📊 INSIGHT: Stablecoins rival the world’s largest payment networks.Over the past 12 months, stablecoins processed $46T in total volume, surpassing Visa ($16T) and nearing ACH ($87T).(h/t @a16zcrypto) https://t.co/dJSXy2mRZ3 ...

Hey I'm Cramer. Welcome to Mad Money. Welcome to Cramer friends I'm just trying to help make some money.My job is not just to entertain but to educate. Try to teach about what the heck is going on here. Call me one 800 743 CNBC.Tweet me at Jim Cramer. You want big, you want important, you want game changing, then you want next week. We're approaching the height of earnings season and this time the earnings are more important than ever.Other than today's consumer price index reading, which was benign. We hav ...

Core Viewpoint - Visa is expected to release its Q4 FY2025 results on October 28, indicating significant anticipation around its financial performance [1]. Company Overview - Visa is identified as a major position in the investor's portfolio, highlighting its importance and potential in the market [1]. - The company is recognized for its fundamental analysis approach, focusing on actual results rather than market price movements [1]. Investment Strategy - The investor primarily engages in long-term investments, favoring US companies while also analyzing European and Chinese firms [1]. - A contrarian investment view is often adopted, suggesting a strategy that may go against prevailing market trends [1].

Core Viewpoint - Visa is expected to release its Q4 FY2025 results on October 28, indicating significant interest from investors in the company's performance [1]. Company Overview - Visa is identified as a major position in the investor's portfolio, highlighting its importance and potential for growth [1]. - The company is recognized for its strong fundamentals, which are preferred over technical analysis methods [1]. Investment Strategy - The investor primarily focuses on long-term investments, often taking a contrarian view, which suggests a strategy aimed at capitalizing on undervalued opportunities [1]. - The investor's preference for U.S. companies, while also analyzing European and Chinese firms, indicates a diversified investment approach [1].

Market Overview & Investment Thesis - Fintech sector exhibits a dichotomy: strong fundamentals ($2 trillion+ market cap, solid financials, secular tailwinds) versus negative investor sentiment (competition, disruption worries) [3][4] - Wells Fargo believes investor sentiment is overly negative, presenting numerous opportunities in the fintech space [4] "Fab Five" Fintech Companies - **Auden:** Possesses best-in-class back-end tech stack, expanding into new markets, expected to maintain 20%+ topline growth for several years [6] - **Affirm:** Buy now pay later (BNPL) has robust secular opportunity, currently representing only 8% of US e-commerce; management team and execution are impressive [7] - **Mastercard:** Maintains a tremendous competitive moat, adapting to new payment technologies, and generating a terrific cash flow profile [8] - **Visa:** Similar thesis to Mastercard, with effective diversification into value-added services [9] - **Toast:** Holds a strong competitive position in the point-of-sale space [9] Underweight Ratings (Cyclical Call) - ADP and Paychex are underweight due to cyclical concerns related to potential rising unemployment and lowering of interest rates [10] - The underweight ratings are not structural, as these companies still have solid business models [10] Buy Now Pay Later (BNPL) - Wells Fargo views BNPL as a more consumer-friendly product than traditional credit cards due to transparency and lack of late fees (specifically the "pay in four" model) [12][13][14] - BNPL can help consumers stretch their dollars, especially around the holidays, and retailers benefit from increased transactions [14]

Core Insights - Visa Inc. is scheduled to report its fourth-quarter fiscal 2025 results on October 28, 2025, with earnings estimated at $2.96 per share and revenues of $10.61 billion [1][5] - The earnings estimate reflects a year-over-year increase of 9.2%, while revenue is projected to grow by 10.3% compared to the previous year [2][5] Financial Performance - For fiscal 2025, Visa's revenue consensus estimate stands at $39.85 billion, indicating a year-over-year rise of 10.9, and EPS is projected at $11.43, suggesting a 13.7% increase [3] - Visa has a history of exceeding earnings estimates, having beaten projections in the last four quarters by an average of 3.9% [3][4] - The company has an Earnings ESP of +3.70% and a Zacks Rank of 3, indicating a favorable outlook for the upcoming earnings report [4] Growth Drivers - The Zacks Consensus Estimate indicates a 6.2% increase in total Gross Dollar Volume year-over-year, with a model prediction of 5.5% growth [5] - Total processed transactions are expected to grow by 10% year-over-year, with Visa's model predicting a 9.5% increase [6] - Payment volumes are projected to rise by 8.6% year-over-year, with U.S. operations expected to increase by 7.3% [7] - Data processing revenues are estimated to grow by 13.3% year-over-year, while service revenues are expected to rise by 10.2% [8] Expense Considerations - Adjusted total operating expenses are anticipated to increase by 10.6% year-over-year due to higher personnel, professional fees, and processing expenses [11] - Client incentives are expected to exceed $4 billion in the fiscal fourth quarter, which may offset some positive impacts from higher volumes [11][10] Stock Performance and Valuation - Visa's stock has increased by 9.3% year-to-date, outperforming the industry decline of 5% but underperforming the S&P 500's rise of 15.5% [12] - Visa is currently trading at 26.68X forward 12-month earnings, above the industry average of 21.48X, indicating a somewhat stretched valuation [16] - In comparison, Mastercard is trading at 30.88X and American Express at 20.70X, with the latter offering better value [18] Strategic Initiatives - Visa's stablecoin initiatives are seen as a significant shift in global payments, enhancing its infrastructure for digital currencies and improving capital efficiency for cross-border transactions [19] - Regulatory clarity under the GENIUS Act is expected to bolster Visa's long-term growth prospects [19] - Despite competition and antitrust scrutiny, Visa's strong network effects and innovation provide resilience [19] Investment Outlook - Current valuation suggests limited near-term upside, with shares outperforming Mastercard but lagging behind the S&P 500 [20] - The upcoming earnings report will be critical for assessing momentum in Visa's stablecoin rollout and international expansion [20]

Core Insights - Visa is expected to report quarterly earnings of $2.96 per share, reflecting a 9.2% increase year over year, with revenues projected at $10.61 billion, indicating a 10.3% growth compared to the previous year [1] Earnings Estimates - Revisions to earnings estimates are crucial indicators for predicting investor actions regarding Visa's stock [2] - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised upward by 0.1% in the past 30 days, indicating analysts' reassessment of their initial estimates [1] Revenue Projections - Analysts estimate 'Revenues- Service revenue' will reach $4.63 billion, a 10.3% increase year over year [4] - 'Revenues- Data processing revenue' is projected to be $5.23 billion, reflecting a 13.5% year-over-year change [4] - 'Revenues- Other revenue' is expected to reach $1.18 billion, indicating a 22.3% increase year over year [4] Transaction and Payment Volume - 'Revenues- International transaction revenue' is forecasted at $3.86 billion, a growth of 11.3% year over year [5] - 'End of Period Connections - Total transactions' is expected to be 67.68 billion, up from 61.51 billion in the same quarter last year [5] - 'Payments volume - Total' is projected to reach $3703.36 billion, compared to $3409.00 billion a year ago [5] Regional Payment Volume Estimates - 'Payments volume - CEMEA' is expected to be $233.17 billion, up from $202.00 billion year over year [6] - 'Payments volume - U.S.A' is projected at $1775.98 billion, compared to $1650.00 billion last year [6] - 'Payments volume - Asia Pacific' is estimated to reach $516.23 billion, up from $507.00 billion [6] - 'Payments volume - Canada' is expected to be $109.76 billion, compared to $105.00 billion in the same quarter last year [7] - 'Payments volume - Europe' is projected at $800.41 billion, an increase from $715.00 billion year over year [8] Stock Performance - Visa shares have increased by 2% in the past month, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite, which rose by 0.2% [8]

Core Viewpoint - Volvo Car shares experienced a significant surge, marking the highest increase in four years since the company went public, driven by unexpected cost-cutting measures that surprised investors [1] Group 1: Company Performance - The Swedish automaker's cost-cutting initiatives have led to a positive market reaction, indicating strong investor confidence in the company's financial management [1] Group 2: Market Reaction - The surge in Volvo Car shares reflects a broader trend of investor optimism in the automotive sector, particularly for companies demonstrating effective cost control [1]

Core Insights - Visa is expected to report Q4 FY'25 earnings on or around October 28, 2025, with projected revenue growth of approximately 10% year-over-year to $10.6 billion and earnings estimated at $2.97 per share, driven by strong payment volumes and robust consumer spending [2] - The company has a current market capitalization of $618 billion, with a revenue of $39 billion over the past twelve months, achieving $26 billion in operating profits and $20 billion in net income [3] Revenue and Growth Drivers - Strong payment volumes are anticipated to be a key driver of growth, particularly in cross-border payments, alongside value-added services (VAS) which saw a 26% year-over-year revenue increase in Q3 FY'25 [2] - VAS growth is attributed to advancements in AI-enhanced fraud detection, real-time analytics, digital checkouts, and various payment security solutions [2] Historical Performance and Trading Insights - Historical data shows that Visa has had 20 earnings records over the last five years, with a 50% occurrence of positive one-day post-earnings returns, and a median positive return of 2.6% compared to a median negative return of -1.3% [5] - The correlation between short-term and medium-term returns post-earnings can provide insights for traders, particularly if 1D and 5D returns show a strong correlation [6]

Core Viewpoint - Top Wall Street analysts have revised their outlook on several prominent companies, indicating potential shifts in investment sentiment and opportunities in the market [1] Company Analysis - Analysts are considering buying Visa stock, suggesting a positive outlook for the company [1]