Lightspeed Commerce Inc.
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TOST Skyrockets 78% in a Year: How Should You Play the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-08-13 15:16
Core Insights - Toast, Inc. (TOST) shares have increased by 78% over the past year, significantly outperforming the Internet Software market and the Zacks Computer & Technology sector, which grew by 43.6% and 25.4% respectively [1][8] - The company is a leading provider of software-as-a-service (SaaS) and hardware solutions tailored for the restaurant market [1] Financial Performance - In the second quarter, TOST reported revenues of $1.55 billion, marking a nearly 25% increase and surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1.1% [5][8] - The annualized recurring run-rate (ARR) rose by 31% to $1.9 billion [5] - TOST added a record 8,500 net new locations, bringing the total to 148,000, which is a 24% year-over-year increase [6][8] - The company anticipates a 29% growth in fintech and subscription gross profit for 2025, up from an earlier estimate of 26% [10] Market Expansion and Product Innovation - TOST is expanding its presence in the U.S. SMB restaurant market and has ventured into Australia, its fourth international market [6][7] - The launch of Toast Go 3 Handheld, featuring ToastIQ, aims to enhance the ordering and payment process for restaurant staff [9] - The company has surpassed 10,000 live locations across various segments, indicating strong traction among large QSR brands [7] Challenges and Competitive Landscape - The restaurant industry faces challenges such as consumer spending fluctuations, labor inflation, and supply chain volatility, which could impact TOST's performance [11] - A decline in gross payment volume (GPV) per location poses a risk, despite overall GPV increasing by 23% year-over-year to $50 billion [12] - Competitive pressures from companies like Block, Oracle, and Lightspeed could limit TOST's growth potential [16][18] Valuation Concerns - TOST's stock is considered to have a stretched valuation, with a price/book multiple of 12.07X compared to the industry's 6.94X [19][20] - The company is currently rated with a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), suggesting caution for new investors [25]
Should You Hold or Sell TOST Stock Before Q2 Earnings Release?
ZACKS· 2025-08-04 17:00
Core Insights - Toast, Inc. (TOST) is scheduled to report its second-quarter 2025 results on August 5, with earnings expected at 24 cents per share and revenues projected at $1.53 billion, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 23.4% [1][8] Earnings Performance - TOST has a strong earnings surprise history, having outperformed the Zacks Consensus Estimate in three of the last four quarters, with an average earnings surprise of 197.15% [2][3] Financial Metrics - The company anticipates gross profit growth in its subscription and fintech segments between 26% and 29% year over year, with adjusted EBITDA expected to be between $130 million and $140 million [5][8] Market Expansion - TOST has expanded its presence in the U.S. SMB restaurant market, adding over 6,000 net locations in Q1 2025, totaling approximately 140,000 customer locations globally, which is a 25% year-over-year growth [6] Technological Advancements - The company is leveraging AI-powered tools, such as ToastIQ, to enhance its platform and improve restaurant operations, with reported positive impacts on clients' performance [7][9] Stock Performance - TOST shares have increased by 12.9% over the past six months, outperforming the Internet Software market and the Zacks Computer & Technology sector [12] Valuation Concerns - TOST is trading at a premium with a price/book multiple of 13.89X compared to the industry average of 6.74X, indicating a stretched valuation [16][18]
Analysts Estimate Snap (SNAP) to Report a Decline in Earnings: What to Look Out for
ZACKS· 2025-07-29 15:10
Company Overview - Snap (SNAP) is expected to report a year-over-year decline in earnings of 50%, with an estimated earnings per share (EPS) of $0.01 for the quarter ended June 2025 [3]. - Revenues are projected to be $1.34 billion, reflecting an 8% increase from the same quarter last year [3]. Earnings Expectations - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 3.03% higher in the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts [4]. - The upcoming earnings report is anticipated to be released on August 5, and the stock price may react positively if actual results exceed expectations [2]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) model indicates that Snap has an Earnings ESP of -100.00%, suggesting a bearish outlook from analysts [12]. - Despite the negative Earnings ESP, Snap holds a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), complicating predictions regarding an earnings beat [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Snap met the consensus EPS estimate of $0.04, resulting in no surprise [13]. - Over the past four quarters, Snap has beaten consensus EPS estimates two times [14]. Industry Comparison - Lightspeed Commerce Inc. (LSPD), another player in the Zacks Internet - Software industry, is expected to report an EPS of $0.11 for the same quarter, representing a 10% year-over-year increase [18]. - LSPD's revenues are projected to be $286.85 million, up 7.8% from the previous year, with a positive Earnings ESP of +14.04% [19].
Can Toast Sustain Healthy Net Additions in Q2 and Beyond?
ZACKS· 2025-06-26 15:30
Core Insights - Toast Inc (TOST) started 2025 with strong momentum, adding over 6,000 net locations in Q1 2025, totaling approximately 140,000 customer locations globally, reflecting a 25% year-over-year growth [1] - The company aims to achieve record net additions in the current quarter and expects 2025 to surpass 2024's full-year net additions [1] - Toast is focusing on expanding its presence in the U.S. SMB restaurant market, with only 10% penetration into its total addressable market (TAM) of 1.4 million locations, indicating significant long-term growth potential [1] - The company is also pursuing growth in three new areas: enterprise, international, and food & beverage retail, targeting over 10,000 locations by the end of 2025 in these segments [1] Technology and Innovation - Toast's AI-powered tools, such as Sous Chef and ToastIQ, are enhancing its competitive edge in restaurant technology [2] - The company has improved its reporting, payroll, and accounting tools, and introduced a Benchmarking tool to assist restaurants in managing costs [2] - These advancements position Toast as a full-stack solutions provider, which is expected to support its growth trajectory beyond the current quarter [2] Financial Projections - Toast projects a 26% growth in fintech and subscription gross profit for 2025 at the midpoint, with adjusted EBITDA estimated at $550 million and a 31% margin, reflecting a five percentage point increase from 2024 [3] Market Environment - Management is closely monitoring the macro environment, acknowledging the restaurant industry's sensitivity to consumer spending, labor inflation, and supply chain volatility [4] - A downturn in consumer spending or increased cost pressures could potentially impact restaurant technology budgets, affecting TOST's performance [4] Competitive Landscape - Competitor Lightspeed Commerce Inc. is pivoting towards North America's Retail and Europe's Hospitality sectors, reporting a 3% year-over-year increase in customer locations and a 6% rise in GTV for these customers [5][6] - Block, Inc. offers a comprehensive commerce ecosystem, including Square for Restaurants, which competes directly with TOST's offerings, generating $1.48 billion in transaction revenues, up 5.9% year over year [7][8] Stock Performance and Valuation - TOST shares gained 13.9% year to date, slightly underperforming the Internet-Software industry's growth of 14.2% [9] - The shares are currently trading at a price/book ratio of 12.34X, higher than the industry average of 6.49X [11] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for TOST's earnings for 2025 has remained unchanged over the past 30 days [12]
Can Toast Keep EBITDA Margins Above 30% With Cost Discipline?
ZACKS· 2025-06-26 15:26
Core Insights - Toast, Inc. (TOST) reported a strong first-quarter 2025 performance, with revenue increasing by 24.4% year-over-year to $1.34 billion and adjusted EBITDA reaching $133 million, reflecting a margin of approximately 32% [1][2] - The company is experiencing significant growth in annual recurring revenues, which reached $1.7 billion, a 31% increase year-over-year, and operates in about 140,000 locations, marking a 25% growth [3] - Toast has raised its full-year EBITDA outlook to around $550 million with a 31% margin, an increase from the previous estimate of $510-$530 million at a 30% margin [5] Financial Performance - Operating costs, excluding bad-debt charges, rose only about 12%, primarily due to increased spending on sales and marketing [2] - Free cash flow turned positive at $69 million, compared to a loss of $33 million a year ago [2] - Toast's adjusted EBITDA margin improved significantly, driven by gross profit growth and strict cost discipline [1][2] Market Position and Growth Potential - Toast has only 10% penetration into its total addressable market (TAM) of 1.4 million locations, indicating substantial long-term expansion opportunities [3] - The company is leveraging its scale to introduce new services, including AI-powered analytics and fintech products, which contribute to revenue without proportional cost increases [4] - Management anticipates record net additions in the current quarter, with expectations for 2025 to surpass 2024's full-year net additions [3] Competitive Landscape - Block (formerly Square) reported an adjusted EBITDA of $812.8 million for Q1 2025, with an operating margin of 8.1% [7] - Lightspeed Commerce (LSPD) achieved total revenues of $253.4 million in Q1 2025, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 32% [9] - TOST's shares have increased by 61.4% over the past year, outperforming the Zacks Internet-Software industry's growth of 34.3% [12] Valuation Metrics - TOST trades at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 3.12X, which is lower than the industry's average of 5.76X [13] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for TOST's earnings for 2025 has been rising over the past 60 days, indicating positive market sentiment [14]
Toast vs. Lightspeed: Which POS Platform Stock Offers More Upside?
ZACKS· 2025-06-25 15:05
Core Insights - Toast Inc. (TOST) and Lightspeed Commerce Inc. (LSPD) are key players in the point-of-sale (POS) solutions market, with Toast focusing on restaurants and Lightspeed serving both restaurants and retail, making them direct competitors in the hospitality tech sector [1][2] Company Analysis: Toast Inc. (TOST) - TOST ended the first quarter with approximately 140,000 customer locations globally, reflecting a 25% year-over-year growth, and added over 6,000 net locations in the same period [3][9] - The company has only 10% penetration into its total addressable market (TAM) of 1.4 million locations, indicating significant long-term growth potential [3] - TOST is expanding into three new growth areas: enterprise, international, and food & beverage retail, with a target of exceeding 10,000 locations in these segments by the end of 2025 [4] - The introduction of AI-powered tools, such as Sous Chef and ToastIQ, is enhancing TOST's platform and improving operational efficiency for restaurant operators [5] - Despite strong growth, TOST faces challenges such as a 3% year-over-year decline in gross payment volume (GPV) per location, indicating lower average transaction volumes [7] Company Analysis: Lightspeed Commerce Inc. (LSPD) - LSPD reported an 18% revenue increase in fiscal 2025, surpassing $1 billion in annual revenues for the first time [8] - The company is strategically focusing on North American retail and European hospitality, with customer locations in these markets increasing over 3% year-over-year [10] - LSPD is investing heavily in innovation, with a 35% increase in product development budget for fiscal 2026 compared to fiscal 2025 [11] - Transaction-based revenues for LSPD rose 14% to $157.8 million, with GPV increasing by 40%, showcasing strong growth in its payments segment [12] - However, LSPD is also facing macroeconomic challenges, with a revenue growth guidance of 10% to 12% for the current fiscal year, lower than the previous year's 18% growth [13] Market Comparison - TOST shares have appreciated by 5.2%, while LSPD shares have gained 11.7% [16] - Valuation metrics indicate that both companies are overvalued, with TOST trading at a Price/Book ratio of 13.28X compared to LSPD's 1.04X [18] - Analysts have slightly revised earnings estimates upward for TOST, while LSPD has seen a marginal downward revision for the current year [20][22] - Despite facing similar macro and competitive challenges, LSPD's diversified revenue base across multiple sectors makes it a more compelling investment option compared to TOST's restaurant-heavy model [22]
TOST Stock Rises 19% in Three Months: Time to Hold or Make an Exit?
ZACKS· 2025-06-16 14:11
Core Insights - Toast, Inc. (TOST) shares have increased by 19.2% over the past three months, outperforming the Internet Software market and the Zacks Computer & Technology sector, which grew by 12.5% and 9.7% respectively [1] - TOST is a leading provider of software-as-a-service (SaaS) and hardware solutions focused on the restaurant market [1] Price Performance - TOST stock declined by 2.4% recently, closing at $41.54, which is close to its 52-week high of $45.56 [4] - Despite recent momentum, there are pros and cons to consider regarding the stock's future performance [4] Challenges - The macro environment is uncertain due to escalating trade wars, which raise concerns about increased costs and reduced consumer purchasing power [5] - The restaurant industry is sensitive to consumer spending, labor inflation, and supply chain volatility, which could impact TOST's performance [6] - A decline in Gross Payment Volume (GPV) per location is a concern, with overall GPV increasing by 22% year over year to $42 billion, but GPV per location declining by 3% year over year [7] - Operating expenses increased by 12% in the last reported quarter, with sales and marketing expenses growing by 25% year over year [9] Competitive Landscape - TOST faces competitive pressure from various players, including Block (formerly Square), Oracle, and Lightspeed, each with different market approaches [11] - Oracle offers a range of products targeting large restaurant chains, while Lightspeed provides a comprehensive commerce platform for various businesses [12] Valuation Concerns - TOST's stock is considered expensive, trading at a price/book multiple of 12.35X compared to the industry's 6.26X, indicating a stretched valuation [16] - The company's Value Style Score of F suggests that the stock may not be a good value at this time [15] Investment Thesis - TOST faces challenges such as an uncertain macro environment, competitive threats, and stretched valuation, suggesting that recent stock gains may present an opportunity to exit before potential downturns [18]
Rekor Systems, Inc. (REKR) Reports Q1 Loss, Lags Revenue Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-05-14 23:15
Core Viewpoint - Rekor Systems, Inc. reported a quarterly loss of $0.10 per share, which was worse than the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of $0.08, marking a 25% earnings surprise [1] - The company has struggled with revenue, posting $9.2 million for the quarter, missing estimates by 20.30% and down from $9.78 million a year ago [2] Financial Performance - The company has only surpassed consensus EPS estimates once in the last four quarters [2] - The stock has declined approximately 34.6% year-to-date, contrasting with the S&P 500's slight gain of 0.1% [3] Future Outlook - The earnings outlook for Rekor Systems is currently unfavorable, with a Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell), indicating expected underperformance in the near future [6] - Current consensus EPS estimates for the upcoming quarter are -$0.07 on revenues of $13.14 million, and -$0.25 on revenues of $51.67 million for the current fiscal year [7] Industry Context - The Internet - Software industry, to which Rekor Systems belongs, is ranked in the top 35% of over 250 Zacks industries, suggesting a relatively strong industry performance [8]
Lightspeed Retail Achieves 'Built for NetSuite' Status
Prnewswire· 2025-04-16 12:00
Core Insights - Lightspeed Commerce Inc. has announced that its Lightspeed Retail SuiteApp has achieved 'Built for NetSuite' status, indicating compliance with Oracle NetSuite SuiteCloud Platform development standards [1][3] - The SuiteApp aims to simplify retail operations, enhance business efficiency, and allow retailers to focus on customer engagement rather than backend processes [2][3] Company Overview - Lightspeed Commerce is a comprehensive commerce platform that empowers merchants to deliver exceptional omnichannel experiences, integrating online and physical operations [7][8] - Founded in 2005 in Montréal, Canada, Lightspeed is dual-listed on the NYSE and TSX, serving businesses in over 100 countries across retail, hospitality, and golf sectors [8] Product Features - The Lightspeed Retail SuiteApp integrates and automates data flows between NetSuite and Lightspeed Retail POS, improving data synchronization across products, inventory, and customer history [2] - It simplifies transaction reporting, optimizes inventory management, and centralizes data visibility for multi-location retailers [2] Industry Context - The complexity of retail operations necessitates integrated data solutions to ensure consistent customer experiences across various channels [3] - The 'Built for NetSuite' program provides assurance to customers that SuiteApps meet high standards and best practices, enhancing confidence in the integration of business operations and POS systems [3]
Lightspeed Commerce Inc. (LSPD) Rises Yet Lags Behind Market: Some Facts Worth Knowing
ZACKS· 2025-04-14 23:20
The latest trading session saw Lightspeed Commerce Inc. (LSPD) ending at $9.13, denoting a +0.22% adjustment from its last day's close. The stock trailed the S&P 500, which registered a daily gain of 0.79%. At the same time, the Dow added 0.78%, and the tech-heavy Nasdaq gained 0.64%.Prior to today's trading, shares of the company had lost 15.49% over the past month. This has lagged the Computer and Technology sector's loss of 4.81% and the S&P 500's loss of 3.56% in that time.Market participants will be cl ...