Group 1 - Christopher Waller is emerging as a leading candidate to replace Jerome Powell as the Federal Reserve Chair in Trump's advisory team, noted for his willingness to base policies on forecasts rather than current data [1][2] - Waller has already met with Trump's team regarding the position, although he has not yet spoken directly with Trump himself [2] - Other candidates for the position include Kevin Warsh and Kevin Hassett, with Hassett having previously met with Trump and made a strong impression [2] Group 2 - Powell's term as Fed Chair ends on May 15, 2026, and he has stated multiple times that he will not leave early; Trump indicated that an announcement regarding the new Fed Chair could come soon [2] - The Federal Reserve maintained the federal funds rate target range at 4.25% to 4.50% during its fifth consecutive meeting, with Waller and Michelle Bowman voting against the decision [2] - Following the rate decision, a non-farm payroll report showed a significant slowdown in U.S. job growth, aligning with Waller and Bowman's concerns [4] Group 3 - Waller, appointed to the Fed Board by Trump in 2020, has engaged in public debates on anti-inflation strategies with notable economists, asserting that the Fed could control post-pandemic inflation without significantly raising unemployment [4] - His predictions were validated as inflation rates fell below 3%, while unemployment remained below 4.2% [4] - Waller emphasized the importance of the Fed's independence for the U.S. economy and acknowledged that criticism is part of the role of the Fed Chair [5]

Core Points - The article discusses a political drama involving former President Trump and Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, focusing on Trump's unexpected visit to the Federal Reserve headquarters and his criticism of the building's renovation costs [1][3]. - Trump's primary objective appears to be gaining control over monetary policy, as he has publicly demanded a significant interest rate cut from the Federal Reserve [4][6]. - The controversy surrounding the renovation costs has been used by Trump's team to question Powell's competence and potentially justify a push for his removal [5][6]. Summary by Sections Political Drama - Trump's visit to the Federal Reserve was marked by absurdity, as he criticized the renovation costs of the building, claiming it was more expensive than the Palace of Versailles, citing a figure of $3.1 billion [3]. - Powell refuted Trump's claims, indicating that the costs included expenses from previous renovations and necessary updates to address hazardous materials [4]. Monetary Policy Control - Trump has been vocal about his desire for a 3% interest rate cut, arguing it could save the U.S. trillions of dollars, but the Federal Reserve has resisted these demands due to inflation concerns related to Trump's tariff policies [4][6]. - The ongoing tension has led to speculation about Powell's potential removal, with Trump’s administration exploring legal avenues to challenge Powell's position [5][6]. Market Reactions - The political drama has caused market instability, with rumors of Powell's dismissal leading to significant fluctuations in U.S. stocks, bonds, and the dollar, while gold prices surged [6]. - As the Federal Reserve's meeting approaches, market attention is focused on whether Powell will implement even a symbolic interest rate cut of 0.25% [8].

Core Viewpoint - The White House Press Secretary Levitt stated that President Trump has no plans to dismiss the Federal Reserve Chairman [1] Group 1 - The statement indicates a stable relationship between the Trump administration and the Federal Reserve, which may influence market confidence [1]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the internal dynamics within the U.S. government regarding the potential dismissal of Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, highlighting the advice from Treasury Secretary Mnuchin against such a move due to possible economic, political, and legal repercussions [1][2][3]. Group 1: Economic Implications - Mnuchin has indicated that Powell's potential dismissal could lead to negative market reactions and a lack of immediate influence over monetary policy [3]. - Trump has publicly called for a 3% interest rate cut, suggesting it could save the U.S. $1 trillion annually, citing low inflation rates [2]. Group 2: Political Dynamics - There is a division within the Trump administration regarding Powell, with some officials criticizing the Federal Reserve's renovation project, which has exceeded its budget by $700 million, reaching a total of $2.5 billion [4]. - Mnuchin's advice reflects a broader concern that firing Powell could lead to a leadership vacuum and complicate the confirmation of a successor, especially given the potential for Senate gridlock [2][3]. Group 3: Future Leadership - The selection process for the next Federal Reserve Chairman has reportedly begun, with candidates including current economic advisor Kevin Hassett and former Fed governors [5]. - Powell's current term is set to expire in May next year, and his first term was appointed by Trump while his second term was appointed by Biden [5].

Core Viewpoint - The potential dismissal of Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell by President Trump has caused significant market fluctuations, with initial declines in U.S. stock indices and a spike in gold prices, followed by a recovery in market sentiment after Trump's comments suggesting he may not proceed with the dismissal [1][2][6]. Group 1: Market Reactions - Following the news of Trump's potential action against Powell, U.S. stock indices experienced a sharp decline, while gold prices surged to $3,377 per ounce, marking a 1.64% increase [1]. - After Trump's subsequent remarks indicating he might not dismiss Powell, the U.S. stock indices nearly recovered their earlier losses, reflecting a restoration of market sentiment [6]. Group 2: Trump's Statements and Plans - Trump reiterated his dissatisfaction with Powell, labeling his performance as poor, but stated there are currently no plans to take action against him, despite having discussed the matter with congressional members [2][4]. - Trump mentioned that he is unlikely to dismiss Powell unless evidence of fraud emerges, and he has considered other candidates, including his economic advisor Kevin Hassett and Treasury Secretary Mnuchin, for the Fed chair position [4]. Group 3: Powell's Position - Powell, appointed during Trump's presidency, has faced ongoing pressure from Trump to lower interest rates and has been publicly criticized by him [4]. - Powell has asserted that he will remain in his position until his term ends in May 2026, emphasizing that Trump does not have the authority to dismiss him [4].

当地时间7月16日，美国总统特朗普在谈及美联储主席鲍威尔时表示， 目前没有计划采取任 何行动，也没有起草解雇信件 。 特朗普说，"鲍威尔很糟糕，没有做好本职工作"。不过，对于多家美国媒体稍早前关于"特朗 普可能将很快解雇鲍威尔"的报道，特朗普称，目前没有计划采取任何行动，也没有像一些美 媒报道的那样起草了解雇信件。但他确实曾与议员谈论相关话题，并表示 将在8个月内进行人 事调整 。 特朗普称，他"大概率不会解雇鲍威尔，除非证明存在欺诈行为"。他还称， 白宫经济顾问凯 文·哈塞特是其考虑担任美联储职位的人选 。而此前一天，特朗普也称财政部长贝森特是美联 储主席人选。 当天早些时候，一位白宫官员称，美国总统特朗普可能很快解雇美联储主席鲍威尔。另据《纽 约时报》报道，特朗普已起草解雇美联储主席鲍威尔的信件。 （本文来自：央视新闻） 鲍威尔是在特朗普上一个总统任期被任命的，任期应于2026年5月结束。特朗普今年再度入主 白宫以来，频繁施压美联储降息，多次批评鲍威尔，并威胁解除他的美联储主席职务。鲍威尔 则表示，特朗普作为总统没有解除其职务的合法权限，他将工作至任期结束。不过近来，特朗 普政府以美联储总部大楼高昂的翻修 ...

Core Viewpoint - Former President Trump has drafted a letter to dismiss Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell and is seeking opinions from Republican House members on whether to proceed with this action [1] Group 1 - Trump presented the draft dismissal letter during a meeting with approximately a dozen Republican House members [1] - He expressed a likelihood of moving forward with the dismissal of Powell [1] - Some members of Trump's administration have warned that such a move could have disastrous consequences, potentially more extensive than the President anticipates [1]

Core Viewpoint - The White House has confirmed that President Trump may soon dismiss Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, although there is no specific timeline for this decision [1] Group 1 - The potential dismissal of Jerome Powell could have significant implications for U.S. monetary policy and financial markets [1] - The announcement reflects ongoing tensions between the Trump administration and the Federal Reserve regarding interest rate policies [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights President Trump's intention to potentially dismiss Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell due to cost overruns on a $2.5 billion renovation project at the Fed headquarters [1][2]. - The White House Office of Management and Budget (OMB) has formally requested Powell to provide detailed explanations regarding the cost overruns and project changes, indicating a pressure tactic from the Trump administration [2][3]. - Powell is required to respond to the OMB's inquiry by the upcoming weekend, which will be a critical indicator of whether the Trump administration will take actual action against him [3]. Group 2 - Trump's comments suggest that he views Powell as a significant obstacle to aggressive interest rate cuts, which he desires [1][2]. - The situation has raised concerns in the market about whether the renovation issue is a genuine reason for potential dismissal or merely a tool for exerting pressure on the Federal Reserve [3].

当地时间13日，美国总统特朗普再次表示希望美联储主席鲍威尔辞职。据悉，特朗普在马里兰州安德鲁 斯联合基地的停机坪上表示，如果美联储主席鲍威尔辞职，那将是一件好事。特朗普说，"我希望他辞 职，他应该辞职，因为他对国家非常不利"。当天，美国白宫经济顾问哈塞特在接受美国广播公司《本 周》节目采访时称，若有正当理由，特朗普有权解雇美国联邦储备委员会主席鲍威尔。他还指责美联储 对其华盛顿总部翻修工程超支"负有重大责任"。哈塞特称，特朗普是否会因"超支7亿美元"解雇鲍威 尔，"将很大程度上取决于美联储对白宫管理和预算办公室主任拉塞尔.沃特质询的回应"。(央视新闻) ...