Core Viewpoint - Eli Lilly is investing over $3.5 billion to build a manufacturing plant in Lehigh Valley, Pennsylvania, aimed at producing next-generation obesity drugs, including the experimental drug retatrutide, which has shown significant weight loss results in late-stage trials [1][3]. Group 1: Investment and Expansion - The new Pennsylvania facility is part of a broader strategy, with Lilly planning to invest at least $27 billion in new U.S. manufacturing facilities, following $23 billion in investments since 2020 [2]. - The construction of the Pennsylvania plant is expected to begin this year, with operations slated to start in 2031 [3]. - The new site will create 850 permanent jobs and 2,000 construction jobs in the area [7]. Group 2: Product Development and Market Position - Retatrutide is a key component of Lilly's long-term obesity strategy, complementing its existing injection Zepbound and an upcoming obesity pill [3]. - Health experts believe retatrutide's mechanism, which targets three gut hormones, may provide greater weight loss benefits for patients with severe obesity compared to existing treatments [4]. - Lilly has secured a majority share in the GLP-1 market, overtaking its rival Novo Nordisk, which is launching the first-ever GLP-1 pill for obesity this month [5]. Group 3: Production Capacity and Market Dynamics - The pharmaceutical industry is increasing production capacity in the U.S. due to previous supply shortages and potential tariffs on imported pharmaceuticals [6]. - Recent voluntary drug pricing deals have alleviated concerns about tariffs for companies like Lilly and Novo, exempting them from levies for three years [6].

Core Insights - Verizon Communications Inc. reported strong fourth-quarter 2025 results, exceeding both adjusted earnings and revenue estimates, while fulfilling its 2025 guidance [1] Financial Performance - Net income for the quarter was $2.45 billion, or 55 cents per share, down from $5.11 billion, or $1.18 per share, in the prior year, primarily due to increased operating expenses [3] - For 2025, GAAP earnings totaled $17.61 billion, or $4.06 per share, compared to $17.95 billion, or $4.14 per share, in 2024; adjusted earnings were $4.71 per share, up from $4.59 [4] - Total operating revenues increased by 2% to $36.38 billion, driven by higher wireless equipment revenues and customer growth, surpassing the consensus estimate of $35.94 billion; total revenues for 2025 reached $138.19 billion, a 2.5% year-over-year increase [5] Segment Results - Consumer segment revenues rose by 3.2% year-over-year to $28.44 billion, with service revenues up 0.9% to $20.25 billion and wireless equipment revenues increasing by 9.6% to $7.11 billion [6] - Business segment revenues decreased by 1.8% to $7.37 billion, impacted by lower wholesale and enterprise revenues, despite growth in business markets [9] Subscriber Growth - The company achieved 319,000 net additions in fixed wireless access, bringing the total subscriber base to nearly 5.7 million, with a target of 8 to 9 million by 2028 [2][10] - Wireless retail postpaid churn was recorded at 1.21%, while retail postpaid phone churn was 0.95% [7] Operating Metrics - Operating income declined to $5 billion, down 32.6% due to an 11% increase in total operating expenses, which reached $31.38 billion [12] - EBITDA for the consumer segment improved by 0.3% to $10.38 billion, with a margin of 36.5%, down from 37.5% in the prior year [8] Cash Flow and Liquidity - Verizon generated $37.14 billion in net cash from operating activities for 2025, compared to $36.91 billion in 2024; free cash flow was $20.13 billion, up from $19.82 billion [13] Future Guidance - For 2026, Verizon anticipates flat wireless service revenue, with total mobility and broadband service revenues expected to grow by 2-3%; adjusted earnings are projected to increase by 4-5% to a range of $4.90-$4.95 per share [14]

Core Insights - Concerns about returns in the AI sector are resurfacing, with Big Tech earnings indicating that companies must show results quickly after significant investments in AI or face market penalties [1] Group 1: Meta Platforms - Meta Platforms (META) experienced a stock increase of 10.4% on January 29, 2026, with a revenue growth of 24% in the December quarter, driven by AI-enhanced online advertising [2] - The company provided a first-quarter revenue forecast of $53.5 billion to $56.5 billion, surpassing analyst expectations of $51.41 billion [3] - Meta's capital expenditures related to AI are projected to be between $115 billion and $135 billion for 2026, exceeding analyst expectations of $110.7 billion and nearly doubling the 2025 figure of $72.2 billion [4] Group 2: Microsoft - Microsoft (MSFT) saw a stock decline of about 10% on January 29, 2026, despite reporting better-than-expected earnings and sales, as investors were concerned about slowing momentum and rising risks [6] - Azure cloud revenue grew by 39% in the fiscal second quarter, slightly above forecasts, but below the 40% growth seen in the previous quarter [6] - A significant concern for Microsoft is that OpenAI accounts for 45% of its remaining performance obligations, raising fears about future revenue stability [8] Group 3: Tesla - Tesla's stock fell by 3.2% on January 29, 2026, despite beating quarterly profit and revenue expectations, as investors reacted to the scale of future spending [9] - The company announced plans to more than double its capital expenditures to over $20 billion, focusing on AI, humanoid robots, and fully autonomous vehicles [9] Group 4: Competitive Landscape - The AI race is intensifying, with OpenAI issuing an internal "code red" following strong early reviews of Google's Gemini 3, while Anthropic's Claude Code has reached an annualized revenue run rate exceeding $1 billion [12] - AI ETFs such as AIQ, BOTZ, and ARKQ are considered long-term investment opportunities despite short-term volatility [11] Group 5: ETFs Performance - ETFs heavily invested in Meta, like Fidelity MSCI Communication Services Index ETF (FCOM) and Vanguard Communication Services ETF (VOX), gained approximately 2.8% each [13] - Conversely, ETFs focused on Microsoft, such as Roundhill MSFT WeeklyPay ETF (MSFW) and iShares U.S. Technology ETF (IYW), experienced declines of 12.2% and 1.4%, respectively [13]

Core Insights - American Express reported $18.98 billion in revenue for Q4 2025, a 10.5% year-over-year increase, with an EPS of $3.53 compared to $3.04 a year ago [1] - The revenue exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $18.82 billion by 0.84%, while the EPS fell short of the consensus estimate of $3.54 by 0.28% [1] Financial Performance Metrics - Total Card Member loans reached $151.83 billion, surpassing the average estimate of $151.12 billion [4] - Risk-Based Capital Ratios - Basel III - Common Equity Tier 1/Risk Weighted Assets stood at 10.5%, slightly above the average estimate of 10.4% [4] - Commercial Services Card Member loans totaled $30.83 billion, exceeding the average estimate of $30.60 billion [4] - International Card Services loans amounted to $20.83 billion, higher than the average estimate of $19.79 billion [4] - Network volumes were reported at $506.20 billion, above the average estimate of $502.57 billion [4] - Book value per common share was $46.45, compared to the average estimate of $46.17 [4] - U.S. Consumer Services Card Member loans totaled $100.17 billion, slightly below the average estimate of $100.73 billion [4] - Total non-interest revenues reached $14.46 billion, exceeding the average estimate of $14.33 billion [4] - Net Interest Income was reported at $4.52 billion, slightly above the average estimate of $4.51 billion [4] - Non-interest revenues from discount revenue were $9.88 billion, above the average estimate of $9.83 billion [4] - Non-interest revenues from net card fees matched the average estimate at $2.63 billion [4] - Non-interest revenues from service fees and other revenue were $1.95 billion, exceeding the average estimate of $1.89 billion [4] Stock Performance - American Express shares have returned -3.1% over the past month, while the Zacks S&P 500 composite increased by 0.9% [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating potential performance in line with the broader market [3]

Core Viewpoint - Newell Brands (NWL) is expected to report a year-over-year increase in earnings despite lower revenues for the quarter ended December 2025, with the consensus outlook being crucial for assessing the company's earnings picture [1] Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings report is anticipated to show earnings of $0.18 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of +12.5%, while revenues are projected to be $1.89 billion, down 3.3% from the previous year [3] - The stock price may rise if the actual earnings exceed expectations, while a miss could lead to a decline [2] Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 26.46% over the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts regarding the company's earnings prospects [4] - Newell Brands currently has an Earnings ESP of -1.89%, suggesting a bearish outlook from analysts [12] Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates that a positive or negative reading can predict the deviation of actual earnings from consensus estimates, with positive readings being more reliable [9][10] - Newell Brands' combination of a negative Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 makes it challenging to predict an earnings beat [12] Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Newell Brands was expected to post earnings of $0.18 per share but delivered $0.17, resulting in a surprise of -5.56% [13] - Over the past four quarters, the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates two times [14] Conclusion - Newell Brands does not appear to be a strong candidate for an earnings beat, and investors should consider other factors when making decisions regarding the stock ahead of the earnings release [17]

Company Overview - RXO is expected to report a year-over-year decline in earnings, with a projected loss of $0.04 per share, reflecting a change of -166.7% compared to the previous year [3] - Revenues for RXO are anticipated to be $1.48 billion, down 11.1% from the same quarter last year [3] Earnings Estimates and Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate for RXO has been revised 4.76% higher in the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts [4] - The Most Accurate Estimate for RXO is higher than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of +13.86% [12] Earnings Surprise Prediction - A positive Earnings ESP reading suggests a potential earnings beat, particularly when combined with a strong Zacks Rank [10] - RXO currently holds a Zacks Rank of 4, which complicates the prediction of an earnings beat despite the positive Earnings ESP [12] Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, RXO was expected to post earnings of $0.03 per share but only achieved $0.01, resulting in a surprise of -66.67% [13] - Over the past four quarters, RXO has only beaten consensus EPS estimates once [14] Industry Context - In the Zacks Transportation - Services industry, Hub Group is expected to report earnings of $0.44 per share, reflecting a year-over-year change of -8.3% [18] - Hub Group's revenue is projected to be $913.41 million, down 6.2% from the previous year [19]

Company Overview - Graham (GHM) is expected to report earnings for the quarter ended December 2025, with a consensus estimate of $0.17 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 5.6% [3] - Revenues are anticipated to be $51.37 million, which represents a 9.2% increase from the previous year [3] Earnings Expectations - The earnings report is scheduled for release on February 6, and the stock price may rise if actual results exceed expectations, while a miss could lead to a decline [2] - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 2.95% over the last 30 days, indicating a bearish sentiment among analysts [4] Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) model indicates that Graham has an Earnings ESP of -88.46%, suggesting analysts have become more pessimistic about the company's earnings prospects [12] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3, making it challenging to predict an earnings beat conclusively [12] Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Graham was expected to post earnings of $0.33 per share but delivered $0.31, resulting in a surprise of -6.06% [13] - Over the past four quarters, Graham has beaten consensus EPS estimates three times [14] Industry Comparison - RBC Bearings (RBC), a peer in the Zacks Manufacturing - General Industrial industry, is expected to report earnings of $2.85 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 21.8% [18] - RBC's revenues are projected to be $461.12 million, up 16.9% from the previous year, with a consensus EPS estimate revised 0.9% higher in the last 30 days [19]

Core Viewpoint - Wall Street anticipates a year-over-year decline in earnings for Piper Sandler Companies (PIPR) despite higher revenues, with a focus on how actual results compare to estimates impacting stock price [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - Piper Sandler is expected to report quarterly earnings of $4.72 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 1.7%, while revenues are projected to be $515.4 million, an increase of 3.4% from the previous year [3]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has remained unchanged over the last 30 days, indicating stability in analysts' assessments [4]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP for Piper Sandler is +1.06%, suggesting analysts have recently become more optimistic about the company's earnings prospects [12]. - The stock holds a Zacks Rank of 3, indicating a neutral outlook, but the positive Earnings ESP suggests a likelihood of beating the consensus EPS estimate [12]. Historical Performance - Piper Sandler has consistently beaten consensus EPS estimates in the last four quarters, with a notable surprise of +29.05% in the last reported quarter [13][14]. Industry Context - In the broader financial investment banking sector, Evercore (EVR) is expected to report earnings of $3.83 per share, a year-over-year increase of 12.3%, with revenues projected at $1.06 billion, up 8.3% from the previous year [18]. - Evercore's consensus EPS estimate has been revised up by 2.4% over the last 30 days, with an Earnings ESP of +0.08%, indicating a likelihood of beating the consensus EPS estimate [19].

Core Viewpoint - Frontier Group Holdings (ULCC) is expected to report a year-over-year decline in earnings due to lower revenues, with the consensus outlook being crucial for assessing the company's earnings picture [1] Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings report is anticipated to show quarterly earnings of $0.09 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 60.9% [3] - Revenues are projected to be $972.68 million, down 2.9% from the same quarter last year [3] Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 38.37% over the last 30 days, indicating a bearish sentiment among analysts regarding the company's earnings prospects [4] - The Most Accurate Estimate for Frontier Group is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -14.26% [12] Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model suggests that a positive or negative reading indicates the likely deviation of actual earnings from the consensus estimate, with significant predictive power for positive readings only [9][10] - Frontier Group's current Zacks Rank is 4, which complicates the prediction of an earnings beat [12] Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Frontier Group was expected to post a loss of $0.36 per share but delivered a loss of -$0.34, resulting in a surprise of +5.56% [13] - Over the past four quarters, the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates three times [14] Industry Comparison - Allegiant Travel (ALGT), another player in the airline industry, is expected to report earnings per share of $2.01 for the same quarter, indicating a year-over-year change of -4.3% [18] - Allegiant's revenues are expected to be $649.84 million, up 3.5% from the previous year, with a consensus EPS estimate revised down by 3.9% [19]

Core Insights - Analysts have provided mixed perspectives on Tesla Inc.'s fourth-quarter earnings, highlighting both positive and negative factors affecting the company's outlook [1]. Group 1: Analyst Perspectives - Gary Black from The Future Fund LLC anticipates a 2-3% rise in Tesla shares following the earnings call, despite concerns over a $20 billion capital expenditure and the discontinuation of profitable S/X models [2][4]. - Black also noted positive comments from Tesla management regarding Robotaxi efforts and strong fourth-quarter electric vehicle gross margins [3]. - Ross Gerber of Gerber Kawasaki described the earnings call as marking the "end of an era" for Tesla, emphasizing the company's shift towards autonomous vehicles and the transition to a "transportation as a service" model [4][5]. Group 2: Focus on Autonomous Vehicles - Gene Munster from DeepWater Management highlighted the progress in Tesla's autonomous and Robotaxi initiatives, interpreting the sharing of active Full Self-Driving subscription figures as a sign of the company's confidence [6].