Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - **Industry**: China Financials - **Industry View**: Attractive [5] Regulatory Developments - **Regulatory Notice**: On February 6, 2026, financial regulators issued a notice aimed at preventing cryptocurrency-related risks, renewing a similar notice from 2021. This notice explicitly bans the tokenization of real-world assets (RWA) onshore unless pre-approved by regulators and built on specific financial infrastructure [8] - **Stablecoin Licensing in Hong Kong**: The development of stablecoins in Hong Kong is expected to proceed independently. Mainland companies must obtain onshore regulatory approval to participate in stablecoin issuance in Hong Kong, as the notice prohibits them from issuing cryptocurrencies overseas without such approval [2] Company-Specific Insights - **Futu Holdings**: The company is already blocking any crypto-related offerings and market information access to mainland clients. Future offerings may focus more on overseas assets due to regulatory complexities surrounding onshore asset-linked RWAs [3] Market Controls - **Implementation of Controls**: A comprehensive set of controls will be established, covering market entity registration, advertising, financial services, and technology services to mitigate crypto-related risks [8] Analyst Insights - **Analyst Certification**: Analysts have certified that their views on the companies discussed are accurately expressed and that they have not received compensation for specific recommendations [13] - **Investment Banking Relationships**: Morgan Stanley has received compensation for investment banking services from various companies in the financial sector, including Agricultural Bank of China and Bank of China [16][18] Stock Ratings Overview - **Stock Ratings Distribution**: As of January 31, 2026, the distribution of stock ratings includes: - Overweight/Buy: 41% - Equal-weight/Hold: 43% - Underweight/Sell: 16% [28] Important Disclosures - **Conflict of Interest**: Investors should be aware of potential conflicts of interest that may affect the objectivity of Morgan Stanley Research [6] - **Research Methodology**: The research is based on public information, and while efforts are made to ensure accuracy, no guarantees are provided [45] Conclusion - The regulatory landscape for cryptocurrencies in China is tightening, with significant implications for companies involved in crypto and stablecoin activities. Futu Holdings appears well-positioned given its current compliance measures. The overall outlook for the China financial sector remains attractive, with ongoing monitoring of regulatory developments essential for investment decisions.

Summary of China Brokers Conference Call Industry Overview - The report focuses on the **China brokerage industry**, particularly the performance and outlook of covered brokers amid a potential bull market in A-shares [1][2][7]. Key Insights and Arguments 1. **Market Outlook**: - Despite a recent rally, there is still significant upside potential for covered brokers, with a projected average upside of **25% to 53%** depending on market scenarios [1][2][7]. - The A-share market is considered to be in the **early stages of a bull market**, with retail investor engagement expected to increase [2][22][23]. 2. **Trading Activity and Forecasts**: - The Average Daily Trading (ADT) forecast for 2025, 2026, and 2027 has been revised upwards by **10% to 17%**, now estimated at **RMB 1.65 trillion, RMB 1.90 trillion, and RMB 2.1 trillion** respectively [1][7]. - The **household asset reallocation** towards equities is expected to support trading activity, with a potential **RMB 6.8 trillion** buying flow into the A-share market for every 1 percentage point increase in household equity allocation [1][7]. 3. **Broker Performance**: - In **Q2 2025**, seven covered brokers reported revenue and NPAT growth of **31% and 38% year-on-year**, respectively, driven by proprietary trading and investment banking business [8]. - **CICC** showed the strongest earnings growth at **131.3% year-on-year**, while **CGS** had the slowest at **26.0%** [8]. 4. **Regulatory Environment**: - Ongoing regulatory efforts aim to create a "wealth effect" through the stock market to boost domestic consumption, with potential interventions to manage market overheating [3][7]. - Recent regulatory changes, including a **20% capital gains tax** on overseas investments, are expected to drive household asset reallocation towards equities [1][7]. 5. **Investment Banking and Equity Raising**: - Onshore equity raising activities have increased significantly, with a **92% half-year growth** in 1H25, although still low compared to historical standards [39]. - The equity raising amount as a percentage of free float market cap remains low at **0.3%** in 1H25, indicating room for growth [39]. 6. **Margin Financing**: - The margin finance balance has reached a **10-year high** of **RMB 2.2 trillion**, but remains low as a percentage of A-share free float market cap at **2.5%** [33][39]. Additional Important Points - **Household Deposits**: The household deposit to market cap ratio is at a multi-year high of **1.9x** as of July 2025, indicating potential for further asset reallocation [1][7]. - **Prop Trading**: Prop trading revenue for covered brokers increased by **20.3% quarter-on-quarter** and **45.5% year-on-year** in Q2 2025, contributing significantly to overall revenue [14]. - **Future Expectations**: Analysts expect brokers to benefit from a surge in ADT to **RMB 1.93 trillion** in Q3 2025, which would represent a **56.5% quarter-on-quarter increase** [8]. This summary encapsulates the key points from the conference call regarding the China brokerage industry, highlighting the optimistic outlook, performance metrics, and regulatory context that could influence future growth.

Key Event - GF Securities 在香港推出离岸人民币计价的代币化证券 [1]

之前摩根士丹利发布报告称，2025年台积电2nm月产能将从今年的1万片试产规模，增加至5万片左右的 量产规模。由于产能爬坡以及良率提升都需要时间，2025年苹果iPhone 17系列的A19系列处理器可能不 会采用2nm制程，只是会升级到3nm家族的N3P制程。 根据台积电披露的资料，2nm制程在相同电压下可以将功耗降低24%-35%，或将性能提高15%，晶体管 密度比上一代3nm工艺高1.15倍，这些指标的提升主要得益于台积电的新型全环绕栅极（GAA）纳米片 晶体管，以及N2 NanoFlex设计技术协同优化和其他一些增强功能来实现。 价格方面，消息称台积电2nm晶圆的价格超过了3万美元，目前3nm晶圆的价格大概在1.85万至2万美 元，两者价格差距明显。半导体业内人士预计，由于先进制程报价居高不下，厂商势必会将成本压力转 嫁给下游客户或终端消费者。 ***************END*************** 国芯网[原:中国半导体论坛] 振兴国产半导体产业！ 不拘中国、 放眼世界 ！ 关注 世界半导体论坛 ↓ ↓ ↓ 3月21日消息，投资公司GF Securities在报告中称，iPhone 18 ...