Economic Data - U.S. durable goods orders fell -1.4% m/m in December, better than the expected -1.8% m/m, while core durable goods orders rose +0.9% m/m, exceeding expectations of +0.3% m/m [1] - U.S. December housing starts increased +6.2% m/m to 1.404 million, surpassing expectations of 1.310 million, and building permits rose +4.3% m/m to 1.448 million, above the expected 1.400 million [1] - U.S. industrial production rose +0.7% m/m in January, stronger than the anticipated +0.4% m/m [1] Stock Market Movements - Wall Street's three main equity benchmarks closed higher, with Global Payments (GPN) surging over +16% after issuing above-consensus FY26 adjusted EPS guidance [2] - Micron Technology (MU) rose more than +5% and Applied Materials (AMAT) gained over +2% [2] - Palantir Technologies (PLTR) increased more than +1% following an upgrade from Mizuho [2] - Palo Alto Networks (PANW) fell over -6% after cutting its full-year adjusted EPS guidance [2] Investor Sentiment - Investors are awaiting new U.S. economic data, remarks from Federal Reserve officials, and Walmart's earnings report [3] - Renewed caution about the outlook for AI has negatively impacted sentiment, with most members of the Magnificent Seven stocks edging lower in pre-market trading [3] Geopolitical Concerns - Investors are concerned about the potential for U.S. military intervention in Iran, despite progress in nuclear talks [4] - The U.S. has reportedly assembled its largest air power presence in the Middle East since 2003, raising tensions [4] - WTI crude prices rose above $66 a barrel amid these geopolitical tensions [4] Federal Reserve Insights - U.S. rate futures indicate a 94.1% chance of no rate change and a 5.9% chance of a 25 basis point rate cut at the March FOMC meeting [6] - The FOMC minutes revealed that several policymakers suggested potential rate increases if inflation remains above target [5] - A majority of participants noted that downside risks to employment have moderated, while persistent inflation risks remain [5] Upcoming Economic Reports - U.S. Initial Jobless Claims data is expected to show a figure of 223K, down from 227K last week [6] - The Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index is anticipated to drop to 7.5 in February from 12.6 last month [7] - Trade Balance data is expected to show a narrowing deficit to -$55.5 billion in December from -$56.8 billion in November [7] - Pending home sales data is expected to rise +1.4% m/m in January after a -9.3% m/m drop in December [8] Corporate Earnings - Notable companies reporting quarterly figures include Walmart, Deere & Company, and Newmont [10] - Figma surged more than +11% in pre-market trading after posting strong Q4 results and guidance [16] - DoorDash climbed over +10% after reporting better-than-expected Q4 marketplace gross order value [16]

United Airlines quietly dropped the Airbus SE A350 jetliner from its fleet plan in coming years amid a legal battle with the aircraft’s engine supplier, Rolls-Royce. https://t.co/RLTHWSaN3Z ...

Core Viewpoint - Safran forecasts increased revenue and earnings for 2026, driven by strong aftermarket demand for civil jet engines [1] Financial Performance - Safran projects recurring operating profit for 2026 to be between 6.1 billion to 6.2 billion euros ($7.2 billion to $7.4 billion), with an estimated revenue increase in the "low to mid teens," specifically 12% to 15% [1] - For 2025, Safran reported a 26% rise in recurring operating income to 5.2 billion euros, with a margin gain of 1.5 percentage points to 16.6% [1] - Adjusted revenue for 2025 rose 15% to 31.33 billion euros, and the company generated 3.92 billion euros in free cash flow [1] Market Demand - Services revenue for civil engines increased by 30% in U.S. dollar terms, attributed to rising demand for air travel and interest in older jets amid production delays [1] - Positive momentum in the defense sector is noted, partly due to new orders for the Rafale fighter jet, for which Safran manufactures engines [1] Long-term Projections - Safran has upgraded its financial targets for 2028, raising the forecast for recurring operating income to 7.0 billion to 7.5 billion euros, up from the previous estimate of 6.0 billion to 6.5 billion euros [1]

Group 1: Trade Relations and Economic Strategy - UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer aims to broaden trade ties with China while maintaining a balanced relationship with the US, emphasizing the importance of British exports [1][10][34] - Starmer's delegation includes executives from major British banks and manufacturers, indicating a strong focus on enhancing trade relations with China [1][10] - The UK's strategy involves categorizing tradeable goods with China, although managing these separate tracks may become challenging in the long term, especially in digital commerce [7][10] Group 2: Automotive Market Dynamics - The UK has become a leading destination for Chinese electric vehicles, with BYD and Chery rapidly gaining market share against competitors like Tesla [13][14][35] - BYD's sales in the UK nearly quintupled last year, with over 51,400 new cars sold, while MG, owned by China's SAIC Motor Corp., sold more than 85,000 new cars [14][35] - The absence of punitive tariffs on Chinese electric vehicles in the UK has contributed to this growth, contrasting with the US and EU markets [13][35] Group 3: Consumer Sentiment and Market Trends - British consumers are increasingly open to Chinese products, with a notable rise in the acceptance of affordable options from brands like Xiaomi alongside established names like Apple and Samsung [19][20][22] - Recent polling indicates a warming public opinion towards China, with the percentage of respondents viewing China as a friend or friendly rival increasing from 19% to 27% [23][22] - The UK market is characterized by consumers seeking high-quality and value-for-money products, making it an attractive environment for emerging Chinese brands [19][20]

Core Insights - Airbus is facing an "unprecedented number of crises" and "unsettling geopolitical developments," particularly due to U.S. protectionism and U.S.-China trade tensions, which are impacting its global supply chain operations [1] - Despite strong demand for its aircraft, Airbus is struggling with managing deliveries, margins, and cash flow as it moves forward [2] Group 1: Demand and Performance - In 2025, Airbus delivered 793 commercial aircraft and recorded 1,000 gross orders (889 net), resulting in a record backlog of 8,754 aircraft, including a widebody backlog of 1,124 [3] - The strong demand allows Airbus to maintain a long-term perspective, even as the CEO warns about near-term challenges [4] Group 2: Execution Risks - Airbus lowered its delivery goal for 2025 from around 820 to about 790 due to issues with A320 Family fuselage panels from a supplier, although its financial goals remained unchanged [5] - The delivery system's vulnerability is highlighted by the fact that even minor supply chain issues can lead to significant breakdowns, as evidenced by the engine supply problems with Pratt & Whitney and CFM (GE/Safran) [6]

Group 1 - Boeing and Airbus are increasing airplane deliveries as the year-end approaches, with Boeing receiving approval to ramp up production for the Boeing 737 [1] - The Aerospace Forum, led by aerospace analyst Dhierin-Perkash Bechai, aims to identify investment opportunities in the aerospace, defense, and airline sectors [1] - The forum utilizes data-informed analysis to provide insights into industry developments and their potential impact on investment strategies [1]

Core Insights - Boeing and Airbus are increasing airplane deliveries as the year-end approaches, indicating a positive trend in the aerospace industry [1] - Boeing has received approval to ramp up production for the Boeing 737, which is a significant development for the company [1] Company Analysis - Boeing Company (BA) is actively working to enhance its production capabilities, particularly for the Boeing 737 model, which suggests a focus on meeting market demand [1] - Airbus SE (OTCPK:EADSF) is also involved in increasing its airplane deliveries, reflecting a competitive landscape in the aerospace sector [1] Industry Outlook - The aerospace, defense, and airline industry is characterized by significant growth prospects, as highlighted by the efforts of both Boeing and Airbus to boost production and deliveries [1] - The involvement of analysts with backgrounds in aerospace engineering provides a deeper understanding of the industry's complexities and potential investment opportunities [1]

Core Viewpoint - Airbus SE has identified a fuselage issue with its A320 aircraft, attributed to supplier problems, while ensuring that the issue is contained and that all newly produced panels meet requirements [2]. Group 1: Fuselage Issue - The issue with the A320 fuselage involves metal panels and is linked to supplier issues [2]. - Airbus has confirmed that the source of the fuselage issue has been identified and contained [2]. Group 2: Impact on Airlines - American Airlines Group Inc. operates over 490 A320 aircraft [2]. - Delta Airlines Inc. has more than 315 A320 family aircraft in its fleet [3]. - JetBlue Airways Corp operates 230 units, while United Airlines Holdings Inc. has 194 A320 aircraft [3]. Group 3: Assurance of Operations - Transportation Secretary Sean Duffy has assured that travelers will not face disruptions or delays due to the software issue affecting the A320 family [4].

AirAsia, one of Airbus SE’s largest customers of single-aisle jets, says testing protocols for aircraft software need to be reexamined in the wake of the weekend glitch that required an urgent update. https://t.co/voZGwzWY4Q ...

Economic Data and Market Trends - The U.S. core personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index, a key inflation measure, is set to be released, with expectations of soft inflation reflected in recent CPI and PPI reports [1][3] - Wall Street's major equity averages closed higher, with the S&P 500, Dow, and Nasdaq 100 reaching two-week highs, driven by gains in chip and energy stocks [2] - The yield on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note rose to 4.041%, indicating a shift in investor sentiment following hawkish comments from the Bank of Japan [10][5] Corporate Earnings and Stock Movements - High-profile companies such as Salesforce, CrowdStrike, and Marvell Technology are scheduled to report quarterly results this week, attracting investor attention [6] - Cryptocurrency-exposed stocks saw significant movements, with Riot Platforms and MARA Holdings experiencing gains as Bitcoin rebounded past $90,000 [2] - New Fortress Energy surged over 23% in pre-market trading after receiving preliminary approval for a contract in Puerto Rico [19] International Market Developments - The Euro Stoxx 50 Index opened lower, with industrial stocks underperforming, particularly Airbus, which faced a decline due to a recall of jets [11] - China's manufacturing activity showed signs of contraction, with the November Manufacturing PMI at 49.2, indicating ongoing economic challenges [14][13] - Japan's Nikkei 225 Index fell sharply as government bond yields increased, influenced by the Bank of Japan's potential rate hike signals [15][16]