Core Insights - XP Inc. has established itself as a leading player in Brazil's financial industry, demonstrating significant growth potential despite already solid Q2 results [1] Company Performance - XP Inc. reported strong results in Q2, indicating ongoing growth and resilience in the financial sector [1] Market Position - The company is recognized as revolutionary within Brazil's financial landscape, suggesting a strong competitive advantage and innovative approach [1]

Core Viewpoint - XP Inc.A reported quarterly earnings of $0.43 per share, matching the Zacks Consensus Estimate, and showing an increase from $0.39 per share a year ago [1] - The company posted revenues of $786.31 million for the quarter, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 5.8% and down from $809.53 million year-over-year [2] Financial Performance - XP Inc.A's earnings of $0.43 per share were in line with expectations, with a previous quarter surprise of +2.63% when it reported $0.39 per share against an expectation of $0.38 [1] - The company has surpassed consensus revenue estimates two times over the last four quarters, but this quarter's revenue was below expectations [2] Stock Performance - XP Inc.A shares have increased approximately 48.2% since the beginning of the year, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's gain of 9.7% [3] - The stock's immediate price movement will depend on management's commentary during the earnings call [3] Future Outlook - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $0.45, with expected revenues of $870.3 million, and for the current fiscal year, the EPS estimate is $1.72 on revenues of $3.4 billion [7] - The estimate revisions trend for XP Inc.A was favorable ahead of the earnings release, resulting in a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy) for the stock, indicating expected outperformance in the near future [6] Industry Context - The Financial - Miscellaneous Services industry, to which XP Inc.A belongs, is currently ranked in the top 18% of over 250 Zacks industries, suggesting a positive outlook for stocks within this sector [8]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Client assets (AUM and AUA) reached BRL 1,900 billion, reflecting a 17% year-over-year growth [3] - Active clients increased to 4.7 million, marking a 2% growth year-over-year [4] - Gross revenues for the quarter were BRL 4.7 billion, a 4% year-over-year increase [4] - Net income achieved a record high of BRL 1.321 billion, representing an 18% year-over-year growth [4] - Return on equity (ROE) was 24.4%, with a 223 basis points expansion compared to the same quarter last year [5] - Diluted EPS grew by 22% year-over-year, driven by a share buyback program [6] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Retail revenue posted BRL 3.5 billion, a 9% growth year-over-year, primarily driven by fixed income and new retail verticals [23] - Fixed income revenue grew by 20% year-over-year, reaching BRL 1 billion [24] - Corporate revenues increased by 14% year-over-year, while issuer services saw a 30% decline due to tough comparisons from the previous year [25] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a solid GCM pipeline for the second half of the year, indicating potential for revenue growth despite current challenges [8] - The corporate lending strategy is evolving, with a focus on originating credit to sell, rather than holding it on the balance sheet [46] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to enhance its ecosystem by integrating retail, institutional, and corporate divisions to generate investment opportunities [10] - There is a focus on diversifying channels and expanding the sales team to improve client engagement and product offerings [11] - The company is committed to maintaining a sustainable revenue model and long-term growth, positioning itself as a defensive business [11] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - The management acknowledged that 2025 has been more challenging than anticipated, requiring increased efforts to maintain profitability [3] - There is confidence in achieving retail net new money averaging BRL 20 billion per quarter for the remainder of the year [9] - The management expects to see improvements in the corporate lending strategy and overall revenue growth in the second half of the year [62] Other Important Information - The company has a share buyback program of BRL 1 billion to be executed until next year [6] - The BIS ratio is at a comfortable level of 20.1%, indicating strong capital management [32] Q&A Session Summary Question: Capital generation and dividends - The management indicated that net income is growing faster than RWA, and they expect to distribute more than 50% of net income in dividends and buybacks [37][40] Question: Corporate lending strategy - The management confirmed that corporate lending is important but operates within a defined risk appetite, focusing on originating credit to sell [45][48] Question: Net new money initiatives - The management outlined several initiatives to increase net new money, including channel diversification and enhancing productivity of internal advisers [55][58] Question: Revenue growth and inflows - The management expressed confidence in achieving BRL 20 billion in net new money, citing improvements in the B2B channel and new product offerings [62][66] Question: Corporate portfolio dynamics - The management explained that the corporate credit portfolio is primarily for securitization and selling, and they are adapting to market dynamics affecting corporate net new money [71][72] Question: Non-people related expenses - The management acknowledged a significant increase in non-people expenses due to marketing and technology investments, which are expected to normalize [87][88]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Client assets, AUM, and AUA reached BRL 1,900 billion, reflecting a 17% year-over-year growth [2] - Gross revenues for the quarter were BRL 4.7 billion, marking a 4% year-over-year increase [3] - EBT decreased by 5% year-over-year to BRL 1.3 billion, primarily due to last year's positive overhead impacts [3] - Net income reached a record high of BRL 1.321 billion, representing an 18% year-over-year growth [3] - ROE was 24.4%, with a 223 basis points expansion compared to the same quarter last year [4] - Diluted EPS grew by 22% year-over-year, driven by the share buyback program [5] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Retail revenue grew by 9% year-over-year, driven by fixed income and new retail verticals [23] - Fixed income revenue increased by 20% year-over-year, reaching BRL 1 billion [24] - Life insurance written premiums grew by 45% year-over-year, indicating strong growth potential in this segment [15] - Credit card transactions marked BRL 12.4 billion in TPV, an 8% year-over-year increase [15] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The corporate and institutional segment saw a net outflow of BRL 6 billion in new money, attributed to higher interest expenses and liquidity constraints [6][7] - The company maintained a 17% market share in the local industry for its broker-dealer operations [18] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to become the leader in investments in Brazil, focusing on a diversified ecosystem that integrates retail, institutional, and corporate divisions [11][12] - New product offerings and channel diversification are key strategies to enhance client engagement and drive profitability [10][11] - The company is investing in technology and marketing to improve client experience and expand its service offerings [88] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - The current operating environment is more challenging than anticipated, particularly for investment banking origination activities [7] - Management remains optimistic about a solid GCM pipeline for the second half of the year and expects to achieve retail net new money averaging BRL 1 billion per quarter [8] - The company anticipates that the dynamics of the corporate lending market may continue to impact net new money in the upcoming quarters [72] Other Important Information - The company has a share buyback program of BRL 1 billion to be executed until next year, aligning with its capital distribution plan [5][31] - The BIS ratio stands at a comfortable level of 20.1%, indicating strong capital management [32] Q&A Session Summary Question: Capital generation and dividends - Management indicated that net income is expected to grow faster than RWA, allowing for potential acceleration in dividends and buybacks [36][39] Question: Corporate lending strategy - Management acknowledged the importance of corporate lending but emphasized that growth in this area is aligned with their risk appetite [44][47] Question: Initiatives to increase net new money - Management highlighted channel diversification, new product offerings, and increased productivity of IFAs as key initiatives to drive net new money [55][57] Question: Inflows in the third quarter - Management expressed confidence in achieving BRL 20 billion in inflows, although specific inflow patterns for the quarter were not disclosed [62][67] Question: Corporate portfolio dynamics - Management explained that the corporate credit portfolio is primarily originated for securitization and sale, with current market dynamics affecting net new money [70][72] Question: Non-people related expenses - Management attributed the increase in non-people related expenses to marketing and technology investments, which are expected to continue [88][90] Question: Fee-based model impact - Management noted that while the fee-based model currently represents only 5% of AUC, it is expected to grow, potentially impacting the take rate but increasing the share of wallet [97][99]

Financial Performance - XP Inc's client assets, AUM, and AUA reached R$1.9 trillion, a 17% increase year-over-year[10] - Gross Revenue increased by 4% year-over-year to R$4.7 billion[12] - The company's EBT was R$1.3 billion, a 5% decrease year-over-year[12] - Net Income grew by 18% year-over-year, with a diluted EPS growth of 30% CAGR[15] - The company's ROE was 24.4%, a 223 bps increase year-over-year[14] Retail Investments - Retail Net New Money amounted to R$16 billion[26] - Retail revenue increased by 9% year-over-year to R$3.577 billion[66] - Equities and Fixed Income are the main contributors in Retail revenue[69] Wholesale - Institutional, Corporate, and Issuer Services Gross Revenue reached R$3.619 billion LTM[54] - Investment Banking DCM Volume was R$34 billion[54] Capital Management - The company's BIS Ratio is 20.1%[14, 105] - The company's VaR is R$28 million, or 13 bps of Equity[107]

Core Viewpoint - The comparison between XP Inc. and SoFi Technologies indicates that XP presents a better value opportunity for investors at this time due to its stronger earnings outlook and more attractive valuation metrics [3][7]. Valuation Metrics - XP has a forward P/E ratio of 10.16, significantly lower than SoFi's forward P/E of 76.08, indicating that XP is undervalued relative to its earnings potential [5]. - The PEG ratio for XP is 0.76, while SoFi's PEG ratio is 3.00, suggesting that XP is expected to grow its earnings at a more favorable rate compared to its valuation [5]. - XP's P/B ratio stands at 2.61, compared to SoFi's P/B of 3.81, further supporting the notion that XP is a more attractive investment based on book value [6]. Investment Ratings - XP holds a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy), while SoFi has a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), indicating a stronger positive earnings estimate revision trend for XP [3][6]. - Based on the overall valuation metrics, XP has a Value grade of B, whereas SoFi has a Value grade of F, highlighting XP's superior valuation profile [6].

Company Overview - XP Inc.A is expected to report quarterly earnings of $0.43 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of +10.3% [3] - Revenues are anticipated to reach $834.73 million, which is a 3.1% increase from the previous year [3] Earnings Estimates and Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 17.14% higher in the last 30 days, indicating a positive reassessment by analysts [4] - The Most Accurate Estimate for XP Inc.A is higher than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of +1.18% [12] Earnings Surprise Potential - A positive Earnings ESP reading suggests a strong likelihood of an earnings beat, especially when combined with a Zacks Rank of 1 [10] - XP Inc.A currently holds a Zacks Rank of 1, indicating a high probability of exceeding the consensus EPS estimate [12] Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, XP Inc.A had an earnings surprise of +2.63%, posting earnings of $0.39 per share against an expectation of $0.38 [13] - Over the past four quarters, the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates only once [14] Industry Context - Another company in the Zacks Financial - Miscellaneous Services industry, HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital, is expected to post earnings of $0.62 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of -1.6% [18] - HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital's revenues are projected to decline by 49% year-over-year, with an Earnings ESP of -1.86% and a Zacks Rank of 4 [19][20]

Group 1 - XP Inc. has experienced significant selling pressure, resulting in a 12.1% decline in stock price over the past four weeks, but analysts anticipate better earnings than previously predicted [1] - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for XP is currently at 25.59, indicating that the stock is in oversold territory, which may suggest a potential reversal in trend [5][7] - Over the last 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate for XP has increased by 11.3%, indicating a positive trend in earnings estimates that typically correlates with price appreciation [7][8] Group 2 - XP holds a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy), placing it in the top 5% of over 4,000 ranked stocks based on earnings estimate revisions and EPS surprises, further supporting the potential for a near-term turnaround [8]

Core Insights - Investors in the Financial - Miscellaneous Services sector may consider XP Inc.A (XP) and SoFi Technologies, Inc. (SOFI) as potential undervalued stocks [1] - A strong Zacks Rank combined with a favorable Value grade is an effective method for identifying value opportunities [2] Company Comparison - XP Inc.A has a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy), indicating a stronger earnings outlook compared to SoFi Technologies, Inc., which has a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [3] - Value investors typically analyze traditional metrics to identify undervalued stocks [3] Valuation Metrics - XP has a forward P/E ratio of 10.85, significantly lower than SOFI's forward P/E of 75.90 [5] - XP's PEG ratio is 0.81, while SOFI's PEG ratio is 3.53, indicating XP's better valuation relative to its expected earnings growth [5] - XP's P/B ratio is 2.78, compared to SOFI's P/B of 3.47, further supporting XP's superior valuation [6] - Based on these metrics, XP holds a Value grade of B, while SOFI has a Value grade of F, suggesting XP is the better value option [6]

Core Viewpoint - The rating for XP Inc. (NASDAQ: XP) shares has been upgraded from hold to buy following the release of its Q1 2025 results [1] Company Summary - XP Inc. has been under coverage for over five years, focusing on equity analysis in Latin America [1] Investment Insights - The article aims to provide clients with in-depth research and insights to facilitate informed investment decisions [1]