H-1B Visa Trends - Indian IT services exporters, including Tata Consultancy Services (TCS), Infosys, HCLTech, Wipro, Tech Mahindra, and LTIMindtree, have reduced H-1B filings by an average of 46% over five years, with TCS reporting 5,505 H-1B employees last year, second only to Amazon [3][10] - Global peers like Accenture, Capgemini, Cognizant, and IBM have also seen an average drop of 44% in H-1B filings between FY21 and FY25 [3][10] - Big Tech companies are increasing their H-1B sponsorships, with OpenAI filing 76 petitions and Anthropic filing 41 [3][10] Industry Adaptation - Indian software giants are shifting their business models by hiring locally, nearshoring to Mexico and Eastern Europe, and automating core processes due to immigration fatigue, geopolitical unease, and rising protectionism [5][12] - The proposed HIRE Act, which aims to tax US firms that outsource, could further complicate the H-1B landscape [10] Real-Money Gaming Sector - Games24x7 plans to lay off 500 employees, approximately 70% of its workforce, due to a ban on online real-money gaming [5][12] - The gaming sector is facing significant challenges, with over 2,000 professionals actively seeking new jobs following the ban [7][12] - Other companies, such as Mobile Premier League, have also laid off around 60% of their Indian staff due to the new regulations [7][12] AI in Therapy - Demand for online therapy is increasing, with startups like Docvita and Amaha Health reporting user growth of 16% and 80% year-on-year, respectively [8][12] - Startups are developing AI tools to enhance therapy services, including chatbots for matching clients with therapists [8][12]

Core Insights - The rise of On-Demand technologies is reshaping business operations, but increasing costs, complexity, and governance gaps are jeopardizing returns [2][4][5] - Organizations are transitioning from capital-intensive IT investments to flexible, consumption-based models, with On-Demand tech expected to grow from 29% to 41% of IT budgets in the next year [3][4] - Despite the benefits of On-Demand technologies, many organizations struggle with cost management and achieving expected returns on investment [5][6] Cost and Complexity Challenges - 82% of executives report significant increases in costs associated with cloud, SaaS, and Gen AI, driven by inflation and digital infrastructure demands [6] - 76% of organizations exceeded their public cloud budgets by an average of 10%, with 68% overspending on Gen AI and 52% on SaaS [6] - Underutilized resources and decentralized procurement are major contributors to budget overruns [6] Governance and Management Issues - 60% of organizations utilize cloud cost management tools, but only 37% assess their effectiveness [7] - 76% of organizations have or plan to establish FinOps teams, yet most remain narrowly focused and operational [7] - Only 2% of organizations with a dedicated FinOps function cover cloud, SaaS, and Gen AI holistically [7] Sustainability Considerations - 53% of organizations acknowledge that suboptimal usage of On-Demand tech leads to excessive energy consumption and increased carbon emissions [8] - Only 36% have a strategy for integrating sustainability into FinOps, despite the potential for cost reduction and carbon footprint minimization [8] Research Methodology - The Capgemini Research Institute conducted a survey of 1,000 executives from global organizations with annual revenues of at least $1 billion, focusing on On-Demand technologies across 12 sectors and 14 countries [9]

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - **Industry**: Global IT Services - **Current Outlook**: Downgraded to Cautious for the US IT Services industry, with Europe also seen as disadvantaged. India IT Services remains In-Line, while Latin America is expected to experience lower growth [12][30][20]. Core Insights - **AI Impact**: AI is prioritized in customer budgets, which is limiting spending on traditional IT services. This shift is expected to pressure returns on invested capital (ROIC) as companies invest in their own intellectual property (IP) [12][16][21]. - **ROIC Trends**: US IT Services ROIC has declined from 50% in 2016 to 22% in 2024, with projections indicating further downward pressure. The industry could see ROIC fall to low teens by 2030 under base case scenarios, and potentially to around 5% in bear cases [33][18][26]. - **Contract Pricing**: New contracts are incorporating AI-driven productivity enhancements, potentially reducing costs by 20-30% immediately, which shifts risks to IT Services companies [17][22]. Financial Adjustments - **Price Target Changes**: - Accenture Plc: Downgraded from $325 to $271 - EPAM Systems Inc: Downgraded from $210 to $175 - TaskUs, Inc.: Downgraded from Overweight to Equal-weight with a price target of $16.50 [14][13]. - **Valuation Pressures**: Despite significant share price declines (~14% YTD), the outlook remains cautious due to expected low growth rates and limited margin expansion [12][30]. Investment Dynamics - **M&A Activity**: The majority of future investments are expected to come from mergers and acquisitions (M&A), with a notable increase in M&A spend from $4.4 billion in 2022 to over $10 billion in 2024 [24][25]. - **Investment in IP**: Companies are expected to focus on developing their own IP through acquisitions and R&D, which may pressure ROIC in the near to mid-term [23][24]. Market Sentiment - **CIO Survey Insights**: The CIO survey indicates that while AI-related spending is increasing, it is often at the expense of other IT priorities, leading to a decline in the share of IT budgets allocated to traditional IT services [70][74]. - **Growth Expectations**: IT Services budget growth is projected at +2.5% for 2025, slightly down from previous expectations, indicating a cautious spending environment [74][75]. Additional Considerations - **Long-term Risks**: The long-term outlook for IT Services remains uncertain, with potential for further declines in ROIC and valuation pressures due to the competitive landscape and the need for significant investment in AI capabilities [26][30][18]. - **Regional Variations**: India IT Services are expected to maintain an In-Line view, with selective Overweight positions on certain companies due to relative valuations, while Latin America faces a lower growth outlook [20][32]. This summary encapsulates the critical insights and financial adjustments discussed in the conference call, highlighting the challenges and strategic shifts within the Global IT Services industry.

Core Viewpoint - Capgemini has successfully acquired WNS, with the acquisition approved by WNS shareholders, marking a significant step towards creating a global leader in Agentic AI-powered Intelligent Operations [2][4]. Acquisition Details - The acquisition agreement was announced on July 7, 2025, with Capgemini set to pay $76.50 per share for WNS, totaling approximately $3.3 billion, excluding WNS's net financial debt [3][11]. - The transaction is pending customary regulatory approvals and is expected to close by the end of 2025 [4]. Company Background - Capgemini is a global business and technology transformation partner, with a workforce of 350,000 across more than 50 countries, and reported global revenues of €22.1 billion for 2024 [5].

Core Viewpoint - Capgemini has signed an agreement to acquire Cloud4C, enhancing its position in the hybrid cloud managed services market and leveraging Cloud4C's automation-driven capabilities [3][5]. Company Overview - Capgemini is a global business and technology transformation partner with a workforce of 350,000 across more than 50 countries, focusing on digital and sustainable transitions [8]. - In 2024, Capgemini reported global revenues of €22.1 billion, with a projected 15% CAGR over 2024-2027 [9]. Acquisition Details - The acquisition of Cloud4C, a provider of automation-driven managed services, is expected to close in the coming months, pending regulatory approvals [3][5]. - Cloud4C specializes in hybrid and sovereign cloud environments, offering low-code, AI-ready platforms and comprehensive end-to-end service offerings [4]. Strategic Benefits - This acquisition will expand Capgemini's footprint in the cloud managed services market and enhance its capabilities in industry-specific packaged frameworks and generative AI solutions [5][6]. - The transaction is anticipated to create immediate cross-selling opportunities between Capgemini and Cloud4C's client bases [5]. Leadership and Vision - Aiman Ezzat, CEO of Capgemini, emphasized the strategic fit of Cloud4C due to its impressive track record in large-scale cloud transformations and its partnership with SAP [7]. - Sridhar Pinnapureddy, Chairman and Managing Director of Cloud4C, expressed excitement about joining Capgemini to scale cloud migration and management frameworks more efficiently [7].

Core Insights - Capgemini introduces TryZone IQ, a generative AI tool for real-time match insights during the Women's Rugby World Cup 2025, marking the first use of such technology in a Rugby World Cup [1][4] - The initiative aims to enhance the viewing experience for millions of fans by providing timely and relevant insights, as over half of sports fans now rely on AI for information [1][5] Group 1: Technology and Innovation - TryZone IQ is designed to convert raw match data into concise narratives, enhancing fan understanding of the game [2][3] - The AI engine updates historic and live match data every minute, producing informative summaries for analysts during broadcasts [3] - Capgemini collaborated with World Rugby and Opta to develop new on-screen visualizations, such as "Expected Tries" and "Attacking Threat," to improve viewer engagement [4] Group 2: Market Impact - The Women's Rugby World Cup 2025 is expected to attract over 20 million viewers, indicating significant growth and new audience engagement in women's rugby [5] - Capgemini's AI-driven insights aim to convert complex match data into engaging content, helping new fans connect with rugby [5] Group 3: Company Background - Capgemini has a strong heritage in rugby sponsorship, having partnered with major men's and women's competitions, including the Rugby World Cup [6] - The company has been actively promoting inclusivity in rugby through initiatives like the Women in Rugby program since 2022 [7] Group 4: Company Overview - Capgemini is a global business and technology transformation partner with 350,000 team members across more than 50 countries, reporting global revenues of €22.1 billion in 2024 [8]

Core Insights - Capgemini introduces TryZone IQ, a generative AI-powered tool for real-time match insights during the Women's Rugby World Cup 2025, marking the first use of such technology at a Rugby World Cup [1][4] - The initiative aims to enhance the viewing experience for millions of rugby fans by providing timely and relevant insights, as over half of sports fans now rely on AI for information [1][5] Company and Technology Development - Capgemini developed TryZone IQ by leveraging its expertise in technology, data, and AI, collaborating with World Rugby and Opta to understand fan behavior and preferences [2] - The AI engine processes live match data, updating every minute, to generate concise summaries for analysts, allowing for effective human-AI collaboration [3] Viewer Engagement and Experience - The tool includes new on-screen visualizations like "Expected Tries" and "Attacking Threat," which translate complex metrics into easily understandable formats for viewers [4] - Women's rugby is experiencing rapid growth, with over 20 million viewers expected for the 2025 World Cup, and Capgemini's insights aim to attract and engage new audiences [5] Sponsorship and Inclusivity Initiatives - Capgemini has a strong heritage in rugby sponsorship, having partnered with major men's and women's competitions, including the Women's Rugby World Cup 2025 [6] - The company has been actively promoting inclusivity in rugby through initiatives like the Women in Rugby program, supporting the development of female leaders in the sport [7] Company Overview - Capgemini is a global business and technology transformation partner, with 2024 global revenues reported at €22.1 billion, focusing on digital and sustainable transitions [8]

Group 1 - The article discusses the author's previous coverage of Capgemini, where a hold rating was recommended due to disappointing growth acceleration and weaker-than-expected demand [1] - The author emphasizes a fundamentals-based approach to value investing, focusing on companies with long-term durability and robust balance sheets rather than just low multiples [1] - The author acknowledges the risks of investing in successful companies, highlighting the importance of valuation while noting that in some cases, the development runway can diminish the immediate significance of price [1]

Group 1 - Capgemini announced the departure of William Rozé, CEO of Capgemini Engineering, effective July 31, 2025, to pursue other projects [1] - Aiman Ezzat, CEO of Capgemini, expressed gratitude for Rozé's contributions, particularly in building Capgemini Engineering into a market leader and integrating Altran [2] - William Rozé joined Capgemini in 2020 through the acquisition of Altran and became CEO of Capgemini Engineering in 2021 [2] Group 2 - Capgemini is a global business and technology transformation partner with 350,000 team members in over 50 countries [3] - The company reported global revenues of €22.1 billion for the year 2024 [3]

Core Insights - Capgemini Group's performance showed improvement in Q2 2025, with a solid book-to-bill ratio of 1.08 and stable operating margin at 12.4% [3][10] - Client demand is primarily driven by efficiency and cost optimization, with significant traction in cloud, data & AI, and digital core services [4][9] - The company has narrowed its constant currency growth outlook for 2025 to between -1% and +1% [5][36] Financial Performance - H1 2025 revenues were €11,107 million, a decrease of 0.3% year-on-year on a reported basis, but a slight increase of 0.2% at constant exchange rates [6][7] - Operating profit for H1 2025 was €976 million, down 15% year-on-year, with an operating margin of 8.8% [11][53] - Net profit attributable to the Group was €724 million, reflecting a 13% decline compared to H1 2024, with basic earnings per share at €4.26 [12][54] Regional Performance - North America revenues increased by 1.6% year-on-year, with an operating margin of 16.3% [14][50] - The UK and Ireland region saw a revenue increase of 6.0%, although the operating margin decreased to 18.1% [15][50] - France experienced a revenue decline of 5.0%, while the operating margin improved to 10.0% [16][50] - Asia-Pacific and Latin America region revenues grew by 8.7%, driven by strong performance in Financial Services [18][50] Business Segment Performance - Strategy & Transformation services grew by 1.3%, while Applications & Technology services increased by 2.6% [19][52] - Operations & Engineering revenues decreased by 1.5% [19][52] Cash Flow and Debt - Organic free cash flow for H1 2025 was €60 million, down from €163 million in H1 2024 [13][55] - Capgemini's net debt stood at €2.8 billion as of June 30, 2025, unchanged from the previous year [26][57] Strategic Initiatives - Capgemini announced the acquisition of WNS for $76.50 per share, expected to enhance its capabilities in Agentic AI-powered Intelligent Operations [28][29] - A share buyback program of €2 billion has been approved, to be funded by organic free cash flow [31] Sustainability Efforts - Capgemini updated its ESG policy, reinforcing its commitment to sustainable growth and responsible business practices [32][34] - The company received an Ecovadis Platinum rating for its sustainability achievements [33]