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中国市场2024/2025酒店运营商信心指数调研
JLL· 2024-10-17 06:36
Investment Rating - The report indicates a cautious outlook for the hotel industry in China for 2024, with a focus on luxury hotels showing potential resilience and growth [8][11][95]. Core Insights - The majority of hotels have a conservative performance outlook for 2024, with expectations of challenges in revenue recovery. However, luxury hotels are anticipated to demonstrate stronger resilience in occupancy rates [8][11][95]. - The report highlights that over 60% of surveyed hotels predict a decline in total revenue and GOP for 2024 compared to 2023, reflecting specific challenges faced by the Chinese market [30][36][95]. - For 2025, there are signs of a slight positive growth in total revenue and GOP, although the growth momentum is expected to be moderate [11][36][95]. Summary by Sections 1. Survey Sample - The survey is based on 1,075 responses from the Asia-Pacific hotel sector, with 621 responses from mainland China, representing 99% of the Chinese market [5]. 2. Performance Outlook 2024-2025 - The report projects a cautious performance outlook for 2024, with luxury hotels expected to show better occupancy resilience compared to other segments [8][11][95]. - For 2025, the performance outlook is more optimistic, with expectations of slight growth in total revenue and GOP [11][36]. 3. Labor and Talent - Over 60% of hotels anticipate a reduction in staff numbers, with 44% citing rising employee costs as a challenge [41][43]. - The most challenging departments for recruitment are front desk, food and beverage, and kitchen [46][95]. 4. Food and Beverage (Excluding MICE) - Most respondents expect food and beverage performance in 2024 to be below 2019 levels, but half believe there will be a rebound in 2025 [56][59][95]. 5. MICE & Weddings - Hotels face challenges in MICE and wedding demand recovery, with expectations that 2024 will not return to 2019 levels [69][95]. 6. Capital Expenditure Priorities - Technology upgrades and mechanical improvements remain the primary focus for capital expenditures [99][95]. 7. Sustainability - Cost reduction is the main driver for sustainability investments, although funding shortages remain a challenge [83][85][95]. - Only 13% of respondents have undergone external sustainability ratings, indicating a need for increased focus on sustainability practices [87][95]. 8. Key Insights and Considerations - The report emphasizes the cautious outlook for 2024, with luxury hotels showing potential for better performance, while the overall market faces specific challenges [95].
高质量城市不动产管理战略:时代命题,城企共赢-新型需求下的国企不动产管理和物业改造路径
JLL· 2024-09-22 07:11
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry Core Insights - The report emphasizes the necessity for state-owned enterprises (SOEs) to enhance their real estate management to improve efficiency and optimize resource allocation, particularly in light of ongoing reforms in state-owned capital and enterprises [3][5][12] - It highlights the importance of integrating real estate management with core business operations to support the strategic functions of SOEs and facilitate modernization [6][8] - The report introduces the concept of "High-Quality Urban Real Estate Management" (URE), aiming to improve resource allocation and promote urban revitalization through comprehensive asset management [6][12] Summary by Sections Section 1: The Need for Reform in SOE Real Estate Management - The report discusses the historical accumulation of idle and inefficient assets within SOEs, which necessitates a focus on real estate management to enhance asset value [3][4] - It outlines the dual aspects of SOE real estate management: supporting core business operations and managing non-core real estate assets [6][8] Section 2: Enhancing SOE Strategic Value through Real Estate Management - The report indicates that effective corporate real estate (CRE) practices can significantly enhance the operational efficiency and financial performance of SOEs [7][8] - It stresses the need for SOEs to adopt a more integrated approach to real estate management, focusing on strategic alignment with business goals [8][12] Section 3: Characteristics and Potential of SOE Real Estate Assets - The report provides an analysis of the structural characteristics of SOE real estate assets, noting that a significant portion is located in older urban areas and may require modernization [24][27] - It highlights the potential for revitalizing these assets to enhance urban competitiveness and economic vitality [23][24] Section 4: Strategies for Optimizing Real Estate Assets - The report suggests that SOEs should explore various strategies for upgrading or repurposing existing properties, including relocation and modernization of office spaces [19][20] - It emphasizes the importance of aligning real estate strategies with market demands and emerging trends to maximize asset utilization [18][19]
大中华区物业摘要:蓄力谋势 待时而动
JLL· 2024-09-05 08:00
蓄力谋势 待时而动 大中华区物业摘要 研究部 中国 2024年第二季度 jll.com ((()) JLL 中 量 SEE A BRIGHTER WAY 向 光 而 为 目录 | --- | --- | |------------------|-------| | | | | 市场动态 | | | 甲级办公楼市场 | 03 | | 优质零售物业市场 | 04 | | 住宅市场 | 05 | | 物流地产市场 | 06 | | --- | --- | |--------|-------| | | | | 办公楼 | | | 北京 | 13 | | 上海 | 14 | | 广州 | 15 | | 深圳 | 16 | | 成都 | 17 | | 天津 | 18 | | 青岛 | 19 | | --- | --- | |----------------------------------------|-------| | | | | 广深新兴商务区承接办公新需求 | 07 | | "北京需求圈"持续扩张 | 08 | | 车企零部件厂商或成产办需求新引擎 | 09 | | 高端制造业:办公楼市场复苏的潜在驱动力 | ...
2024年上半年中国零售地产行业市场报告
JLL· 2024-08-27 11:42
2024年上半年 中国零售地产市场报告 仲量联行研究部 2024年8月 ((0)JLL 仲 量 隣 行 SEE A BRIGHTER WAY 向 光 而 为 013 02 19 03 33 04 39 05 43 2024 © 20232 丨宏观经济 100% A B C 80% -11.9% 66.6% 60% -25.0% 48.2% -16.2% 45.8% -26.9% 39.7% -9.8% 35.8% 40% A B C -30.6% 27.5% 21.4% 20% 12.3% 9.0% 0% -20% -40% 2020202120222023 2020202120222023 2020202120222023 2024 2024 2024 2024 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 A B C iFind 2024 8 2024 4 | © 2024 . 38.5 40 150% 15 150% 142.2% 36.6 13.5 33.7 12.7 12.6 12 100% 130.4% 30 100% 26.1 8.6 9.1 0369 50% 22.0 21.0 ...
新能源发电行业及其市场化进程概览白皮书
JLL· 2024-08-27 11:41
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the renewable energy generation industry. Core Insights - The renewable energy sector in China is experiencing significant growth, with a notable shift towards cleaner and more efficient energy systems driven by technological advancements and policy support [9][10][13]. - As of mid-2024, the total installed capacity of renewable energy generation reached approximately 1.653 billion kilowatts, with solar and wind power accounting for 25.4% and 15.9% of the total capacity, respectively [10][20]. - The report highlights the increasing market share of renewable energy projects, which accounted for 88% of new power installations in the first half of 2024, indicating a robust trend towards renewable energy adoption [20]. Summary by Sections 1. Current Development of China's Renewable Energy Generation Industry - Renewable energy includes solar, wind, hydro, biomass, ocean, and geothermal energy, which are environmentally friendly alternatives to fossil fuels [9]. - The energy structure in China's power market is changing significantly, with a growing share of renewable energy and the integration of new technologies like artificial intelligence [9][10]. 2. Marketization Process of Renewable Energy Projects - In the first half of 2024, new renewable energy installations totaled 134 million kilowatts, a 24% increase year-on-year [20]. - The report outlines the marketization paths for wind and solar power, including investment mergers and acquisitions, initial public offerings (IPOs), and asset securitization products [35][43]. 3. Investment and Mergers & Acquisitions - The renewable energy sector saw 59 merger and acquisition transactions in 2023, a 40% increase from the previous year, with disclosed transaction amounts totaling 13.3 billion yuan [39]. - The report emphasizes the role of state-owned enterprises in leading these transactions, while private enterprises are also increasingly active in acquiring operational support and power stations [39]. 4. Initial Public Offerings (IPOs) - IPOs provide companies with access to a broader investor market, facilitating capital raising for future development and operational costs [43][46]. - The report discusses the advantages and risks associated with IPOs, including increased capital accessibility and potential legal liabilities [46][47]. 5. Asset Securitization Products - The report details various asset securitization products applicable to the renewable energy sector, including Pre-REITs and public REITs, which help improve liquidity and financial structure for renewable energy companies [48][53]. - The market for renewable energy REITs is expected to grow, driven by increasing demand for green investment products [53][54]. 6. Valuation Methodology and Parameters - The report outlines different valuation methods for renewable energy projects, including income and market approaches, tailored to the project's operational stage [55][57]. - For operational projects, the income approach is commonly used, while in-construction projects often rely on asset-based methods [63][64].
2024中国办公楼租赁指南
JLL· 2024-08-27 11:40
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the office leasing industry in China Core Insights - The overall demand for Grade A office buildings in China shows a weak recovery trend as of the first half of 2024, with companies adopting cautious leasing strategies and heightened sensitivity to rental costs [27][46] - The total supply of Grade A office space in 14 key cities in China increased by 5.2% year-on-year, reaching 64.02 million square meters, with significant contributions from Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, Shenzhen, and Hong Kong [27] - The average rental prices for Grade A office buildings are under pressure, with some cities experiencing accelerated declines in rental rates [27][39] Summary by Sections Office Leasing Services - The company has over 170 professionals in the office leasing sector in China, providing comprehensive market information and services [4] - The company has completed over 1,200 office leasing transactions covering more than 1.13 million square meters of leased area in 2023 [8] Market Overview - The Grade A office market in China is primarily driven by cost reduction and efficiency improvement demands, with a notable increase in vacancy rates due to new supply pressures [27] - The average vacancy rate for Grade A office buildings in major cities is rising, with some cities seeing significant increases [27] Major Cities Insights - **Shanghai**: The total stock of Grade A office space reached 17.9 million square meters, with a vacancy rate of 23.5% and an average rent of 6.6 RMB/sqm/day [35] - **Shenzhen**: The total stock is approximately 13.48 million square meters, with a vacancy rate of 24.6% and an average rent of 5.1 RMB/sqm/day [39] - **Beijing**: The total stock is 11.21 million square meters, with a vacancy rate of 12.1% and an average rent of 9.1 RMB/sqm/day [46] - **Guangzhou**: The total stock is 8.08 million square meters, with a vacancy rate of 21.0% and an average rent of 4.5 RMB/sqm/day [53] - **Chengdu**: The total stock is 4.696 million square meters, with a vacancy rate of 29.6% and an average rent of 2.6 RMB/sqm/day [59] Factors Influencing Office Leasing - Key factors for office leasing include geographical location, area calculation based on employee numbers, project management timelines, and budget control [14][15][16] - The report emphasizes the importance of ESG (Environmental, Social, and Governance) considerations in the leasing process [15] Rental Costs and Fees - Standard rental periods are typically three years, with rental prices often remaining stable during this period [16] - Additional costs include property management fees, utilities, and potential renovation costs, which are typically borne by the tenant [17][21] Leasing Process Steps - The leasing process involves determining requirements, conducting market research, negotiating terms, and finalizing contracts [18]
2024全球办公空间使用基准指南:混合办公时代,企业房地产如何转型?
JLL· 2024-08-08 12:30
Key Insights - The report emphasizes that hybrid working models are driving significant changes in office space strategy and management, requiring companies to balance various demands within limited office space and budgets [7][8][19] - Over 80% of global companies are currently implementing hybrid work models, with nearly 50% planning to expand these models in the next three years, indicating a shift towards greater flexibility and diverse office spaces [8][9][20] - The importance of space utilization data is highlighted, as it has become a top metric in assessing the value of hybrid work models, with companies facing challenges in evaluating dynamic office occupancy patterns [7][39] Group 1: Hybrid Work Impact - Hybrid work continues to evolve, significantly influencing corporate and commercial real estate strategy [18][19] - Companies are increasingly adopting flexible attendance policies, with over 70% implementing such policies, which complicates the management of office space usage [27][28] - The report notes that only 33% of companies have integrated change management plans into their hybrid work implementation, indicating a need for improvement in this area [16][29] Group 2: Space Utilization Trends - Space utilization data is becoming crucial for managing hybrid work models, with 77% of companies tracking this data in 2024, up from 61% in 2019 [39][41] - The average space utilization rate across all regions is reported at 49%, which is below the target values, highlighting the challenges companies face in optimizing office space [44][47] - Companies are increasingly focusing on space density metrics, with 85% using average space per workstation as a key indicator [52][53] Group 3: Office Space Design Evolution - The design of office spaces is evolving to accommodate a variety of work styles, with a growing demand for collaborative spaces and quiet areas for focused work [56][57] - Understanding different work styles and employee experiences is essential for creating effective office environments that enhance performance and satisfaction [57][58] - The report indicates that while collaboration is valued, independent work remains a significant activity in office settings, necessitating a balance in space design [57][58]
科技创新与实践共筑永续未来城市
JLL· 2024-07-08 03:30
Core Viewpoints - The integration of technology and real estate faces challenges due to the rapid pace of technological development and the lack of mutual understanding between the two industries [1] - The real estate industry is undergoing a transformation towards digitalization and sustainability, driven by urbanization and China's dual-carbon policy goals [3] - The future of real estate technology lies in the convergence of multiple disciplines, with a growing demand for interdisciplinary talent [8] Industry Perspectives - Saint-Gobain aims to achieve net-zero carbon emissions by 2050 through innovative solutions in building productivity, circular economy, and digital construction technologies [2] - New World Development focuses on sustainable urban development, aligning with the UN Sustainable Development Goals and promoting cross-industry collaboration [2] - Impact Hub Shanghai emphasizes the importance of open innovation ecosystems in driving green transformation and sustainable growth in traditional industries [2] - Hong Kong Science Park is building a green tech ecosystem in the Greater Bay Area, aiming for net-zero emissions by 2045 [2] - JLL highlights the importance of digital transformation in real estate, driven by urbanization, demographic shifts, and the need for sustainable ecosystems [5] - Swire Properties is committed to environmental sustainability and innovation, exploring new applications of real estate technology [5] - Shui On Land focuses on creating sustainable urban communities, integrating green building practices and renewable energy solutions [5] - Goodman Group prioritizes ESG goals, seeking sustainable solutions and innovative startups to enhance urban development [5] Technological Trends in Real Estate - Building energy simulation and analysis technologies are key to reducing energy consumption and optimizing building operations [6] - IoT sensors enable real-time monitoring and optimization of building energy usage and thermal environments [6] - Smart control systems for building thermal environments improve comfort while reducing energy consumption [6] - Algorithm modules that analyze human behavior patterns enhance building efficiency and space utilization [6] - Measures to improve user experience, such as optimizing indoor air quality and natural lighting, are gaining attention [7] - Efficient space utilization and environmental friendliness are becoming critical as urban land becomes scarce [7] Innovation and Collaboration - The real estate industry is increasingly seeking external collaborations and upgrading talent pools to break down barriers between real estate and tech companies [34] - Open innovation models are fostering cross-industry collaborations, driving sustainable solutions and green transformations [49][50] - The Greater Bay Area is emerging as a hub for green tech innovation, with collaborations between government, industry, and academia [2] Case Studies and Practical Applications - Saint-Gobain's Shanghai R&D center implemented a digital twin system to optimize environmental controls and energy management [21][22] - Swire Properties and Weijian Robotics collaborated on intelligent construction robots, significantly improving construction efficiency [27][28] - Goodman Group's automated green maintenance system reduced labor and water costs through the use of AI-driven technologies [29][151] - Vegatex and Budweiser China developed "barley-based leather" from brewery waste, showcasing innovative material reuse [26][159][160] Future Directions - The real estate industry is expected to continue integrating AI, IoT, and other advanced technologies to enhance sustainability and efficiency [8][10] - The focus on ESG (Environmental, Social, and Governance) performance is driving the adoption of technologies that support carbon reduction and sustainable practices [39] - The convergence of real estate and technology is creating new opportunities for innovation, particularly in smart buildings, green materials, and energy-efficient solutions [45][55]
成都产业链不动产白皮书
JLL· 2024-07-03 12:30
Industry Overview - Over 60% of new display upstream enterprises are located in industrial parks, with industrial zones being the preferred choice [1] - The average registered capital of upstream and midstream enterprises exceeds 300 million RMB, with leading enterprises showing significant clustering characteristics [1] - Chengdu's computer, communication, and electronic equipment manufacturing revenue surged from 18.23 billion RMB (6.9%) in 2007 to 512.83 billion RMB (32.1%) in 2022, ranking among the top in benchmark cities [5] - Chengdu's electronic information manufacturing revenue growth contribution rate has remained above 30% for ten consecutive years, demonstrating high development continuity and stability [5] Industry Structure - Chengdu's electronic information industry has expanded from semiconductors and PC manufacturing to new displays, smart terminals, communication, and aviation electronics, forming six key development areas: chips, screens, terminals, software, AI, and next-gen information networks [11] - Chengdu's electronic information industry shows a balanced development in both manufacturing and service sectors, with a high concentration of midstream consumer electronics and communication equipment manufacturing enterprises [12] - Chengdu's electronic information service industry excels in upstream IC chip design, electronic equipment technical services, and downstream sales and terminal applications, benefiting from its status as a "China Software City" [16] Industry Integration - Chengdu's electronic information industry has achieved a certain degree of integration with other industries, with optoelectronics, semiconductors, sensors, and new displays being the most concentrated sub-sectors [28] - The industry's midstream equipment and terminal product manufacturing are most concentrated in computers, display panels, and integrated circuits, a result of Chengdu's efforts to attract and cultivate leading consumer electronics enterprises [28] - Upstream enterprises are mainly concentrated in integrated circuits, optoelectronics, and sensors, supported by Chengdu's policies to strengthen the IC industry chain [28] Future Trends - Chengdu's electronic information and new materials industries are expected to act as catalysts for the transformation and upgrading of advanced manufacturing, leveraging new manufacturing technologies and equipment to integrate into other industries [22] - The integration of electronic information with industries such as NEV, aerospace, rail transit, and medical devices is expected to significantly expand, driven by the rise of domestic substitution in advanced manufacturing [51] - Chengdu's new materials industry, with a focus on high-value-added products, has seen rapid investment growth, contributing significantly to the city's manufacturing revenue growth [59] Industry Challenges - Chengdu's electronic information industry faces challenges in cross-industry integration due to a concentration of foreign and domestic enterprises in midstream processing and manufacturing, with limited collaboration with local industries [32] - The industry's reliance on global markets has led to significant production declines in personal computers, mobile phones, and integrated circuits due to global demand shrinkage and trade protectionism [115] - Chengdu's manufacturing industry, while forming two trillion-level clusters, still lacks depth in sub-industries, with only five industries surpassing 100 billion RMB in revenue [148]
房地产行业:2024年第一季度中国甲级办公楼市场报告
JLL· 2024-05-21 06:30
Market Overview and Key Data - The total stock of Grade A office space in 20 key cities across China is 86.23 million square meters [4] - The projected net absorption for 2024 is 3.76 million square meters [4] - Over the next three years, new supply is expected to reach 19.64 million square meters [4] - The current vacancy rate stands at 24.9% [4] - The net effective rent is 153 RMB per square meter per month [4] Office Market Development - The office market in China shows significant disparities between cities, with leading cities already on par with global standards while others remain in early development stages [8] - Mature cities are expected to enter a new cycle of construction, driving continuous evolution in urban landscapes [8] Demand and Market Performance - Most cities are expected to achieve year-on-year growth in net absorption in 2024, although demand performance across all levels and regions is weaker than the five-year average [17] - The national average net absorption over the past five years (2018-2022) serves as a benchmark for comparison [17] Rental Trends and Vacancy Rates - Rental prices continued to decline in Q1 2024, with cities clustering more closely around the trend line, indicating sustained market pressure [15] - The vacancy rate range narrowed in key city clusters such as Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei, Greater Bay Area, Chengdu-Chongqing, and the Yangtze River Midstream, suggesting reduced market disparities [15] Future Supply and Demand Rankings - Shenzhen, Shanghai, and Guangzhou are projected to lead in new supply over the next three years, with 3.42 million, 3.35 million, and 1.98 million square meters respectively [29] - Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Guangzhou are also expected to top the list in total net absorption, with 2.79 million, 2.52 million, and 1.43 million square meters respectively [29] Industry-Specific Insights - The financial and technology sectors dominate leasing transactions in first-tier cities, reflecting their strong demand for office space [20] - The life sciences sector is gaining momentum, with a focus on innovative high-tech investments, as evidenced by the growing share of innovative drugs in the pharmaceutical market [26]