“Kəpənək effekti” termini başlanğıcda baş verə biləcək kiçik bir dəyişikliyin, daha böyük dəyişikliklərə səbəb ola biləcəyini ifadə edir. Həyatda təsadüfən baş verən kiçik hadisələr bəzən böyük hekayələrin başlanğıcı olur. Sosial mediada mövzulara fərqli yanaşan iqtisadçı-ekspertdir. This talk was given at a TEDx event using the TED conference format but independently organized by a local community. Learn more at https://www.ted.com/tedx ...

“Kəpənək effekti” termini başlanğıcda baş verə biləcək kiçik bir dəyişikliyin, daha böyük dəyişikliklərə səbəb ola biləcəyini ifadə edir. Həyatda təsadüfən baş verən kiçik hadisələr bəzən böyük hekayələrin başlanğıcı olur. Sumqayıt şəhərində böyüyən PRoMete musiqi prodüseri və reperdir. Həmçinin “mikpro” və “PicMus” şirkətlərinin həmtəsisçisidir. This talk was given at a TEDx event using the TED conference format but independently organized by a local community. Learn more at https://www.ted.com/tedx ...

[Musik] Ja, hallo zusammen. Mein Name ist Sabine Buch und ich freue mich euch heute mit auf meine Reise zu nehmen, auf meine neurodivergente Reise und zwar mein Leben bisschen zu erzählen, aber dass das Leben auch von ganz ganz vielen ist und der Leitsatz und das ist so ein bisschen meine Einleitung, die ich heute mitgebracht habe, ist there is no weivergenz, die werden in der heutigen Gesellschaft in in der Wirtschaft ganz ganz oft übersehen. sehen.Dabei waren sie immer da und werden auch immer da sein. Un ...

In life, we are taught that things move in a linear progression. Everything has a start, a middle, and an end. And for most things, this is true. Like this talk for example.But more often than not, I guarantee you the things in life we think move forward actually move in all kinds of directions. Today, I'm going to teach you the art of navigating life, no matter what direction it takes you, even in its most challenging moments. This idea is a little abstract, so let me try and paint you a better picture.My ...

Hi, my name is Scott and I suffer from social anxiety. You're probably wondering how I'm up on this stage right now. Well, for most of my life, I played it safe until I didn't.I was born on Long Island, raised by a family that never took risks. Don't stay out late. Don't go alone.what I heard. Don't have fun. It's no surprise that I was terrified of social situations.You have to study, go to a good college. So, I hid in my bedroom playing video games and preparing for advanced placement exams. I wasn't into ...

So, let me take you back to a moment that changed the way I see the world. It was a quiet Sunday morning and I decided to try bird watching for the very first time. Um, after taking an inspiration from an ecology class with Professor Colleen Hitchcock, I armed with nothing else than just a field guy, I started to walk all around campus uh before settling into Chapel Pond.And first, I was a bit skeptical. Honestly, I was very restless. Uh, scanning all the trees, moving around a lot, seeing one or two silhou ...

Let me start off by asking you a question. How many of you have ever felt guilty from taking a break. You can be honest.It's a safe space. Take a look around. You're not alone.Over time, people have become less mindful about taking breaks as the pressure to be constantly productive has only intensified with every generation. A study by Easy Cater showed that Gen Z feels more guilty about taking breaks than any other generation, with almost half of those surveyed saying that they skip out on lunch breaks on ...

The message that Natanya is sending is we are coming into Gaza City. So, Hamas, be prepared. Now's the time to take the deal or we go into Gaza City.The Israeli military said that it's going to be calling up 60,000 reserveists in advance of a invasion of Gaza City. Uh Gaza City is an area that Hamas currently controls. There are hundreds of thousands of Palestinians that are believed to be sheltering there.And this is part of an effort by Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to put military pressure on ...

Life is uncertain it always has been. It always will be when uncertainty grows decision makings. Think about the last time you faced uncertainty.Maybe it was deciding on investment accepting a new job offer or the chos umbrella on PhD candidate in finance. My research deals with the forecasting tail risks, those rare unpredictable events that exist at the edge of possibility. People often ask me, is it even trying to predict unpredictable.Surprisingly, the answer is yes because uncertainty is not just a thr ...

Fed Policy & Market Expectations - CNBC's Fed survey indicates respondents anticipate two rate cuts, totaling 50 basis points, with 25 basis points expected in September and another 25 in December [6] - The market is pricing in an 84% probability of a rate cut, leaving a 16% probability of no cut [9] - A majority (70%) of respondents believe Powell's speech at Jackson Hole will be neutral [3][4] - The market may be disappointed if Powell's speech is neutral or doesn't address policy at all [7][8] Inflation Outlook - Despite expectations of rate cuts, inflation is projected to remain around 3% this year and next, exceeding the Fed's target by 1 percentage point [6] - 63% of respondents believe substantial price increases are on the way due to tariffs [3] Potential Fed Chair Replacement - The survey suggests Kevin Hasset is the most likely candidate to replace Fed Chair Powell, according to respondents, but they believe former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh would be a better choice [2][3][4] - Among named candidates, Hasset is the frontrunner, followed by Fed Governor Chris Waller, Kevin Warsh, and former St Louis Fed President James Bullard [3] - 41% of respondents believe the next Fed chair will conduct policy independently of the president, while 37% think it will be in coordination [4]