Financial Performance - Earnings per Share (EPS) reached $3.15, a 15% year-over-year increase[5, 10] - Operating Income totaled $2.5 billion, representing a 5% increase compared to the previous year[5, 10] - Net Income amounted to $1.9 billion, showing a 12% year-over-year growth[5, 10] - The Operating Ratio improved to 59%, a decrease of 1 percentage point[5, 10] - Adjusted Earnings Per Share was $3.03, up 12%[8, 9] - Adjusted Operating Ratio improved to 58.1%, an improvement of 230 basis points[8, 9] Operational Efficiency - Freight Car Velocity increased to 221, a 10% improvement[5, 10] - Workforce Productivity reached 1,124, a 9% increase[5, 10] Cash Flow and Shareholder Returns - The company generated $4.5 billion in Cash From Operations[15, 20] - $4.3 billion was returned to shareholders[15, 20] - Free Cash Flow was $1.1 billion[15, 20] Revenue Analysis - Freight Revenue totaled $5.843 billion, a 4% increase[11, 18] - Bulk commodity revenue reached $1.901 billion, a 10% increase[25, 30] - Industrial commodity revenue was $2.212 billion, a 4% increase[25, 30] - Premium commodity revenue totaled $1.730 billion, a 4% increase[25, 30] Capital Allocation - The Capital Plan is set at $3.4 billion[23, 24] - Share Repurchases are planned between $4.0 to $4.5 billion[23, 24]

Exhibit 99.1 Union Pacific Reports Second Quarter 2025 Results * Adjusted diluted earnings per share and adjusted operating ratio are considered non-GAAP financial measures. See attached supplemental schedule of non-GAAP measures for a reconciliation to GAAP. -more- • Diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $3.15 and adjusted diluted EPS* of $3.03 • Operating ratio (OR) of 59.0% and adjusted OR* of 58.1% • Revenue carloads up 4% • Operating revenue of $6.2 billion grew 2% driven by higher volume and solid core ...

CSX CEO Joe Hinrichs said he’s open to merger talks with other companies amid reports that Union Pacific and Norfolk Southern are discussing a combination https://t.co/xkYHJNZQiw ...

Core Insights - Union Pacific (NYSE:UNP) is expected to announce earnings on July 24, 2025, with historical trends indicating a pattern of negative one-day returns post-announcement [1][2] - Analysts project earnings of $2.90 per share and revenues of $6.15 billion for the upcoming quarter, reflecting growth from the previous year's earnings of $2.74 per share and revenues of $6.01 billion [2] - The company currently has a market capitalization of $136 billion, with $24 billion in revenue, $9.7 billion in operating profits, and a net income of $6.7 billion over the past twelve months, indicating strong operational profitability [3] Historical Performance - Over the last five years, Union Pacific's stock has experienced a decrease on the day following earnings announcements in 55% of cases, with a median drop of -2.4% and a maximum decline of -6.8% [1][6] - Positive one-day returns occurred approximately 45% of the time, with the median of positive returns being 2.1% and the median of negative returns being -2.4% [6] Trading Strategies - Traders may consider pre-earnings positioning based on historical odds and evaluate the relationship between immediate and medium-term returns post-earnings to guide their strategies [5][7] - A strategy involving the correlation between one-day and five-day returns can be employed, where a positive one-day return may lead to a long position for the subsequent five days [7]

Core Viewpoint - Analysts project that Union Pacific (UNP) will report quarterly earnings of $2.89 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 5.5%, with revenues expected to reach $6.11 billion, a 1.7% increase from the same quarter last year [1]. Earnings Estimates - Over the past 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate has been adjusted downward by 0.2%, indicating a reassessment by covering analysts [2]. - Changes in earnings estimates are crucial for predicting investor reactions, with empirical studies showing a strong relationship between earnings estimate revisions and short-term stock price performance [3]. Key Metrics Projections - Analysts estimate 'Freight Revenues- Bulk' will reach $1.83 billion, a year-over-year change of +6.1% [5]. - 'Operating Revenues- Other revenues' are expected to be $334.89 million, indicating a -9.2% change from the prior-year quarter [5]. - 'Freight Revenues- Industrial Products' is projected at $2.18 billion, reflecting a +2.6% change from the year-ago quarter [5]. - 'Freight Revenues- Premium' is expected to reach $1.73 billion, suggesting a -3.5% year-over-year change [6]. - The 'Operating Ratio' is projected at 59.5%, down from 60.0% in the same quarter last year [6]. - The consensus for 'Average revenue per car - Bulk' stands at $3700.32, slightly up from $3692.00 year-over-year [6]. - 'Revenue Carloads - Bulk' is expected to reach 493.75 thousand, compared to 466.00 thousand last year [7]. - 'Average revenue per car - Industrial Products' is projected at $3891.73, up from $3825.00 in the same quarter last year [7]. - 'Average revenue per car - Premium' is forecasted to be $1678.52, down from $1766.00 year-over-year [8]. - 'Revenue Carloads - Premium' is expected to reach 1.03 million, slightly up from 1.02 million last year [8]. - The total 'Revenue Carloads' is projected at 2.08 million, compared to 2.04 million in the same quarter last year [9]. Stock Performance - Over the past month, Union Pacific shares have returned +1.1%, while the Zacks S&P 500 composite has changed +5.4% [10]. - Currently, UNP holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), suggesting its performance may align with the overall market in the near future [10].

Core Insights - Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) is set to report its second-quarter 2025 results on July 24, with earnings estimated at $2.89 per share, reflecting a 5.47% increase year-over-year [1] - The revenue estimate for the same quarter is $6.11 billion, indicating a 1.7% rise from the previous year [1] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Q2 2025 earnings has been revised upward by 1.76% over the past 60 days [2] - The current earnings estimate for Q1 2025 is $2.89, while the previous estimates were $2.88 (7 days ago) and $2.84 (30 days ago) [2] - The average earnings surprise for UNP over the last four quarters is 1.18%, with two quarters exceeding estimates and two falling short [2] Revenue and Market Conditions - Freight revenues are expected to be $5.7 billion, showing a decline from Q1 2025 [4] - Other revenues are estimated at $339.8 million, representing a 1.1% increase from Q4 2024 [5] - The freight market downturn and a soft consumer market are anticipated to negatively impact margins and revenues in Q2 [4] Cost Management and Operational Efficiency - Cost-cutting measures are expected to support the bottom line, with operating expenses projected to decline compared to the previous year [6] - The operating ratio is expected to improve by 20 basis points to 60.2% in Q2 2025 [6] Shareholder Returns - Union Pacific is committed to rewarding shareholders, with a capital plan of $3.4 billion and share repurchases between $4 billion and $4.5 billion [7] - Strong free cash flow supports these shareholder-friendly initiatives [7] Earnings Prediction Model - The earnings prediction model indicates a potential earnings beat for Union Pacific, supported by a positive Earnings ESP of +0.50% and a Zacks Rank of 3 [8]

Jerome Powell is scheduled to speak next week as controversy swirls over his future as Fed Chairman. ... More (Photo by Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images) In other news, Union Pacific is looking to acquire Norfolk Southern. According to The Wall Street Journal, the deal would create the largest rail operator in the country, creating the only network that would run coast to coast in the U.S. What I find most interesting about this potential acquisition is the relative few number of railroads to begin. In 2023 wh ...

Core Insights - Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) has approved a 3% increase in its quarterly cash dividend, raising it to $1.38 per share from $1.34, reflecting a commitment to enhance shareholder returns [1][4][9] - The dividend will be paid on September 30, 2025, to shareholders of record as of August 29, 2025, marking the 19th consecutive year of increased annual dividends per share [1][9] - In 2022, UNP paid dividends of $3.15 billion and repurchased shares worth $6.28 billion, while in 2023, dividends were $3.17 billion with share repurchases of $705 million [2] - For 2024, UNP rewarded shareholders with dividends of $3.21 billion and repurchased shares worth $1.51 billion, and in Q1 2025, dividends amounted to $804 million with share repurchases of $1.42 billion [2][9] - The long-term capital allocation strategy for 2025 includes a capital plan of $3.4 billion and share repurchases ranging from $4 billion to $4.5 billion [3] Industry Context - Other companies in the transportation sector, such as Ryder System, Delta Air Lines, and FedEx, have also announced dividend hikes in 2025, indicating a broader trend of rewarding shareholders within the industry [5][6][8][10] - Ryder System increased its quarterly dividend by 12%, while Delta Air Lines raised its dividend by 25%, showcasing confidence in their financial positions [6][8] - FedEx Corporation approved a 5.1% dividend hike, further emphasizing the trend of dividend increases among transportation companies [10][11]

Company Overview - Union Pacific (UNP) is anticipated to report a year-over-year earnings increase driven by higher revenues for the quarter ended June 2025, with a consensus outlook suggesting a positive earnings picture [1][2] - The earnings report is scheduled for release on July 24, and the actual results will significantly influence the stock price depending on whether they meet or exceed expectations [2] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate predicts quarterly earnings of $2.89 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 5.5% [3] - Expected revenues for the quarter are $6.11 billion, which is a 1.7% increase from the same quarter last year [3] Estimate Revisions - Over the past 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 0.22%, indicating a reassessment by analysts [4] - The Most Accurate Estimate for Union Pacific is higher than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in a positive Earnings ESP of +0.50%, suggesting a bullish outlook from analysts [12] Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates that a positive Earnings ESP reading is a strong predictor of an earnings beat, especially when combined with a Zacks Rank of 1, 2, or 3 [10] - Union Pacific currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3, which, along with the positive Earnings ESP, suggests a likelihood of beating the consensus EPS estimate [12] Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Union Pacific was expected to post earnings of $2.73 per share but delivered $2.70, resulting in a surprise of -1.10% [13] - Over the last four quarters, the company has surpassed consensus EPS estimates two times [14] Industry Context - In comparison, CSX (CSX), another player in the Zacks Transportation - Rail industry, is expected to report earnings of $0.42 per share for the same quarter, indicating a year-over-year decline of 14.3% [18] - CSX's revenues are projected to be $3.58 billion, down 3.2% from the previous year, with a negative Earnings ESP of -0.21%, making it challenging to predict an earnings beat [19]

Company Overview - Union Pacific (NYSE: UNP) maintains a stable performance with a strong operating base and good profitability despite a slowdown in the industry and increased macro pressures [1] - The company projects revenue growth of 4-6% annually [1] Industry Context - The overall industry is experiencing a slowdown, which is impacting various companies within the sector [1]