Industry Investment Rating - The report highlights a broadly downward trend in FDI into emerging markets and developing economies (EMDEs) over the past decade, with FDI inflows into developing countries falling by 3% between 2014-18 and 2019-23 [63][64] - The FDI-to-GDP ratio for developing countries dropped to 1.7% in 2019-23, the lowest in decades [63][64] - Greenfield FDI, however, has shown resilience, with announcements reaching nearly $750 billion in 2023, the highest annual level on record [70] Core Industry Insights - The global FDI landscape is increasingly shaped by near-shoring, friend-shoring, and reshoring, driven by geopolitical considerations, supply chain resilience, and market access [61][73] - US FDI flows into Mexico rose from $34 billion in 2014-18 to $45 billion in 2019-23, reflecting a shift towards shorter supply chains and less geopolitical uncertainty [78] - Chinese companies are redirecting FDI to third-country manufacturing hubs like Vietnam, Mexico, and Malaysia to preserve access to Western markets [78] Chapter 1: Trends in FDI in Developing Countries - Upper-middle-income economies dominate FDI inflows, accounting for over 75% of developing country FDI, with six countries (China, Brazil, India, Mexico, Indonesia, and Vietnam) receiving nearly 70% of total inflows [147][149] - Greenfield FDI in developing countries rebounded strongly post-pandemic, with ICT-related sectors experiencing significant growth, reaching over $30 billion in 2023 [201][202] - Reinvested earnings in developing countries have risen, accounting for over 60% of total FDI in 2021 and 2022, signaling confidence in host economies [206][207] Chapter 2: Near-Shoring, Friend-Shoring, and FDI Relocations - Over 80% of investment promotion agencies (IPAs) believe FDI relocations will significantly impact their countries, with 86% of developing country IPAs expecting friend-shoring to be an important trend [79][80] - Chinese FDI to Vietnam, Mexico, and Malaysia surged, with investments in computer manufacturing increasing 13-fold in 2023 compared to 2022 [78] - The MIGA-WAIPA survey indicates that geopolitical and economic risks, particularly supply chain disruptions and Russia's invasion of Ukraine, are top concerns for FDI [43][84] Chapter 3: Political Risk Insurance (PRI) Trends - The ratio of PRI issuance to FDI flows into developing countries has declined, with only 7% of FDI covered by PRI in 2020-23 [87][89] - Public sector PRI providers, particularly export credit agencies, dominate the market, while multilateral providers like MIGA have doubled their issuance share, focusing on riskier environments [89][90] - Claims related to transfer and convertibility risks, as well as political violence, have increased post-pandemic, though the PRI industry retains sufficient capacity to handle these risks [90][91]

Industry Overview - The AI ecosystem has solidified with five major players emerging as finalists in the race for the biggest model: Microsoft/OpenAI, Amazon/Anthropic, Google, Meta, and xAI [2][4] - The supply chain has shifted into high gear with Nvidia's Blackwell chip shipping, TSMC building new fab capacity, and Broadcom working on custom AI chips [2] - Data centers planned in early 2024 are entering full build mode, with physical data centers rising across America [3] Key Players and Strategies - Google's advantage is vertical integration, owning its own TPU chips, data centers, and research team [8] - OpenAI has the strongest brand in AI, with revenue reportedly over $3.6B, and may continue to widen the gap with rivals [9] - Anthropic has gained research talent, including key hires from OpenAI, positioning itself as a favored destination for AI scientists [10][11] - xAI is the pace setter for data center scaling, with its 100k GPU Colossus cluster and plans for larger clusters [12] - Meta is all-in on open source, leveraging its Llama models and distribution advantages through Instagram, WhatsApp, and Facebook [13][14] AI Search as a Killer App - AI search is emerging as a powerful reinvention of internet search, with the potential to fragment the monolithic market [18][19] - Domain-specific AI search engines will proliferate, tailored to the needs of different professions such as doctors, lawyers, and accountants [19][22] - OpenAI launched ChatGPT Search in October, reaching 10M monthly active users, challenging Google's dominance [17] CapEx and Industry Dynamics - Big Tech companies have locked arms around the AI revolution, controlling data centers and owning equity stakes in big model companies [25] - 2025 is expected to be a stabilization year for AI CapEx, with companies focusing on completing projects and selling installed capacity [26][27] - Quarterly CapEx figures show a trendline starting to stabilize, with Microsoft and Google leading the way [27][28] - New data center capacity coming online in 2025 will continue the epic decline in AI compute prices, benefiting startups and incentivizing innovation [29] Future Outlook - The AI building blocks are firmly in place, with 2025 set to be a year of leveraging these capabilities to create incredible new applications [30] - The competitive landscape has solidified, and 2025 will reveal which strategies prove prescient and which prove ill-fated [15]

ab 6 December 2024 Global Research US Semiconductors UBS Global Technology Conference - Highlights From Day 3 Conference Highlights We hosted presentations, dinners, and meetings with ARM and MRVL among other attendees. We list key takeaways below; see back pages for detailed notes from company presentations/meetings. See our prior notes for takeaways from day 1 (NVDA, TXN, ON, ADI, AMAT, AMD, STX, LRCX, MCHP, SWKS, WDC, ALGM, and BIS Head Alan Estevez) and day 2 (KLAC, QCOM, TER, and INTC). ARM Arm noted t ...

Public Disclosure Authorized Global Gas Flaring Tracker Report JUNE 2024 Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized d Methane Reduction Partnership 2 Global Gas Flaring Tracker Report Global Gas Flaring Tracker Report3 Foreword7 Acknowledgments8 Abbreviations9 Key Findings 11 Global Perspective 14 Spotlight Countries 19 The Islamic Republic of Iran and Libya 19 Russia 20 United States 22 Algeria 26 República Bolivariana de Venezuela 27 Imported Flare Gas Index 28 ...

GOVERNANCE GOVERNANCE GOVERNANCE Public Disclosure Authorized GOVERNANCE GOVERNANCE GOVERNANCE GOVERNANCE Public Disclosure Authorized GOVERNANCE GOVERNANCE GOVERNANCE GOVERNANCE GOVERNANCE GOVERNANCE GOVERNANCE GOVERNANCE GOVERNANCE GOVERNANCE GOVERNANCE GOVERNANCE GOVERNANCE GOVERNANCE GOVERNANCE GOVERNANCE Prosperity Insight Series REFORMING JUSTICE Increasing Access through Small Claim Courts Erica Bosio, Svetozara Petkova Public Disclosure Authorized GOVERNANCE GOVERNANCE GOVERNANCE Public Disclosure A ...

| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |-------|-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|-------|-------|---------------|-------| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | November 2024 | | | | Selecting and Implementing | | | | | | | Demand Response Programs to Support Grid Flexibility A Guidance Note for Practitioners | | | | | | | | | | | | © 2024 International Bank for Reconstruction and Development/The World Bank 1818 H Street NW, Washington, DC 20433, Teleph ...

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry. Core Insights - The GCC economies are experiencing a contraction in the oil sector due to OPEC+ production cuts, while non-oil sectors show resilience with a projected GDP growth of 1.6% in 2024, accelerating to an average of 4.2% in 2025-2026 [32][35] - Water scarcity is a critical challenge for the GCC, necessitating innovative solutions such as desalination and demand management strategies to ensure sustainable water supply [26][42] Summary by Sections Recent Developments - GCC economies are heavily influenced by global energy markets, with a significant contraction of 7.5% in oil GDP in H1 2024, while non-oil GDP grew by 3.8% [32][35] - The UAE leads in economic diversification, with strong growth in financial services and logistics, while Saudi Arabia's Vision 2030 is driving investments in tourism and renewable energy [32][35] Spotlight Section - The GCC faces urgent water management challenges due to arid climates and rapid population growth, with water-dependent sectors contributing significantly to GDP [42][43] - Strategic investments in water efficiency and technology are essential for economic diversification and resilience [42][43] Outlook and Risks - GCC fiscal balances are expected to remain in deficit in 2025-2026 due to OPEC+ production cuts and low oil prices, with varying impacts across countries [32][35] - Inflation in the GCC is projected to average 2.1% in 2024, influenced by housing price pressures and monetary policies [32][35] Special Focus - Water security is vital for economic stability, with the GCC region being one of the most water-scarce globally, relying heavily on non-renewable groundwater and energy-intensive desalination [42][43] - The report emphasizes the need for integrated water resource management and public-private partnerships to address fiscal pressures and improve service delivery [42][43]

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry discussed Core Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of integrating disaster risk into public financial management (PFM) to enhance fiscal resilience and sustainable development as climate change increases disaster impacts [25][48] - Disaster risk-based budgeting (DRBB) is proposed as a systematic approach to embed disaster risk considerations throughout the government budget cycle, addressing the challenges of inadequate financial planning for disasters [30][59] - The report highlights that effective disaster risk finance (DRF) solutions must be part of daily government activities rather than occasional investments, with a focus on proactive measures rather than reactive responses [25][26] Summary by Sections Introduction - The need for disaster risk-based budgeting is underscored due to the growing macroeconomic and fiscal instability caused by disasters, which have been exacerbated by climate change [44][48] - The report identifies binding constraints on managing public finances for disaster risk, including the perception of disasters as unpredictable events and the preference for known expenditures over contingent liabilities [61][64] Disaster Risk-Based Budgeting Entry Points - DRBB is defined as the consideration of disaster risk throughout the budget cycle, which includes strategic planning, budget preparation, approval, execution, accounting, and audit [78][83] - The report outlines various entry points for integrating disaster risk into the budget cycle, emphasizing the need for comprehensive disaster audits and risk-informed public investment [32][33] Governance of DRBB - Effective governance structures are essential for implementing DRBB, with central finance agencies playing a crucial role in ensuring comprehensive and coordinated disaster risk finance [37][38] - The report suggests that DRBB should not be a one-size-fits-all approach but should be tailored to individual country risk profiles and constraints [38][39] Recommendations and Further Study - The report provides recommendations for improving DRBB practices, including the need for regular reviews of DRF instruments and better integration of disaster risk into routine budgeting processes [59][60] - Areas for further research are identified, particularly in understanding the fiscal impacts of climate-induced disasters and enhancing the effectiveness of DRF instruments [39][60]

YouGov UNITED STATES UNITED STATES Usvalue US value rankings 2024 rankings 2024 Who's winning the value wars? Who's winning the value wars? Publishing on Thursday, December 12 Publishing on Thursday, December 12 ...

Investment Rating - The report does not provide a specific investment rating for the industry Core Insights - The study concludes that both high school GPA (HSGPA) and ACT scores are significant predictors of college success, particularly first-year college GPA (FYGPA) [2] - FYGPA mediates the relationship between ACT scores and cumulative GPA (CGPA), but not between HSGPA and CGPA [2] - The interaction between HSGPA and ACT scores is a significant predictor of CGPA, emphasizing the importance of consistent achievement across both measures for better outcomes [2] Summary by Sections Introduction - Prior research indicates that both ACT scores and HSGPA are important predictors of college success, with HSGPA often being a stronger predictor than ACT scores [10][11] - The current study aims to explore how FYGPA mediates the effects of ACT scores and HSGPA on CGPA [14] Methods - The analytical sample included ACT-tested students from a southern state, tracked for six years to determine degree completion [17] - Key measures included ACT Composite Score, Cumulative High School GPA, First-Year College GPA, and Cumulative Graduating College GPA [18][19][21][22] Results - The average ACTC score was 23.48, average HSGPA was 3.52, and both average FYGPA and CGPA were 3.38 [29] - The sample consisted of 7,516 students, with a higher representation of female students and a majority being White [29] - Path analysis indicated that FYGPA is a mediator of the effect of ACTC score on CGPA, while HSGPA did not show significant predictive power in this model [44] Discussion - The findings highlight the importance of using both HSGPA and ACT scores for predicting long-term college success, such as CGPA [85] - The study suggests that colleges should consider both measures in admissions processes to better identify students needing academic support [85]