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Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q4 2025, adjusted EBITDA was $285 million, a 4% year-over-year increase driven by higher gathering and compression volumes [5] - Free cash flow after dividends for Q4 was $85 million, contributing to a leverage reduction to 2.7x and approximately $48 million in share repurchases [5] - For the full year 2025, free cash flow after dividends reached a record $325 million, a 30% increase compared to 2024 [5] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The acquisition of HG Midstream for $1.1 billion adds over 400 undeveloped locations in the Marcellus Shale, enhancing Antero Midstream's competitive position [3] - The company expects 8% year-over-year EBITDA growth and 11% year-over-year free cash flow growth in 2026, driven by the integration of the acquired assets [4][7] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company anticipates generating over $1.2 billion in adjusted EBITDA for 2026, reflecting an 8% increase year-over-year [7] - The capital budget for 2026 is set between $190 million and $220 million, focusing on well connections, water capital, and compression asset integration [6] Company Strategy and Development Direction - Antero Midstream's strategy emphasizes capital-efficient organic growth and the integration of acquired assets to enhance free cash flow [3][8] - The company aims to maintain a strong balance sheet with leverage in the low 3x range while executing a balanced return of capital program [8] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in continued EBITDA growth and capital efficiency, projecting high single-digit growth beyond 2027 [12] - The integration of the water system and the development program is expected to provide significant growth visibility [4] Other Important Information - The company achieved a 20% return on invested capital (ROIC) in 2025, indicating strong capital efficiency [5] - The acquisition is fully financed, allowing for value accretion to existing shareholders without the need for equity financing [8] Q&A Session Summary Question: Long-term growth outlook post-acquisition - Management indicated that the 3 rig, 2 crew program will support continued growth beyond 2027, with expected throughput volume growth of about 200 million a day [12] Question: Growth plans for Antero Resources (AR) and implications for Antero Midstream (AM) - Management noted that AM's capital requirements remain minimal due to existing infrastructure, while AR is well-positioned to meet growing demand over the next 5-10 years [15][16]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q4 2025, adjusted EBITDA was $285 million, a 4% year-over-year increase driven by higher gathering and compression volumes [5] - Free cash flow after dividends for Q4 was $85 million, contributing to a leverage reduction to 2.7x and approximately $48 million in share repurchases [5] - For the full year 2025, free cash flow after dividends reached a record $325 million, a 30% increase compared to 2024 [5] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The acquisition of HG Midstream for $1.1 billion adds over 400 undeveloped locations, enhancing Antero Midstream's competitive position in the Marcellus Shale [3] - The company expects 8% year-over-year EBITDA growth and 11% year-over-year free cash flow growth in 2026 [4][7] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The capital budget for 2026 is set between $190 million and $220 million, focusing on well connections, water capital, and compression asset integration [6] - The forecast for 2026 includes adjusted EBITDA of over $1.2 billion, reflecting an 8% increase year-over-year [7] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company emphasizes a just-in-time capital investment strategy that generates consistent free cash flow [3] - The integration of the acquired water system and investment in dry gas assets are expected to provide high visibility into growth [4] - The strategy includes a balanced return of capital program through debt reduction and share repurchases [8] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management anticipates continued growth beyond 2027, with mid- to high single-digit EBITDA growth expected [12] - The company is well-positioned to meet growing demand over the next 5-10 years due to its strategic location and infrastructure [16] Other Important Information - The company achieved a 20% return on invested capital (ROIC) in 2025 [5] - The acquisition is fully financed, allowing for value accretion to existing shareholders without equity financing [8] Q&A Session Summary Question: Long-term growth outlook post-acquisition - Management indicated that the 3-rig, 2-rig program will support continued growth beyond 2027, with expected throughput volume growth of about 200 million a day [12] Question: Growth plans for Antero Resources (AR) and implications for Antero Midstream (AM) - Management noted that there is minimal additional capital required for AM due to existing infrastructure, and AR is well-positioned to meet growing demand with firm transport options [14][16]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Adjusted EBITDA for Q4 2025 was $285 million, a 4% increase year-over-year, driven by higher gathering and compression volumes [5] - Free cash flow after dividends for Q4 2025 was $85 million, contributing to a leverage reduction to 2.7x and approximately $48 million in share repurchases [5] - For the full year 2025, free cash flow after dividends reached a record $325 million, a 30% increase compared to 2024 [5] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The acquisition of HG Midstream for $1.1 billion adds over 400 undeveloped locations, enhancing Antero Midstream's competitive position in the Marcellus Shale [3] - The company expects 8% year-over-year EBITDA growth and 11% year-over-year free cash flow growth in 2026, following the integration of the acquired assets [4][7] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company anticipates a capital budget of $190 million to $220 million for 2026, focusing on well connections, water capital, and compression asset integration [6] - The forecast for 2026 includes Adjusted EBITDA of over $1.2 billion, reflecting an 8% increase year-over-year [7] Company Strategy and Development Direction - Antero Midstream's strategy emphasizes capital-efficient organic growth and the integration of acquired assets to enhance free cash flow and operational efficiency [3][8] - The company aims to maintain a strong balance sheet with leverage in the low 3x range while executing a balanced return of capital program [8] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in continued EBITDA growth and capital efficiency, projecting high single-digit growth beyond 2027 due to the 3-rig, 2-completion crew program [12] - The management highlighted the strategic positioning of Antero Resources (AR) to meet growing demand over the next 5-10 years, supported by Antero Midstream's infrastructure [15] Other Important Information - The company reported a 20% return on invested capital (ROIC) for 2025, indicating strong capital efficiency [5] - The integration of the Intervale Water System is expected to provide high visibility into growth opportunities [4] Q&A Session Summary Question: Long-term growth outlook post-acquisition - Management indicated that the 3 rig, 2 crew program will support continued growth beyond 2027, with expected mid- to high single-digit EBITDA growth [12] Question: Growth plans for Antero Resources and implications for Antero Midstream - Management clarified that there is minimal additional capital required for Antero Midstream due to existing infrastructure, positioning AR well for future demand [14]

Group 1 - Antero Resources (AR) stock is currently performing well, with positive sentiment noted in recent analyses [2] - The oil and gas industry is characterized as a boom-bust, cyclical market, requiring patience and experience for successful investment [2] - The investing group Oil & Gas Value Research focuses on under-followed oil companies and midstream companies that present compelling investment opportunities [2] Group 2 - The article emphasizes the importance of analyzing balance sheets, competitive positions, and development prospects of oil and gas companies [1] - Members of Oil & Gas Value Research receive exclusive analysis on certain companies not available on public platforms [1]

Group 1 - Antero Resources (AR) stock is currently viewed positively, with previous articles highlighting its potential [2] - The oil and gas industry is characterized as a boom-bust, cyclical sector, requiring patience and experience for successful investment [2] - The investing group Oil & Gas Value Research focuses on under-followed oil companies and midstream companies that present compelling investment opportunities [2] Group 2 - The analysis provided in the service includes a breakdown of companies' balance sheets, competitive positions, and development prospects [1] - Members of Oil & Gas Value Research receive early access to analyses and insights not available on the free site [1]

Core Insights - Antero Resources reported Q4 2025 adjusted earnings of 42 cents per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 52 cents, and down from 58 cents in the same quarter last year [1][2][9] - Total revenues for the quarter were $1,412 million, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1,309 million, and up from $1,169 million year-over-year [1][3] Production Overview - Total production in Q4 was 323 billion cubic feet equivalent (Bcfe), an increase from 316 Bcfe a year ago, and above the estimate of 319 Bcfe [3] - Natural gas production accounted for 64% of total production, reaching 208 Bcf, a 6% increase from 196 Bcf year-over-year, slightly below the estimate of 210 Bcf [3] - Oil production decreased to 756 thousand barrels (MBbls), down 11% from 850 MBbls in the previous year, and below the estimate of 841 MBbls [4] - C2 Ethane production was 7,668 MBbls, a 10% decrease from 8,518 MBbls year-over-year, while C3+ NGLs production increased by 1% to 10,678 MBbls [4] Price Realizations - Weighted natural-gas-equivalent price realization was $3.97 per thousand cubic feet equivalent (Mcfe), up from $3.64 year-over-year [5] - Realized prices for natural gas rose 34% to $3.71 per Mcf from $2.77 a year ago [5] - Oil price realization was $45.99 per barrel (Bbl), down from $57.80 year-over-year [5] - Realized price for C3+ NGLs decreased to $35.41 per Bbl from $44.29, while C2 Ethane's realized price increased to $12.54 per Bbl from $10.31 [6] Operating Expenses - Total operating expenses rose to $1,122 million from $1,111 million in the previous year [7] - Average lease operating costs remained flat at 10 cents per Mcfe, while gathering and compression costs increased by 6% to 75 cents per Mcfe [7] - Transportation expenses rose 12% year-over-year to 67 cents per Mcfe, and processing costs increased by 6% to 90 cents per Mcfe [7] Capital Expenditures and Financials - Antero Resources spent $159 million on drilling and completion operations in Q4 [10] - As of December 31, 2025, the company had a long-term debt of $1.4 billion [10] Future Outlook - The company expects Q1 2026 production to average 3.8 Bcfe/d and net production for 2026 to be 4.1 Bcfe/d [11] - Drilling and completion capital for 2026 is projected to be $1 billion [11]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In 2025, the company generated over $750 million in free cash flow, which was used to reduce debt by over $300 million, repurchase $136 million of stock, and invest more than $250 million in acquisitions [19][20] - The company achieved a new record of 19 stages per day for a single completion crew in Q4 2025, with an average of over 14 stages per day for the year, representing an 8% increase from 2024 [19] - The drilling team averaged under 5 drilling days per 10,000 feet, which is 4% faster than the 2024 average [19] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The HG Energy acquisition added 385,000 net acres and over 400 drilling locations, extending the core inventory life by 5 years [5][6] - The transaction is expected to lower the cost structure by nearly 10%, which will further reduce break-even prices [7] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Propane inventories were higher than market expectations due to trade tensions and operational issues, but demand remained strong, with days of supply trending within the 5-year range [8][9] - NGL supply growth is expected to slow down due to lower oil prices, decreasing from 328,000 barrels a day in 2024 to 131,000 barrels a day in 2026 [10] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to expand its core Marcellus position and increase dry gas exposure to capture demand from LNG exports and regional power plants [5][6] - The company is focused on reducing cash costs and expanding margins while maintaining a flexible capital program that allows for opportunistic investments [20][30] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's ability to navigate through challenging weather conditions without experiencing shut-in volumes, highlighting operational resilience [4] - The company is well-positioned to capitalize on significant natural gas demand growth, particularly from LNG exports and regional power demand [24][25] Other Important Information - The company issued its inaugural investment-grade bonds, providing substantial flexibility alongside strong free cash flow generation [5] - The hedge program is designed to protect downside risks while maintaining exposure to higher natural gas prices, with approximately 40% of 2026 natural gas volumes hedged [23] Q&A Session Summary Question: Growth capital and in-basin demand - Management indicated that growth capital is flexible and can be adjusted based on gas price assumptions, with the ability to defer projects if necessary [28][30] Question: Free cash flow usage and debt targets - Management stated there are no specific debt targets, but they are positioned to be opportunistic in share buybacks while also focusing on debt reduction [32][33] Question: Synergies from the HG deal - Management noted that synergies from the HG acquisition are better than expected, with improvements in cost structure and local gas demand [36][37] Question: Production ramp and acquired assets - Management clarified that the production ramp is as expected, with a forecast of 4.1 Bcfe a day for 2026, increasing to 4.3 Bcfe a day in 2027 [43] Question: NGL pricing outlook - Management explained that international pricing is driving forecasts for C3 prices, with domestic prices expected to stabilize as export infrastructure improves [44][47] Question: Winter gas realizations - Management confirmed that they participated in favorable pricing during the winter, with a significant portion of sales tied to daily pricing [51] Question: Cost structure changes - Management indicated a potential $0.25 improvement in cost structure, with variable components affecting overall costs [58] Question: Power supply deals - Management highlighted ongoing discussions for gas supply to utilities, with increasing demand for gas-fired power generation [62] Question: Firm transport position management - Management emphasized the optimization of their firm transport portfolio, allowing for flexibility in managing costs and maximizing margins [66] Question: Growth options and inventory visibility - Management expressed confidence in their ability to grow production efficiently, leveraging their extensive inventory and market position [92][93]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In 2025, the company generated over $750 million in free cash flow, which was used to reduce debt by over $300 million, repurchase $136 million of stock, and invest more than $250 million in acquisitions [20][21] - The company achieved a new record of 19 stages per day for a single completion crew in Q4 2025, with an average of over 14 stages per day for the full year, representing an 8% increase from 2024 [20] - The drilling team averaged under 5 drilling days per 10,000 feet, which is 4% faster than the 2024 average [20] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The HG Energy acquisition added 385,000 net acres and over 400 drilling locations, extending the core inventory life by 5 years [6] - The transaction is expected to lower the company's cost structure by nearly 10%, which will further reduce peer-leading break-even prices [7] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The NGL market faced headwinds in 2025, with propane inventories higher than expected due to trade tensions and operational issues at export terminals [8][9] - Despite these challenges, demand for propane remained strong, with storage levels expected to return to normal by the end of 2026 [11] - Natural gas demand was robust, with residential and commercial demand averaging nearly 42 BCF per day during winter, resulting in a significant increase compared to the five-year average [13][15] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to expand its core Marcellus position and increase dry gas exposure to capture demand from LNG exports and regional power generation [6][18] - The strategic initiatives include adding hedges to lock in attractive free cash flow yields and reducing cash costs to expand margins [5][7] - The company is positioned to capitalize on significant natural gas demand growth expected from LNG and regional power demand [24] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's ability to navigate through challenging weather conditions without experiencing shut-in volumes [4] - The company anticipates that higher LNG demand and reduced storage levels in Europe will support robust U.S. LNG exports [16] - Management highlighted the flexibility of their capital program, allowing for adjustments based on market conditions and gas prices [29][30] Other Important Information - The company issued its inaugural investment-grade bonds, providing substantial flexibility alongside free cash flow generation [5] - The acquisition of HG Energy is expected to enhance the company's competitive advantage in the region due to increased production and improved cost structure [18][24] Q&A Session Summary Question: Growth capital and in-basin demand - Management indicated that maintaining a steady state program with three rigs and two completion crews would result in growth, with flexibility to defer capital expenditures based on gas prices [28][30] Question: Free cash flow usage and debt targets - Management stated there are no specific debt targets, but they are positioned to be opportunistic in share buybacks while also focusing on debt reduction [32][33] Question: Synergies from the HG deal - Management reported that synergies from the HG acquisition are better than expected, with improvements in cost structure and local gas demand [36][37] Question: Production ramp and acquired assets - Management clarified that the production ramp is as expected, with a forecast of 4.1 Bcfe per day for 2026 and potential growth to 4.5 Bcfe per day in 2027 [43][44] Question: NGL pricing and export capacity - Management noted that international pricing is driving forecasts for C3 prices, with ongoing debottlenecking in the Gulf Coast expected to improve export capacity [46][47] Question: Winter gas realizations and hedging - Management confirmed that they participated in favorable pricing during winter and are considering layering in incremental hedges for 2027 [52][54] Question: Cost structure changes - Management indicated a potential $0.25 improvement in cost structure, with variable components affecting costs based on natural gas prices [60][61] Question: Power supply deals and demand - Management highlighted ongoing conversations for gas supply to utilities and data centers, indicating strong demand growth in the region [64][102]

Fourth Quarter 2025 Earnings Presentation February 12, 2026 Antero Midstream (NYSE: AM) Legal Disclaimer Forward-Looking Statements: This presentation includes "forward-looking statements." Such forward-looking statements are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties, many of which are not under AM's control. All statements, except for statements of historical fact, made in this presentation regarding activities, events or developments AM expects, believes or anticipates will or may occur in the future ...