Core Viewpoint - U.S. stock futures indicate a subdued market opening, particularly in the technology sector, as investors await key economic data, including the employment report [1][5] Premarket Activity and Index Futures - S&P 500 futures are down 0.1% and Nasdaq futures are down 0.2%, while Dow Jones futures remain unchanged, reflecting a continuation of sector rotation [2] - The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) rose 3.6% to 18.64, indicating increased investor apprehension [2] Major Index Performance Overview - On February 4, 2026, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.5% to 49,501.30, attributed to a rotation into value stocks [3] - The Nasdaq Composite fell 1.5% to 22,904.58, and the S&P 500 dropped 0.5% to 6,882.72, highlighting a divergence in index performance [3] Sectoral Performance - Technology Select Sector SPDR (XLK) fell 2.2%, Communication Select Sector SPDR (XLC) dropped 1.6%, and Health Care Select Sector SPDR (XLV) decreased by 1% [4] - Energy Select Sector SPDR (XLE) gained 3.2%, Materials Select Sector SPDR (XLB) rose 2.1%, Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR (XLP) increased by 1.6%, and Utilities Select Sector SPDR (XLU) went up 1.5% [4] Upcoming Market Events - The Employment Situation report for January 2026 is scheduled for release on February 6, 2026, which will provide insights into the labor market [5] - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) for January 2026 is due on February 11, 2026, and the Producer Price Index (PPI) for January 2026 is set for February 27, 2026 [5] Major Stock News and Corporate Announcements - Amgen Inc. shares rose 8.2% after reporting adjusted earnings of $5.29 per share, exceeding expectations [7] - Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) reported non-GAAP earnings of $1.53 per share and revenues of $10.27 billion but saw a stock drop of 17.3% due to concerns over future revenue forecasts [8] - Uber Technologies (UBER) stock fell 5.1% after reporting quarterly results that missed expectations and provided a weaker profit forecast [9] - Lumentum Holdings Inc. shares surged 47% after reporting adjusted earnings of $1.67 per share, surpassing estimates [10] - Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. advanced 1.9% after posting fourth-quarter earnings that exceeded estimates, despite issuing weak guidance [11] Broader Market Trends - Alphabet (GOOGL) shares fell 3% despite a 30% increase in fourth-quarter profits, due to projected heavy spending on AI projects [13] - Qualcomm (QCOM) stock dropped nearly 12% after warning of an industry-wide memory shortage impacting future results [13] - The cryptocurrency market saw Bitcoin fall nearly 5%, affecting related stocks like Robinhood Markets Inc. [14]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Shopify reported Q2 revenue of $2.7 billion, up 31% year over year, with a free cash flow margin of 16% [6][10][59] - Gross profit grew 25%, with overall gross margin at 48.6%, down from 51.1% in the prior year [54][56] - Operating income for the quarter was $291 million, representing an 11% operating income margin, compared to 9% last year [58] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Offline GMV increased by 29%, driven primarily by larger retailers joining the platform [31][49] - Merchant solutions revenue rose by 37%, while subscription solutions revenue grew by 17% [51][52] - GMV in Q2 was $88 billion, up 31%, with North America and Europe showing strong performance [47][48] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - International GMV was up 42% year over year, with Europe leading the growth [6][36] - Cross-border GMV remained consistent at 15% of total GMV in Q2 [62] - Shopify Payments penetration reached 64%, up from 61% last year [22][51] Company Strategy and Development Direction - Shopify aims to expand its reach across all geographies, particularly in Europe, and is focused on building a unified commerce platform [6][10] - The company is investing in AI and product innovations to enhance the shopping experience and streamline operations for merchants [13][21] - Shopify is committed to supporting entrepreneurs worldwide, with a focus on international expansion and product localization [35][36] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that the merchant base has remained resilient despite macroeconomic challenges, with strong performance continuing into Q3 [60][61] - The company expects Q3 revenue growth in the mid to high 20s year over year, driven by continued growth in merchant solutions [63] - Management highlighted the importance of ongoing investments in product development and marketing to sustain growth [66][68] Other Important Information - Shopify launched several new products, including Universal Cart and CheckoutKit, aimed at enhancing the shopping experience through AI integration [15][93] - The company has expanded its payments product into 16 new countries this year, nearly doubling its market accessibility [22][24] - Shopify Capital is now available in Germany and the Netherlands, providing more merchants with access to growth funding [36][57] Q&A Session Summary Question: How would you characterize the demand in the US and any potential pull forward for consumers? - Management indicated that there has not been a significant pull forward of demand, with consistent performance observed in Q2 and July [70][72] Question: What is the status of international growth and product localization? - Management acknowledged strong international growth, particularly in Europe, and emphasized ongoing efforts to enhance product offerings for international markets [75][78] Question: How does the company view long-term growth potential? - Management expressed confidence in maintaining growth rates above 25% due to past investments and expanding product offerings [82][86] Question: Will Universal Cart and Checkout Kit be available for the holiday season? - Management confirmed ongoing development of these products, aiming for integration into AI platforms to enhance shopping experiences [90][93]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Shopify reported Q2 revenue of $2.7 billion, up 31% year over year, with a free cash flow margin of 16% [5][8][57] - Gross profit grew 25%, exceeding expectations, with overall gross margin at 48.6%, down from 51.1% in the prior year [52][54] - Operating income for the quarter was $291 million, representing an 11% operating income margin, compared to 9% last year [56] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - GMV in Q2 was $88 billion, up 31%, with offline GMV increasing by 29% [46][29] - Merchant solutions revenue increased by 37%, driven primarily by GMV growth, while subscription solutions revenue grew by 17% [49][50] - The Shop app saw a 140% year-over-year growth in native GMV, indicating strong engagement [26] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - International GMV was up 42% year over year, with Europe leading the growth [5][34] - Cross-border GMV remained consistent at 15% of total GMV in Q2 [60] - Shopify Payments penetration reached 64%, up from 61% last year, indicating strong adoption [22][49] Company Strategy and Development Direction - Shopify is focused on expanding its reach internationally, particularly in Europe, and enhancing its product offerings to support merchants [5][34] - The company is investing in AI-driven commerce solutions, including the launch of Universal Cart and CheckoutKit, to enhance the shopping experience [12][91] - Shopify aims to build a unified commerce platform that integrates online and offline sales channels [4][32] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the resilience of their merchant base amid changing economic conditions, noting strong performance in both North America and Europe [58][59] - The company anticipates continued growth in Q3, with revenue growth expected in the mid to high 20s year over year [61] - Management highlighted the importance of ongoing product innovation and market expansion as key drivers of future growth [85][86] Other Important Information - Shopify has expanded its payments product into 16 new countries this year, nearly doubling its market accessibility [21] - The company has introduced a USDC stablecoin option for payments, enhancing flexibility for merchants [23] - Shopify's capital business continues to grow, with new tools providing merchants more financing options [55] Q&A Session Summary Question: How would you characterize the demand in the US and any potential pull forward due to tariffs? - Management noted no significant pull forward in demand, with consistent performance observed in Q2 and July, indicating strong business health [69][71] Question: What is the status of international growth and localization for merchants? - Management highlighted ongoing product updates and successful expansion into new countries, with significant growth in international GMV, particularly in Europe [74][76] Question: How does the company view long-term growth potential? - Management expressed confidence in maintaining growth rates above 25%, driven by past investments and new product offerings [81][84] Question: Will Universal Cart and Checkout Kit be available for the holiday season? - Management confirmed ongoing development of these products, emphasizing their importance in enhancing the shopping experience through AI integration [89][91]