Core Insights - Millicom International Cellular SA (TIGO) reported quarterly earnings of $0.34 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.55 per share, representing an earnings surprise of -38.18% [1][2] - The company posted revenues of $1.42 billion for the quarter ended September 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1.14%, but down from $1.43 billion year-over-year [2] - The stock has increased approximately 84.1% since the beginning of the year, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's gain of 15.6% [3] Earnings Performance - Over the last four quarters, Millicom has only surpassed consensus EPS estimates once [2] - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $0.55 on revenues of $1.42 billion, and for the current fiscal year, it is $6.26 on revenues of $5.57 billion [7] Market Outlook - The company's future stock performance will largely depend on management's commentary during the earnings call and the trends in earnings estimate revisions [3][4] - The Zacks Rank for Millicom is currently 3 (Hold), indicating expected performance in line with the market in the near future [6] Industry Context - The Wireless Non-US industry, to which Millicom belongs, is currently in the top 28% of over 250 Zacks industries, suggesting a favorable outlook compared to the bottom 50% [8] - Empirical research indicates a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions, which can be tracked by investors [5]

Financial Performance - Adjusted EBITDA reached $695 million, demonstrating a year-over-year growth of 18.7%[68] - The Adjusted EBITDA margin hit a record 48.9%[18,68] - Equity Free Cash Flow (EFCF) for the first 9 months of 2025 was $638 million, an increase of $98 million compared to the same period in 2024[17,70,73] - Service revenue increased to $1344 million, a 0.5% increase compared to Q3 2024[68] Customer Growth - Postpaid net additions reached 293,000[17] - Home net additions totaled 60,000[18] - Mobile postpaid customers grew by 14% year-over-year[21] - Home HFC/FTTH customers increased by 5.4% year-over-year[25] Strategic Initiatives - Millicom incorporated Ecuador and Uruguay, diversifying its LATAM footprint[53] - Revenue from Ecuador is $489 million and Adjusted EBITDA is $161 million[54] - Revenue from Uruguay is $246 million and Adjusted EBITDA is $93 million[56] Financial Position - Net debt stood at $4627 million[90,115] - Leverage ratio decreased to 2.09x[18,90,115] Country-Specific Performance - Colombia's Adjusted EBITDA margin increased by 4.9 percentage points[35] - Guatemala's mobile service revenue grew by 20% in local currency[41] - Panama achieved a record Adjusted EBITDA margin of 52.2%[49,51]

Core Insights - Millicom reported strong operational and financial performance in Q3 2025, with significant growth in adjusted EBITDA and net profit [5][6] - The company achieved a record adjusted EBITDA of $695 million, reflecting a margin of 48.9%, and a notable increase in operating profit [4][6] - Millicom's revenue growth was driven by mobile subscriber additions and ARPU expansion, with a year-over-year increase of 3.5% in service revenue [6][8] Financial Highlights - Q3 2025 revenue was $1.42 billion, a slight decrease of 0.7% compared to Q3 2024, but organic growth was 3.0% [4] - Operating profit for Q3 2025 reached $390 million, up 30.1% from the previous year [4] - Net profit attributable to company owners was $195 million, a significant increase from $51 million in Q3 2024 [4] - Adjusted EBITDA for Q3 2025 was $695 million, an 18.7% increase year-over-year [4] - Equity free cash flow for the quarter was $243 million, reflecting a year-to-date increase of $98 million compared to the same period last year [4][6] Strategic Initiatives - The company is focused on executing its strategic plan, which includes advancing inorganic growth initiatives and improving operational efficiency [6] - Millicom aims to achieve an equity free cash flow target of around $750 million for 2025, with a year-end leverage below 2.5x [9] - The company declared an additional interim dividend of $2.5 per share in August, totaling approximately $420 million [8]

Group 1 - The article does not provide any relevant content regarding the company or industry [1]

Core Insights - Millicom has successfully acquired Telefónica's telecommunications operations in Ecuador for USD 380 million, enhancing its presence in South America [1][2] - This acquisition is part of Millicom's strategy to deepen its footprint in high-potential markets, following its recent acquisition in Uruguay [2][3] - The CEO of Millicom emphasized the company's long-term confidence in Latin America and its commitment to digital connectivity and sustainable growth [3] Company Overview - Millicom operates in eleven countries and is recognized as a leading telecommunications group in Latin America, focusing on digital inclusion and innovation [3] - The company provides a variety of digital services, including mobile financial services, local entertainment, pay TV, and business solutions, serving over 46 million customers [8] Ecuador Market Profile - Ecuador has a population of approximately 18.1 million, with a youthful demographic and a significant urban population, creating a connected consumer base [7] - The economy is dollarized with solid macroeconomic fundamentals, projected GDP growth of 1.7% in 2025 and 2.0% in 2026, and low inflation around 1.3% [7] - The telecommunications market in Ecuador is competitive, with steady demand for mobile and broadband services, showing growth rates of approximately +1.4% in mobile and +3.6% in fixed broadband [7]

Core Points - Millicom (NASDAQ: TIGO) is set to announce its third quarter 2025 results on November 6, 2025, through a press release [1] - A video conference for the global financial community will be held on the same day at 08:00 (New York) / 13:00 (London) [1] - Registration for the video conference is required, and participants can join in listen-only mode or ask questions via email [2] Company Overview - Millicom is a leading provider of fixed and mobile telecommunications services in Latin America, operating under the TIGO® and Tigo Business® brands [4] - The company offers a variety of digital services, including mobile financial services (TIGO Money), local entertainment (TIGO Sports), pay TV (TIGO ONEtv), and business solutions such as cloud and security [4] - As of June 30, 2025, Millicom employed approximately 14,000 people and served over 46 million customers, with a fiber-cable footprint covering more than 14 million homes [4]

Core Insights - Millicom has completed the acquisition of 100% of Telefónica Móviles del Uruguay S.A. for an enterprise value of USD 440 million, marking its entry into the Uruguayan market and strengthening its presence in South America [1][2] Company Strategy - The acquisition is a significant step in Millicom's growth strategy, aimed at establishing a presence in Uruguay, a country recognized for its stability and digital transformation vision [2] - Millicom plans to invest in infrastructure, foster innovation, and create new opportunities to drive long-term digital growth in Uruguay [2] Financial Impact - The transaction is expected to generate synergies across networks, operations, and commercial services, diversifying Millicom's sources of value creation in a market with solid macroeconomic fundamentals [2] - Integration of the acquired company is projected to positively contribute to free cash flow for shareholders starting in 2026 [2] Market Position - By adding Uruguay to its footprint, Millicom enhances its coverage across South America, solidifying its position as one of the region's principal telecom operators [3] - The move aligns with Millicom's mission to accelerate digital inclusion and contribute to sustainable development across Latin America [3] Company Overview - Millicom is a leading provider of fixed and mobile telecommunications services in Latin America, offering a range of digital services and products [4] - As of June 30, 2025, Millicom employed approximately 14,000 people and served over 46 million customers, with a fiber-cable footprint covering over 14 million homes [4]

Core Insights - The Bonhoeffer Fund focused on selling slower-growth firms and acquiring durable, faster-growing companies in depressed sectors, aligning with long-term growth themes such as consolidation and financial compounders [7][11] - The fund achieved a net gain of 8.7% in Q2 2025, underperforming compared to the MSCI World ex-US and S&P 500, which returned 12.1% and 10.8% respectively [9][10] - The portfolio's projected earnings/free cash flow growth is approximately 16%, with a weighted average earnings/free cash flow yield of 12.5% [10][11] Investment Themes - **Distribution (49% of Portfolio)**: The fund holds high-velocity distributors in various markets, focusing on car dealerships and building product distributors, which have shown a quarterly performance of 6% [14] - **Real Estate/Construction/Finance (58% of Portfolio)**: Investments in construction firms are expected to benefit from government infrastructure programs and affordable housing financing, with banks showing sustainable ROEs and EPS growth rates above 15% [18][19] - **Public Leverage Buyouts (31% of Portfolio)**: The strategy involves growth through acquisitions, with firms like Builders First Source (BFS) utilizing local economies of scale to generate high returns [22][24] - **Compound Mispricings (15% of Portfolio)**: Investments in Korean preferred stocks and Asian real estate are characterized by governance improvements and liquidity, with Vistry facing challenges but still focusing on affordable housing [31][32] - **Telecom/Transaction Processing (3% of Portfolio)**: Companies like Millicom are positioned to benefit from reduced competition and favorable market conditions, with a focus on cost-cutting and dividend yields [33][35] - **Consumer Products (3% of Portfolio)**: Defensive consumer product firms are expected to perform well, with Academy Sports facing challenges but retaining potential for recovery [36][37] Financial Metrics - The Bonhoeffer Fund's portfolio has an average EV/EBITDA of 3.2 and a growth rate of 16% [9][10] - Arrow Electronics is projected to have a 27% EPS growth rate through 2029, with a future share price estimated at $39 [17] - Builders First Source (BFS) is expected to see a recovery in share price with a projected value of around $505 per share based on a 32% IRR [30]

Industry Overview - The Zacks Wireless Non-US industry is facing challenges such as high capital expenditures for infrastructure upgrades, margin erosion, supply-chain disruptions, and geopolitical conflicts, but healthy demand trends in the digital age are expected to benefit the industry long-term [1][4]. Key Players - KDDI Corporation, Vodafone Group, and Millicom International Cellular are positioned to benefit from the rising demand for scalable infrastructure due to the proliferation of IoT and accelerated 5G deployment [2]. Industry Description - The industry includes mobile telecommunications and broadband service providers that offer voice services, value-added services like IoT, content streaming, and mobile payment solutions, as well as IT solutions and cable/satellite pay television subscriptions [3]. Current Challenges - Profit margins are being affected by high raw material prices, prolonged geopolitical tensions, and proposed tariffs, leading to a demand-supply imbalance and increased operational costs [4]. - The rise of over-the-top service providers is intensifying price-sensitive competition, which may limit customer retention and impact financial results [4]. Network Developments - There is a significant demand for network convergence, requiring traditional carriers to invest heavily in advanced networking architecture to meet the growing demand for coverage and quality [5]. - Continuous network upgrades are necessary to maintain performance standards, as telecom services are considered necessities and show weak correlation to macroeconomic factors [5]. Evolving Business Models - Increased spending on infrastructure upgrades is compromising short-term margins, leading companies to diversify from legacy services to business and enterprise opportunities [6]. - Companies are investing in software-defined networks and new Cloud Core architecture to enhance their service offerings [6]. Industry Performance - The Zacks Wireless Non-US industry currently holds a Zacks Industry Rank of 166, indicating it is in the bottom 33% of over 250 Zacks industries, suggesting bearish near-term prospects [7][8]. - Over the past year, the industry has gained 20.2%, outperforming the S&P 500's 16.1% but lagging behind the broader Zacks Computer and Technology sector's 21.9% [9]. Valuation Metrics - The industry has a trailing 12-month Price/Book ratio of 1.22X, significantly lower than the S&P 500's 8.37X and the sector's 9.92X [11]. Notable Companies - **KDDI Corporation**: Focuses on 5G communications and aims for growth in finance, energy, and healthcare, with a stock gain of 12.6% over the past year [14]. - **Vodafone Group**: Engages in telecommunications across Europe and has a long-term earnings growth expectation of 20.1%, with a stock gain of 20.4% [15]. - **Millicom International Cellular**: Provides a range of digital services in Latin America and has seen a stock gain of 74.7% in the past year [19].

Core Insights - Millicom (Tigo) has reached a strategic agreement with Empresas Públicas de Medellín (EPM) to facilitate its acquisition strategy in Colombia and advance the integration of Tigo-UNE and Colombia Telecomunicaciones (ColTel) [1][3] Group 1: Agreement Details - The agreement is a significant milestone for Millicom's strategy in Colombia, emphasizing the company's commitment to long-term investment in the country's digital ecosystem and infrastructure [3] - Millicom plans to present an offer in EPM's Law 226 sale process, with a minimum price set at COP$418,741 per share of Tigo-UNE, amounting to approximately USD $520 million [5] - EPM has secured an extension of its existing exit rights if the Law 226 sale process fails due to external factors, and has agreed to consent to the future merger between Tigo-UNE and ColTel under certain conditions [5] Group 2: Company Overview - Millicom is a leading provider of fixed and mobile telecommunications services in Latin America, operating under the TIGO® and Tigo Business® brands [4] - The company offers a variety of digital services, including mobile financial services, local entertainment, pay TV, high-speed data, and business-to-business solutions [4] - As of June 30, 2025, Millicom employed approximately 14,000 people and served over 46 million customers, with a fiber-cable footprint covering more than 14 million homes [4]