Euro zone consumers raised their near-term inflation expectations a touch but kept them unchanged further out, a European Central Bank survey showed, supporting bets that price growth remains around target and no more rate cuts are needed. ...

Group 1: Economic Indicators and Monetary Policy - Australia's inflation rate surged to 3.8% as of October, exceeding the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) forecast of 3.2% for the fourth quarter, driven by rising electricity and food costs [2][26][29] - Major economists and the bond market are now betting on a potential interest rate hike in 2026, rather than a decrease, due to persistent inflation pressures [2][3] - The RBA's next meeting is scheduled for February, where it may consider raising the cash rate if inflation continues to accelerate [2][3] Group 2: Corporate Developments - Two Australian tech entrepreneurs sold their software monitoring company, Chronosphere, for approximately AUD 3.3 billion (USD 2.1 billion) to US cybersecurity giant Palo Alto Networks [5] - The founders of Chronosphere previously worked at Uber and Microsoft before establishing their company, which has secured contracts with major corporations like Walmart and DoorDash [5] - CSL, a major pharmaceutical company, has faced significant stock declines following two profit warnings, leading to a shift in investment strategies among large funds [6][7] Group 3: Mining and Resource Sector - Theta Gold Mines is advancing its TGME gold mine project in South Africa, with significant milestones achieved in construction, aiming for production by the end of 2026 [10][11] - The project is expected to create over 500 jobs locally and enhance regional economic development through an AI-driven training system [10][11] - Theta Gold has raised approximately AUD 51.4 million (USD 33.9 million) to support the construction of the TGME project, which has a resource estimate of about 6 million ounces of gold [11][13] Group 4: Stock Market Trends - Goldman Sachs has identified 13 undervalued growth stocks in the Australian market, following a significant downturn in the "unprofitable growth" sector, which has seen a 24% drop since mid-October [14][15][19] - The performance of these high-growth stocks is closely tied to the outlook for artificial intelligence, with potential for recovery as market conditions stabilize [16][18] - Stocks such as Zip, Xero, and WiseTech have been highlighted as potential buying opportunities after experiencing substantial declines [19]

Wall Street has plenty to be thankful for right now, with investors hoping that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates next month. ...

与澳元形成对比的是，美元近期持续走弱，美元指数交投于99.50附近 核心原因：在于美联储12月降息预期大幅升温，CMEFedWatch工具显示，当前市场预计美联储降息25个基点的概率已超过84%，较一周前的30%显著提升。 美联储多位官员近期释放宽松信号，支持了降息预期。美联储理事斯蒂芬·米兰表示，非农就业数据支持12月降息；纽约联储主席约翰·威廉姆斯也提及近期 可能降息。 澳元对美元已连续第五个交易日走强，当前AUD/USD货币对在0.6530附近交投。 这一涨势的形成，源于澳大利亚经济数据向好带来的支撑，以及市场对美联储12月降息预期升温引发的美元承压。 澳大利亚近期发布的多项经济数据表现亮眼 澳大利亚统计局数据显示，第三季度私人资本支出环比增长6.4%，较第二季度0.2%的增幅大幅加速，且远超0.5%的市场预期。通胀数据同样超出预期，10 月消费者价格指数同比上涨3.8%，高于前值3.5%和市场共识的3.6%。 经济数据的强劲推升了市场对澳洲联储政策走向的关注。目前市场普遍预计，澳洲联储12月将把官方现金利率维持在3.6%，因通胀率仍高于2%至3%的目标 区间。ASX30天银行间现金利率期货显示，12月 ...

Conflicting signals from the Federal Reserve on the timing and magnitude of U.S. interest rate cuts have accelerated hedging flows into swaptions and derivatives tied to overnight rates, with investors seeking protection against heightened policy uncertainty. ...

you think Kevin Hasset ultimately would be a good good choice whe when it comes to economic monetary policy market stability all all the important things for the Fed chair >> I think all five candidates on the short list um are qualified experienced and I think reduce the concern that we once had that you will get a purely political appointment >> cuz that that was the concern with Hasset and I have to say just based on my own reporting of talking to you know bank executives and and hedge funds executives t ...

Core Viewpoint - The competition for the next Federal Reserve Chair has intensified, with five strong candidates identified, including close associates of Trump and a prominent critic of the Fed [1][2]. Candidate Analysis - **Kevin Hassett**: As the Director of the National Economic Council, he has a close relationship with Trump and emphasizes the importance of Fed independence and sound monetary policy. He criticizes the Fed for misjudging inflation during the pandemic and supports a significant rate cut in December [2][3]. - **Chris Waller**: Currently a Fed board member, he has called for rate cuts and is concerned about a weak job market. He believes inflation is nearing the Fed's 2% target when excluding tariff impacts [4][5]. - **Michelle Bowman**: Another current Fed member, she is worried about the job market's fragility and supports rate cuts. She has proposed regulatory changes to focus on significant financial risks [5][6]. - **Kevin Warsh**: A former Fed governor, he has been critical of the Fed's recent decisions and believes it should abandon its inflation predictions. He argues that inflation is driven by excessive government spending [7][8][9]. - **Rick Rieder**: As BlackRock's fixed income chief, he manages $2.4 trillion in assets and supports a rate cut in December, citing concerns about the labor market [10]. Potential Candidates - **Steven Mnuchin**: Although he has expressed disinterest in the Fed Chair position, he remains a top candidate due to his close ties with Trump [11]. - **Trump's Preference**: The president is likely to choose a candidate who aligns with his low-rate philosophy, which could lead to a more dovish Fed [11][12].

所 铝、氧化铝、铸造铝合金基本面数据更新 | | | T | T-1 | T-5 | T-22 | T-66 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 沪铝主力合约收盘价 | 21465 | 85 | 0 | રેરેર | 940 | | | 沪铝主力合约夜盘收盘价 | 21410 | l | ー | l | l | | | LME铝3M收盘价 | 2813 | 0 | 24 | 33 | 243 | | | 沪铝主力合约成交量 | 157390 | -30553 | -102072 | 28154 | 50902 | | | 沪铝主力合约持仓量 | 271763 | -16320 | -84784 | 41555 | 44727 | | 电解铝 | LME铝3M成交量 | 14844 | 0 | -15275 | -10661 | -1328 | | | LME注销仓单占比 | 10. 97% | -0. 36% | 6. 25% | -6. 45% | 8. 49% | | | LME 铝cash-3M 价 差 | -31. 16 | 1.72 ...

Group 1 - The United States Producer Price Index (PPI) rose 0.3% in September, aligning with economist expectations, providing relief to crypto markets and contributing to a modest upward movement across major assets [1][7] - The PPI serves as an indicator of inflation at the factory level, with rising producer costs potentially leading to increased consumer prices (CPI) [2] - The latest PPI data is characterized as a "no surprises" inflation report, indicating stability in inflation expectations [3] Group 2 - A predictable PPI reading suggests that the Federal Reserve has no new impetus to alter interest rate policies, which is favorable for market stability [4] - Deutsche Bank anticipates a 25-basis-point cut in December, followed by a prolonged pause until Q3 2026, citing easing inflation but a cautious Fed [5] - Goldman Sachs supports the December cut outlook, linking it to a cooling labor market and softening employment data [6] Group 3 - The increase in PPI was driven by energy and food costs, while the core PPI (excluding food and energy) was softer than forecasts [7] - Market predictions show a strong expectation (around 85%) for a 25-basis-point cut in December, with only a small percentage anticipating rates to remain steady [8] - Following the PPI data, Bitcoin and XRP experienced slight increases, although trading remained within a narrow band due to muted macro-sensitive flows [9]

World shares and U.S. futures were mixed on Monday after Wall Street was buoyed by revived hopes for an interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve.The future for the S&P 500 was up 0.2% while that for the Dow Jones Industrial Average was nearly unchanged.Germany's DAX gained 0.5% to 23,201.85, while the CAC 40 edged less than 0.1% lower to 7,978.77. Britain's FTSE 100 inched up 0.1% to 9,547.77.Markets in Japan were closed for a holiday.Hong Kong's benchmark, the Hang Seng, rose 2% to 25,716.50. ...