Company Overview - The Western Union Company (NYSE: WU) provides global money transfer and payment solutions through various channels including retail agents, digital platforms, and mobile services [1] - The company offers a range of services such as bill payments, money orders, prepaid cards, foreign exchange, and digital wallet services [1] Recent Developments - On September 9, Western Union formed a partnership with dLocal (NASDAQ: DLO) to enhance digital payment options for money transfers in Latin America [1] - This partnership allows customers to utilize local payment methods like bank transfers and cards on Western Union's online platforms, resulting in increased choice, faster transfers, and lower costs [1] - The deal aligns with the region's growing shift towards digital services, following record remittance levels of $161 billion in 2024 [1] Market Sentiment - Jim Cramer expressed a negative outlook on Western Union, highlighting the lack of growth despite its high yield, indicating a preference for investments that offer growth and compounded income [1]

Company Overview - Payoneer Global Inc. is currently trading at $6.65 with a trailing P/E of 26.60 [1] - The company focuses on SMBs, marketplaces, and enterprise payouts, with B2B payments accounting for approximately 19% of its 2024 revenue, projected at $186 million, and showing a 37% year-over-year growth in Q2 2025 [2] Industry Insights - The cross-border payments industry, including P2P, is expected to grow in the mid to upper single digits through 2030, driven by global trade, connectivity, mobile access, emerging markets, and technological innovation [2] Competitive Positioning - Payoneer benefits from a presence in high-growth regions like LATAM and APAC, an Easylink acquisition in China, and a pending Payment Aggregator Cross Border license in India, enhancing integration, efficiency, and market access [3] - The company has strong network effects, high barriers to entry, brand credibility, and moderate economies of scale [3] Management and Ownership - The management team, led by CEO John Caplan and CFO Bea Ordonez, is relatively new but experienced, with compensation largely performance-based [3] - Institutional investors hold approximately 35% of shares [3] Valuation Analysis - Payoneer is potentially undervalued, with a fair value estimated at $8.75–$9 per share, implying about a 25% upside from the current price [5] - Valuation multiples such as EV/EBITDA (7.9x) and P/S (2.5x) compare favorably with peers like PayPal, Wise, Adyen, and dLocal [5] Growth Opportunities - The SMB marketplace sellers represent the largest segment for Payoneer, growing 16% in 2024, while enterprise payouts show stable volume but flat revenue due to declining take rates [2] - Long-term fundamentals and growth opportunities suggest a compelling tactical investment despite near-term uncertainties [5]

Core Insights - The Western Union Company (WU) has partnered with DLocal Limited (DLO) to integrate modern digital payment methods into its online platforms across several Latin American countries [1][8] - The collaboration aims to enhance the payment experience for customers by offering locally relevant payment options such as real-time bank transfers, card payments, and e-wallets [2][4] - This initiative aligns with the growing trend towards digital remittances in Latin America, which can lower transaction costs and increase the utilization of WU's digital services [3][4] Group 1 - The partnership is part of WU's global digital expansion strategy, expected to attract more customers and boost digital money transfer revenues [4][5] - WU's focus on strengthening its presence in Latin America is evident through this collaboration, which enhances the range of money transfer choices available [5][6] - WU has made several investments and partnerships over the years, reinforcing its ability to build a robust digital platform for money transfers globally [6] Group 2 - WU's share price has increased by 4.7% in the past month, outperforming the industry growth of 2% [7] - The partnership with DLocal is anticipated to improve remittance flexibility for customers in key Latin American markets such as Chile, Mexico, Peru, Panama, Argentina, and Brazil [2][8]

Core Insights - Western Union has partnered with dLocal to enhance digital payment options in Latin America, aiming to provide a more agile and modern payment experience tailored to local preferences [1][2] - The collaboration is expected to empower customers with greater control over international money transfers, allowing them to select payment methods that suit their needs [2] - This partnership is part of a broader strategy to expand the digital financial ecosystem in Latin America, potentially creating new business opportunities [2] Group 1 - The partnership incorporates locally relevant payment methods, including cards and bank transfers, into Western Union's digital channels [1] - dLocal's VP of Sales America emphasized the commitment to boost digital remittances in emerging markets, aiming to reduce costs and speed up transfers [3] - Western Union's interim president highlighted the goal of providing superior solutions to enhance customer experience and facilitate meaningful connections [3] Group 2 - In June, dLocal partnered with BVNK to enable stablecoin-based payouts globally, indicating a trend towards modern payment solutions [3] - Western Union's recent acquisition of International Money Express (Intermex) for approximately $500 million reflects its strategy to strengthen its market position [4]

Core Viewpoint - DLocal's strong Q2 performance led to a significant stock price increase and an upgrade in rating by HSBC, reflecting positive market sentiment and growth potential [1][2]. Financial Performance - DLocal reported Q2 revenue of $256 million, exceeding market expectations by 11% and up from $171 million in the same period last year [1]. - The company's Q2 earnings per share (EPS) were $0.14, surpassing the market average estimate of $0.13, although slightly down from $0.15 in the previous year [1]. - HSBC raised its target price for DLocal to $15, indicating a potential upside of 28.31% from the closing price [1]. Analyst Insights - Analyst Neha Agarwal highlighted DLocal's significant long-term growth potential and recent growth momentum, suggesting the company is on the right track [2]. - HSBC increased its EPS forecasts for DLocal for 2025 to 2027 by 6% to 9%, with a projected gross profit of $396 million for 2025 [2]. - Morgan Stanley maintained a "neutral" rating on DLocal but raised its target price to $15, noting a year-to-date stock price increase of over 25% compared to a 10% rise in the S&P 500 [2].

Core Insights - S&P Global Inc. (SPGI) is set to release its second-quarter 2025 results on July 31, with a history of surpassing earnings estimates, averaging a surprise of 7.5% over the past four quarters [1][9]. Revenue Expectations - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for SPGI's revenues is $3.7 billion, reflecting a 3.7% increase from the same quarter last year, driven by strong core product demand and effective marketing initiatives [2][10]. - Market Intelligence revenues are projected at $1.2 billion, indicating a 3.7% year-over-year growth, supported by strong data analytics performance and positive M&A contributions [3][10]. - Ratings revenues are estimated at $1.1 billion, slightly above last year's figure, benefiting from increased issuance and refinancing activity [4]. - Commodity Insights revenues are expected to reach $539.8 million, showing a 4.6% year-over-year growth, aided by high demand for data and insights [5]. - Mobility revenues are projected at $420.1 million, reflecting a 5% increase from the previous year, driven by strong demand for CARFAX and effective marketing [6]. - Indices revenues are estimated at $397.2 million, implying a 2.1% year-over-year increase, primarily due to strong asset-linked fee growth [7]. Profitability Metrics - Adjusted EBITDA is estimated at $2.1 billion for the quarter, up 2.5% from the previous year, driven by top-line growth and strategic expense management [8]. - The consensus estimate for earnings per share is $4.25, indicating a 5.2% year-over-year increase, likely supported by margin expansion [8][10]. Earnings Prediction - The model predicts an earnings beat for SPGI, with an Earnings ESP of +0.52% and a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), enhancing the likelihood of exceeding earnings expectations [9].

Core Insights - MercadoLibre (MELI) is optimistic about Argentina's economic recovery, with analysts forecasting strong GDP growth in 2025 and 2026 as reforms take effect [1] - The company is strategically expanding its operations in Argentina, focusing on cross-border trade and enhancing its marketplace, particularly in the supermarket category [2] - MELI's financial arm, Mercado Pago, plans to apply for a banking license to establish the largest digital bank in Argentina and will start issuing credit cards in the second half of the year [3] Financial Performance - Argentina's revenues for MELI increased from $615 million (14.2% of total revenues) in Q1 2024 to $1.38 billion (23.3% of total revenues) in Q1 2025, more than doubling year-over-year [4] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for second-quarter 2025 Argentina revenues is projected at $1.46 billion [4] Competitive Landscape - MercadoLibre faces competition from Amazon, which has introduced flat-rate and free shipping to Argentina, and DLocal, which plans to invest up to $100 million in the country [5][6] Stock Performance and Valuation - MELI shares have gained 40.8% year-to-date, outperforming the Zacks Internet-Commerce industry and the Zacks Retail-Wholesale sector [7] - The stock is currently trading at a forward 12-month Price/Sales ratio of 3.87X, compared to the industry's 2.17X [10] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for second-quarter 2025 earnings is $12.01 per share, indicating a 14.60% year-over-year growth [12]

Core Viewpoint - Republic Services, Inc. (RSG) is expected to report second-quarter 2025 results on July 29, with anticipated revenues of $4.3 billion, reflecting a 5.5% year-over-year increase driven by strong pricing and new renewable natural gas projects [1][2][8] Revenue Expectations - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for RSG's revenues is $4.3 billion, up 5.5% from the same quarter last year, supported by solid pricing and new projects [2][8] - Revenue from the Collection segment is estimated at $2.9 billion, indicating a 5.8% increase year-over-year [3] - Environmental Solutions' revenues are expected to rise 4.1% to $492 million, while Landfill revenues are projected to increase 5.1% to $462.7 million [3] - Transfer revenues are anticipated at $213.5 million, reflecting a 2.5% year-over-year increase, and Other segment revenues are estimated at $212.7 million, indicating a 4.2% increase [3] Earnings and EBITDA Expectations - EBITDA is estimated at $1.3 billion, suggesting a 5.2% rise from the previous year, with an EBITDA margin expected to remain stable at 30.1% [4] - The consensus estimate for earnings per share (EPS) is $1.75, indicating an 8.7% growth from the year-ago quarter, driven by disciplined expense management [4][8] Earnings Prediction - The model predicts an earnings beat for RSG, supported by a positive Earnings ESP of +0.16% and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [5]

Core Insights - MercadoLibre (MELI) has established itself as the leading fintech acquiring engine in Latin America by focusing on small and informal sellers rather than large retailers [1][2] Group 1: Business Growth and Performance - MELI's Acquiring Total Payment Volume (TPV) reached $40.3 billion in Q1 2025, reflecting a 59% year-over-year FX-neutral growth [2] - Mexico and Brazil have experienced nine consecutive quarters of double-digit TPV growth, while Argentina's TPV surged 144% year-over-year, FX-neutral [2][4] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Q2 2025 total TPV is approximately $64 billion [4] Group 2: Competitive Landscape - MELI faces competition from StoneCo (STNE) and DLocal (DLO), both of which are expanding in key Latin American markets [5][6] - StoneCo processed R$133.5 billion ($24.7 billion) in TPV in Q1 2025, with a client base of 4.4 million [5] - DLocal achieved $8.1 billion in TPV in Q1 2025, marking a 53% year-over-year increase [6] Group 3: Strategic Focus and Future Outlook - MELI is concentrating on serving small and medium-sized businesses while enhancing support for micro-sellers [3] - The company is improving recurring payment features, adding point-of-sale devices, and providing business tools for inventory and billing [3] - By integrating credit, banking, payments, and software, MELI aims to facilitate digital participation for more individuals and businesses [4] Group 4: Stock Performance and Valuation - MELI shares have increased by 41.2% year-to-date, outperforming the Zacks Internet – Commerce industry and the Zacks Retail-Wholesale sector [7] - The stock is currently trading at a forward 12-month Price/Sales ratio of 3.90X, compared to the industry's 2.17X [11] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Q2 2025 earnings is $12.01 per share, indicating a 14.60% year-over-year growth [15]

Core Insights - The S&P 500 has increased by 24% from its 2025 low and is reaching new all-time highs, yet many growth stocks remain undervalued, with some at least 10% below their peaks [1] Group 1: Shopify - Shopify's shares are currently 33% below their all-time highs, despite sales growth from $4 billion to over $9 billion in four years [3] - The company launched AI-powered tools like Shopify Magic and Sidekick to enhance merchant operations and maintain its leadership in e-commerce [4] - Shopify holds only 12% of the U.S. e-commerce market, indicating significant growth potential ahead [5] Group 2: Global-E Online - Global-E Online's shares are 59% below their all-time highs, focusing on simplifying cross-border e-commerce for merchants [6][7] - The platform supports sales in over 200 countries with 100 currencies and 150 payment options, making it a valuable investment as cross-border sales are expected to grow rapidly [9] Group 3: DLocal - DLocal's shares are 84% below their all-time highs, providing payment solutions for merchants in emerging markets [10] - The company has seen a decline in net profit margin from over 30% to 19%, attributed to a strategy of gaining major customers before increasing fees [11] - DLocal's total payment volume retention rate reached 144%, and it is trading at 23 times earnings while growing TPV by 53% [12] Group 4: Nu Holdings - Nu Holdings is 18% below its all-time highs, serving 99 million active customers in Brazil, Mexico, and Colombia [13] - The bank's average revenue per active customer grows significantly over time, indicating strong customer retention and growth potential [14] - With a 25% net profit margin and room for geographic expansion, Nu Holdings is positioned as a strong growth stock [15] Group 5: Duolingo - Duolingo's shares are 30% below their all-time highs, experiencing a slowdown in daily active user growth [17] - The company is now trading at 61 times forward earnings estimates, down from 90, with potential for growth through new courses and AI applications [18][19] Group 6: Wingstop - Wingstop's shares are 23% below their all-time highs, with plans to expand from 2,563 locations to 10,000 globally [20] - The company has achieved 21 consecutive years of same-store sales growth, including a 20% increase in 2024 [21] Group 7: Dutch Bros - Dutch Bros is 25% below its all-time highs, with significant growth potential as it expands beyond its current locations concentrated in three states [22][23] - The company has reached breakeven on cash flow from operations, positioning it for future growth [24] Group 8: UFP Technologies - UFP Technologies is 30% below its all-time highs, serving 26 of the 30 largest medical device manufacturers [25] - The company focuses on high-margin, single-use products and has a strategy of acquiring complementary technologies for growth [26] Group 9: The Trade Desk - The Trade Desk's shares are 46% below their all-time highs, facing a significant drop after missing earnings expectations [27] - Despite this, the company is expected to grow as the advertising industry expands, targeting high-growth areas like connected TV and international markets [28][29] Group 10: ASML - ASML is 27% below its all-time highs, leading the lithography market essential for semiconductor manufacturing [30][31] - The semiconductor industry is projected to grow significantly, and ASML's machines are expected to remain crucial for this growth [32] - Shares are trading below their 10-year average price-to-earnings ratio, presenting a potential buying opportunity [33]