Open AAI is unveiling its first model to run entirely on chips from the startup Cerebras. It's a sign of companies diversifying beyond Nvidia's GPUs. Dear Jabosa has more in today's tech check.Very important story here. Deerra. Yeah.So, Kelly, this look, this is not OpenAI's flagship model. This is GPT 5.3% Codex Spark. It's a stripped down coding model built for speed.But an AI speed and cost that can beat raw power. And if the high volume everyday workloads, if they're moving off of Nvidia hardware, that ...

AI now unveiling its first model to run entirely on chips from the startup Cabus. It's a sign a company's diversifying beyond Nvidia GPUs. Our Dur Debosa has more on that in today's tech check.Morning D. >> Hey, good morning Carl. So never mind that OpenAI is one of Nvidia's largest customers.This is also part of a larger trend. Google shipped Gemini 3 in December trained and served on its own custom AI chips TPUs. Then you got Chinese AI lab GPU releasing GLM trained on Huawei chips and we know that others ...

🚨JUST IN: PENTAGON BLACKLISTS ALIBABA AND MAJOR CHINESE COMPANIES SUPPORTING MILITARYThe U.S. Department of Defense has added six major Chinese companies, including tech and EV giants, to its military-linked blacklist.Designated firms face heightened scrutiny, U.S. investment restrictions, and potential federal contracting bans.The Chinese firms included are:Alibaba ( $BABA)BYD ( $BYDDY)Baidu ( $BIDU)COSCO (https://t.co/AZeXGlOBWu)Huawei (private)NIO Inc ( $NIO) ...

Market Overview - The active installed base of smartphones in India exceeds 740 million, representing more than half of the country's population of 1.45 billion [1] - India accounts for 14% of the global installed base of smartphones, while China leads with a 19% share, equating to approximately 1,005 million devices [2] Retention and Longevity - The average smartphone retention period in India is currently 42 months, which is slightly lower than the global average of 47 months [2][6] Brand Leadership - Xiaomi holds the largest active installed base in India, despite a decline in market share as it shifted focus from affordable devices to the premium segment [3] - Xiaomi's older Redmi and Note series continue to be widely used, indicating long shelf lives before users upgrade [3] - Globally, Xiaomi ranks third in terms of active installed base, with only Apple and Samsung surpassing the 1 billion mark [4] Competitive Landscape - Eight brands have active installed bases exceeding 200 million units globally, including Apple, Samsung, Xiaomi, Oppo, Vivo, Honor, Transsion, and Huawei, collectively controlling over 80% of the global smartphone installed base [5] - Motorola, Realme, and Google remain below the 200 million mark, with Motorola and Realme nearing that threshold [5]

Core Viewpoint - The global smartphone production is expected to decline by 10% in 2026 due to rising memory prices, potentially dropping to 1.135 billion units, with a pessimistic scenario predicting a decline of 15% or more [2][3]. Group 1: Market Impact - The significant increase in memory prices, with contract prices for 8GB+256GB models expected to rise nearly 200% in Q1 2026 compared to the same period in 2025, has led to the BOM cost share of memory in smartphones increasing from 10-15% to 30-40% [5]. - Brands are likely to raise terminal prices to maintain operations and may need to adjust product configurations to cope with the ongoing surge in memory prices [5]. Group 2: Brand Performance - Samsung, as the leading smartphone brand and a major player in the memory industry, is expected to see a decline in production, but the drop will be less severe due to its vertical integration advantages [5]. - Apple, with a higher proportion of high-end models, is better positioned to absorb rising memory costs and has a consumer base more accepting of price adjustments, providing some support for its production performance [5]. - Xiaomi and Transsion, which focus on lower-end models, are more sensitive to cost fluctuations and are expected to experience significant production cuts in 2026 due to the ongoing rise in memory prices [5]. Group 3: Competitive Landscape - Vivo, Oppo, Xiaomi, and Honor will face not only memory cost pressures but also strong competition from Huawei, which is expected to have the smallest production adjustment among brands and may even see growth due to its flexible pricing strategy [6]. - The current decline in terminal demand is attributed to rising memory prices, but the overall functionality of electronic devices has reached a level that satisfies most consumer needs, leading to longer replacement cycles and reduced upgrade momentum [6].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the competitive landscape of the AI industry, particularly focusing on the advancements in China and the potential implications for the US market, emphasizing that while US companies like Nvidia and OpenAI assert there is no AI bubble, the dynamics in China could challenge this perspective [2]. Group 1: AI Developments in China - China's AI industry is gearing up for significant developments, with reports of new models emerging that could rival US technologies, such as Alibaba's Qwen-3.5 and Zhipu's GLM-5 [4]. - DeepSeek's AI models were developed at a fraction of the cost compared to US leaders, indicating a potential competitive advantage for Chinese firms [3]. - The pace of AI model releases in China may accelerate, suggesting a shift in the competitive landscape [4]. Group 2: Chip Technology and Infrastructure - Nvidia's Blackwell chips are considered state-of-the-art, with rumors suggesting that some may have been made available to Chinese companies, potentially impacting the competitive balance [5]. - China may have access to Nvidia's H200 chip, but the future of this access is uncertain due to the ongoing US-China trade tensions [5]. - China's electricity capacity is double that of the US, which could provide a significant advantage for AI data centers, especially as energy infrastructure becomes a critical factor in AI development [6].

Core Viewpoint - DirectBooking Technology Co., Ltd. has signed a strategic cooperation framework agreement with DeepYou Digital Technology Co., Ltd. to establish a joint venture aimed at creating a next-generation AI-native intelligent hotel booking platform, reshaping the travel and hospitality ecosystem through technological innovation [1][4]. Company Overview - DirectBooking Technology focuses on hotel digital supply chains, direct-connect technologies, and private-domain operations, developing solutions for dynamic revenue management and channel optimization [3]. - DeepYou Digital Technology, founded by Mr. Li Daxue, specializes in industrial digitalization and AI innovation, having collaborated with nearly 1,000 scenic spots in China to create a smart cultural tourism service network [2]. Strategic Goals - The joint venture aims to leverage AI technologies for an enhanced lodging experience, featuring capabilities such as natural language interaction, intelligent recommendation, and end-to-end automated services [4]. - A three-year strategic goal has been set to cover 100,000 hotels with the AI hotel booking platform, promoting fair market competition and reshaping value distribution in the sector [4][5]. Value Proposition - For hotels, the platform will reduce customer acquisition and channel costs, increase direct sales, and enhance revenue and brand reputation through AI-enabled smart pricing and precision marketing [5]. - For users, the platform promises an efficient, convenient, and personalized booking experience, eliminating cumbersome price comparisons and providing intelligent matching [5]. Future Outlook - DirectBooking Technology and DeepYou plan to continue investing in technology R&D and market expansion, aiming to build a transparent, secure, and shared travel-and-hospitality ecosystem [6].

Summary of the Conference Call on Greater China Semiconductors Industry Overview - The semiconductor industry in Greater China is experiencing further strength in TPU (Tensor Processing Units), GPU (Graphics Processing Units), and memory sectors, while facing more downside in smartphone and PC semiconductors [1][4] Key Investment Insights - **Long-term Demand Drivers**: - **Top Picks**: TSMC, SMIC, Aspeed, MediaTek, Alchip, GUC, KYEC, ASE, FOCI, ASMPT, and AllRing are highlighted as top investment ideas [9] - **Memory Sector**: Winbond is noted as a top pick, with other significant players including Nanya Tech, APMemory, GigaDevice, and Macronix [9] - **China Semiconductor Equipment**: NAURA Tech and AMEC are mentioned as key players in the semiconductor equipment sector [9] - **Market Dynamics**: - **Tech Inflation**: Rising costs in wafers, OSAT (Outsourced Semiconductor Assembly and Test), and memory are expected to create margin headwinds for chip designers in 2026 [9] - **AI Cannibalization**: There is a noted shift in the semiconductor supply chain prioritizing AI semiconductors over non-AI semiconductors, leading to shortages in T-Glass and memory [9] - **Domestic GPU Supply**: The demand for domestic GPUs is questioned, particularly with the introduction of DeepSeek, which has demonstrated cheaper inferencing capabilities [9] Financial Metrics and Valuation - **Valuation Comparison**: - TSMC's current price is TWD 1,830.0 with a target price of TWD 2,088.0, indicating a 14% upside [11] - UMC's current price is TWD 62.7 with a target price of TWD 52.5, indicating a 16% downside [11] - SMIC's current price is HKD 69.9 with a target price of HKD 80.0, indicating a 14% upside [11] - **Memory Sector Valuation**: - GigaDevice's current price is CNY 290.9 with a target price of CNY 414.0, indicating a 42% upside [11] - Winbond's current price is TWD 107.0 with a target price of TWD 155.0, indicating a 45% upside [11] Market Trends - **Broader Semiconductor Cycle**: Logic semiconductor foundry utilization is reported at 70-80% in the first half of 2026, indicating that the sector is still not fully recovered [17] - **AI vs. Non-AI Growth**: Excluding NVIDIA's AI GPU revenue, non-AI semiconductor growth was slow at only 10% year-over-year in 2024 [18] Additional Insights - **Cloud Semiconductor Outlook**: Major cloud service providers (CSPs) such as Amazon, Google, Microsoft, and Meta have increased their capital expenditures by 64% year-over-year in the fourth quarter of 2025 [84] - **Future Projections**: The global semiconductor industry market size is projected to reach USD 1 trillion by 2030, with cloud AI semiconductor total addressable market (TAM) expected to grow to USD 235 billion by 2025 [93][99] Conclusion - The Greater China semiconductor industry is positioned for growth, particularly in AI and memory sectors, despite challenges in smartphone and PC segments. The focus on AI semiconductors and the robust demand from cloud service providers are key drivers for future performance.

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported record revenues of $12.3 billion and non-GAAP earnings per share (EPS) of $3.50 for fiscal Q1 2026, with non-GAAP EPS at the high end of guidance [6][16] - QCT revenues reached a record $10.6 billion, driven by strong performance in automotive and IoT segments [6][16] - Licensing business revenues were $1.6 billion, with an EBT margin of 77%, reflecting higher units and favorable mix [16] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - QCT handset revenues reached a record $7.8 billion, benefiting from recently launched flagship smartphones [16] - QCT IoT revenues grew 9% year-over-year to $1.7 billion, driven by demand across consumer and networking products [16] - QCT Automotive revenues grew to $1.1 billion, up 15% year-over-year, driven by increased demand for Snapdragon Digital Chassis platforms [17] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Global consumer demand for handsets, particularly in the premium and high-tier segments, exceeded expectations, with healthy sell-through observed [6][7] - The handset industry is expected to face constraints due to memory availability and pricing, particularly DRAM, as suppliers redirect capacity to meet AI data center demand [7][18] - The company anticipates that the overall size of the handset market will be defined by memory availability throughout the fiscal year [39][69] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on expanding its presence in the premium and high-tier smartphone segments, with a dual flagship product strategy that has been well received [8][42] - The company is investing in AI-native smartphones and intelligent wearables, positioning Snapdragon platforms as the choice for the industry [8][12] - The company aims to strengthen its leadership in automotive and robotics, with multiple design wins and collaborations with major automakers [10][22] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the fundamentals of the handset business despite near-term challenges related to memory supply [18][39] - The company expects to return to prior growth trajectories for QCT handset revenues once memory supply conditions normalize [18] - Management remains optimistic about the long-term growth potential in automotive and IoT, with combined growth expected to outpace long-term revenue targets [21][22] Other Important Information - The company returned $3.6 billion to stockholders, including $2.6 billion in stock repurchases and $949 million in dividends [17] - The company completed the acquisition of Alphawave Semi, enhancing its data center solutions [14] Q&A Session Summary Question: What factors are driving the weakness in handset outlook beyond memory pricing? - Management indicated that the weakness is entirely related to memory availability, with strong microeconomic indicators and handset demand observed [26][27] Question: Is the automotive revenue growth driven by ADAS wins? - Management confirmed that the automotive pipeline continues to translate into revenue, with new car launches contributing to record revenues [30] Question: How is the company progressing with data center customers? - Management reported positive progress with customers, including shipping to Humane and engagement with major hyperscalers [34] Question: What is the company's strategy regarding memory shortages? - Management clarified that they do not purchase memory directly but work with customers who do, ensuring flexibility in memory sourcing [67][69] Question: How does the company plan to navigate the memory allocation challenges with larger OEMs? - Management acknowledged that larger OEMs may have better access to memory but emphasized that the issue is industry-wide and not limited to specific customers [73]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported record revenues of $12.3 billion and non-GAAP earnings per share (EPS) of $3.50 for fiscal Q1 2026, with non-GAAP EPS at the high end of guidance [5][17] - QCT revenues reached a record $10.6 billion, with strong year-over-year growth across automotive and IoT segments [17] - Licensing business revenues were $1.6 billion, with an EBT margin of 77%, driven by higher units and favorable mix [17] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - QCT handset revenues reached a record $7.8 billion, benefiting from recently launched flagship smartphones [17] - QCT IoT revenues grew 9% year-over-year to $1.7 billion, driven by demand across consumer and networking products [17] - QCT Automotive revenues grew to $1.1 billion, up 15% year-over-year, reflecting increased demand for Snapdragon Digital Chassis platforms [17] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Global consumer demand for handsets, particularly in the premium and high-tier segments, exceeded expectations, with healthy sell-through observed [5] - The handset industry is expected to face constraints due to memory availability and pricing, particularly DRAM, as suppliers redirect capacity to meet AI data center demand [5][6] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on expanding its presence in the premium and high-tier smartphone segments, with a dual flagship product strategy that has seen broad OEM adoption [6][7] - The company is also investing in AI-native smartphones and intelligent wearables, positioning Snapdragon platforms as the choice for the industry [7][8] - In automotive, the company aims to reinforce its technology leadership with multiple design wins and collaborations with major automakers [10][11] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the fundamentals of the handset business despite near-term challenges related to memory supply and pricing [19] - The company anticipates returning to prior growth trajectories for QCT handset revenues once memory supply normalizes [19] - Management remains optimistic about the long-term growth potential in automotive and IoT, with expectations for continued revenue acceleration [21] Other Important Information - The company completed the acquisition of Alphawave Semi, enhancing its high-speed wire connectivity technologies [15] - The company is actively engaging with leading hyperscalers and cloud service providers to develop data center solutions [14] Q&A Session Summary Question: What factors are driving the weakness in handset outlook beyond memory pricing? - Management indicated that the weakness is entirely related to memory availability, with strong microeconomic indicators and handset demand observed [26][27] Question: Is the automotive revenue growth driven by ADAS wins? - Management confirmed that the automotive pipeline continues to translate into revenue, with new car launches contributing to record revenues [29][30] Question: How is the company managing the memory supply situation? - Management clarified that they do not purchase memory directly but work closely with customers who do, ensuring flexibility with various memory providers [69][70] Question: What is the outlook for the data center business? - Management stated that progress is on track, with positive feedback from engagements with hyperscalers and cloud service providers [35][36] Question: How does the company view the impact of memory shortages on the overall handset market? - Management emphasized that the size of the handset market will be determined by memory availability, with expectations for premium and high-tier segments to remain resilient [40][76]