Core Points - Tronox Holdings plc has received non-binding Letters of Support/Interest from Export Finance Australia (EFA) and Export-Import Bank of the United States (EXIM) for up to US$600 million in financing to develop a rare earth elements supply chain [1][2] - The financing will support mine extensions, infrastructure, and cracking and leaching capacity, aligning with the U.S.-Australia Framework for Securing Supply in Critical Minerals and Rare Earths [1][2] - Tronox is progressing from a pre-feasibility study to a definitive feasibility study for a proposed facility in Western Australia to produce mixed rare earth carbonate [2][3] Company Overview - Tronox is a leading integrated manufacturer of titanium dioxide pigment and is involved in mining titanium-bearing mineral sands and producing high-grade titanium feedstock materials [5] - The company employs approximately 6,500 people globally and is recognized for its vertical integration and operational expertise [5] Support from Financial Institutions - The Letters from EFA and EXIM indicate a strong interest in collaborating with Tronox to leverage its existing mining and processing capabilities for rare earth elements [2][3] - EFA's support is contingent upon satisfactory completion of due diligence, including environmental and financial assessments [3] Strategic Importance - The initiative is seen as a significant milestone for Tronox, positioning the company as a key supplier of rare earth elements critical for industries such as permanent magnets, defense, and advanced technology [3] - The project aligns with the critical mineral strategies of both Australia and the United States, highlighting the importance of securing supply chains in these sectors [3]

Group 1 - The upcoming year 2026 is expected to be crucial for stock pickers, as previous successful strategies may not yield the same results due to changing market conditions [2][4] - The analysts at InvestorPlace achieved significant outperformance in 2025, with their recommendations surpassing the S&P 500 by nearly 1,000 basis points [2][3] - The new strategy for Power Portfolio 2026 will shift focus from AI stocks to 11 companies poised to benefit from a significant investment boom driven by U.S. government spending [5][6] Group 2 - The U.S. government is anticipated to initiate an $11.3 trillion investment bonanza aimed at revitalizing the economy, which will be discussed in the upcoming American Dream 2.0 Summit [6][8] - PayPal Holdings Inc. is highlighted as a top stock for 2026 due to its unique position as the first payments platform integrated with ChatGPT, despite not making it into the final Power Portfolio [10][15] - FactSet Research Systems Inc. is identified as an acquisition target with a potential 20% upside over the next three years, driven by increased M&A activity and its low valuation [16][18][20] - Tronox Holdings PLC is noted for its position in the titanium dioxide market, with potential for significant upside if business conditions normalize, although it is considered too risky for the Power Portfolio [26][29]

Core Insights - During market turbulence, investors often seek dividend-yielding stocks, which typically have high free cash flows and offer substantial dividends [1] Company Ratings and Performance - **FMC Corp (NYSE:FMC)**: - Dividend Yield: 17.06% - JP Morgan analyst Jeffrey Zekauskas maintained a Neutral rating and reduced the price target from $43 to $14 on Nov. 17, 2025, with an accuracy rate of 64% [7] - Morgan Stanley analyst Vincent Andrews kept an Equal-Weight rating and cut the price target from $38 to $17 on Nov. 3, 2025, with an accuracy rate of 76% [7] - Recent News: FMC lowered its FY2025 earnings and sales guidance [7] - **Eastman Chemical Co (NYSE:EMN)**: - Dividend Yield: 5.39% - Evercore ISI Group analyst Stephen Richardson maintained an In-Line rating and reduced the price target from $75 to $70 on Nov. 11, 2025, with an accuracy rate of 61% [7] - Mizuho analyst John Roberts maintained an Outperform rating and cut the price target from $80 to $75 on Oct. 3, 2025, with an accuracy rate of 70% [7] - Recent News: Eastman Chemical posted weaker-than-expected quarterly results on Nov. 3 [7] - **Tronox Holdings PLC (NYSE:TROX)**: - Dividend Yield: 5.08% - Mizuho analyst John Roberts maintained an Underperform rating and slashed the price target from $3.5 to $3 on Nov. 6, 2025, with an accuracy rate of 70% [7] - JP Morgan analyst Jeffrey Zekauskas downgraded the rating from Overweight to Neutral on Oct. 3, 2025, with an accuracy rate of 64% [7] - Recent News: Tronox Holdings reported worse-than-expected third-quarter financial results on Nov. 5 [7]

Core Insights - During market turbulence, investors often seek dividend-yielding stocks, which typically have high free cash flows and offer substantial dividends [1] Company Ratings and Analyst Insights - **FMC Corp (NYSE:FMC)**: - Dividend Yield: 18.11% - JP Morgan analyst Jeffrey Zekauskas maintained a Neutral rating and reduced the price target from $43 to $14 on Nov. 17, 2025, with an accuracy rate of 65% [7] - Morgan Stanley analyst Vincent Andrews maintained an Equal-Weight rating and cut the price target from $38 to $17 on Nov. 3, 2025, with an accuracy rate of 76% [7] - Recent News: FMC lowered its FY2025 earnings and sales guidance on Oct. 29, 2025 [7] - **Tronox Holdings PLC (NYSE:TROX)**: - Dividend Yield: 6.49% - Mizuho analyst John Roberts maintained an Underperform rating and reduced the price target from $3.5 to $3 on Nov. 6, 2025, with an accuracy rate of 70% [7] - JP Morgan analyst Jeffrey Zekauskas downgraded the stock from Overweight to Neutral on Oct. 3, 2025, with an accuracy rate of 65% [7] - Recent News: Tronox reported worse-than-expected third-quarter financial results on Nov. 5, 2025 [7] - **Dow Inc (NYSE:DOW)**: - Dividend Yield: 6.41% - Mizuho analyst John Roberts maintained a Neutral rating and cut the price target from $26 to $25 on Oct. 24, 2025, with an accuracy rate of 70% [7] - JP Morgan analyst Jeffrey Zekauskas maintained a Neutral rating and reduced the price target from $25 to $23 on Oct. 24, 2025, with an accuracy rate of 65% [7] - Recent News: Dow reported a smaller-than-expected third-quarter loss on Oct. 23, 2025 [7]

Group 1 - The article does not provide any specific information or data regarding companies or industries [1]

Financial Performance - Net sales for Q3 2025 were $699 million, a decrease of 13% from $804 million in Q3 2024, primarily due to lower sales volumes and average selling prices of TiO2 [119]. - TiO2 revenue decreased by 11% or $66 million compared to the prior year quarter, driven by a $47 million decrease in sales volumes and a $29 million decrease in average selling prices [119]. - Zircon revenue decreased by 20% from Q3 2024 to Q3 2025, primarily due to a 16% decline in average selling prices and a 4% decrease in sales volumes [115]. - Gross profit for Q3 2025 was $52 million, representing a gross margin of 7.4%, down from 15.9% in the prior year [118]. - The company reported a net loss of $100 million for Q3 2025, compared to a net loss of $25 million in Q3 2024, reflecting a significant increase in restructuring charges [118]. - Adjusted EBITDA for Q3 2025 was $74 million, down from $143 million in Q3 2024, with adjusted EBITDA as a percentage of net sales decreasing to 10.6% from 17.8% [118]. - For the nine months ended September 30, 2025, net sales were $2,168 million, a decrease of 10% compared to $2,398 million for the same period in 2024 [128]. - For the nine months ended September 30, 2025, total net sales decreased by 10% to $2,168 million compared to $2,398 million in the prior year [129]. - TiO2 revenue decreased by 8% or $153 million, primarily due to a $126 million decrease in sales volumes and a $41 million decrease in average selling prices [129]. - Gross margin for the nine months ended September 30, 2025 was $230 million, representing 10.6% of net sales, down from 16.6% in the prior year [129]. - Loss from operations was $139 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, a decrease of $310 million compared to income from operations of $171 million in the prior year [131]. - Adjusted EBITDA as a percentage of net sales was 12.9% for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, a decrease of 5.2 points from 18.1% in the prior year [137]. - The company reported a net loss of $296 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, compared to a net loss of $24 million for the same period in 2024, representing an increase in net loss of $272 million year-over-year [162]. Liquidity and Debt - Total available liquidity as of September 30, 2025, was $664 million, including $185 million in cash and cash equivalents [116]. - Total debt as of September 30, 2025, was $3.2 billion, with a net debt to trailing twelve months adjusted EBITDA ratio of 7.5x [116]. - Cash and cash equivalents increased to $185 million as of September 30, 2025, up from $151 million at December 31, 2024 [140]. - Working capital was $1.5 billion at September 30, 2025, compared to $1.3 billion at December 31, 2024 [141]. - Short-term and long-term debt increased to $3.2 billion as of September 30, 2025, compared to $2.9 billion at December 31, 2024 [155]. - The company’s long-term debt, net, increased to $3,136 million as of September 30, 2025, up from $2,759 million as of December 31, 2024 [172]. - The company’s net debt to trailing twelve months Adjusted EBITDA ratio increased to 7.5x as of September 30, 2025, compared to 4.8x as of December 31, 2024 [172]. - The company issued $400 million of 9.125% senior secured notes due 2030 on September 26, 2025 [153]. Cash Flow - Cash used in operating activities was $61 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, a decrease from cash provided by operating activities of $218 million in the prior year, primarily due to a decrease in income-related cash generation [162]. - Net cash used in investing activities increased to $255 million in the nine months ended September 30, 2025, compared to $226 million in the same period of 2024, driven by higher capital expenditures of $273 million [163]. - The company generated net cash provided by financing activities of $345 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, compared to cash used in financing activities of $97 million in the prior year, primarily from net proceeds of long-term debt of $379 million [164]. Restructuring and Charges - Restructuring and other charges for Q3 2025 amounted to $25 million, primarily related to the idling of the Botlek plant [119]. - The company incurred restructuring and other charges of $25 million for the three months ended September 30, 2025, and $150 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2025 [183]. - Interest expense for the three months ended September 30, 2025, was $48 million, with a total of $176 million for the trailing twelve months [178]. Environmental and Compliance Costs - The company is subject to significant environmental compliance costs, which are expected to continue to be substantial in the foreseeable future [188]. Currency Risk and Hedging - The company is exposed to currency risk primarily in South Africa and Australia, where revenues are earned in U.S. dollars while expenses are incurred in local currencies [200]. - The company enters into foreign currency contracts to hedge forecasted non-functional currency sales and costs for its subsidiaries in South Africa and Australia [201]. - As of September 30, 2025, the company had notional amounts of 136 million Australian dollars (approximately $90 million) in foreign currency contracts to hedge against fluctuations in currency rates for its Australian subsidiaries' cost of sales [201]. - The company had notional amounts of 975 million South African Rand (approximately $56 million) to reduce exposure of its South African subsidiaries' third-party sales to currency fluctuations [201]. - As of September 30, 2025, the company had outstanding foreign currency contracts totaling 470 million South African Rand (approximately $27 million) and 161 million Australian dollars (approximately $106 million) [202]. - The company utilized a combination of zero-cost collars, put options, and forward contracts to manage currency exposure, designating these as cash flow hedges [201]. - As of September 30, 2025, the company had notional amounts of 61 million Pound Sterling (approximately $82 million) and 40 million Euro (approximately $47 million) in outstanding foreign currency contracts [202]. - A hypothetical 1% increase in interest rates would result in a net decrease to pre-tax income of approximately $7 million on an annualized basis [193]. - The company recorded a net unrealized gain of $1 million related to interest rate swaps as of September 30, 2025 [198]. - The company recorded a net unrealized gain of $6 million recorded in "Accumulated other comprehensive loss" on the balance sheet, expected to be fully recognized in earnings over the next twelve months [201]. - The company recorded a net loss of $14 million in "Accumulated other comprehensive loss" at December 31, 2024 [201].

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenue for Q3 2025 was $699 million, a decrease of 13% year-over-year, driven by lower sales volumes and unfavorable pricing for TiO2 and zircon [8][9] - Loss from operations was $43 million, with a net loss attributable to Tronox of $99 million, including $27 million in restructuring charges [8][9] - Adjusted EBITDA was $74 million, representing a 48% decline year-on-year, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 10.6% [8][11] - Free cash flow was a use of $137 million, including $80 million in capital expenditures [8][9] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - TiO2 revenues decreased by 11% year-over-year, driven by an 8% decrease in volumes and a 5% decline in average selling prices [9][10] - Zircon revenues decreased by 20% compared to the prior year, due to a 16% decrease in price and a 4% decline in volumes [10] - Revenue from other products decreased by 21% year-over-year, but increased by 18% sequentially due to higher sales of pig iron and heavy mineral concentrate tailings [10] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The zircon market faced unexpected headwinds, particularly in China, where both pricing and volumes continued to decline [3][4] - Europe, the Middle East, and North America experienced sharper seasonal declines amid market weakness and competitive pressures [9] - Latin America saw typical seasonal uplift, although weaker than expected, while Asia-Pacific growth was muted by competition and a temporary stay on India anti-dumping duties [10] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on cost improvement programs, targeting over $60 million in annualized savings by the end of 2025 and $125-$175 million by the end of 2026 [4][20] - Tronox is reinforcing its operational foundation and cash flow management through temporary idling of certain plants and adjusting production rates [4][21] - The company is also advancing its rare earth strategy, with mining operations in Australia and South Africa containing substantial amounts of monazite [7][18] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted ongoing challenges from weaker demand, downstream destocking, and heightened competition, but expressed optimism about future sales volumes due to competitors' insolvency proceedings [3][4] - The company expects Q4 2025 revenue and adjusted EBITDA to be relatively flat compared to Q3, driven by weaker pricing but improving volumes [19][20] - Management remains confident in the ability to navigate the current downturn and deliver long-term shareholder value [23] Other Important Information - The company raised $400 million in senior secured notes to enhance liquidity and repay borrowings [5][12] - Liquidity as of September 30 was $664 million, with $185 million in cash and cash equivalents [12][13] - The company returned $20 million to shareholders in the form of dividends in Q3 [14] Q&A Session Summary Question: Impact of anti-dumping measures and market size - Management acknowledged that the Brazil and Saudi Arabia markets are lower than India, but expressed confidence that India's duties will be reinstated soon, which would stabilize volumes [25][27] Question: Rare earths opportunity and refining capabilities - Management confirmed ongoing mining of monazite in Australia and South Africa, with plans for further development in refining and separation through partnerships [30][32] Question: Duration of idling plants and potential permanence - The Fuzhou plant is idled to preserve cash, with decisions on its future dependent on market conditions, while Stallingborough is expected to return to full rates in Q4 [37][39] Question: 2026 earnings potential and cost savings impact - Management indicated that the Sustainable Cost Improvement Program is expected to yield significant savings in 2026, with a focus on operational efficiencies [40][42] Question: Destocking and inventory rebuilding expectations - Management noted that destocking occurred earlier than expected, but anticipated a return to normal buying patterns in Q4, indicating a potential recovery [51][53]

Financial Performance - Revenue decreased by 13% year-over-year, from $804 million in Q3 2024 to $699 million in Q3 2025[11, 16] - Adjusted EBITDA decreased by 48% year-over-year, from $143 million in Q3 2024 to $74 million in Q3 2025[11, 25] - Adjusted EBITDA margin decreased by 720 basis points year-over-year, from 17.8% in Q3 2024 to 10.6% in Q3 2025[11, 25] - Free cash flow was a use of $137 million in Q3 2025, compared to a use of $14 million in Q3 2024[11] - Net loss attributable to Tronox was $99 million in Q3 2025, compared to a net loss of $25 million in Q3 2024[11, 13] Operational Highlights - TiO2 volumes decreased by 8% year-over-year and 4% quarter-over-quarter[16, 21] - Zircon volumes decreased by 4% year-over-year and 7% quarter-over-quarter[16, 21] - The company is on track to deliver sustainable run-rate cost improvements of more than $60 million in 2025 and $125-$175 million by the end of 2026[10] Liquidity and Capital Allocation - The company raised $400 million of secured notes in Q3 2025[10, 33] - Total debt was $3.2 billion as of September 30, 2025, with a net leverage ratio of 7.5x on a trailing twelve-month basis[33] - Total available liquidity was $664 million as of September 30, 2025, including $185 million in cash and cash equivalents[33]

Financial Performance - Revenue for Q3 2025 was $699 million, a 13% decrease year-over-year and a 4% decrease quarter-over-quarter[3]. - Net loss attributable to Tronox was $99 million, or a loss of $0.63 per diluted share, compared to a net loss of $25 million, or a loss of $0.16 per diluted share in Q3 2024[12]. - Adjusted EBITDA was $74 million, representing a 48% decrease year-over-year, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 10.6%[13]. - Net sales for Q3 2025 were $699 million, a decrease of 13.1% compared to $804 million in Q3 2024[28]. - Gross profit for Q3 2025 was $52 million, down from $128 million in Q3 2024, reflecting a gross margin of 7.4% compared to 15.9%[28]. - Adjusted net loss attributable to Tronox Holdings plc for Q3 2025 was $72 million, compared to $21 million in Q3 2024[29]. - Net loss for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, was $296 million, compared to a net loss of $24 million for the same period in 2024[36]. - Adjusted EBITDA for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, was $279 million, down from $435 million in 2024, representing a decrease of approximately 36%[37]. - Net sales for the three months ended September 30, 2025, were $699 million, compared to $804 million in 2024, reflecting a decline of about 13%[37]. - Adjusted EBITDA as a percentage of net sales for the three months ended September 30, 2025, was 10.6%, down from 17.8% in 2024[37]. Revenue Breakdown - TiO2 revenue was $550 million, down 11% year-over-year, driven by an 8% decline in volumes and a 5% decline in average selling prices[9]. - Zircon revenue decreased 20% to $59 million, impacted by a 16% decrease in average selling prices and a 4% decline in sales volumes[10]. Cash Flow and Liquidity - Free cash flow for Q3 2025 was a use of $137 million, with expectations for positive free cash flow in Q4 2025 and 2026[17][19]. - Free cash flow for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, was $(334) million, compared to $(197) million for the six months ended June 30, 2025[43]. - Cash provided by financing activities for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, was $345 million, contrasting with cash used in financing activities of $(97) million in 2024[36]. - Tronox raised $400 million in senior secured notes, increasing available liquidity to $664 million[16]. Capital Expenditures - Capital expenditures for the quarter were $80 million, focusing on key capital projects to sustain vertical integration[17]. - Capital expenditures for Q3 2025 were $80 million, down from $101 million in Q3 2024[28]. - Capital expenditures for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, were $273 million, compared to $253 million in 2024[36]. Debt and Assets - Long-term debt increased to $3,136 million as of September 30, 2025, compared to $2,759 million at the end of 2024[34]. - Total assets as of September 30, 2025, were $6,303 million, an increase from $6,038 million as of December 31, 2024[34]. - Net debt to trailing-twelve month Adjusted EBITDA ratio increased to 7.5x as of September 30, 2025, compared to 4.8x at the end of 2024[37]. Strategic Initiatives - The company is advancing its rare earth strategy, taking a 5% equity interest in Lion Rock Minerals to support resource development[18]. - The company reported a restructuring charge of $153 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, with no such charges reported in 2024[36]. - Tronox Holdings plc's restructuring and other charges amounted to $25 million in Q3 2025, with no such charges reported in Q3 2024[28].

Financial Performance - Tronox reported a quarterly loss of $0.46 per share, which was worse than the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of $0.21, and compared to a loss of $0.13 per share a year ago, indicating a significant earnings surprise of -119.05% [1] - The company posted revenues of $699 million for the quarter ended September 2025, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 5.28%, and down from $804 million in the same quarter last year [2] - Over the last four quarters, Tronox has not surpassed consensus EPS estimates and has consistently missed revenue estimates [2] Stock Performance - Tronox shares have declined approximately 68.3% since the beginning of the year, contrasting with the S&P 500's gain of 15.1% [3] - The current Zacks Rank for Tronox is 5 (Strong Sell), indicating expectations of underperformance in the near future [6] Earnings Outlook - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is -$0.11 on revenues of $729.64 million, and for the current fiscal year, it is -$0.75 on revenues of $2.94 billion [7] - The trend of estimate revisions for Tronox was unfavorable prior to the earnings release, which may impact future stock movements [6] Industry Context - The Chemical - Diversified industry, to which Tronox belongs, is currently ranked in the bottom 8% of over 250 Zacks industries, suggesting a challenging environment for stocks in this sector [8] - Comparatively, Chemours, another company in the same industry, is expected to report a quarterly earnings decline of 40% year-over-year, with revenues projected at $1.49 billion, down 0.6% from the previous year [9][10]