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Why United Natural Foods (UNFI) is a Top Momentum Stock for the Long-Term
ZACKS· 2025-01-03 16:10
Core Insights - Zacks Premium offers various tools for investors to enhance their stock market engagement and confidence [1] - The Zacks Style Scores provide a unique rating system for stocks based on value, growth, and momentum, aiding in identifying securities with high potential for market outperformance [2][3] Zacks Style Scores - The Style Scores categorize stocks into four types: Value Score, Growth Score, Momentum Score, and VGM Score, each focusing on different investment strategies [3][4][5][6] - Value Score identifies attractive stocks using financial ratios like P/E and Price/Sales [3] - Growth Score assesses a company's financial health and future outlook through earnings and sales projections [4] - Momentum Score evaluates price trends and earnings estimate changes to identify favorable buying opportunities [5] - VGM Score combines all three styles to highlight stocks with the best overall potential [6] Zacks Rank - The Zacks Rank is a proprietary model that uses earnings estimate revisions to simplify portfolio building [7] - Stocks rated 1 (Strong Buy) have historically achieved an average annual return of +25.41% since 1988, significantly outperforming the S&P 500 [8] - The combination of Zacks Rank and Style Scores helps investors select stocks with the highest probability of success [9][10] Company Spotlight: United Natural Foods (UNFI) - United Natural Foods, Inc. is a leading distributor of natural and organic products in the U.S. and Canada, offering around 250,000 products across various categories [11] - UNFI holds a 1 (Strong Buy) rating on the Zacks Rank and has a VGM Score of A, indicating strong investment potential [12] - The company has seen a 13.6% increase in share price over the past four weeks, with upward revisions in earnings estimates from analysts [12] - UNFI's average earnings surprise stands at an impressive 553.1%, further solidifying its attractiveness to investors [12][13]
United Natural Foods: Why Is It Going Up?
Seeking Alpha· 2024-12-19 13:51
In less than a year, United Natural Foods (NYSE: UNFI ) has run from under $10 to $27 a share, providing an exceptional return for investors. Given the stock has exhibited relatively muted increases in EBITDA over last year’s trough, someAnalyst’s Disclosure: I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of UNFI either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alp ...
What Makes United Natural Foods (UNFI) a Strong Momentum Stock: Buy Now?
ZACKS· 2024-12-18 18:01
Momentum investing is all about the idea of following a stock's recent trend, which can be in either direction. In the 'long' context, investors will essentially be "buying high, but hoping to sell even higher." And for investors following this methodology, taking advantage of trends in a stock's price is key; once a stock establishes a course, it is more than likely to continue moving in that direction. The goal is that once a stock heads down a fixed path, it will lead to timely and profitable trades.Even ...
Why United Natural Foods Was Rocketing Higher This Week
The Motley Fool· 2024-12-13 13:09
News of an estimates-busting quarter and subsequent analyst price target raises drove United Natural Foods (UNFI 1.35%) stock higher over the past few days. Consequently, according to data compiled by S&P Global Market Intelligence, as of early morning Friday the company's shares were more than 18% higher in price week to date.A fine way to start the new fiscal yearUnited, which is the No. 1 wholesale provider of organic and natural food products, unveiled its latest set of quarterly results on Tuesday. In ...
Should Value Investors Buy United Natural Foods (UNFI) Stock?
ZACKS· 2024-12-12 15:41
Here at Zacks, we focus on our proven ranking system, which places an emphasis on earnings estimates and estimate revisions, to find winning stocks. But we also understand that investors develop their own strategies, so we are constantly looking at the latest trends in value, growth, and momentum to find strong companies for our readers.Of these, value investing is easily one of the most popular ways to find great stocks in any market environment. Value investors use fundamental analysis and traditional val ...
United Natural Foods(UNFI) - 2025 Q1 - Quarterly Report
2024-12-10 21:37
Financial Performance - Net sales for the first quarter of fiscal 2025 increased by 4.2% to $7,871 million, compared to $7,552 million in the first quarter of fiscal 2024[137] - Gross profit rose by $8 million, or 0.8%, to $1,038 million, with a gross profit margin of 13.2%, down from 13.6% in the prior year[141] - Operating expenses decreased by $8 million, or 0.8%, to $1,015 million, representing 12.9% of net sales, down from 13.5%[142] - Operating income improved by $21 million to $5 million, compared to an operating loss of $16 million in the first quarter of fiscal 2024[145] - Net loss attributable to United Natural Foods, Inc. was $21 million, or $0.35 per diluted share, compared to a net loss of $39 million, or $0.67 per diluted share, in the prior year[151] - Adjusted EBITDA increased by $17 million to $134 million, driven by gross profit growth and decreased operating expenses[153] - Wholesale net sales increased by $309 million to $7,590 million, primarily due to higher unit volumes and inflation[153] - Retail net sales decreased by $20 million to $586 million, primarily due to a 1.4% decrease in identical store sales[155] Cost and Expenses - The company reported a product cost inflation of approximately 1% in Q1 fiscal 2025 compared to Q1 fiscal 2024[117] - Restructuring, acquisition, and integration-related expenses rose to $12 million from $4 million, driven by higher employee severance costs[143] - Interest expense increased to $36 million from $35 million, primarily due to higher average interest rates[146] Liquidity and Debt - Total liquidity as of November 2, 2024, was $1,174 million, consisting of $1,137 million in unused credit and $37 million in cash[159] - Total debt increased by $162 million to $2,247 million as of November 2, 2024, primarily due to additional net borrowings under the ABL Credit Facility[159] - Working capital rose by $176 million to $1,213 million as of November 2, 2024, driven by seasonal increases in inventory and accounts receivable[159] Capital Expenditures and Investments - Capital expenditures for the first quarter of fiscal 2025 were $49 million, a decrease of $25 million compared to $74 million in the first quarter of fiscal 2024[170] - Fiscal 2025 capital and cloud implementation spending is expected to be approximately $300 million, focusing on distribution network automation and technology platform investments[171] - The company anticipates financing fiscal 2025 capital and cloud implementation expenditures with cash generated from operations and borrowings under the ABL Credit Facility[171] Distribution and Operations - A new distribution center in Manchester, Pennsylvania, with approximately 1.3 million square feet, began operations in Q1 fiscal 2025[113] - The company has 53 distribution centers and warehouses, totaling approximately 31 million square feet of warehouse space across North America[104] - The company is optimizing its distribution center network to achieve cost savings and improve customer experience[112] - The company plans to evaluate its distribution center network for further optimization and efficiency improvements[114] Market Risks - The company's exposure to market risk is primarily due to fluctuations in interest rates on borrowings and interest rate swap agreements[191] - Price increases in diesel fuel also contribute to the company's market risk exposure[191] - There have been no material changes to the company's exposure to market risks compared to those disclosed in the Annual Report[191] Shareholder Actions - The company did not repurchase any shares in the first quarter of fiscal 2025, with $138 million remaining authorized under the 2022 Repurchase Program[185] Pension Contributions - The company expects to contribute approximately $51 million to multiemployer pension plans in fiscal 2025, subject to collective bargaining outcomes[182]
Why United Natural Foods Stock Took Off This Week
The Motley Fool· 2024-10-04 14:00
United Natural Foods is implementing a turnaround as the economy continues to grow. Heading into this week investors in North American food distributor United Natural Foods (UNFI 3.14%) didn't have much to cheer about. But a week containing positive news can make a big difference in a portfolio's returns. After the company surprised investors with its fiscal 2024 fourth-quarter results, the stock hit a level it hadn't seen since June of last year. After rocketing higher by as much as 27% this week, United N ...
Why United Natural Foods Stock Popped Today
The Motley Fool· 2024-10-01 19:57
The natural food supplier delivered a better-than-expected earnings report. Shares of United Natural Foods (UNFI 32.43%) were looking fresh today, as the nation's largest wholesaler of organic and natural foods posted better-than-expected results in its fourth-quarter earnings report, including a surprise profit. As of 1:42 p.m. ET, the stock was up 22.1% on the news. United Natural Foods is looking healthy United Natural Foods said revenue in the quarter was up 10% to $8.16 billion, which was better than t ...
United Natural Foods(UNFI) - 2024 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2024-10-01 16:22
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Fourth quarter sales reached $8.2 billion, benefiting from an extra week in the quarter, with a comparable 13-week basis growth of approximately 2.1% [19] - Adjusted EBITDA for the fourth quarter was $143 million, compared to $93 million in the previous year, marking the fourth consecutive quarter of sequentially higher profitability [24] - Free cash flow in Q4 was $71 million, enabling a reduction in net debt to under $2.1 billion and net leverage to 4.0 turns, a decline of 0.6 turns from Q3 [25] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Wholesale volumes improved, ending the year up 2%, primarily driven by the natural side of the business, while conventional volumes improved at a slower pace [20] - Retail sales saw a decline of slightly more than 4% compared to the prior year, attributed to lower same-store sales [21] - Gross margin rate, excluding LIFO, was 13.5% in Q4, with both wholesale and retail gross margin rates up compared to last year [22] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The natural and organic product segment grew around 5% in Q4 on a comparable 13-week basis compared to the prior year, with expectations for continued growth [5] - The market segment identified by the company totals over $90 billion in wholesale sales, expected to grow at a low single-digit rate over the long term [5] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on a new strategy that emphasizes adding value through a differentiated portfolio of products and services, targeting a resilient market segment [6][7] - Plans include optimizing the distribution center network to lower costs and improve efficiency, with a capital investment reduction expected in fiscal 2025 [12][29] - The company aims for annual adjusted EBITDA growth in the high single-digit range over the next three years, with a target to reduce net leverage to 2.5 turns or less by fiscal year-end 2027 [15][29] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's ability to deliver and deleverage, focusing on helping customers succeed while managing costs tightly [52] - The outlook for fiscal 2025 includes expected sales in the range of $30.3 billion to $30.8 billion, with adjusted EBITDA projected to increase by 8% at the midpoint [28][29] - Management noted that while inflation remains a concern, they are focused on controlling internal factors to drive profitability [52] Other Important Information - The company has streamlined its organizational structure, reducing management layers to enhance decision-making speed [17] - A new fee structure for suppliers aims to simplify operations and improve collaboration, with early feedback indicating positive reception [49] Q&A Session Summary Question: Role of conventional in the portfolio - Management indicated that while natural products are a focus, conventional products still play a significant role in the overall strategy, with efforts to optimize the supply chain for efficiency [32] Question: Labor productivity and wage rate inflation - Management aims to offset wage rate inflation through productivity improvements and lean practices, focusing on increasing throughput in distribution centers [33] Question: Gross margin outlook for 2025 - Management expects a balance between benefits from shrink initiatives and pressures from customer mix, with vendor promotions not returning to pre-pandemic levels [36] Question: Retail segment demand trends - The retail business, particularly the Cub brand, is undergoing strategic improvements to enhance performance amidst competitive pressures [38] Question: Network optimization strategy - The strategy focuses on modernizing the distribution network to improve efficiency and customer service, with closures of legacy centers planned [48]
United Natural Foods (UNFI) Surpasses Q4 Earnings and Revenue Estimates
ZACKS· 2024-10-01 13:16
United Natural Foods (UNFI) came out with quarterly earnings of $0.01 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of $0.08 per share. This compares to loss of $0.25 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items. This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of 112.50%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this organic and specialty foods distributor would post earnings of $0.10 per share when it actually produced earnings of $0.10, delivering no surprise. Over ...