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Mondelez (MDLZ) Reports Q3 Earnings: What Key Metrics Have to Say
ZACKS· 2025-10-28 23:00
Core Insights - Mondelez reported $9.74 billion in revenue for the quarter ended September 2025, marking a year-over-year increase of 5.9% and a surprise of +0.07% over the Zacks Consensus Estimate [1] - The EPS for the same period was $0.73, down from $0.99 a year ago, with an EPS surprise of +1.39% compared to the consensus estimate of $0.72 [1] Revenue Performance - North America revenue was $2.82 billion, slightly above the $2.77 billion estimate, reflecting a year-over-year decline of -0.4% [4] - Europe revenue reached $3.67 billion, slightly below the $3.68 billion estimate, but showed a significant year-over-year increase of +10.6% [4] - AMEA revenue was reported at $2.02 billion, close to the $2.04 billion estimate, with a year-over-year growth of +9% [4] - Latin America revenue stood at $1.24 billion, just below the $1.25 billion estimate, representing a year-over-year increase of +2.8% [4] Stock Performance - Mondelez shares have returned -1.6% over the past month, underperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite, which increased by +3.6% [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 4 (Sell), indicating potential underperformance in the near term [3]
Mondelez International(MDLZ) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-28 22:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a decline in volume in North America by 4% compared to a 2.8% average year-to-date, indicating a slowdown in the market [20] - The guidance for Q4 implies a step up in organic net revenue growth of more than 4%, with an expected improvement in EBIT growth compared to the previous year [13][46] - Cocoa prices have been a significant factor, with a 30% price increase impacting the chocolate segment, but the company expects significant improvement moving forward [5][9] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Europe, the biscuits, cakes, pastries, and meals business are performing well with share growth and volume mix growth, while the chocolate category is generally in line with expectations despite some pressure [5][6] - The U.S. biscuit category is facing challenges, with consumers focusing on essentials and shifting towards smaller packs and promotions [20][21] - Emerging markets showed a volume decline of 4.7%, primarily affected by Argentina's hyperinflation and economic conditions, but India and Brazil are performing better with mid-single-digit and double-digit growth respectively [39][41] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Consumer confidence in Europe remains stable, but the U.S. market is experiencing a decline in consumer spending and basket size, affecting overall sales [5][20] - Price elasticity in Europe is currently around 0.7 to 0.8, higher than the historical range of 0.4 to 0.5, indicating a need for price adjustments in certain product lines [8][34] - Emerging markets are showing varied performance, with China experiencing low single-digit growth and Argentina significantly impacting overall volume [40][41] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on optimizing pricing strategies and promotional effectiveness to drive growth, particularly in the U.S. market [12][24] - There is a clear strategy to invest in emerging markets and adjacencies like cakes and pastries, with a goal of high single-digit EPS growth for 2026 [15][29] - The company plans to enhance its supply chain efficiency and reduce costs through automation and better logistics management [48][50] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the long-term growth potential despite current challenges, emphasizing the importance of adapting to consumer behavior and market conditions [15][68] - The company anticipates a rebound in Europe driven by seasonal activations and improved pricing strategies, while the U.S. market is expected to stabilize with better promotional strategies [46][48] - Cocoa prices are expected to be deflationary in 2026, which will positively impact margins and allow for further investments [15][14] Other Important Information - The company is implementing a multi-year North America supply chain program aimed at addressing cost structures and improving service levels [48][50] - There is a focus on health and wellness trends, with plans to expand product offerings in better-for-you segments [25][68] Q&A Session Summary Question: Insights on European market pricing and elasticity - Management noted that the current price elasticity in Europe is around 0.7 to 0.8, which is higher than expected, and adjustments are being made to better align with consumer acceptance [34][58] Question: U.S. market growth strategy - The company is focusing on optimizing pricing and promotional strategies to regain growth, with a shift towards value offerings and better-for-you products [20][68] Question: Future investments and spending - Management confirmed that Q4 plans for investments are locked in, with a focus on continuous brand support and activation at point of sale [71][72]
Mondelez International(MDLZ) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-28 22:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a decline in volume in North America by 4% compared to a 2.8% average year-to-date, indicating a slowdown in the market [20][21] - The company expects a step-up in organic net revenue growth for Q4, guiding more than 4% growth [13][46] - The company anticipates high single-digit EPS growth for 2026, despite planned investments [15][72] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Europe, the chocolate business faced a 30% price increase due to cocoa costs, but overall performance is in line with expectations [5][9] - The U.S. biscuit category is under pressure, with promotional strategies not delivering expected returns [21][66] - Emerging markets showed a 4.7% volume decline, primarily affected by Argentina's economic situation and pricing strategies in India [39][40] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Consumer confidence in Europe remains stable, but there are pockets of pressure due to competitive pricing and retailer margin increases [5][6] - In the U.S., consumers are shifting towards value-oriented purchases, impacting overall basket sizes and category performance [20][21] - Emerging markets like Brazil showed double-digit growth, while China experienced low single-digit growth, indicating mixed performance across regions [41][40] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on optimizing pricing strategies and promotional effectiveness to regain growth in North America [24][66] - There is a strong emphasis on innovation with new flavors and formats to drive consumer engagement [8][15] - The company plans to invest in supply chain improvements and automation to enhance profitability and service levels [48][50] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that the cocoa cost environment is expected to improve, which should positively impact margins going forward [9][14] - The company is cautious about the U.S. market outlook, projecting continued challenges but also opportunities for growth through channel expansion [29][46] - Management expressed confidence in the long-term growth potential in emerging markets, despite short-term pressures [40][41] Other Important Information - The company is implementing a multi-year North America supply chain program aimed at reducing costs and improving efficiency [48][50] - There is a focus on maintaining a balance between protecting profit margins and offering value to consumers [66][68] Q&A Session Summary Question: Insights on European market pricing and elasticity - Management indicated that price elasticity in Europe is currently around 0.7 to 0.8, higher than historical norms, and adjustments are being made to address pricing issues [34][36] Question: U.S. market growth strategy - Management acknowledged the need to protect profit pools while also focusing on value through pack price architecture adjustments [66][68] Question: Expectations for North America in Q4 - The company expects a rebound in North America driven by improved pricing strategies and promotional effectiveness [46][72] Question: Impact of cocoa prices on future guidance - Management stated that cocoa prices are being monitored closely, with strategies in place to benefit from potential declines [14][28] Question: SG&A cost structure and future investments - Management outlined that SG&A reductions are not entirely permanent, with plans for increased spending in 2026 to support growth initiatives [55][72]
Mondelez International(MDLZ) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-28 22:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a year-to-date organic net revenue growth of more than 4% for Q4, with an implied EPS growth translating to significant EBIT growth compared to the previous year [11][40] - The company faced challenges including tariffs, material destocking in the U.S., and an unprecedented heat wave in Europe, which impacted consumer confidence and volume trends [9][10] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Europe, the chocolate business experienced a substantial price increase of about 30%, with elasticity around 0.7 to 0.8, which is higher than previously expected [6][29] - The U.S. biscuit category saw a volume decline of 4%, driven by consumer concerns about the economy and a shift towards value-seeking behavior [16][17] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Emerging markets experienced a volume decline of 4.7%, primarily due to hyperinflation in Argentina and strategic downsizing in India [34] - China showed low single-digit growth in Q3, indicating a new challenge for the company, while Brazil reported double-digit growth due to strong execution in biscuits and chocolate [35] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on optimizing pricing strategies and promotional effectiveness to drive growth, particularly in the U.S. market [20][56] - There is a clear intention to invest in emerging markets and adjacencies like cakes and pastries, with a target of high single-digit EPS growth for 2026 [13][62] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that the cocoa cost environment is expected to improve, which will positively impact future pricing strategies and profitability [12][31] - The company is adapting its product offerings and pricing architecture to better align with consumer expectations and market conditions [57][58] Other Important Information - The company is implementing a multi-year North America supply chain program aimed at improving cost structures and service levels [43][44] - There is an emphasis on continuous investment in brands and activation at the point of sale to support long-term growth [62] Q&A Session Summary Question: Insights on European market pricing and elasticity - Management indicated that the price elasticity in Europe is currently around 0.7 to 0.8, which is higher than historical norms, and adjustments are being made to address pricing gaps [28][29] Question: Path forward for U.S. growth - The U.S. market is experiencing a volume decline, but management is optimistic about returning to growth through strategic pricing and promotional adjustments [15][22] Question: Expectations for North America in Q4 - Management expects a rebound in Europe and a slight improvement in North America, driven by pricing strategies and promotional effectiveness [40][41] Question: SG&A cost reductions and future investments - Management outlined that SG&A reductions are primarily due to working media declines, but investments will increase in 2026 to support growth initiatives [46][48]
Here's why Oreo maker Mondelez gave Wall Street a cloudier outlook for the year
MarketWatch· 2025-10-28 21:56
Core Insights - Mondelez International Inc. has reached "peak costs" and has adjusted its expectations for the year [1] Company Summary - Mondelez is known for its popular products, including Oreo cookies, Ritz crackers, and Sour Patch Kids candy [1]
Mondelez International, Inc. 2025 Q3 - Results - Earnings Call Presentation (NASDAQ:MDLZ) 2025-10-28
Seeking Alpha· 2025-10-28 21:31
Group 1 - The article does not provide any specific content related to a company or industry [1]
Mondelez International(MDLZ) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Presentation
2025-10-28 21:00
Financial Performance - Q3 2025 - Organic Net Revenue grew by 3.4%[12, 14], driven by an 8.0 percentage points increase in price, but offset by a 4.6 percentage points decline in volume/mix[14] - Adjusted Gross Profit declined by 21.3%[14] - Adjusted EPS decreased by 24.2%[14] - Free Cash Flow reached $1.2 billion YTD[14, 38] Financial Performance - YTD 2025 - Organic Net Revenue increased by 4.0%[14, 22], with a 7.2 percentage points contribution from price and a 3.2 percentage points decrease from volume/mix[14] - Adjusted Gross Profit declined by 15.2%[31] - Adjusted EPS decreased by 18.8%[36] Segment Performance - Q3 2025 - Emerging Markets Organic Net Revenue grew by 7.1%[22], while Developed Markets saw a 1.2% increase[22] - Chocolate Organic Net Revenue increased by 8.2%[24], while Biscuits & Baked Snacks grew by 1.2%[24] - North America revenue growth was 3.4% with operating income growth of -4.6%[29] - Europe revenue growth was 5.3% with operating income growth of -4.0%[29] Outlook and Strategy - The company updated its FY 2025 outlook to 4%+ Organic Net Revenue growth and ~-15% EPS decline (cst fx)[12, 42] - The company expects on-algorithm EPS growth for 2026[12, 49] - The company projects Free Cash Flow of $3 billion+ for FY 2025[42]
Mondelez Tempers Outlook as Costs Rise
WSJ· 2025-10-28 20:59
Core Viewpoint - The company has revised its revenue growth expectation for the year from 5% to 4% on an organic basis due to record-high cocoa prices and increasing transportation costs [1] Revenue Expectations - The company now anticipates a 4% increase in revenue on an organic basis for the year, down from the previously expected 5% [1] Cost Factors - The revision in revenue expectations is attributed to record-high cocoa prices and rising transportation costs impacting overall profitability [1]
Mondelez International(MDLZ) - 2025 Q3 - Quarterly Report
2025-10-28 20:20
Strategic Priorities - The company aims to be the global leader in snacking, focusing on four strategic priorities: consumer-centric growth, operational excellence, winning growth culture, and sustainable snacking [119]. Revenue and Growth - The company anticipates ongoing volatility in future snacks revenue growth due to elevated raw material costs and pricing increases adversely impacting consumer demand, particularly in the U.S. and Europe [121]. - Organic Net Revenue growth is presented on a consolidated basis, reflecting underlying growth from ongoing activities [31]. - Net revenues increased by 5.9% to $9.744 billion in Q3 2025, driven by higher net pricing and favorable currency-related items [162]. - Organic Net Revenue grew by 3.4% to $9.520 billion in Q3 2025, with emerging markets showing a 7.1% increase and developed markets a 1.2% increase [162]. - For the first nine months of 2025, net revenues increased by $1,204 million (4.5%) to $28,041 million, with organic net revenue growth of $1,078 million (4.0%) [174]. - Emerging markets net revenues increased by 6.8%, while developed markets net revenues rose by 3.0% in the first nine months of 2025 [174]. - Net revenues for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, were $28,041 million, an increase of $1,204 million (4.5%) compared to $26,837 million in 2024 [189]. Financial Performance - Adjusted Operating Income for the three months ended September 30, 2025, was $6 million, compared to a loss of $12 million in 2024 [146]. - Adjusted EPS growth is evaluated on a constant currency basis, providing improved comparability of underlying operating results [31]. - Adjusted EPS for Q3 2025 was $0.73, down $0.22 (23.2%) from Q3 2024, while adjusted EPS on a constant currency basis was $0.72, down $0.23 (24.2%) [171]. - Diluted EPS decreased by 9.5% to $0.57 in Q3 2025, primarily due to a decrease in Adjusted EPS and unfavorable year-over-year changes in acquisition-related items [162]. - Operating income decreased by $2,138 million (45.2%) to $2,596 million in the first nine months of 2025, with adjusted operating income down $1,111 million (22.5%) to $3,829 million [177]. - Net earnings attributable to Mondelēz International decreased by $110 million (12.9%) to $743 million in Q3 2025, with diluted EPS down $0.06 (9.5%) to $0.57 [171]. - Total selling, general and administrative expenses rose by $165 million from Q3 2024, driven by higher costs related to the ERP System Implementation program [167]. Acquisitions and Investments - The company completed the acquisition of Evirth (Shanghai) Industrial Co., Ltd, a leading manufacturer of cakes and pastries in China, in the fourth quarter of 2024 [131]. - The acquisition of Evirth added $87 million in incremental net revenues on a constant currency basis in Q3 2025 [163]. - The acquisition of Evirth contributed $288 million in net revenues on a constant currency basis for the first nine months of 2025 [199]. Impairments and Charges - The company recorded an impairment charge of €612 million ($665 million) related to its investment in JDE Peet's during the first quarter of 2024 [132]. - Intangible asset impairment charges totaled $33 million for the three months ended September 30, 2025 [146]. - The Simplify to Grow Program incurred restructuring charges of $6 million for the three months ended September 30, 2025 [146]. - Incremental costs due to the war in Ukraine included asset write-downs, net of recoveries, impacting overall financial results [153]. Currency and Market Risks - The company continues to monitor the impact of geopolitical uncertainties, including trade and regulatory risks, on its operations and financial performance [122]. - Currency-related items contributed an increase of $137 million to net revenues, benefiting from favorable currency translation rate changes [163]. - The company experienced unfavorable currency-related items of $137 million (0.5 pp) for the first nine months of 2025, primarily due to unfavorable currency translation rate changes [136]. - The company is exposed to currency exchange rate, commodity price, and interest rate market risks, which are monitored as part of its risk management program [237]. Operational Challenges - The company faced increased price volatility and higher aggregate costs due to international supply chain disruptions and elevated commodity, transportation, and labor costs [230]. - Cocoa costs are expected to remain elevated compared to historical levels in the near- and medium-term, despite a forecasted decrease in 2026 [230]. - The company’s pricing actions may lag behind commodity cost changes due to competitive market conditions and other factors [231]. - Unfavorable volume/mix was experienced across all regions, reflecting pricing elasticity impacts and soft consumption in North America [166]. Tax and Debt - The effective tax rate improved to 19.7% in Q3 2025 from 28.8% in Q3 2024, influenced by a favorable jurisdictional mix of earnings [170]. - Total debt increased to $21.3 billion as of September 30, 2025, from $17.7 billion as of December 31, 2024, with a debt-to-capitalization ratio of 0.45 [224]. Future Outlook - The company expects capital expenditures for 2025 to be up to $1.3 billion, primarily to modernize manufacturing facilities and support productivity initiatives [218]. - Forward-looking statements in the report include projections of earnings and revenue, as well as management's plans and strategies for future operations [233]. - The company acknowledges inherent risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from forward-looking statements, including macroeconomic volatility and geopolitical factors [234].
Cadbury maker Mondelez forecasts bigger drop in annual profit as demand weakens
Reuters· 2025-10-28 20:12
Core Insights - Mondelez International has forecasted a steeper decline in annual profit due to reduced consumer spending on its premium chocolates and snacks in North America [1] - The company is facing increased costs for key ingredients, which is impacting its profitability [1] Company Summary - Mondelez International is experiencing a downturn in sales as consumers are cutting back on purchases of its higher-priced products [1] - The forecast indicates a significant challenge for the company in maintaining profit margins amid rising costs [1] Industry Summary - The snack and confectionery industry is witnessing shifts in consumer behavior, particularly in North America, where price sensitivity is increasing [1] - Higher ingredient costs are a common challenge across the industry, affecting profitability for major players like Mondelez [1]