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Super Micro Computer Likely To Report Lower Q4 Earnings; These Most Accurate Analysts Revise Forecasts Ahead Of Earnings Call
Benzinga· 2025-08-05 15:38
Core Insights - Super Micro Computer, Inc. is set to release its fourth-quarter earnings results on August 5, with analysts expecting earnings of 44 cents per share, a decrease from 62 cents per share in the same quarter last year [1] - The company anticipates quarterly revenue of $5.91 billion, an increase from $5.31 billion year-over-year [1] Company Performance - The upcoming earnings results are viewed as a crucial indicator of Super Micro Computer's ability to adapt in a challenging environment for AI hardware suppliers [2] - The company's stock rose by 2.8%, closing at $58.23 on the preceding Monday [2] Analyst Ratings - Wedbush analyst Matt Bryson has a Neutral rating with a price target of $30 [7] - JP Morgan analyst Samik Chatterjee maintains a Neutral rating, raising the price target from $35 to $46 [7] - Citigroup analyst Asiya Merchant also holds a Neutral rating, increasing the price target from $37 to $52 [7] - B of A Securities analyst Ruplu Bhattacharya initiated coverage with an Underperform rating and a price target of $35 [7] - Mizuho analyst Vijay Rakesh maintains a Neutral rating, raising the price target from $40 to $47 [7]
Wall Street sets SMCI stock price ahead of earnings report
Finbold· 2025-08-05 10:16
Core Viewpoint - Super Micro Computer is expected to report its fourth-quarter fiscal year 2025 results, with analysts projecting revenue of approximately $6.13 billion and earnings of $0.75 per share, despite a bearish sentiment and downward revisions in price targets [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Performance Expectations - The anticipated revenue for the fourth quarter is around $6.13 billion, with earnings projected at $0.75 per share [1]. - The company had previously estimated revenue between $5.6 billion and $6.4 billion, with non-GAAP EPS expected in the range of $0.40 to $0.50 [1]. Group 2: Analyst Sentiment and Ratings - Sentiment has turned more bearish, with many analysts revising price targets downward; Super Micro has missed revenue expectations in five of the past eight quarters [2]. - Wedbush analyst Matt Bryson maintained a Neutral rating with a price target of $30, citing concerns over limited visibility and margin pressures [2]. - According to TipRanks data, the stock has a Hold consensus rating, with 5 Buy ratings, 7 Hold recommendations, and 2 Sell ratings [5]. Group 3: Market Dynamics and Opportunities - Spending from neocloud providers, AI model builders, and government-backed buyers is increasing, with more customers turning to OEMs like Super Micro for AI server needs [3]. - Bryson noted that Nvidia prioritizing GB200 shipments to OEMs could benefit Super Micro [3]. - Citi raised its price target to $52 from $37, highlighting the ramp-up of GB200/300 products and growing demand in sovereign and enterprise AI markets [4]. Group 4: Future Projections - Bryson believes Super Micro could eventually achieve $10 billion in quarterly sales, although demand visibility remains unclear due to reliance on related parties for key components [4]. - The average 12-month price target for SMCI stock is $42.85, indicating a potential decline of 24.35% from current levels, with targets ranging from $70.00 to $24.00 [8].
HPC Server and DLC Traction Likely to Boost SMCI's Q4 Earnings
ZACKS· 2025-08-01 17:20
Core Insights - Super Micro Computer (SMCI) is expected to report its fourth-quarter fiscal 2025 results on August 5, with a focus on its server and storage business driven by demand from hyperscalers, high-performance computing, and AI customers [1][2] Group 1: Business Performance - The Server and Storage Systems segment is a key driver of SMCI's financial strength, with increasing demand for GPU-optimized servers for AI workloads contributing significantly to its success [3] - SMCI's integration of Intel Gaudi, NVIDIA Blackwell Chips, and AMD processors is anticipated to attract more customers in high-performance computing, AI, and hyperscale markets [3][4] - The early availability of systems based on NVIDIA's new Blackwell GPU architecture, along with strong performance from Hopper-based systems, is expected to enhance the segment's momentum [4] Group 2: Market Trends - The expansion of SMCI's Datacenter Building Block Solutions is likely to have increased adoption among enterprises and hyperscalers, providing a comprehensive solution for servers, storage, networking, and cooling [4] - There is strong customer interest in both air-cooled and direct liquid cooling (DLC) rack-scale platforms, which are crucial for the next phase of AI data center expansion [5] - Leadership in DLC technology is a competitive advantage for SMCI, as data centers are increasingly adopting these solutions to meet energy efficiency and density requirements [5] Group 3: Financial Outlook - Despite strong demand, some customers are delaying orders for newer AI platforms like NVIDIA's Blackwell, which may negatively impact SMCI's order book for the upcoming quarter [6] - Margins are expected to remain under pressure due to factors such as customer mix, competitive pricing, and rising costs associated with DLC AI GPU cluster deployments [6][7] - However, strong top-line growth in the Server and Storage Systems business is anticipated to partially offset earnings challenges [7]
Super Micro Should Get A Super Catalyst (Earnings Preview)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-08-01 13:00
With just one subscription to Beyond the Wall Investing , you can save thousands of dollars a year on equity research reports from banks. You'll keep your finger on the pulse and have access to the latest and highest-quality analysis of this type of information.I've been covering Super Micro Computer, Inc. (NASDAQ: SMCI ) since January 2024, initially rating the stock as a Buy, and then withdrawing that rating and assigning it again as the market conditions and theHe leads the investing group Beyond the Wal ...
Should Investors Buy, Sell or Hold SMCI Stock Before Q4 Earnings?
ZACKS· 2025-07-31 18:00
Core Viewpoint - Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI) is expected to report its fourth-quarter fiscal 2025 results, with projected revenues between $5.6 billion and $6.4 billion, indicating a year-over-year growth of 12.76% [1]. Revenue and Earnings Expectations - The company anticipates non-GAAP earnings per share (EPS) between 40 cents and 50 cents, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate at 44 cents, reflecting a decline of 30.2% from the previous year [2]. - The earnings estimates have remained unchanged over the past 60 days [2]. Recent Performance and Estimates - SMCI's earnings have beaten the Zacks Consensus Estimate twice in the last four quarters, with an average negative surprise of 5.72% [3]. - Current EPS estimates for the upcoming quarters are 0.44 for Q4 2025 and 0.56 for Q1 2026, with a projected EPS of 2.07 for the current year and 2.51 for the next year [3]. Factors Influencing Q4 Results - The anticipated revenue growth is driven by strong demand for direct liquid cooling (DLC) servers and AI solutions, particularly from hyperscalers and high-performance computing customers [6][9]. - New product offerings, including Supermicro 4-Socket X14 Servers and collaborations with NVIDIA for AI deployments, are expected to contribute positively to revenue [7][9]. - SMCI holds approximately 70% market share in the DLC space, which is likely to provide stability to its revenue [8]. Margin Pressures - The company faces margin pressures due to higher costs, competitive pricing, and delays in customer purchases [9][10]. - Factors such as unfavorable product mix and increased costs associated with ramping up production for DLC technology are contributing to margin contraction [10]. Stock Performance and Valuation - SMCI shares have increased by 103.9% over the past year, outperforming the Zacks Computer – Storage Devices industry, which gained 20.2% [11]. - The stock is currently trading at a forward 12-month price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 23.71X, higher than the industry average of 19.94X [12]. Investment Thesis - SMCI is positioned as a key player in AI infrastructure, leveraging its liquid cooling technology and broad AI product portfolio for long-term growth [14]. - The company is enhancing its capabilities in AI training and inference infrastructure by integrating Intel and AMD technologies [15][16]. Demand Challenges - Customer purchasing delays due to anticipation of newer AI platforms are impacting revenue, alongside significant inventory write-downs related to older-generation GPUs [17]. - The company is experiencing a slowdown in revenue growth, raising concerns for investors [18].
Is Wall Street Overreacting? Super Micro Computer Still Looks Like A Buy
Seeking Alpha· 2025-07-31 15:36
Core Insights - Super Micro Computer Inc. operates in the AI infrastructure market, focusing on high-performance server and storage solutions [1] Group 1: Company Overview - The company has two main segments: Server and Storage Systems (SSS) and Subsystems and Accessories [1] Group 2: Market Position - Super Micro Computer Inc. is positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for AI infrastructure, which is critical for various industries [1]
Buy or Sell Super Micro Stock Ahead of Earnings?
Forbes· 2025-07-31 13:55
Company Overview - Super Micro Computer (NASDAQ: SMCI) is expected to announce its Q4 2025 earnings around August 5, 2025, with a stock performance increase of nearly 60% in the past three months [2] - The company's current market capitalization is $36 billion, with revenue for the past twelve months at $22 billion, operating profits of $1.3 billion, and a net income of $1.2 billion [4] Earnings Expectations - Revenues are anticipated to increase by approximately 11% year-over-year to $5.9 billion, while earnings are projected to be around $0.44 per share, slightly down from the previous year [2] - Revenue growth is likely driven by sustained demand from the AI, cloud computing, and data center sectors [2] Product Developments - New offerings such as high-memory X14 servers and advanced liquid-cooled GPU systems utilizing AMD Instinct MI350s are expected to significantly contribute to business performance during this quarter [3] - The company is prioritizing the development of liquid cooling technology for servers, which has put pressure on margins [3] Margin Analysis - As of Q3 FY'25, Super Micro's gross margin was 9.6%, down from 11.8% in Q2 FY'25 and 15.5% in Q3 FY'24 [3] Historical Performance Insights - There have been 20 recorded earnings instances in the last five years, with 10 positive and 10 negative one-day (1D) returns, indicating a 50% occurrence of positive returns [7] - The percentage of positive returns falls to 27% when considering data from the last three years [7] Correlation Analysis - Understanding the correlation between short-term and medium-term returns following earnings can help in positioning trades effectively [8] - Historical data shows that the correlation between 1D and 5D returns can guide trading strategies post-earnings announcements [8]
Supermicro Open Storage Summit Showcases the Impact of AI Workloads on Storage: Starts August 12
Prnewswire· 2025-07-31 13:05
Core Insights - Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI) is hosting the 2025 Open Storage Summit, focusing on the evolving landscape of storage workloads and AI's impact on storage infrastructure [1][2] - The summit will feature nine sessions, forty expert speakers, and participation from 23 companies, highlighting specific storage use cases and providing actionable advice for data center managers [2][6] Event Details - The Open Storage Summit will run from August 12 to August 28, 2025, and will include discussions on topics such as agentic AI, storage-as-a-service, and modernizing enterprise applications for AI [2][6] - Returning participants include industry leaders like AMD, Intel, NVIDIA, and new additions such as EDB and MinIO [3][4] Session Highlights - Key sessions include "Tiered Storage for AI Workloads," "Agentic AI Storage Solutions," and "Storage to Enable Inference at Scale," among others [5][8] - Each session aims to address technical challenges and provide insights into best practices for implementing AI and storage solutions [4][10] Industry Collaboration - The summit emphasizes the need for collaboration among leaders in hardware, software, and storage to deliver optimal customer solutions [3][4] - The event aims to foster innovative thinking and outcomes by bringing together experts from various fields [4]
Should You Buy Super Micro Stock Before August 5?
The Motley Fool· 2025-07-30 15:21
Parkev Tatevosian, CFA has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. Parkev Tatevosian is an affiliate of The Motley Fool and may be compensated for promoting its services. If you choose to subscribe through his link, he will earn some extra money that supports his channel. His opinions remain his own and are unaffected by The Motley Fool. ...
RAVEL Expands Its Orchestrate AI Software and Launches New Turnkey AI Workload Solution Pre-Configured for Supermicro Systems to Accelerate AI Adoption
GlobeNewswire News Room· 2025-07-30 14:00
Seattle, WA, July 30, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- RAVEL, a leader in IT and workload orchestration software, today announced major updates to its flagship AI offering, RAVEL Orchestrate AI, as well as the launch of solutions leveraging Supermicro Turnkey AI Workload Solution—a powerful and ready-to-deploy AI offering. These products simplify the adoption of scalable AI for organizations across industries, such as data centers, content creation studios, research labs and innovation hubs, and large enterprises. ...