Shares of Redwire Corporation (NYSE: RDW) are jumping 20% this week, according to data from S&P Global Market Intelligence. The space infrastructure and defense innovator posted healthy backlog growth in the fourth quarter, leading investors to bid up the stock. Still, the stock is down from its $10-per-share listing price when it went public through a special purpose acquisition corporation (SPAC) in 2021. Here's why Redwire stock was up this week, and whether it is a buy right now. Will AI create the w ...

Core Insights - Redwire Corporation's stock surged 10.8% after reporting mixed Q4 2025 earnings, with a significant sales beat despite a larger-than-expected loss [1][2] Financial Performance - Analysts had anticipated a loss of $0.18 per share on sales of $98.8 million, but Redwire reported a loss of $0.58 per share and sales of $108.8 million [2] - Sales increased by 56% in Q4 2025, contributing to a full-year sales growth of 10% to $335.4 million [6] - The company's book-to-bill ratio exceeded 1.3x for the year and surpassed 1.5x in Q4, indicating potential future sales growth [6] Contracts and Growth - Redwire secured a $44 million contract from DARPA for the "Otter mission," showcasing its capabilities in air-breathing satellites [5] - The drones division expanded shipments of Stalker/Penguin UAVs to seven countries, further driving sales growth [5] Future Outlook - Redwire projects sales for 2026 to be between $450 million and $500 million, representing a midpoint growth of 42% [6] - Despite anticipated continued losses and cash burn, the acceleration in sales suggests a positive trajectory for the company [7]

February 19, 2026 04:54 PM GMT Space | North America Varda Space: Space Manufacturing, Pharma Made in Orbit One day, your doctor's prescription may have been produced in the microgravity of space. The benefits of manufacturing complex compounds in space have been documented for decades, but never commercialized. Please note that we are reposting due to earlier technical issues with file size. Is the Space Economy about to get a pharmaceutical sector? Morgan Stanley does and seeks to do business with compani ...

Group 1: Transaction Overview - Red Holdings, LLC AE reported the indirect sale of 1,435,492 shares of Redwire Corporation for approximately $14.49 million across multiple transactions on February 9 and 10, 2026 [1][2] - This sale represented 3.09% of Red Holdings' indirect holdings, leaving a total of 45,094,000 shares post-transaction [3] - The shares were sold indirectly through entities including AE Red Holdings, LLC, and Edge Autonomy Ultimate Holdings, LP [3] Group 2: Company Financials - Redwire Corporation reported a total revenue of $296.15 million and a net income of -$268.03 million for the trailing twelve months (TTM) [4] - The company has 750 employees and experienced a 1-year price change of -63.21% as of February 21, 2026 [4] Group 3: Company Profile - Redwire Corporation specializes in developing and manufacturing mission-critical space infrastructure within the aerospace and defense sector, offering products such as antennas, advanced sensors, solar arrays, and software for digital engineering [5] Group 4: Market Context - The recent sales by AE Red Holdings followed a significant increase in Redwire's share prices, which climbed approximately 50% in January 2026, but the stock has since lost most of that gain [7] - The company is expected to report its fourth-quarter earnings for FY 2025 soon, with projections indicating it may close FY 2026 with its worst annual net loss, having already lost $208.25 million [8]

[rexfin@gregoryagency.com] Matthew Tuttle for Tuttle Capital — [mtuttle@TuttleCap.com]Industry:- [Software]- [Asset Management]- [Technology]- [Professional Services]- [Finance]### REX SharesCboe Canada:FGRU---Release Versions[English]---### ContactsFor media inquiries, please contact: Gregory for REX — [rexfin@gregoryagency.com] Matthew Tuttle for Tuttle Capital — [mtuttle@TuttleCap.com]More News From REX SharesGet RSS Feed## REX Shares Launches T-REX 2X Redwire ETF (RDWU)MIAMI-- ([BUSINESS WIRE])--REX Sha ...

Core Viewpoint - SpaceX's proposed IPO in 2026 is expected to be the largest in history, potentially raising $50 billion, but it may negatively impact other space stocks by overshadowing them and altering their perceived value [2][4][14]. Group 1: IPO Details - Elon Musk plans for SpaceX to go public in 2026, with a projected market capitalization of $1.5 trillion, which would still be less than major tech companies like Alphabet and Apple [1][2]. - The IPO is anticipated to raise up to $50 billion, surpassing Saudi Aramco's 2019 IPO, which raised $29.4 billion [2][4]. Group 2: Impact on Space Stocks - The IPO is likely to draw significant attention to space stocks, with companies like Rocket Lab, AST SpaceMobile, and Planet Labs seeing stock gains between 150% to 250% over the past year, compared to the S&P 500's 14% gain [5][8]. - A $1.5 trillion valuation for SpaceX would imply a valuation of over 60 times sales, making other space stocks appear undervalued, such as Firefly Aerospace and Planet Labs, which are valued at less than 30 times sales [9][10]. Group 3: Competitive Landscape - SpaceX's IPO could create a significant financial gap between it and smaller space companies, as the $50 billion raised will be used to fund ambitious projects, including AI data centers in orbit and the development of the Starship reusable rocket [12][13]. - The dominance of SpaceX post-IPO may lead to a sell-off in other space stocks, as investors may prefer to invest in SpaceX rather than smaller companies, potentially leading to a decrease in their stock prices [14][15].

Industry Overview - Space stocks experienced a decline on heavy trading as investors reacted to multiple industry challenges, including hardware concerns and sensitivity to Elon Musk's comments regarding SpaceX and AI integration with orbital data [1] - A significant satellite player announced a large convertible note offering, which negatively impacted the entire sector [2] Company-Specific Developments AST SpaceMobile (ASTS) - AST SpaceMobile was downgraded from Buy to Neutral by B. Riley Securities, although the price target was raised to a Street-high $105, indicating a potential upside of approximately 20% from current levels [3] - Despite a recent slip, ASTS stock has gained about 15% in 2026 [3] Rocket Lab (RKLB) - Rocket Lab's stock fell by 8% on Thursday, contributing to a total loss of over 27% in the past month due to concerns over a stage-1 tank rupture during a qualification test for its Neutron rocket [4] - The company has a backlog exceeding $1 billion, but fears of delays for its first medium-lift launch have led investors to take profits after a significant rally over the past year [4] Redwire (RDW) - Redwire's shares dropped on Thursday, influenced by the overall downward trend in the space sector and heavy insider selling [5] - Zacks Investment Research downgraded Redwire from Hold to Strong Sell, further pressuring the stock, which has lost 24% over the past month [5] Firefly Aerospace (FLY) - Firefly Aerospace's shares also declined as investors reacted to industry hardware setbacks and AST's convertible note offering [6] - The stock has seen a sharp correction, falling nearly 40% over the past month after a strong start to the year [6] Planet Labs (PL) - Planet Labs signed a nine-figure deal with the Swedish Armed Forces, demonstrating the effectiveness of its satellite-as-a-service model [8] - The company is integrating its high-frequency satellite data into AXA's AI-driven disaster management tool to enhance real-time predictions and responses to natural disasters [7] Intuitive Machines (LUNR) - Intuitive Machines' stock pulled back after a period of strength, following the $800 million acquisition of Lanteris Space Systems and securing contracts with the Air Force Research Laboratory [9] - Traders may be locking in gains ahead of the high-risk IM-2 lunar mission scheduled for later this year, as the stock has nearly doubled in the past year [9]

Core Insights - The article discusses the integration of AI into a conservative investment strategy, focusing on building a sustainable portfolio system rather than chasing high returns [2][4][38] Investment Strategy Structure - The investment approach utilizes a "barbell" strategy at multiple levels, encompassing a wide range of assets including business interests, private placements, real estate, and investable cash [5] - The investable cash is allocated with 80% in treasuries and high-quality bonds, 15% in dividend aristocrats and quality compounders, and 5% in speculative portfolios [6] Speculative Portfolios - Five speculative themes are identified: space technology, AI in biopharmaceutical discovery, quantum computing, energy/grid resilience, and biomedical companies poised for acquisition [7][17][18][19][20][21] - Each speculative portfolio follows a "mini-ETF" structure, consisting of 10-15 holdings categorized by company size and revenue generation [13] AI Contributions - AI has been instrumental in creating a structured documentation hierarchy for the investment strategy, ensuring clarity and accessibility for future management [9][10][11] - AI assists in developing company filters and screening criteria, ensuring that selected companies meet specific requirements for investment [14][15][16] Performance Modeling - AI helps model the contribution of speculative portfolios to overall returns, aiming for a modest inflation-plus return rather than market-beating performance [24][25][26] - The speculative allocation is designed to provide a potential uplift to the overall portfolio, with a focus on maintaining discipline in position sizing [27][28] Monitoring and Refinement - AI aids in refining portfolio structure by identifying inconsistencies and gaps, as well as tracking relevant metrics for each portfolio [29][30] - Weekly news digests generated by AI keep the investor informed about developments in the speculative holdings, streamlining the research process [31] Intellectual Engagement - The investment strategy allows for continued engagement in fields of interest, providing a structured approach to speculative investing that is intellectually stimulating [34][35][36] - The use of AI enhances the sustainability of this engagement, making it easier to stay informed and organized [37]

Group 1 - Crane Company (NYSE:CR) is recognized as one of the top 15 Industrial Machinery and Supplies stocks to buy according to hedge funds [1] - Scott Deuschle from Deutsche Bank maintained a Buy rating on Crane Company and raised the price target from $235 to $238, indicating a potential upside of nearly 29% [1] - Matt Summerville from DA Davidson also reaffirmed a Buy rating with a target price of $235, suggesting an upside potential of almost 27% for investors [2] Group 2 - Summerville highlighted the company's recent inorganic growth strategy and strong prospects, noting four significant deals that prompted adjustments to his 2026 and 2027 forecasts [3] - An impressive demand backlog in the Aerospace & Electronics segment provides strong visibility for Crane Company's future performance [3] - Crane Company operates in two segments: Aerospace & Electronics and Process Flow Technologies, focusing on mission-critical components and systems for various aerospace sectors [4]

Core Thesis - Redwire Corporation is viewed positively as a potential investment opportunity, trading at $12.81 as of January 29th, with a market cap of approximately $1 billion, indicating it is undervalued relative to its strategic assets [1][3]. Company Overview - Redwire Corporation provides essential space solutions and infrastructure for both government and commercial clients across the U.S., Europe, and globally, positioning itself as a diversified player in the growing orbital economy [3]. - The company has evolved from a conglomerate of acquisitions into a unified prime contractor, delivering mission-critical technologies for low-Earth orbit, national security, and the Artemis lunar program [4]. Investment Case - The investment thesis is divided into two scenarios: a base-case normalization scenario and a high-conviction bull case. The base case anticipates stabilization in government contracting cycles and a potential EBITDA inflection by 2026, supporting a valuation range of $22–24 as governance penalties diminish [5]. - The bull case suggests that Redwire will be pivotal in enabling space-based computing, driven by terrestrial power constraints, with proprietary technologies like ROSA solar arrays and ZBLAN optical fiber serving as key components for orbital data center developments, potentially leading to a 10x rerating catalyst [6]. Market Dynamics - The company benefits from a durable backlog visibility due to defense-driven drone procurement, DARPA's VLEO programs, and NASA's Artemis spending, while Edge Autonomy contributes to near-term cash flow [7]. - Despite challenges such as potential dilution, cash burn, and governance issues, the combination of strategic positioning, technological advantages, and multiple catalysts offers significant upside for investors willing to manage volatility [7].