Core Thesis - Vistra Corp. is positioned as a differentiated player in the utility sector, leveraging long-term power purchase agreements (PPAs) with hyperscalers to secure pricing power and meet the growing demand for clean energy [3][4][6] Financial Performance - As of February 16th, Vistra's share price was $171.49, with trailing and forward P/E ratios of 61.69 and 17.92 respectively [1] - The company has approximately $15.8 billion in total debt, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.8x, indicating a non-investment-grade profile [5] Strategic Positioning - Vistra has signed a 20-year PPA with Meta Platforms for 2,609 MW of carbon-free power, along with an additional 1,200 MW agreement related to its Comanche Peak facility, enhancing its competitive edge [4] - The company's strategy of bypassing traditional regulatory channels allows it to build a contract-driven moat, differentiating it from larger utility companies [3] Capital Management - Management has repurchased 29% of shares outstanding since 2021, demonstrating strong conviction in the company's future, with $1.9 billion remaining in buyback authorization [6] - Unlike peers that often issue equity for expansion, Vistra is focused on returning capital to shareholders while preparing for long-term energy demand growth [6] Market Outlook - Vistra represents a higher-risk, higher-reward investment opportunity, with structural momentum linked to the energy and AI-driven power boom [6] - The stock price has appreciated approximately 35.16% since previous bullish coverage, indicating positive market sentiment [7]

Record 2025 performance was driven by the integrated model's ability to manage high volatility during Winter Storm Fern, where thermal generation provided 93% of ERCOT grid power. Strategic acquisitions of Lotus and Cogentrix assets added approximately 8,100 megawatts of modern natural gas capacity to meet growing dispatchable generation demand. Management attributes outperformance to consistent execution across generation, commercial, and retail teams, with retail benefiting from customer growth and ...

Quick Read Vistra (VST) delivered record 2025 Adjusted EBITDA of $5.91B, beating guidance by $112M despite $808M in non-cash hedging losses. Vistra’s 2026 Adjusted EBITDA guidance of $6.8B to $7.6B represents roughly 22% growth over 2025 results. Vistra secured multi-decade power purchase agreements with AWS and Meta anchoring its nuclear portfolio. The analyst who called NVIDIA in 2010 just named his top 10 AI stocks. Get them here FREE. Vistra (NYSE: VST) delivered a record-setting full-year 20 ...

Nvidia's stellar quarterly results garnered a lukewarm ​response from investors and downbeat earnings ​from software company Salesforce weighed on sentiment. Nvidia inched 0.6 per cent higher in premarket trading ​after the chipmaker posted better-than-expected results for the January quarter and forecast current-quarter revenue above market estimates.Most megacap and growth stocks including Apple and ​Microsoft were trading in the flat-to-lower band. Salesforce shed 3.1 per cent after the cloud software p ...

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Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley has lowered its price target for Vistra Corp. (VST) to $215 from $227 while maintaining an Overweight rating, indicating a positive long-term outlook despite recent underperformance compared to the S&P 500 [1] Group 1: Analyst Ratings and Price Targets - Morgan Stanley analyst David Arcaro updated the price target for Vistra to $215, reflecting a broader adjustment across utilities in North America [1] - Jefferies upgraded Vistra to a Buy rating and raised its 12-month price target to $203 from $191, suggesting a potential upside of about 30% [2] - Following Jefferies' upgrade, Vistra shares experienced a rise of up to 5.5% in early trading the next day [2] Group 2: Stock Performance and Market Sentiment - Vistra's stock has faced significant pressure, declining approximately 25% since the announcement of a 1,200 megawatt power supply agreement from its Comanche Peak nuclear plant [3] - Despite the decline, Jefferies views the current stock price as an attractive entry point due to increasing demand for reliable nuclear power alongside data center expansion [3] - Analyst Julien Dumoulin-Smith believes that current valuations do not fully capture the potential benefits from future data center contracts, indicating room for upside surprises [4] Group 3: Company Overview - Vistra Corp. is a Texas-based integrated retail electricity and power generation company, founded in 1882, providing electricity and natural gas solutions to residential, commercial, and industrial customers [4]

Electricity demand is going to soar. That's according to the International Energy Agency, which projects global electricity demand will grow by over 3.5% annually through this decade. GE Vernova (NYSE: GEV) is in an excellent position to benefit from the growing demand for electricity. The company has a massive fleet of energy equipment, including gas, steam, and wind turbines, as well as power grid infrastructure. Will AI create the world's first trillionaire? Our team just released a report on the one l ...

NRG Energy (NRG) came out with quarterly earnings of $1.03 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.01 per share. This compares to earnings of $1.52 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items.This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of +1.98%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this power company would post earnings of $2.26 per share when it actually produced earnings of $2.75, delivering a surprise of +21.68%.Over the last four quarters, the company ...

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EST Guidance Item New Guidance Prior Consensus Direction Q4 Revenue…]## Vistra Misses Revenue by 19% but Doubles Down with $1 Billion Buyback[Joel South | Nov 6, 2025 at 9:42 AM EST Vistra Corp (NYSE: VST) reported Q3 2025 earnings before market open on November 6, missing revenue expectations sharply while signaling…]## Beyond Tesla and Nvidia: 2 Overlooked Robotics Stocks Just Blew Out Earnings[Eric Bleeker | Feb 20, 2026 at 8:44 AM EST Everyone knows NVIDIA (NASDAQ:NVDA | NVDA Price Prediction) and Tesla ...