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Nelson: Seeing "Same Red Flags" in TSLA, Signals Pending Pullback
Youtube· 2025-09-22 15:30
Core Viewpoint - CFRA Research downgraded Tesla to a sell rating with a price target of $300, citing overly high earnings expectations and valuation concerns following a significant stock rally since April [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - Analysts believe that earnings expectations for Tesla are too high, particularly in light of the stock trading at over 200 times the estimated EPS for the next year after a rally exceeding 100% since early April [2][4]. - The impact of the recent legislation affecting electric vehicles (EVs), particularly the loss of emissions tax credit revenue, is not fully understood by analysts, leading to inflated Q3 estimates and projections for the next four to six quarters [3][4]. Valuation Analysis - Tesla's valuation is a contentious topic, with the company trading at a premium compared to traditional auto manufacturers, reflecting its classification as a high-growth tech company rather than just an auto manufacturer [12]. - A discounted cash flow analysis suggests a fair value of approximately $260 per share, indicating that current stock prices are not justified without aggressive assumptions [10][11]. Market Sentiment and Risks - There are historical precedents for significant sell-offs in Tesla's stock, with past instances showing declines of 40% or more, particularly when CEO Elon Musk has indicated potential challenges ahead [7]. - The recent rally in Tesla's stock price is attributed to Musk's renewed focus on the company, but analysts believe this positive sentiment is already priced into the stock [6][5].
How Tesla's Robotaxi Service Looks 3 Months After Launch
ZACKS· 2025-09-22 14:16
Core Insights - Tesla has successfully launched its robotaxi service, expanding from Austin to California, Nevada, and Arizona within three months, marking significant progress towards an autonomous future [1][3][9] - The company aims to reach half of the U.S. population with robotaxi access by the end of the year, betting on autonomous vehicles as a key growth driver [3][4] - Tesla's unique advantage lies in its strong brand and existing fleet equipped with self-driving hardware, allowing for scalable deployment once regulatory approvals are obtained [5] Expansion and Operations - The robotaxi service began in Austin, TX, on June 22, and has since expanded to California, where operations are structured to comply with local regulations requiring safety monitors to remain in the driver's seat [2][9] - Tesla has gained approval to test its robotaxi platform in Nevada and Arizona, securing testing rights in four states shortly after the public launch [3][9] Competitive Landscape - Waymo, backed by Alphabet, is a leading competitor in the robotaxi space, operating fully driverless Level 4 services in multiple cities and delivering around 250,000 paid rides weekly [6] - Amazon's Zoox has also entered the market, offering free robotaxi rides in Las Vegas, positioning itself as a challenger to Tesla and Waymo [7] Financial Performance - Tesla's stock has rallied approximately 80% over the past six months, with mixed earnings performance in the last four quarters, surpassing estimates twice and missing twice [8][10] - The Wall Street average target price for Tesla stock suggests a potential downside of 28.2% from current levels [11]
Former Security Lead for Tesla's Gigafactory Network Joins The Nuclear Company
Businesswire· 2025-09-22 13:35
WASHINGTON--(BUSINESS WIRE)--The Nuclear Company, which is leading gigawatt-scale deployment of nuclear power across America and pioneering the modernization of nuclear construction, today announced the hiring of Mike Marty as Vice President, Security. A decorated U.S. Marine Corps veteran and global security leader, Marty brings more than two decades of experience protecting some of the most complex operations in the world, including Tesla's sprawling Gigafactory network. At Tesla, Marty built. ...
Warren Buffett fully dumps this extremely profitable Tesla rival stock
Finbold· 2025-09-22 12:14
Investment Exit - Berkshire Hathaway has fully exited its investment in BYD, marking the end of a highly successful investment period [1][6] - The initial investment of 225 million shares in 2008 for $230 million saw a peak value of around $9 billion in Q2 2022, representing a nearly 3,900% increase over 17 years [2] Investment Performance - The exit was gradual, with Berkshire starting to reduce its holdings in August 2022, selling nearly 76% of its stake by June 2023, which brought ownership below 5% [2][3] - By early 2024, the value of the investment had declined from $5.1 billion in Q3 2022 to $1.7 billion in Q2 2024, and by Q1 2025, it was reported at zero [3] BYD's Market Challenges - BYD is currently facing significant challenges, including its first quarterly profit decline in three and a half years, attributed to slowing demand and price wars in China's EV market [7] - Domestic sales, which constitute 80% of BYD's deliveries, have decreased for four consecutive months, leading to a reduction in its 2025 sales target by up to 16% [7] Global Expansion and Competition - Despite expanding into Asia and Latin America, BYD's entry into Europe is hindered by tariffs up to 35%, and it faces a complete barrier in the U.S. due to 100% tariffs [8] - Although BYD became the world's largest EV maker in 2023, its goal to achieve over half of its sales outside China by 2030 appears increasingly uncertain [8]
China's BYD Stock Down On Reports Of Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway Sells Out Stake
RTTNews· 2025-09-22 11:54
Core Insights - Berkshire Hathaway has completely divested its stake in BYD Co. Ltd., leading to a 2.3% drop in BYD's shares in Hong Kong following the announcement [1] - The investment in BYD was valued at $415 million as of December 31, 2024, but was recorded as zero by Berkshire's energy unit by the end of March [2] - Berkshire Hathaway initially invested $230 million in BYD in 2008, acquiring approximately 10% of the company, and has since received billions in returns [3] Financial Performance - Berkshire's energy unit reported an $87 million gain related to its BYD investment in the first quarter, a significant improvement from a loss of $108 million in the previous year [4] - BYD's production of new energy vehicles increased by 21.04% year-over-year to 353,090 units, while sales rose by 23% to 373,626 units in August [5] - For the first half of fiscal 2025, BYD's profit attributable to equity holders increased by 13.79%, and revenue grew by 23.30% compared to the first half of 2024, driven by the growth in new energy vehicles [6]
Wall Street analyst updates Tesla stock price
Finbold· 2025-09-22 09:00
Electric vehicle manufacturer Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) has received a notable boost from Wall Street after Piper Sandler analyst Alex Potter raised his price target on the stock to $500, up from $400.The revision follows Potter’s recent trip to China, where he assessed the competitive landscape among EV manufacturers. Notably, Tesla shares have been under pressure in recent months, weighed down by rising competition from lower-cost Chinese EV makers.Potter noted that while Chinese automakers pose strong competi ...
Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway Sells Entire Stake In Chinese EV Giant BYD
Forbes· 2025-09-22 07:45
Core Viewpoint - Berkshire Hathaway has exited its investment in BYD, marking the end of a 17-year relationship that generated significant returns for the American investment firm [1][2][3] Company Summary - Berkshire Hathaway's energy unit marked the value of its BYD shares as zero as of March 2025, as reported in a filing to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission [2] - The investment began in 2008 when Berkshire Hathaway acquired a 10% stake in BYD for approximately $230 million, with shares trading at around HK$8 each [4] - BYD has achieved a market capitalization exceeding HK$1 trillion in Hong Kong and 975 billion yuan ($137 billion) in Shenzhen, with its chairman Wang Chuanfu now being China's 11th richest person with a net worth of $24.4 billion [5] Industry Summary - BYD is expected to miss its 2025 sales target of 5.5 million electric vehicles (EVs) globally due to intense competition and regulatory pressures against discounting strategies [6] - Deutsche Bank forecasts BYD will deliver 4.7 million cars globally in 2025, while Morningstar predicts 4.8 million [6]
Tesla Stock Continues to Climb. This 1 Catalyst Makes Its Growth Path Sustainable
The Motley Fool· 2025-09-22 07:34
Core Viewpoint - Tesla's stock price is heavily reliant on the potential success of its robotaxi business, which could significantly impact its market valuation and growth prospects [8][9][10]. Group 1: Current Stock Performance and Valuation - Tesla's stock has seen a recovery, rising by double digits in 2025, with a current market cap of $1.3 trillion [1]. - The stock trades at a price-to-sales ratio of approximately 16, representing a 100% to 400% premium compared to competitors like Rivian and Lucid Group, which trade between 3 and 7 times sales [3][6]. - Analysts expect Tesla's sales to decline by around 5% this year, while competitors are projected to grow, with Lucid and Rivian expecting sales growth of 61% and 6%, respectively [5]. Group 2: Future Growth Potential - Analysts are optimistic about Tesla's robotaxi initiative, with projections suggesting it could add $1 trillion to Tesla's market cap [9]. - CEO Elon Musk envisions over 1 million robotaxis operating in the U.S. by the end of 2026, indicating a significant growth opportunity [8]. - Despite potential initial setbacks, the long-term growth opportunity in the robotaxi market is substantial, although it is expected to be a multi-decade endeavor [10][11]. Group 3: Competitive Landscape - Tesla's competitors, Rivian and Lucid, may have more room for growth due to their smaller market caps, but they lack Tesla's scale and brand recognition [6]. - The main differentiator in the current market is Tesla's near-term growth potential versus the long-term growth prospects of its competitors [6]. - Investors must be optimistic about Tesla's robotaxi ambitions to justify the current premium valuation, as the company also has smaller business segments in energy storage and generation [11].
Tesla Stock Falls. Why Record Highs Are In Sight.
Barrons· 2025-09-22 07:14
Group 1 - Tesla shares have increased by 23% over the past nine trading sessions [1] - During this period, the shares rose eight times and fell once [1]
Trump, Elon Musk Reunite For The 1st Time In Months At Charlie Kirk's Memorial — What This Could Mean For Tesla, SpaceX - Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA)
Benzinga· 2025-09-22 05:06
President Donald Trump and billionaire Tesla Inc. TSLA and SpaceX CEO Elon Musk met for the first time in months at conservative political commentator Charlie Kirk's memorial in Glendale, Arizona, leading to speculation of a possible reconciliation.Elon Musk Meets Donald TrumpThe pair reunited at Kirk's memorial service held at the State Farm Stadium in Glendale on Sunday. Trump and Musk can be seen shaking hands and engaging in conversation as well as exchanging smiles, as seen in the video shared by Fox N ...