Investors interested in Basic Materials stocks should always be looking to find the best-performing companies in the group. Has Triple Flag Precious Metals (TFPM) been one of those stocks this year? A quick glance at the company's year-to-date performance in comparison to the rest of the Basic Materials sector should help us answer this question.Triple Flag Precious Metals is one of 239 companies in the Basic Materials group. The Basic Materials group currently sits at #8 within the Zacks Sector Rank. The Z ...

Core Viewpoint - Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp. has received approval from the Toronto Stock Exchange to renew its normal course issuer bid, allowing the company to repurchase up to 10,328,075 common shares over a one-year period [1][2]. Summary by Sections Normal Course Issuer Bid (NCIB) - The NCIB allows Triple Flag to buy back up to 10,328,075 common shares, which is 5% of the total 206,561,506 shares outstanding as of November 3, 2025 [2]. - The repurchase period will start on November 17, 2025, and end on November 16, 2026 [2]. Rationale for NCIB - The company believes that repurchasing its common shares can be a suitable use of available funds and a mechanism for returning capital to shareholders [3]. Purchase Mechanism - Purchases may occur through the TSX, NYSE, and other trading systems, with daily repurchases on the TSX limited to a maximum of 43,278 shares, which is 25% of the average daily trading volume [4]. - All repurchased shares will be cancelled [4]. Pricing and Payment - Shares will be purchased at market price or as permitted by the TSX, with private agreement purchases potentially at a discount [5]. Automatic Share Purchase Plan (ASPP) - Triple Flag has established an ASPP with a designated broker to facilitate share purchases during regulatory restrictions and blackout periods [6][7]. Management Discretion - Outside of predetermined blackout periods, share purchases will be at the discretion of management, adhering to TSX rules and applicable laws [8]. Previous NCIB Performance - In the previous NCIB from November 15, 2024, to November 14, 2025, Triple Flag repurchased 692,600 shares at an average cost of C$23.36 per share, totaling approximately C$11.4 million [11]. Company Overview - Triple Flag is a precious metals streaming and royalty company, providing exposure to gold and silver from 239 assets, including 33 producing mines and 206 development and exploration projects [12].

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Triple Flag recorded 27,000 GEOs in Q3 2025, leading to record-adjusted EBITDA of $79 million and operating cash flow per share of $0.39 [2][5] - Operating cash flow per share increased by over 25% year-over-year, reflecting strong performance amid high precious metals prices [5][6] - The company exited the quarter with essentially zero net debt and is in a net cash position, with total liquidity available of nearly $1 billion [6][7] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Northparkes and Cerro Lindo were the largest contributors to revenues in Q3, with Northparkes achieving record performance due to processing higher open-pit grades [7] - The sales mix remains 100% derived from precious metals, with nearly three-quarters from gold, and this is expected to continue [7] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Precious metals prices reached record quarterly averages of nearly $3,500 per ounce for gold and nearly $40 per ounce for silver [5] - The company expects to achieve 2025 GEOs between the midpoint and high end of its guidance range, benefiting from current gold prices exceeding Q3 averages [2][5] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company has deployed over $350 million in capital across five investments year-to-date, focusing on top-tier precious metals assets in mining-friendly jurisdictions [3][4] - Recent acquisitions include a 1% NSR royalty on the Arthur project in Nevada and a royalty package on Pan American's Minera Florida gold mine in Chile for $23 million [3][4] - The company aims to continue reinvesting cash flows into further streams and royalties to enhance shareholder value over time [10] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's legal position regarding a $10 million owed from Step Gold, indicating ongoing discussions with the controlling shareholder [14][15] - The company anticipates near-term catalysts from various projects ramping up production, including Johnson Camp Mine and Arcata [10] - The outlook for 2029 includes expectations for 135,000-145,000 ounces GEOs, supported by ramping up of newer assets and increased production from existing mines [39] Other Important Information - The company declared a quarterly cash dividend of $5.75 per share, reflecting its strong balance sheet and cash flow generation [7] - The exploration potential of the Minera Florida mine is significant, with expectations for increased GEOs by 2028 [9] Q&A Session Summary Question: How was the Minera Florida transaction sourced? - The transaction was a concentrated process, developed through rapport with the family involved, allowing for a site visit during negotiations [12][13] Question: Update on the ATO stream and discussions with Step Gold? - The company is confident in its legal position and is in dialogue with Step's controlling shareholder, expecting to land in the top half of its guidance range regardless of the outcome [14][15] Question: Insights on transaction opportunities and structures? - The company is evaluating opportunities in the $100-$300 million range, focusing on traditional mining jurisdictions and a mix of streams and royalties [18][19] Question: Status of Priesca project and investment decisions? - The project is being staged, with the upper zones developed first, and the company will evaluate the right to fund the stream into the deeper zones when ready [26][27] Question: Discussion on El Machido stream disposal? - The situation arose from the mine being undercapitalized, and the company structured a win-win situation to allow the operator to move forward without the stream [33][34] Question: Concerns about Minera Florida's grade reconciliation issues? - Management remains confident in the long-term performance of Minera Florida, citing its historical production records despite short-term variances [37][38] Question: Confirmation on the gold-silver ratio and its impact? - The current gold-silver ratio is around 85/1, and stronger silver prices benefit the company's GEO calculations and revenue [40][41]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q3 2025, the company recorded 27,000 GEOs, leading to a record adjusted EBITDA of $79 million and operating cash flow per share of $0.39 [2][5] - Operating cash flow per share increased by over 25% year over year, reflecting the benefits of higher gold prices [5][6] - The company exited the quarter with essentially zero net debt and is currently in a net cash position [6][7] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company has deployed over $350 million in capital across five investments year to date, including acquisitions in lithium, silver, and copper mines [3][4] - North Parks and Sarah Lindo were the largest contributors to revenues in Q3, with North Parks achieving record performance due to higher open-pit grades [7] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Precious metals prices reached record quarterly averages of nearly $3,500 per ounce for gold and nearly $40 per ounce for silver [5] - The sales mix remains 100% derived from precious metals, with nearly three-quarters from gold [7] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on top-tier precious metals assets, with nearly 90% of revenue sourced from mining-friendly jurisdictions in Australia and the Americas [7] - The company aims to achieve GEOs between the midpoint and high end of its 2025 guidance range, with expectations for continued strong performance in Q4 and beyond [2][5] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's legal position regarding a $10 million claim against Step Gold, indicating ongoing discussions with the controlling shareholder [14][15] - The company anticipates near-term catalysts from various projects, including ramp-ups at Johnson Camp, Trey Crabatus, and Arcata, as well as ongoing exploration updates [10] Other Important Information - The company declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.0575 per share, reflecting its strong balance sheet and record operating cash flows [7] - The acquisition of a royalty package on Pan American's Minera Florida gold mine in Chile for $23 million was highlighted as a strategic move to drive shareholder value [3][4] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you elaborate on how the Minera Florida transaction was sourced? - The transaction involved a concentrated process with a pre-existing rapport with the family, allowing for a site visit during negotiations [12][13] Question: What is the status of the ATO stream arbitration with Step Gold? - The company is confident in its legal position and is in dialogue with Step's controlling shareholder, expecting to land in the top half of its guidance range regardless of the outcome [14][15] Question: What are the current transaction opportunities in the $100 to $300 million range? - The company is evaluating a mix of smaller royalties and larger corporate transactions, focusing on traditional mining jurisdictions in the Americas [18][19] Question: Can you provide an update on the Priesca project? - The project is being developed in stages, with a focus on the deeps, and the company will evaluate the right to fund the stream when the project reaches a final investment decision [26][27] Question: How does the company evaluate situations like the El Machido stream disposal? - The company views each situation on a case-by-case basis, finding structured sales beneficial while generally not looking to sell streams [32][34] Question: What is the outlook for Minera Florida given recent grade reconciliation issues? - Management remains confident in the long-term performance of Minera Florida, citing its historical production records as a basis for future forecasts [37][38] Question: What factors contribute to the 2029 guidance of 135,000 to 145,000 ounces GEOs? - The growth is expected from ramp-ups of newer assets and increased production from existing mines, with a diversified approach across multiple projects [39][40]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Triple Flag recorded 27,000 GEOs in Q3 2025, leading to record-adjusted EBITDA of $79 million and operating cash flow per share of $0.39, benefiting shareholders from higher gold prices [2][5] - Operating cash flow per share increased by over 25% year over year, with the company exiting the quarter with essentially zero net debt and a net cash position [5][6] - Total liquidity available is nearly $1 billion, allowing for continued capital deployment into growth opportunities [6] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company has deployed over $350 million in capital across five investments year to date, including acquisitions in lithium, silver, and copper mines [3][4] - North Parks and Sarah Lindo were the largest contributors to revenues in Q3, with North Parks achieving record performance due to higher open-pit grades [6] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Precious metals prices reached record quarterly averages of nearly $3,500 per ounce for gold and nearly $40 per ounce for silver [5] - The sales mix remains 100% derived from precious metals, with nearly three-quarters from gold, and this is expected to continue [6] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company focuses on top-tier precious metals assets, with nearly 90% of revenue sourced from mining-friendly jurisdictions in Australia and the Americas [6] - Future growth is supported by ongoing production ramp-ups at various mines, including Johnson Camp and Arcata, and economic studies for projects like Arthur and Hope Bay expected to complete in H1 2026 [10] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in achieving the high end of the 2025 GEOs guidance, with expectations for continued strong cash flows due to favorable gold prices [2][5] - The company is optimistic about the exploration potential of its assets, particularly the Minera Florida gold mine, which has a long history of consistent performance [8][9] Other Important Information - A quarterly cash dividend of $0.0575 per share was declared, reflecting the company's commitment to returning value to shareholders [6] - The company is actively evaluating transaction opportunities in the range of $100 to $300 million, focusing on jurisdictions that investors favor [21][22] Q&A Session Summary Question: How was the Minera Florida transaction sourced? - The transaction was a concentrated process, developed through rapport with the family involved, allowing for a site visit during negotiations [13][14] Question: Update on the ATO stream and discussions with Step Gold? - The company is confident in its legal position regarding a $10 million owed by Step Gold and is in dialogue with the controlling shareholder [16][17] Question: What are the current transaction opportunities? - The company is evaluating a mix of streams and royalties in traditional mining jurisdictions, with a focus on financing needs of other companies [21][22] Question: Update on Priesca project and funding decisions? - The company has the option to fund the stream into the deeps of the Priesca project when the investment decision is made, with no obligation to do so [30][31] Question: Discussion on El Machido stream disposal? - The disposal was a structured sale to allow the operator to move forward without the stream, providing good value for the company [36][37]

Financial Performance - Triple Flag achieved strong financial results in Q3 2025, including 27,037 GEOs[14, 16] - Record adjusted EBITDA of $79 million was achieved[14] - Record operating cash flow of $81 million was achieved[14] - Adjusted EPS increased by 71%[17] - Adjusted EBITDA increased by 27%[17] - Operating Cash Flow per Share increased 26%[17] - Asset margin was 93%[16] Acquisitions and Production - Acquired a 0.8-1.5% NSR royalty package on the Minera Florida mine for $23 million[14] - Over $350 million capital deployed YTD 2025, including a 1.0% NSR royalty on Arthur[14] - Several assets reached first production in H2 2025, including Tres Quebradas (lithium), Johnson Camp Mine (copper cathode), and Sleeping Giant (gold)[14] Portfolio and Strategy - 73% of Q3 2025 revenue was from gold and 27% from silver[20] - 88% of Q3 2025 revenue was from Australia and the Americas[20] - The company expects 2025 GEOs to be between the midpoint and high end of the guidance range of 105,000-115,000 GEOs[14]

Core Insights - Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp. reported record operating cash flow per share in Q3 2025, with significant capital deployment and strong portfolio performance [1][2][3] Financial Performance - Revenue for Q3 2025 reached $93.5 million, up from $73.7 million in Q3 2024, representing a 27% increase [3] - Gold Equivalent Ounces (GEOs) sold were 27,037, down from 29,773 in Q3 2024 [4][5] - Net earnings for Q3 2025 were $61.9 million, or $0.30 per share, compared to $29.6 million, or $0.15 per share in Q3 2024 [3] - Adjusted net earnings were $49.3 million, or $0.24 per share, compared to $28.3 million, or $0.14 per share in Q3 2024 [3] - Operating cash flow was $81.4 million, up from $61.8 million in Q3 2024, with operating cash flow per share increasing to $0.39 from $0.31 [3] Portfolio and Acquisitions - The company deployed over $350 million in capital in 2025, including acquisitions of royalties on various projects such as the Arthur gold project in Nevada and Minera Florida gold mine in Chile for $23 million [2][8] - The portfolio includes a diverse range of assets, with significant optionality benefiting from high gold prices [2] - The company expects to achieve GEO sales guidance for 2025 between 105,000 to 115,000 ounces [8] Production and Guidance - The production guidance for Minera Florida is set at 78,000 to 90,000 ounces of gold and 0.45 million ounces of silver for 2025 [8] - The company anticipates a strong production ramp-up from various projects, including Arcata, which is expected to start production in Q4 2025 [14] Dividend Declaration - The Board of Directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.0575 per common share, to be paid on December 15, 2025 [1][8]

Core Insights - Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp. (TFPM) focuses on acquiring and managing precious metal streams and royalties, providing financing solutions to mining companies in exchange for a percentage of future production [1] - TFPM's stock has gained approximately 3.86% over the past 30 days, indicating positive momentum, but has seen a 4.03% decline over the last 10 days, which may present a strategic entry point for investors [2][5] - The company has a projected growth potential of 21.57%, with analysts setting a target price of $35, suggesting significant upside from current levels [3][6] - TFPM has a strong Piotroski Score of 8, indicating robust financial health and solid fundamentals, which is a positive indicator for investors [4][6] Financial Performance - TFPM's stock performance shows a 3.86% gain over the past 30 days, despite a recent 4.03% decline in the last 10 days [2][6] - The company's financial health is solid, reflected in its high Piotroski Score of 8, which suggests strong profitability, leverage, liquidity, and operating efficiency [4][6] Strategic Considerations - The recent decline in TFPM's stock price to a local minimum could be an attractive entry point for investors looking to benefit from potential price recoveries [5] - The combination of a high Piotroski Score and the current dip in price makes TFPM a stock worth considering for those seeking promising growth opportunities [5]

Core Viewpoint - Triple Flag Precious Metals (TFPM) is positioned as a strong investment opportunity due to its improving earnings outlook and analysts' increasing earnings estimates [1][2]. Earnings Estimate Revisions - The trend of rising earnings estimate revisions reflects growing analyst optimism regarding the company's earnings prospects, which is expected to positively influence its stock price [2]. - For the current quarter, Triple Flag is projected to earn $0.22 per share, marking a year-over-year increase of 46.7%. The Zacks Consensus Estimate has risen by 7.32% over the last 30 days due to one upward revision and one downward revision [7]. - For the full year, the earnings estimate is $0.91 per share, indicating a year-over-year growth of 68.5%. In the past month, four estimates have been revised upward, contributing to a 5.2% increase in the consensus estimate [8][9]. Zacks Rank and Performance - Triple Flag currently holds a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy), which is based on the positive estimate revisions and has historically shown strong performance, with Zacks 1 stocks averaging a 25% annual return since 2008 [3][10]. - The Zacks Rank system is designed to help investors leverage earnings estimate revisions for better investment decisions, with stocks rated 1 and 2 significantly outperforming the S&P 500 [10]. Recent Stock Performance - Over the past four weeks, Triple Flag shares have increased by 5.7%, indicating investor confidence in the company's earnings growth potential [11].

Group 1 - The analyst has over 10 years of experience researching companies across various sectors, including commodities and technology [1] - The focus has shifted from writing a blog to creating a value investing-focused YouTube channel, where hundreds of companies have been researched [1] - The analyst expresses a particular interest in metals and mining stocks, while also being comfortable with consumer discretionary, staples, REITs, and utilities [1]