Core Viewpoint - FedEx Corporation is expected to show revenue and earnings per share growth in its upcoming first-quarter financial results, despite a recent trend of stock sell-offs following earnings reports [1]. Earnings Estimates - Analysts predict FedEx will report first-quarter revenue of $21.67 billion, an increase from $21.60 billion in the same quarter last year [2]. - Expected earnings per share for the first quarter are $3.62, up from $3.60 in the previous year [2]. - The company has beaten revenue estimates in three consecutive quarters but only in four of the last ten quarters overall [2]. Recent Performance and Guidance - FedEx beat earnings per share estimates in the fourth quarter and has surpassed estimates in six of the last ten quarters [3]. - The company's guidance for first-quarter earnings per share is between $3.40 and $4.00, with revenue guidance ranging from $21.60 billion to $22.03 billion [3]. Analyst Sentiment - Analysts have been reducing their price targets for FedEx ahead of the earnings report, indicating a cautious outlook [4]. - Jay Woods from Freedom Capital Markets noted that FedEx has been a frustrating stock, with shares declining after each of the last four earnings reports [4]. - The implied volatility on FedEx's earnings day is +/- 7.1% [5]. Key Items to Watch - Investors will focus on shipment volumes and the impact of a recent partnership with Amazon on FedEx's shipments [5]. - The expiration of a partnership with the United States Postal Service may also affect the company's performance [6]. - FedEx is targeting $1 billion in cost savings by fiscal 2026, and investors will be keen to see any updates on this goal [6]. Analyst Ratings and Price Targets - Evercore ISI Group downgraded FedEx from Outperform to In-Line, lowering the price target from $249 to $243 [7]. - Bernstein maintained a Market Perform rating but reduced the price target from $249 to $247 [7]. - Bank of America Securities downgraded from Buy to Neutral, lowering the price target from $245 to $240 [7]. - JPMorgan maintained an Overweight rating but lowered the price target from $290 to $285 [7]. - UBS maintained a Buy rating while reducing the price target from $297 to $293 [7]. Stock Performance - FedEx stock is currently up 0.9% to $229.64, with a 52-week trading range of $194.30 to $308.53 [8]. - The stock has declined 16.3% year-to-date in 2025 [8].

Group 1 - Top Wall Street analysts have revised their outlook on several prominent companies, indicating potential shifts in investment sentiment [1] - Analysts are considering the stock of FDX, suggesting it may be a viable investment option based on recent evaluations [1]

Core Viewpoint - Evercore ISI has downgraded FedEx shares from Buy to Hold, indicating a shift in investment sentiment towards the company [1] Company Summary - The downgrade reflects concerns regarding FedEx's future performance and market conditions that may impact its profitability [1]

Core Insights - FedEx Corporation is set to release its first-quarter earnings on September 18, with analysts expecting earnings of $3.64 per share, an increase from $3.60 per share in the same period last year [1] - The projected quarterly revenue for FedEx is $21.67 billion, slightly up from $21.58 billion a year earlier [1] Recent Performance - In the fourth quarter, FedEx reported revenue of $22.2 billion, surpassing analyst expectations of $21.84 billion [2] - The company also reported adjusted earnings of $6.07 per share for the fourth quarter, exceeding analyst estimates of $5.87 per share [2] - Following the fourth-quarter results, FedEx shares increased by 0.9%, closing at $227.70 [2] Analyst Ratings - B of A Securities downgraded FedEx from Buy to Neutral, lowering the price target from $245 to $240 [8] - JP Morgan maintained an Overweight rating but reduced the price target from $290 to $285 [8] - UBS kept a Buy rating while lowering the price target from $297 to $293 [8] - Citigroup maintained a Buy rating and cut the price target from $278 to $275 [8] - Raymond James maintained an Outperform rating, reducing the price target from $275 to $260 [8]

Core Viewpoint - FedEx Corporation is expected to report earnings on September 18, 2025, with analysts predicting an EPS of $3.65 and revenue of approximately $21.67 billion, reflecting slight growth compared to previous periods [1][3][6] Earnings Expectations - Analysts forecast an EPS of $3.64 and sales of $21.7 billion for Q1 2026, which is a slight increase from the previous earnings of $3.60 per share and sales of $21.6 billion [3] - The projected EPS of $3.65 indicates a 1.4% increase year-over-year, while revenues are expected to rise by 0.9% to $21.78 billion [3] Historical Stock Performance - Historically, FedEx's stock has declined post-earnings announcements, with a drop occurring in 58% of cases over the past five years, and a median decline of 4% [2][6] - The largest one-day drop recorded was 21.4%, suggesting traders may adjust their strategies based on this historical trend [2] Earnings Estimate Revisions - In the past 30 days, there has been a minor downward revision of 0.3% in the consensus EPS estimate, which is significant as it often influences investor actions [4] Financial Metrics - FedEx has a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 13.24 and a price-to-sales ratio of 0.61, indicating a relatively low market valuation compared to its revenue [5][6] - The company’s debt-to-equity ratio stands at 1.33, reflecting its financial leverage, while a current ratio of 1.19 suggests its ability to meet short-term liabilities [5][6]

Core Insights - The end of de minimis has led to confusion and increased costs for businesses, including major companies like Lululemon [1] Group 1 - Businesses of all sizes are experiencing challenges due to the termination of de minimis, which has resulted in higher operational costs [1] - Companies are expressing concerns about the implications of this change on their supply chains and pricing strategies [1]

Core Insights - FedEx is set to report its fiscal first quarter results on September 18, providing updated insights into the delivery services market, which has faced increased pressure from tariffs affecting shipping operations and demand [1][4] - The termination of the de minimis trade exemption at the end of August has led to pronounced weakness in cross-border shipping, and Wall Street is looking for FedEx's perspective on the impact of this change [2][4] Financial Performance - FedEx's Q1 sales are estimated to increase by 1% to $21.78 billion compared to $21.58 billion in the same quarter last year, while Q1 EPS is expected to rise by 1% to $3.65 per share from $3.60 [5] - However, the most accurate estimate suggests FedEx could miss earnings expectations, with the Q1 EPS pegged at $3.47, which is 5% below the Zacks Consensus [5][6] Market Outlook - FedEx's total sales are projected to increase by 1% in fiscal year 2026 and by another 4% in fiscal year 2027, reaching $92.91 billion, with annual earnings expected to rise by 1% in FY26 and spike by 13% in FY27 to $20.73 per share [9] - EPS estimates for FY26 and FY27 have trended lower over the last 30 days, indicating potential challenges ahead [9] Stock Performance - FedEx shares have underperformed, down 7% over the last five years, compared to broader indexes that have returned over 100% [3] - Both FedEx and UPS trade at around 12X forward earnings, which is a steep discount compared to the S&P 500's 25.5X [11] - FedEx's stock has rebounded from a one-year low of $194, but short-term risks may still exist [14]

Core Insights - FedEx is scheduled to announce its fiscal Q1 2026 earnings on September 18, 2025, with historical stock performance showing a tendency to decline post-announcement [2][3] - Analysts project earnings of $3.64 per share and sales of $21.7 billion for Q1 2026, compared to $3.60 per share and $21.6 billion in the same quarter last year [3] - FedEx has a current market capitalization of $55 billion, with $88 billion in revenue, $6.0 billion in operating profits, and a net income of $4.1 billion over the past twelve months [4] Earnings Reaction History - Over the past five years, FedEx has recorded 19 earnings data points, with 8 positive and 11 negative one-day returns, resulting in a 42% occurrence of positive returns [7] - The median of positive returns is 6.6%, while the median of negative returns is -4.0% [7] - The percentage of positive returns increases to 45% when considering the last three years [7] Post-Earnings Returns - Historical data indicates correlations between 1-day, 5-day, and 21-day returns post-earnings, which can inform trading strategies [8][9] - A strategy based on the correlation between short-term and medium-term returns may help traders make informed decisions following earnings announcements [8]

Core Viewpoint - FedEx is expected to report quarterly earnings of $3.65 per share, a 1.4% increase year-over-year, with revenues projected at $21.78 billion, reflecting a 0.9% increase compared to the previous year [1]. Earnings Estimates - Over the last 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate has been revised downward by 0.3%, indicating a collective reassessment by analysts [2]. - Revisions to earnings estimates are crucial indicators for predicting investor actions regarding the stock, with empirical research showing a strong correlation between earnings estimate trends and short-term stock price performance [3]. Revenue Projections - Analysts predict that the 'Revenue- FedEx Freight segment' will reach $2.29 billion, representing a year-over-year decline of 1.8% [5]. - The 'Revenue- Other and eliminations' is expected to be $942.88 million, indicating a slight decrease of 0.2% year-over-year [5]. Key Metrics - The 'FedEx Freight - Weight per shipment - Composite weight per shipment' is projected to be 917.12 thousand, down from 928.00 thousand a year ago [5]. - The average prediction for 'FedEx Freight - Revenue per hundredweight - Composite revenue per hundredweight' is $40.31, compared to $40.73 from the previous year [6]. - The consensus estimate for 'Operating income (loss)- FedEx Freight segment' is $374.80 million, down from $439.00 million a year ago [6]. Stock Performance - FedEx shares have changed by +1% in the past month, compared to a +2.3% move of the Zacks S&P 500 composite [6]. - With a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), FedEx is expected to perform in line with the overall market in the near future [6].

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