt [15][16] Other Important Information - The company maintains a strong balance sheet with total liquidity of nearly CAD1 billion, allowing for continued investment in growth opportunities [11] - The transaction pipeline is robust, with a focus on opportunities in safe jurisdictions, primarily in the Americas and Australia [40][49] Q&A Session Summary Question: What should we expect as steady state production from the Johnson Camp royalty? - Management indicated that while the Johnson Camp royalty is a small purchase, it provides incremental copper exposure, but no specific asset guidance will be provided [21][22] Question: What is the process for enforcing security on the stream with STEP Gold? - Management noted that the current arrears from STEP Gold are approximately USD8 million, and they have a good relationship with the management team, emphasizing confidence in their position [24][28] Question: How will production decline in 2026 be offset? - Management acknowledged potential declines but highlighted upcoming production from the Arcata mine and Johnson Camp mine as offsets, while refraining from specific asset guidance [34][36] Question: What is the current deal pipeline looking like? - Management described a full pipeline with a mix of larger and smaller opportunities, primarily in the CAD100 million to CAD300 million range, focusing on precious metals [38][40] Question: Is the focus still on safe jurisdictions? - Management confirmed that the focus remains on the Americas and Australia, with limited interest in opportunities in Africa [49]

Financial Performance - The company achieved record financial results in Q2 2025, including 29,000 Gold Equivalent Ounces (GEOs)[15] - Adjusted EBITDA increased by 54% from $49.6 million in Q2 2024 to $76.2 million in Q2 2025[17] - Operating Cash Flow increased by 54% from $49.4 million in Q2 2024 to $76.1 million in Q2 2025[17] - Operating Cash Flow per Share increased by 52% from $0.25 in Q2 2024 to $0.38 in Q2 2025[17] - Revenue increased from $63.6 million in Q2 2024 to $94.1 million in Q2 2025[17] - Adjusted net earnings increased from $22.9 million to $47.9 million, with adjusted EPS increasing from $0.11 to $0.24[17] Portfolio and Growth - The company closed the acquisition of a 1.0% NSR royalty on the Arthur (Expanded Silicon) gold project[15] - The company acquired an additional 1.5% GR royalty on the Johnson Camp Mine in Arizona[15] - A maiden resource of 2.3 million ounces was declared for the Fletcher Zone at Westgold's Beta Hunt Mine[15, 25] Capital Allocation - The annualized dividend increased by 5% to $0.23 per share, marking the 4th consecutive annual increase since the IPO in 2021[15]

Investors looking for stocks in the Mining - Gold sector might want to consider either Barrick Mining (B) or Triple Flag Precious Metals (TFPM) . But which of these two stocks presents investors with the better value opportunity right now? Let's take a closer look.We have found that the best way to discover great value opportunities is to pair a strong Zacks Rank with a great grade in the Value category of our Style Scores system. The Zacks Rank favors stocks with strong earnings estimate revision trends, a ...

Core Viewpoint - Triple Flag Precious Metals (TFPM) has been upgraded to a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), indicating a positive trend in earnings estimates which is a significant factor influencing stock prices [1][3]. Earnings Estimates and Stock Performance - The Zacks rating system emphasizes the importance of earnings estimate revisions, which have shown a strong correlation with near-term stock price movements [4][6]. - For the fiscal year ending December 2025, Triple Flag is expected to earn $0.83 per share, with a 13.5% increase in the Zacks Consensus Estimate over the past three months [8]. Zacks Rating System - The Zacks Rank system classifies stocks into five groups based on earnings estimates, with Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy) stocks historically generating an average annual return of +25% since 1988 [7]. - The upgrade of Triple Flag to a Zacks Rank 2 places it in the top 20% of Zacks-covered stocks, suggesting potential for market-beating returns in the near term [10].

Core Insights - Barrick Mining (B) and Triple Flag Precious Metals (TFPM) are compared for investment value opportunities [1] - Barrick Mining has a stronger earnings estimate revision trend, reflected in its Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), while TFPM holds a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [3] Valuation Metrics - Barrick Mining has a forward P/E ratio of 11.05, significantly lower than TFPM's forward P/E of 28.62 [5] - Barrick Mining's PEG ratio is 0.34, indicating better value relative to its expected earnings growth, compared to TFPM's PEG ratio of 1.08 [5] - Barrick Mining's P/B ratio stands at 1.09, while TFPM's P/B ratio is 2.69, further highlighting Barrick's superior valuation metrics [6] Value Grades - Barrick Mining has earned a Value grade of A, whereas Triple Flag Precious Metals has a Value grade of D, indicating Barrick's stronger position in terms of value investment [6]

Company Performance - Triple Flag Precious Metals (TFPM) has gained approximately 60.7% year-to-date, significantly outperforming the average return of 13.9% for Basic Materials companies [4] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for TFPM's full-year earnings has increased by 8.9% over the past quarter, indicating improved analyst sentiment and earnings outlook [4] - TFPM currently holds a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy), suggesting strong potential for future performance [3] Industry Comparison - TFPM is part of the Mining - Gold industry, which has seen an average gain of 55.9% this year, indicating that TFPM is performing well within its specific industry [6] - In contrast, Coeur Mining (CDE), another Basic Materials stock, has increased by 59.4% year-to-date and also holds a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy) [5] - The Mining - Non Ferrous industry, to which Coeur Mining belongs, is ranked 74 and has only gained 11.1% this year, highlighting the stronger performance of the Mining - Gold industry [6] Sector Ranking - The Basic Materials group is currently ranked 13 within the Zacks Sector Rank, which evaluates 16 different sector groups [2] - TFPM is one of 238 companies in the Basic Materials group, indicating a competitive landscape [2]

Shares of Triple Flag Precious Metals (TFPM) have gained 6.4% over the past four weeks to close the last trading session at $21.56, but there could still be a solid upside left in the stock if short-term price targets of Wall Street analysts are any indication. Going by the price targets, the mean estimate of $27.07 indicates a potential upside of 25.6%.The average comprises 11 short-term price targets ranging from a low of $19 to a high of $36, with a standard deviation of $5.47. While the lowest estimate ...