Chipotle cut its full-year projection for a third time this year, as diners pulled back from eating out amid heightened economic pressure https://t.co/f3sW0beRPc ...

Welcome back to another episode of Earnings Allstars. And this week is huge. We're getting the Mag Sevens.I've already covered those last week. Go see the video on the Mag Seven charts. I think that's what it's called.Five or six Mag Seven charts, something like that. Go check that one out. But there's a lot going on other than the Mag Seven this week.And I'm bringing you two videos this week to try to cover at least 10 of those stocks. And I'll have many more on my Twitterx feed, on Stock Twits, on Blue Sk ...

Hey I'm Cramer. Welcome to Mad Money. Welcome to Cramer friends I'm just trying to help make some money.My job is not just to entertain but to educate. Try to teach about what the heck is going on here. Call me one 800 743 CNBC.Tweet me at Jim Cramer. You want big, you want important, you want game changing, then you want next week. We're approaching the height of earnings season and this time the earnings are more important than ever.Other than today's consumer price index reading, which was benign. We hav ...

Market Overview - U.S. equities showed upward momentum in Q3, with the S&P 500 Index increasing by 8.1% and the Russell Midcap Growth Index rising by 2.8% [2] - Investor optimism was driven by favorable tariff outcomes, the passing of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, anticipated interest rate cuts, and strong corporate earnings [2] Strategy Performance - The ClearBridge Growth Strategy outperformed its benchmark for the second consecutive quarter, supported by diversified growth contributors [3] - Key themes driving performance included artificial intelligence (AI) and cryptocurrency, with significant gains from holdings like Broadcom, AppLovin, Palantir, and Robinhood [3][4] Sector Contributions - Strong stock selection and strategic sector positioning were pivotal, with Broadcom's announcement of a new customer for its AI-focused XPU chips highlighting its market leadership [4] - L3Harris benefited from increased demand in defense spending, while TKO secured a lucrative deal with Paramount for UFC rights, showcasing the value of premium content [5] Portfolio Positioning - The strategy maintained a disciplined approach by trimming winners and reallocating capital into new opportunities, adding four new positions during the quarter [8] - Notable additions included On Holding, a premium footwear designer, and Roblox, a leading user-generated gaming platform, both expected to drive strong revenue growth [9][10] Individual Stock Performance - Leading contributors to performance included AppLovin, TE Connectivity, Broadcom, Robinhood, and L3Harris, while detractors were Vertex Pharmaceuticals, Chipotle, and HubSpot [20] - The strategy closed positions in Paylocity and Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical, reflecting a focus on evolving investment theses [20] Outlook - The strategy aims to maintain a balanced portfolio to capture upside in strong markets while providing downside protection during volatility [16] - The focus remains on monitoring stock-specific and sector allocations, reallocating capital to opportunities with attractive risk-reward profiles [17]

Core Insights - The article compares two AI-oriented companies, SoundHound AI and BigBear.ai, highlighting their different business models and growth trajectories in the booming AI market [1][2]. Company Overview - SoundHound AI focuses on voice and audio recognition tools, generating most of its revenue from the Houndify developer platform, which allows companies to create their own AI-powered voice recognition services [3]. - BigBear.ai offers AI modules that analyze data across edge networks, with a focus on government contracts and enterprise software solutions [8]. Financial Performance - SoundHound AI's revenue grew significantly, with a 47% increase in 2023, 85% in 2024, and an impressive 187% year-over-year growth in the first half of 2025, driven partly by acquisitions [4]. - BigBear.ai's revenue remained nearly flat in 2023 and grew only 2% in 2024, facing challenges such as the bankruptcy of its top customer and competition [9][12]. Margins and Profitability - SoundHound AI's adjusted gross margin decreased from 76.2% in 2023 to 55.3% in the first half of 2025 due to integration costs and a higher mix of lower-margin revenues, and it remains unprofitable under GAAP [5]. - BigBear.ai's gross margin expanded by 240 basis points to 28.6% in 2024, but it still faced a decline in revenue and a shrinking gross margin to 23.1% in the first half of 2025 [9][12]. Future Outlook - Analysts project SoundHound AI's revenue to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of nearly 47% to $267 million from 2024 to 2027, but it currently has a market cap of $7.4 billion, valuing it at 28 times its projected sales for 2027 [7]. - BigBear.ai is expected to see a revenue decline of 16% for the full year, but analysts forecast a 14% revenue increase in 2026 and a 6% rise to $162 million in 2027 as it converts its backlog into actual revenues [12]. Competitive Position - SoundHound AI is considered to have a stronger competitive position due to its faster growth, fewer direct competitors, and healthier gross margins compared to BigBear.ai [13].

Core Insights - Peter Lynch, a legendary fund manager, achieved an annualized return of 29.2% while managing the Fidelity Magellan Fund from 1977 to 1990, growing it from $18 million to $14 billion [5][6]. - Lynch emphasizes the importance of understanding what one is buying and suggests that investors should write down their reasons for purchasing a stock before buying it [7][10]. - He warns that the real danger in investing is not market volatility but being scared away by it, noting that the average stock on the NYSE experiences a 100% annual volatility [8][9]. Investment Philosophy - Lynch's key investment principle is to know what one is buying; if an investor cannot explain their investment to an 11-year-old in a minute, they should not buy it [10][81]. - He believes that successful investing is not about predicting the future but understanding the present and relying on diligence, common sense, and real-world observation [13][110]. - Lynch advises investors to write a script before buying stocks, detailing why they are buying and why the stock is undervalued [84][91]. Market Insights - Lynch acknowledges the current high valuations in the market, with the S&P 500 trading at a 22x P/E ratio, which he does not consider catastrophic [11]. - He expresses skepticism about the AI hype, stating he has not invested in any AI stocks and only recently learned how to pronounce "Nvidia" [10][161]. - Lynch reflects on the market's tendency to overlook companies that are undervalued or in distress but have potential for recovery, suggesting that these can be lucrative investment opportunities [170][171]. Personal Experience and Lessons - Lynch shares his journey from being a caddy to becoming a successful analyst at Fidelity, highlighting the importance of real-world experience in understanding investments [32][39]. - He recounts the pressure of managing funds for many American families and how he navigated market downturns by maintaining confidence in his investments [22][24]. - Lynch emphasizes that ordinary investors can succeed by applying diligence and common sense, rather than relying solely on complex models or predictions [172][174].

Core Viewpoint - JP Morgan has identified Shake Shack as a top short idea due to concerns over high menu prices and potential challenges in expanding beyond premium ingredient suppliers [1] Company Analysis - Shake Shack has recently been downgraded by BFA from a price target of $148 to $86, indicating a significant reduction in expected value [1] - The stock is currently experiencing a 28% drawdown, suggesting that the market has already priced in some level of consumer pressure [2] - The new CEO's ambitious expansion plan aims for 1,500 units, raising questions about potential cannibalization, although some analysts believe this concern is overstated [4][5] Industry Context - The challenges faced by Shake Shack are part of a broader trend affecting the quick-service restaurant (QSR) sector, with other companies like Cava, Sweet Green, and Chipotle also struggling [3] - Consumer spending concerns are prevalent across the industry, but there is a belief that companies may eventually surprise to the upside as market conditions change [4] - The current market sentiment reflects a cautious outlook, but there is potential for recovery if the stock price declines further, as some investors may see this as an opportunity to buy [6]

Jon Quast: Travis, just the way that I tick, I don't really like the headline grabbing companies as much as I do like the beneath the surface kind of ways that you can play this artificial intelligence trend. I think that energy is actually interesting, which if you know me, you know that I normally would be looking for something shinier in the investment world. But if you look at the information from the US Energy Information Administration, there was basically 2% annual growth for energy from 1990-2005. T ...

Group 1 - The market's third quarter winners provide a roadmap for the final stretch of the year, with many fund managers likely to invest in these stocks to showcase strong performance to clients [2] - AppLovin, a mobile ad tech company, led the gains with a 105% increase in stock price during Q3, attracting attention from institutional investors [2] - Western Digital and Seagate saw significant gains of 87% and 63% respectively, driven by increased demand for data storage due to the AI boom [3] Group 2 - Warner Bros. Discovery surged 70% due to balance sheet improvements and speculation of a potential takeover from Paramount Skydance [3] - Teradyne and Intel also performed well, with gains of 53% and nearly 50% respectively, attributed to strategic moves and leadership changes [3] - Invesco, the asset manager, experienced a 45% gain, reflecting strong overall market performance [4] Group 3 - Cramer expressed skepticism about Q3's underperformers, suggesting limited potential for recovery, with Chipotle being the only candidate for a possible reversal [4] - Other sectors such as managed care, cable, used cars, and Invisalign braces were advised against for investment [4]

Core Insights - Brian Niccol's tenure as CEO of Starbucks has not met investor expectations despite initial optimism following his appointment [1][2] - The company is implementing a turnaround strategy called "Back to Starbucks," which focuses on enhancing customer service and store environments [4][8] Company Actions - Starbucks plans to close approximately 200 stores this year, resulting in a total of around 18,300 locations in North America by the end of the fiscal year [7] - The company will refurbish over 1,000 locations to improve their design and atmosphere [8] - Starbucks is eliminating 900 non-retail jobs and closing many open positions as part of its restructuring efforts [8] Historical Context - The current store-closing strategy is reminiscent of Howard Schultz's actions in 2008, where he closed 600 stores to refocus the brand [9][10] - Schultz's previous strategy successfully reset the brand and improved customer experience, but it remains uncertain if Niccol's approach will yield similar results given the company's larger scale and increased competition [10] Market Challenges - Same-store sales are still declining, and the company faces challenges from weak discretionary spending and a slowing job market in the U.S. [11] - Investors may need to exercise patience as the turnaround strategy unfolds, especially with the stock's high price-to-earnings ratio exceeding 30 [12][13]