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大行评级|花旗:下调英伟达目标价至200美元 维持“买入”评级
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-09 08:02
花旗发表报告指,将英伟达的目标价从210元下调至200美元,以反映上周博通表示其XPU按年增长加速 (受新旧客户推动)后,2026年GPU销售额下降约4%;并估计上述交易将对英伟达2026年销售额造成约 120亿美元的GPU销售影响。 该行对英伟达修订后的2025、2026年预估仍高于共识预期2%、5%,因新兴云端及主权AI支出增加。重 要的是,花旗的预估未包括中国市场,若英伟达恢复对中国的GPU出货,可能带来上行空间;新目标价 200美元基于修订后的2026年每股盈利乘以一致的30倍市盈率;维持"买入"评级,看好其在AI长期增长 机会中的优势。 ...
英伟达,大消息!
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-09-09 03:53
据媒体报道,继8月底英伟达(NVDA)透露Rubin架构芯片计划明年量产后,当地时间9月8日的高盛技术会议上,英伟达高管又谈到Rubin的进展。 英伟达CFO科莱特·克雷斯(Colette Kress)表示,Rubin芯片已经在为进入市场做准备,Rubin架构将会有6个芯片,这些芯片都已经流片。 图片来源:每日经济新闻 科莱特·克雷斯表示,2026财年第二季度英伟达数据中心收入包含不同部分,其中包含了Blackwell架构的GB200、B200和Blackwell Ultra架构的GB300。第三 季度GB200和GB300还在发货。再往后看,在Rubin进入市场之前,英伟达已经看到了与之相关的几千兆瓦的需求。 Clearstead Advisors高管Jim Awad表示,投资者需要准备好面对英伟达在该领域出现更多竞争的局面,但由于AI市场本身的快速扩张,即便失去部分市场份 额,公司依然能保持稳定增长。 毛利率则有所下滑,该季度为72.4%,去年同期为75.2%。对下一季度的业绩展望,英伟达预计第三季度收入将达到540亿美元,毛利率预计在73.3%至73.5% 之间。截至收盘,英伟达涨0.77%,公司最新市 ...
英伟达下一代Rubin芯片已流片
Di Yi Cai Jing Zi Xun· 2025-09-09 02:58
2025.09.09 此前科莱特·克雷斯在8月底英伟达财报发布后的电话会议上谈到,在接下来5年内,数据中心基础设施 相关的资本开支将达到3万亿~4万亿美元。 在高盛技术会议上,她解释称,谈论接下来5年的数据中心基础设施资本支出,是为了帮助整个生态了 解市场的重要性,"我们在谈论的是未来几十年的新计算平台,我们需要从一个已经存在二三十年的标 准计算平台上开始转变。" 科莱特·克雷斯表示,可以看看四个头部云服务厂商的动作,接下来AI工厂也 将成为全球产业中很重要的一部分,主权AI需求也很重要,将这些因素放在一起,英伟达看到了3万亿 美元以上的资本开支。 科莱特·克雷斯在会议上也回答了关于2023年已部署芯片使用寿命和更换周期的问题,她表示英伟达现 在还没有看到非常大的改变,前一代的Hopper架构芯片仍运行得很好。英伟达不少客户的折旧年限为 4~6年,其中很多人将继续在数据中心保留这些芯片,因为它们仍具备高性能。 2026财年第二季度,英伟达GAAP毛利率72.4%,英伟达展望第三季度GAAP毛利率为73.3%。就如何在 产品转换的过程中提升毛利率,科莱特·克雷斯表示,现在Blackwell Ultra版本运行顺 ...
英伟达下一代Rubin芯片已流片 未来5年数据中心资本支出超3万亿
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-09-09 02:42
继8月底英伟达透露Rubin架构芯片计划明年量产后,当地时间9月8日的高盛技术会议上,英伟达又谈到 Rubin的进展。 英伟达CFO科莱特·克雷斯(Colette Kress)表示,Rubin芯片已经在为进入市场做准备,Rubin架构将会 有6个芯片,这些芯片都已经流片。 科莱特·克雷斯表示,2026财年第二季度英伟达数据中心收入包含不同部分,其中包含了Blackwell架构 的GB200、B200和Blackwell Ultra架构的GB300。第三季度GB200和GB300还在发货。再往后看,在 Rubin进入市场之前,英伟达已经看到了与之相关的几千兆瓦的需求。 科莱特·克雷斯说,一年前谈论的话题还是Blackwell架构和架构之间的过渡,现在Blackwell已经进入市 场,还包括Blackwell Ultra,这一年英伟达的节奏较为顺利。另一个经常讨论的话题是,在预训练、后 训练和推理阶段是否还需要大量计算?可以看到,在过去一年间计算方面仍有巨大需求,其中很重要的 一部分是由推理型模型产生的。 此前科莱特·克雷斯在8月底英伟达财报发布后的电话会议上谈到,在接下来5年内,数据中心基础设施 相关的资本开支 ...
英伟达:因 TPU 竞争加剧,下调 GPU 与 XPU 预估-NVIDIA_Corp_NVDAO_GPU_vs_XPU_Trimming_Estimates_on_Increased_TPU_Competition-NVIDIA_Corp_NVDAO
2025-09-09 02:40
Summary of NVIDIA Corp (NVDA.O) Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: NVIDIA Corp - **Industry**: Graphics Processing Units (GPUs) and AI computing - **Headquarters**: Santa Clara, CA - **CEO**: Jensen Huang Key Financial Insights - **Target Price**: Revised down to $200 from $210, reflecting a ~4% decrease in 2026 GPU sales estimates due to increased competition from TPUs [1][4][19] - **Market Capitalization**: Approximately $4,058.586 billion [4] - **Expected Total Return**: 19.8% based on the new target price [4] Sales and Revenue Projections - **2026 GPU Sales Impact**: Estimated ~$12 billion reduction in GPU sales, with Meta contributing ~$2 billion and the remaining ~$10 billion from other clients [1][2] - **2026 Revenue Estimates**: Revised to $209.912 billion, maintaining a 2%/5% increase above consensus due to higher cloud and sovereign AI spending [1][10] - **Growth Rates**: Projected sales revenue growth of 60.9% in 2026, down from previous estimates [10] Market Dynamics - **GPU vs. XPU Market**: GPUs are expected to maintain over 85% market share in AI compute, but the XPU market is projected to grow 53% YoY in 2026, outpacing GPU growth of 34% YoY [2] - **Key Competitors**: Increased competition from Google, Meta, and Amazon in the XPU market [1][2] Earnings Per Share (EPS) Estimates - **2026 EPS**: Expected to be $4.58, with a growth trajectory leading to $6.68 by 2027 and $7.11 by 2028 [6][10] - **Previous EPS Estimates**: Adjustments made to align with revised revenue projections [10] Risks and Challenges - **Competition Risks**: Potential loss of market share in gaming could negatively impact stock performance [20] - **Adoption Rates**: Slower-than-expected adoption of new platforms may lead to lower sales in data centers and gaming [20] - **Market Volatility**: Fluctuations in the automotive and data center markets could add volatility to stock performance [20] Upcoming Events - **Keynote Event**: Jensen Huang's keynote at GTC on October 28 is anticipated as a significant event for the stock [3] Conclusion - **Investment Recommendation**: Maintain a Buy rating on NVIDIA due to long-term growth opportunities in AI, despite short-term challenges from increased competition and revised sales estimates [18]
英伟达:2025 年 Communacopia + 技术大会 —— 关键要点
2025-09-09 02:40
8 September 2025 | 4:25PM EDT Nvidia Corp. (NVDA): Communacopia + Technology Conference 2025 — Key Takeaways | +1(212)357-2929 | | --- | | jim.schneider@gs.com Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC | | Anmol Makkar | | +1(212)357-1366 | anmol.makkar@gs.com Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC Chris Kress +1(212)902-6696 | chris.kress@gs.com Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC David Balaban +1(212)357-6369 | david.balaban@gs.com Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC Luya You +1(212)902-5297 | luya.you@gs.com Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC Presenters: Colette Kress, E ...
英伟达下一代Rubin芯片已流片,未来5年数据中心资本支出超3万亿
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-09-09 02:33
科莱特·克雷斯表示,2026财年第二季度英伟达数据中心收入包含不同部分,其中包含了Blackwell架构的GB200、B200和Blackwell Ultra架构的GB300。第三 季度GB200和GB300还在发货。再往后看,在Rubin进入市场之前,英伟达已经看到了与之相关的几千兆瓦的需求。 科莱特·克雷斯说,一年前谈论的话题还是Blackwell架构和架构之间的过渡,现在Blackwell已经进入市场,还包括Blackwell Ultra,这一年英伟达的节奏较为 顺利。另一个经常讨论的话题是,在预训练、后训练和推理阶段是否还需要大量计算?可以看到,在过去一年间计算方面仍有巨大需求,其中很重要的一部 分是由推理型模型产生的。 "我们谈论的是未来几十年的新计算平台,我们需要从一个已经存在二三十年的标准计算平台上开始转变。" 此前科莱特·克雷斯在8月底英伟达财报发布后的电话会议上谈到,在接下来5年内,数据中心基础设施相关的资本开支将达到3万亿~4万亿美元。 继8月底英伟达透露Rubin架构芯片计划明年量产后,当地时间9月8日的高盛技术会议上,英伟达又谈到Rubin的进展。 在高盛技术会议上,她解释称,谈论接下 ...
NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) Presents At Goldman Sachs Communacopia + Technology Conference (Transcript)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-09-08 22:17
Question-and-Answer SessionSo maybe to start off on a few things from what we heard from you a couple of weeks ago when you reported on your latest earnings call, you stated that the data center infrastructure capital requirements could reach $3 trillion to $4 trillion by the end of the decade. I think many investors were doing a sound check at that point. Maybe give us a little bit of context for that statement and sort of impact or share some of the major building blocks to that?Colette KressExecutive VP ...
What NVIDIA's Big Bet on Rival Quantinuum Means for D-Wave Stock
MarketBeat· 2025-09-08 22:06
Core Viewpoint - D-Wave Quantum Inc. has seen a year-to-date increase of 60% in its stock price, but recently experienced a decline of over 10% in the past month, indicating volatility and investor caution as competition intensifies in the quantum computing sector [1][2]. Group 1: Competitive Landscape - Niche competitors like IonQ and Rigetti are actively developing their technologies, posing a significant risk to D-Wave investors [2]. - NVIDIA's investment of nearly $1 billion in Quantinuum, a joint venture with Honeywell, introduces a well-resourced competitor into the market [2][3]. - Quantinuum's recent capital raise of $600 million has elevated its valuation to $10 billion, positioning it as a formidable player in the quantum industry [4]. Group 2: Technological Approaches - D-Wave focuses on annealing technology and is increasingly exploring gate-model quantum technology, which is advantageous for specific problem types [7]. - In contrast, Quantinuum employs trapped-ion hardware, which is stable but presents scalability challenges [7]. Group 3: Financial Position and Forecast - D-Wave's stock price forecast is set at $19.27, indicating a potential upside of 25.19% based on 11 analyst ratings [8][10]. - The company has a record cash reserve exceeding $800 million, providing it with flexibility for potential acquisitions and strategic adaptations [9]. Group 4: Partnerships and Market Position - D-Wave's partnerships with organizations like Davidson Technologies and Incheon Metropolitan City highlight the perceived value of its quantum technology [4]. - The upcoming launch of Quantinuum's Helios system will allow for direct comparisons with D-Wave's Advantage2 system, impacting market dynamics [8].
NVIDIA (NasdaqGS:NVDA) 2025 Conference Transcript
2025-09-08 20:25
Summary of NVIDIA 2025 Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: NVIDIA (NasdaqGS: NVDA) - **Event**: Goldman Sachs BNP Paribas Pure Technology Conference - **Date**: September 08, 2025 Key Industry Insights - **Data Center Infrastructure**: Capital requirements for data center infrastructure could reach **$3 to $4 trillion** by the end of the decade, indicating a significant transformation in computing platforms driven by AI and accelerated computing [5][8][10] - **Compute Demand**: There is a sustained and increasing demand for compute power, particularly for reasoning models, which are essential for AI applications [7][18] - **Annual Product Cadence**: NVIDIA's one-year product cadence is crucial for maintaining innovation and meeting customer needs, allowing for rapid advancements in technology [6][24] Financial Performance - **Data Center Revenue Growth**: Data center revenue grew **12% sequentially** in Q2, with a projected **17% growth** for Q3, driven by strong demand across various product lines [11][12] - **Networking Growth**: Networking revenue saw significant growth, indicating a strong correlation with compute infrastructure development [31][32] - **Gross Margin Target**: NVIDIA aims to return to a gross margin of **mid-70%** by the end of the year, supported by improved operational efficiency and product mix [42][43] Product Developments - **Blackwell Architecture**: The transition to Blackwell architecture has been successful, with multiple systems like GB200 and GB300 Ultra performing well in the market [6][12][13] - **Vera Rubin Chips**: Six chips in the Vera Rubin architecture are in the maturation phase, with significant demand anticipated even before market release [37][38] - **NVLink Technology**: NVLink continues to be a competitive advantage, enabling high-performance data center solutions and integration with various architectures [27][34] Market Dynamics - **China Market**: NVIDIA has received license approvals for key customers in China, with potential revenue opportunities estimated between **$2 billion to $5 billion** pending geopolitical resolutions [15][16] - **Competition**: The competitive landscape includes the role of ASICs in training and inference markets, with NVIDIA focusing on maintaining performance leadership across various workloads [17][19] Strategic Focus - **Capital Allocation**: NVIDIA is focused on strategic investments in its ecosystem, with potential for M&A but prioritizing organic growth and stock repurchase strategies [44] - **Future Priorities**: Key priorities include advancing the next architecture, maintaining agility in operations, and ensuring readiness for future AI developments [45][46] Conclusion - **AI Evolution**: The journey towards AI integration in various industries is ongoing, with NVIDIA positioned as a key enabler of this transformation through its advanced computing solutions and architectures [48][50][51]