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Tesla (TSLA) Misses Q3 Earnings Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-10-22 22:21
Core Insights - Tesla reported quarterly earnings of $0.5 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.53 per share, and down from $0.72 per share a year ago, representing an earnings surprise of -5.66% [1] - The company posted revenues of $28.1 billion for the quarter ended September 2025, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 6.21%, and up from $25.18 billion year-over-year [2] - Tesla shares have increased by approximately 9.6% since the beginning of the year, while the S&P 500 has gained 14.5% [3] Earnings Outlook - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $0.45 on revenues of $25.31 billion, and for the current fiscal year, it is $1.63 on revenues of $93.12 billion [7] - The estimate revisions trend for Tesla was mixed ahead of the earnings release, resulting in a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold) for the stock, indicating expected performance in line with the market [6] Industry Context - The Automotive - Domestic industry, to which Tesla belongs, is currently ranked in the bottom 24% of over 250 Zacks industries, suggesting potential challenges ahead [8] - Rivian Automotive, another company in the same industry, is expected to report a quarterly loss of $0.72 per share, with revenues projected at $1.47 billion, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 67.7% [9][10]
Elon Musk's Tesla disappoints investors despite record sales as profit dented by higher costs, fading credits
New York Post· 2025-10-22 22:08
Core Insights - Tesla reported record third-quarter revenue of $28.1 billion, exceeding Wall Street estimates of $26.37 billion, driven by high electric vehicle sales as US buyers rushed to secure tax credits before expiration [11] - However, Tesla's profit per share was 50 cents, falling short of analysts' expectations of 55 cents, impacted by rising costs and a decline in income from regulatory credits [12] Financial Performance - Total revenue for the third quarter was $28.1 billion, surpassing analysts' average estimate of $26.37 billion [11] - Profit per share was 50 cents, below the expected 55 cents [12] - Automotive regulatory credits decreased to $417 million from $739 million a year ago and $435 million in the previous quarter [12] - Gross margin was reported at 18%, slightly above the estimate of 17.5%, while automotive gross margin, excluding regulatory credits, was 15.4%, below the average estimate of 15.6% [12] Cost and Expenses - Operating expenses rose by 50%, driven by AI and R&D projects, stock-based compensation, and increased costs per vehicle due to tariffs [13] - The company is facing challenges from tariffs imposed on auto-part imports, which are affecting overall costs [6] Market Dynamics - Demand for Tesla's vehicles is expected to decline without the tax credits that have been crucial for EV sales [4][8] - To address potential demand drops, Tesla introduced lower-cost variants of Model Y and Model 3, reducing prices by approximately $5,000 to $5,500 [8] - Analysts caution that the introduction of cheaper models may squeeze profit margins as cost reductions may not fully offset lower selling prices [9][15] Strategic Outlook - Tesla's valuation of $1.45 trillion reflects investor confidence in CEO Elon Musk's focus on robotics and AI, although vehicle sales remain essential for financial stability [5] - The company is on track to begin volume production of its Cybercab robotaxi, Semi truck, and Megapack 3 battery by 2026 [9] - Tesla's limited rollout of its self-driving "robotaxi" service marks a strategic shift towards self-driving technology, although Wall Street anticipates an 8.5% decline in deliveries in 2025 due to the expiration of tax credits and increased competition [14][16]
'Fast Money' traders break down Tesla's Q3 earnings results
Youtube· 2025-10-22 21:39
Core Insights - The stock has increased approximately 35% since the last quarter, yet it is currently down less than 2% in after-hours trading, indicating market anticipation for the upcoming conference call [1] - Despite record revenue, the company's performance as an automobile manufacturer is not impressive, with free cash flow reported at $4 billion but margins below 15.5% when excluding regulatory credits, which is worse than market expectations [2][3] Financial Performance - The energy storage segment showed significant growth, with revenue increasing from $2.4 billion in Q2 to $3.4 billion, representing about 12-13% of the total revenue [5] - Capital expenditures (capex) decreased by 37% year-over-year, raising questions about the company's focus on future technologies like robots and cyber taxis [14] Competitive Landscape - The competition in the self-driving vehicle market is intensifying, with GM unveiling a competitor to Tesla's full self-driving technology, indicating that there are alternative investment opportunities outside of Tesla [9][10] - Tesla's market share is declining, with less than 40% in the US, mid-single digits in China, and below 10% in Europe, suggesting challenges in maintaining growth amid increasing competition [13] Future Prospects - The company is investing in future technologies such as Optimus and robo-taxis, but there is uncertainty regarding the timeline for revenue generation from these initiatives [4][10] - The stock appears to be highly valued based on its price-to-earnings (PE) ratio, reflecting investor expectations for future growth from these other ventures [7][8]
Tesla's stock is moving in the right direction, says Deepwater Asset Management's Munster
Youtube· 2025-10-22 21:38
Core Insights - The investment case for Tesla hinges on its future potential, supported by significant liquidity of $41 billion, which is notably higher than GM and Ford's $23 billion each [2][4]. - The incremental miles driven for Full Self-Driving (FSD) remained stagnant at approximately 1.1 billion in September, indicating a potential inflection point that has yet to materialize [3]. - The stock is currently trading at a revenue multiple of about 13, which is higher than Apple's 9, suggesting that traditional valuation methods may deem Tesla overvalued [7][8]. Financial Position - Tesla's cash reserves increased by $4 billion sequentially, reaching $41 billion, providing ample liquidity for future investments [1][2]. - The company is positioned to leverage its financial strength to pursue growth opportunities, particularly in the realm of autonomous driving and electric vehicles [4][6]. Market Dynamics - The investing community is accustomed to volatility and unmet expectations from Tesla, particularly regarding FSD timelines, which may affect stock performance [5]. - The potential expansion of robo-taxi services in additional cities could serve as a significant catalyst for stock price movement [6]. Growth Potential - Analysts suggest that Tesla could experience multiple years of high growth, with projections of 30-40% growth if it successfully capitalizes on its technological advancements [9]. - The current market environment for Tesla is characterized as uncharted territory, with no historical valuation support, yet the company is seen as a leader in autonomy [10].
Tesla(TSLA) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Presentation
2025-10-22 21:30
Financial Performance - GAAP operating income was $1.6 billion[6] - GAAP net income was $1.4 billion[6] - Non-GAAP net income reached $1.8 billion[6] - Operating cash flow amounted to $6.2 billion[6] - Free cash flow hit a record of nearly $4.0 billion[6] - Cash and investments increased by $4.9 billion to reach $41.6 billion[6] Revenue Growth - Total revenue increased by 12% year-over-year to $28.1 billion[9, 11] - Automotive revenue increased by 6% year-over-year to $21.205 billion[9] - Energy generation and storage revenue increased significantly by 44% year-over-year to $3.415 billion[9] - Services and other revenue grew by 25% year-over-year to $3.475 billion[9] Operational Highlights - Total vehicle deliveries increased by 7% year-over-year to 497,099 units[12] - Energy storage deployments saw a substantial increase of 81% year-over-year, reaching 12.5 GWh[12]
Tesla reports weaker-than-expected Q3 profit, US stocks close lower
Youtube· 2025-10-22 21:25
Market Overview - The Dow is down approximately 320 points, with the S&P 500 down about 0.6% and the NASDAQ down about 1% [1][2][3] - Small caps are down 1.5%, indicating a broader market weakness [4] - The VIX has decreased but remains elevated, indicating ongoing market volatility [5][6] Tesla Earnings Expectations - Tesla's Q3 revenue is anticipated to be $26.27 billion, reflecting an increase of nearly $1 billion compared to the previous year, with adjusted EPS expected at 53 cents [10] - The company sold a record 479,000 cars last quarter, driven by the expiration of the tax credit [11] - Investors are keen to learn about the future of Tesla's robotaxi initiative and developments in China [12][13] Broader Earnings Context - Big tech earnings are on the horizon, with investors awaiting the CPI report that could influence the Fed's next moves [15] - Analysts have noted that corporate health appears strong despite trade war disruptions and tariff concerns [18] - The market is currently focused on whether the rally can broaden beyond a few mega-cap names [21] Tesla Q3 Results - Tesla's Q3 adjusted EPS came in at 50 cents, below the consensus estimate of 54 cents, while revenue was reported at $28.1 billion, exceeding expectations [76][79] - Gross margins for Q3 were reported at 18%, better than the estimated 17.2% [77] - Free cash flow for Q3 was $3.99 billion, significantly above the expected $1.25 billion [77] Future Outlook for Tesla - Analysts predict potential softness in EV demand in the US following the expiration of the EV tax credit, with expectations of declining deliveries in Q4 and 2026 [88][89] - The introduction of lower-priced models may help boost sales, but competition remains a significant factor [91][92] - The success of Tesla's robotaxi initiative and AI developments will be critical for future growth [96][101] IBM Earnings Overview - IBM's Q3 operating EPS was reported at $2.65, beating the estimate of $2.41, with revenue at $16.33 billion, also above expectations [106][107] - Consulting revenue was $5.32 billion, exceeding the estimate, while software revenue was in line with expectations at $7.21 billion [110][111] - The AI business segment is now valued at over $9.5 billion, indicating strong growth potential [107]
America's Cable Cowboy Cashes In Half His Firm's Stake In Britain's ITV
Forbes· 2025-10-22 21:25
Core Insights - John Malone, known as the "Cable Cowboy," is selling half of Liberty Global's stake in British broadcaster ITV, reflecting a strategic portfolio realignment [3][6] - The sale involved 193.4 million shares valued at £135 million ($180 million), leading to an 8% drop in ITV's share price [3][4] - ITV has faced challenges from streaming services and a declining advertising market, with a reported 7% decrease in total advertising revenue in the first half of the year [4][5] Company Actions - Liberty Global's divestment is part of a broader strategy to manage its Liberty Growth portfolio, focusing on scale-based investments [6] - The initial investment in ITV began over a decade ago, with a 6.4% stake purchased in 2014 for £481 million [6][7] - A "collar arrangement" was used to hedge against ITV's stock declines, allowing Liberty to break even on its investment after accounting for dividends [7] Industry Context - ITV remains a significant player in the UK media landscape, operating free-to-air channels and a streaming service [5] - The company has seen its stock decline by 11% over the past year, indicating ongoing struggles in the competitive media environment [3][4] - Malone's history in the media and telecom industries spans over five decades, with notable past successes including the sale of Tele-Communications Inc. to AT&T for over $50 billion [10][11]
Tesla: Sell The Q3 Earnings Miss
Seeking Alpha· 2025-10-22 21:10
After the bell on Wednesday, we received third-quarter results from Tesla, Inc. (NASDAQ: TSLA ), which can be seen in this shareholder letter . Thanks to an expiring EV tax credit in the U.S., the company was almostI am a market enthusiast and part-time trader. I started writing for Seeking Alpha in 2011, and it has been a tremendous opportunity and learning experience. I have been interested in the markets since elementary school, and hope to pursue a career in the investment management industry. I have be ...
Tesla Posts Return to Revenue Growth, Though Profits Miss Estimates
Investopedia· 2025-10-22 21:10
Core Insights - Tesla experienced a return to revenue growth in Q3 2025, with a 12% year-over-year increase to $28.1 billion, driven by a surge in vehicle deliveries as buyers capitalized on expiring tax credits [1][2][7] - Despite the revenue growth, Tesla's adjusted earnings per share of $0.50 fell short of the consensus estimate of $0.54, attributed to higher costs from restructuring and investments in AI [3][7] - The company reported record-high global vehicle deliveries, indicating growth across all regions, following two consecutive quarters of decline due to backlash against CEO Elon Musk's political activities [1][2] Financial Performance - Tesla's revenue for Q3 2025 reached $28.1 billion, exceeding analysts' expectations [1][7] - The adjusted earnings per share of $0.50 missed the consensus estimate of $0.54 [3][7] - The stock was up approximately 9% for 2025 through the close of Wednesday, despite being down more than 1% in extended trading after the earnings release [4][5] Market Position - Tesla has underperformed compared to other stocks in the Magnificent 7, only outperforming Apple and Amazon this year [5] - The enthusiasm surrounding next-generation businesses like robots and robotaxis has contributed to the stock's recovery, but concerns about the car business persist [2][5]
Tesla's Q3 earnings miss: What investors need to know
Youtube· 2025-10-22 21:08
Core Insights - Tesla's Q3 adjusted EPS is reported at $0.50, below the consensus estimate of $0.54, while Q3 revenue is $28.10 billion, exceeding the expected $26.36 billion [1][2] - Q3 gross margins are reported at 18%, significantly higher than the estimated 7.2% [2] - Free cash flow for Q3 is reported at $3.99 billion, beating the estimate of $1.25 billion [2] Financial Performance - Q3 adjusted EPS is $0.50, compared to a consensus of $0.54 [1] - Q3 revenue stands at $28.10 billion, surpassing the expected $26.36 billion [1] - Q3 gross margins are reported at 18%, exceeding the estimate of 7.2% [2] - Free cash flow for Q3 is $3.99 billion, significantly above the estimate of $1.25 billion [2] Market Outlook - Concerns are raised about EV demand in the US post EV tax credit expiration, with expectations of declining deliveries in Q4 and throughout 2026 [7][8] - Analysts predict a potential decline in total global deliveries for Tesla due to the expiration of the US tax credit [7] - The market may see a pull forward in demand as buyers took advantage of the tax credit in Q3 [8] Product Strategy - Tesla has introduced lower-priced models under $40,000, which may attract buyers but still face competition from traditional vehicles priced lower [9][10] - The Model Y's pricing compared to competitors like Honda CRV and Toyota RAV4 indicates a higher cost for consumers [11][12] Future Growth and AI Vision - Analysts express optimism about Tesla's AI and robotics potential, with a belief that the autonomous driving and robotics market could significantly enhance Tesla's valuation [14][15] - The company is expected to pivot from car sales to software and robotics in the long term [15] - Regulatory uncertainties and competition in the autonomous driving space may impact Tesla's market leadership [16][17] Upcoming Events - A shareholder meeting is scheduled for November 6, where approval of Elon Musk's potential $1 trillion pay package is anticipated [23][24] - The pay package is tied to Tesla's market cap growth and successful rollout of robo taxis and full self-driving software [24]