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Business development remains stable
西牛证券· 2024-05-06 03:32
| RESEARCH 6 May, 2024 Nameson (01982.HK) Current Price HK$ 0.69 HKD, mn 2019/ Absolute 27.8% 38.0% 91.3% 63.3% TARGET PRICE HK$ - Expansion of cashmere yarn business: Nameson (01982.HK) entered into a JV agreement with its largest cashmere supplier, Hebei Yuteng, to engage in the manufacturing of cashmere yarn in Vietnam, the total production capacity per annum is designed to be 500 - 550 tonnes. Given the >80% utilization rate of cashmere yarn in Hebei, an increase in production capacity in Vietnam suppor ...
业务发展保持稳定
西牛证券· 2024-05-06 03:22
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Not Rated" (NR) investment rating to Nameson (01982.HK) [3][16]. Core Insights - Nameson is expanding its cashmere yarn business through a joint venture with its largest supplier, Hebei Yuteng, which is expected to enhance production capacity and meet potential demand from Southeast Asia [6][16]. - The company anticipates a capital expenditure of approximately $8 million for the new factory, with the first phase of production (around 300 tons) expected to commence in 2026 [6]. - Despite an increase in sales volume, the average selling price (ASP) may decline due to lower raw material prices and the expiration of long-term agreements, potentially impacting revenue stability [7][11]. - The company has reported a steady order visibility and order book compared to the previous year, indicating potential for future growth despite cautious financial guidance from clients [7][11]. Financial Summary - Revenue for the fiscal year 2022/23 was reported at HKD 4,602.3 million, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 13.9% [11]. - Gross profit for the same period was HKD 745.5 million, with a gross margin of 16.2% [11][12]. - Net profit for 2022/23 was HKD 158.3 million, showing a significant decline of 42.6% compared to the previous year [11][12]. - The company’s return on equity (ROE) for 2022/23 was 6.2%, down from 11.0% in 2021/22 [12][13]. Market Comparison - Nameson has a market capitalization of HKD 1,572.8 million, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 7.6, which is lower than the average P/E of 13.7 for comparable companies [18]. - The average gross margin for comparable companies is 17.4%, while Nameson’s gross margin stands at 16.2% [18].
2023年下半财年扭亏,惟投资者要求可能更高
西牛证券· 2024-04-26 07:02
Investment Rating - The report does not provide a specific investment rating for the company [2][8]. Core Insights - The company, Huaxian Optoelectronics (00334.HK), experienced a rebound in sales driven by the recovery in demand for mobile TFT LCD modules, with both sales and processing businesses recording positive growth in Q3 and Q4 of 2023 [39]. - In 2023, the company achieved a total revenue of 2.58 billion RMB, with a year-on-year decrease of 8.4% in the second half and 55.1% in the first half, primarily due to a rebound in sales volume in the latter half [3][12]. - The average selling price of TFT LCD modules increased significantly, reaching 85.9 RMB per unit in Q1 2024, supported by contributions from the tablet and smart home product segments [42][44]. Summary by Sections Revenue Performance - In 2023, the company reported total revenue of 2.58 billion RMB, with a significant drop in the first half but a recovery in the second half, particularly in non-bonded and bonded TFT LCD module sales [3][12]. - The sales volume for non-bonded TFT LCD modules reached approximately 4.1 million units in 2023, while bonded modules sold around 38.7 million units, showing a notable increase in the second half [3][12]. Product Segments - The tablet display module and other display modules saw a substantial increase in shipment volumes, with Q1 2024 shipments reaching 735,000 and 1,065,000 units, respectively, compared to the same period in 2023 [6]. - The company’s main customer base consists of mobile manufacturers, whose orders remained relatively stable during the previous year's industry downturn, contributing over half of the total revenue [15]. Financial Metrics - The gross profit margin for the second half of 2023 was 6.5%, a decline of approximately 1.4 percentage points from the first half, primarily due to changes in product mix [44]. - The company reported a net profit of 13.1 million RMB for the fiscal year 2023, reversing losses from the first half, attributed to effective cost control measures [21][44]. Market Outlook - The company is expected to maintain a low gross margin due to the anticipated increase in revenue contribution from lower-margin segments such as tablet and smart home products [44][22]. - The market for TFT LCD modules is highly mature, and while horizontal expansion may enhance profitability, the focus should be on long-term value drivers for sustainable investment [22].
Reversing from a loss in 2023 1H, but investors may demand more
西牛证券· 2024-04-26 07:02
Investment Rating - The report assigns a stock rating of NR (Not Rated) for CDOT (00334.HK) [27]. Core Insights - The company experienced a significant year-on-year revenue increase of 57.3% to RMB 931.7 million in 2024 Q1, driven by strong sales of tablet display modules and other display modules, which offset a decline in smartphone module sales [2]. - The gross margin for CDOT in FY 2023 dropped to 6.5%, primarily due to a change in product mix, which may continue to affect profitability [41]. - The company has seen a recovery in sales volume, particularly in the second half of 2023, with non-laminated and laminated module sales volumes reaching 4.1 million and 38.7 million respectively [7]. Summary by Relevant Sections Revenue and Profitability - CDOT reported RMB 2.6 billion in revenue for FY 2023, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 8.4% and a significant drop of 55.1% in the first half of 2023 [7]. - The company achieved a net profit of RMB 13.1 million and an operating profit of RMB 19.0 million in FY 2023, reversing from a loss in the first half of 2023 [20]. Sales Performance - The sales volume of tablet display modules and other display modules in 2024 Q1 reached 0.7 million and 1.1 million, representing increases of 22.7 times and 87.8 times compared to 2023 Q1 [11]. - The ASP (Average Selling Price) of non-laminated and laminated modules increased to RMB 28.5 and RMB 70.4 in 2023 Q4, marking a rebound from previous lows [15]. Market Dynamics - The order book from a major smartphone manufacturer remained stable, contributing significantly to revenue stability in 2024 Q1 [36]. - The company’s strategy includes leveraging support from CSOT to customize panel sizes, enhancing its ability to meet customer demands and expand into the tablet market [40]. Future Outlook - The report indicates that while there has been operational improvement, low gross margins remain a concern, limiting the company's ability to withstand market fluctuations [42]. - The company is expected to see further contributions from the tablet and smart home device segments, potentially driving ASP increases in 2024 [17][19].
来年平稳发展,具备新的催化剂
西牛证券· 2024-04-04 16:00
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of HK$ 16.78 [2][3] Core Insights - The company achieved a total revenue of RMB 6.91 billion in 2023, with a slight increase in gross margin to 75.3%, leading to a net profit growth of 121.8% year-on-year [2][8] - The company plans to announce quarterly revenue starting from Q1 2024, reflecting confidence in its operations [2] - The outlook for 2024 is stable, with potential surprises in 2025 due to double-digit growth in its brands and a rebound in retail sales in China [2][8] - The company is focusing on brand strategy, investing approximately 3% of its revenue in brand promotion, which includes activities like fashion week events and selecting brand ambassadors [2][8] Financial Performance - Revenue projections for the upcoming years are as follows: RMB 7.88 billion in 2024, RMB 8.45 billion in 2025, and RMB 9.06 billion in 2026, with annual growth rates of 14.0%, 7.3%, and 7.2% respectively [8][12] - The gross profit is expected to increase from RMB 5.21 billion in 2024 to RMB 6.83 billion in 2026, maintaining a gross margin around 75% [8][12] - Net profit is projected to grow from RMB 832.6 million in 2024 to RMB 1.12 billion in 2026, with annual growth rates of 12.5% and 14.1% respectively [8][12] Market Position - The company has a market capitalization of approximately HK$ 9.38 billion, with a price-to-earnings ratio of 9.9x and a price-to-sales ratio of 1.9x [5] - Compared to industry peers, the company maintains a competitive gross margin of 75.3%, which is higher than the average of 56.7% in the sector [5]
Stable development with new catalysts
西牛证券· 2024-04-04 16:00
| RESEARCH 5 Apr, 2024 EEKA Fashion | 03709.HK COMPANY UPDATE Stable development with new catalysts H F NGO, Brian, CFA STOCK RATING TARGET PRICE SENIOR ANALYST BUY HK$ 16.78 brianngo@westbullsec.com.hk EEKA Fashion (03709.HK) reported a YoY 22.1% growth in revenue to RMB 6.9bn, and its gross +852 3896 2965 margin slightly surged to 75.3%, leading to a YoY 121.8% increment in the bottom-line. The Group 2701 – 2703, 27/F, Infinitus Plaza, 199 Des Voeux Rd also announced a dividend of HKD 0.7/share, amounting ...
展望理想,惟缺清晰细节
西牛证券· 2024-04-02 16:00
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company, with a target price of HK$ 3.31, down from a previous target of HK$ 3.73 [2][5]. Core Insights - The company reported revenues and net profit attributable to the parent company of RMB 3.31 billion and RMB 510 million, respectively, slightly exceeding expectations [2]. - Strong performance from applications like Sugo and TopTop offset the weak contribution from Mico, which saw a year-on-year decline of over 30% [2][5]. - The MENA market is identified as a key growth driver, with Sugo and TopTop revenues growing approximately 3x and 2x year-on-year [2]. - The company aims to develop two social applications with monthly revenues exceeding USD 10 million over the next three years [2]. Financial Summary - Total revenue projections for the upcoming years are as follows: RMB 3,307.8 million in 2023, RMB 4,190.7 million in 2024, RMB 4,542.0 million in 2025, and RMB 4,880.5 million in 2026, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 18.1% in 2023 and 26.7% in 2024 [9]. - Gross profit is expected to reach RMB 1,722.1 million in 2025, with a gross margin of 51.1% [9]. - Net profit projections are RMB 601.8 million in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 3.7% [9]. Market Position and Competitors - The report highlights that Mico's performance remains weak, and new games and social applications have not yet achieved breakeven [17]. - The company is compared with peers in the gaming and social media sectors, indicating a competitive landscape [17].
Strong outlook, but vague on details
西牛证券· 2024-04-02 16:00
Investment Rating - The investment rating for Newborn Town (09911.HK) is "BUY" with a target price of HK$ 3.31, reduced from the previous target price of HK$ 3.78 [20][28]. Core Insights - Newborn Town reported a total revenue of RMB 3.3 billion and a profit attributable to shareholders of RMB 512.8 million, slightly exceeding estimates. The strong performance of apps like Sugo and TopTop in the MENA market contributed significantly, with revenue increases of approximately 3x and 2x year-on-year respectively. However, the app Mico experienced a significant decline of over 30% year-on-year, which was unexpected and negatively impacted overall performance [9][26][28]. - The company aims to develop two more flagship social networking apps with expected monthly revenues exceeding USD 10 million within three years, although details on these apps remain limited [9][28]. Financial Performance - Revenue projections for the upcoming years are as follows: RMB 4,190.7 million in 2024, RMB 4,542.0 million in 2025, and RMB 4,880.5 million in 2026, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 26.7%, 8.4%, and 7.5% respectively [6][16]. - Gross margin has shown resilience, maintaining above 50%, with a reported gross margin of 52.1% for 2023, an increase of 14.3 percentage points from previous estimates [10][22]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be RMB 449.5 million in 2024, RMB 472.1 million in 2025, and RMB 499.3 million in 2026, indicating a growth trajectory despite challenges [24][32]. Market Position and Competitors - Newborn Town's market capitalization is approximately HK$ 3.1 billion, with a current stock price of HK$ 1.85 [5][21]. - The company is positioned within a competitive landscape, with peers showing varied performance metrics, highlighting the challenges faced in replicating successful app performance [14][31].
營運情況不容落觀
西牛证券· 2024-03-24 16:00
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company with a target price of HK$ 2.85, down from a previous target of HK$ 6.13 [2][11]. Core Insights - The company, 英恒科技 (01760.HK), experienced a decline in gross margin by 2.9 percentage points year-on-year to 18.7%, which was below expectations and significantly lower than the average gross margin [2]. - The slowdown in revenue growth was noted across various business segments, with the new energy segment remaining the primary revenue contributor, while the intelligent driving network was identified as the main growth driver [2]. - The company has faced intense competition, leading to a shift in pricing strategy to cope with market pressures, resulting in a gross margin of only 17.1% for the second half of the fiscal year 2023 [2]. - The report indicates a significant reduction in profit forecasts by approximately 51% to 58% due to the challenges faced, including low gross margins and high R&D expenditures [2]. Financial Summary - For the fiscal year 2023, the company achieved total revenue of RMB 5.8 billion, representing a year-on-year growth of 20.1% [11]. - The projected revenues for the upcoming years are RMB 6.84 billion in 2024, RMB 7.52 billion in 2025, and RMB 8.17 billion in 2026, with respective growth rates of 17.9%, 10.0%, and 8.6% [15]. - The net profit for 2023 is projected to decline by 24.0%, with further reductions expected in 2024 and 2025 [15]. Operational Challenges - The company is experiencing increased operational capital pressure due to rising financing costs and a longer cash conversion cycle, which has led to a higher net debt-to-equity ratio of 48.1% [2][14]. - The report highlights that the company has not seen signs of improvement in the first quarter of 2024 amidst ongoing price wars in the downstream market [2]. Market Position - The company is positioned within a highly competitive landscape, with significant pressure on product pricing and profit margins due to aggressive competition in the automotive sector [4][22]. - The report notes that the company’s pricing strategy has been adjusted to "cost + ~20%" but has not yielded significant changes in market conditions [2]. Conclusion - Overall, the report reflects a cautious outlook on the company's performance, emphasizing the need for strategic adjustments to navigate the challenging market environment while maintaining a "Buy" rating based on potential recovery and growth opportunities [2].
Cautious outlook in operation
西牛证券· 2024-03-24 16:00
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "BUY" rating for Intron (01760.HK) with a target price of HKD 2.85 per share, down from HKD 6.13 [2][10]. Core Insights - Intron reported a year-on-year revenue increase of 20.1% to RMB 5,802.3 million for FY 2023, but the gross margin fell by 2.9 percentage points to 18.7%, which was lower than estimates [3][4]. - The company experienced a significant decline in net profit, retreating by 23.0% year-on-year, attributed to increased R&D expenses and a competitive pricing environment [4][10]. - The revenue growth was driven primarily by NEV Solutions, but competition led to manufacturers opting for lower-cost solutions, impacting growth in advanced driver-assistance systems (ADAS) [4][10]. - A shift in pricing strategy was noted, with a gross margin of 17.1% in the second half of 2023, indicating adjustments to cope with market pressures [4][10]. - The report anticipates continued challenges in 2024, with profit margins expected to remain under pressure due to lower gross margins and high R&D expenses [4][10]. Financial Summary - Revenue projections for the next few years are as follows: RMB 6,840.5 million in 2024, RMB 7,524.0 million in 2025, and RMB 8,174.4 million in 2026, reflecting a year-on-year growth rate of 17.9%, 10.0%, and 8.6% respectively [15]. - The gross profit is projected to increase from RMB 1,083.6 million in 2023 to RMB 1,247.8 million in 2024, with gross margins expected to stabilize around 18.8% in 2026 [15][17]. - The net profit is forecasted to decline significantly in 2024, with estimates of RMB 219.4 million, before recovering to RMB 301.3 million in 2025 and RMB 398.7 million in 2026 [15]. Operational Outlook - The report indicates a cautious operational outlook, with estimates cut by 51% to 58% due to ongoing difficulties, including lower gross margins and increased financial expenses [4][10]. - The company is expected to face a tightening working capital situation due to a longer cash conversion cycle and high R&D expenses [13][17].