Certainty

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X @The Motley Fool
The Motley Fool· 2025-07-18 19:03
The price of wealth isn’t money.It’s boredom, patience, and uncertainty. ...
SCHD: Built To Withstand Trumponomics
Seeking Alpha· 2025-07-18 13:15
Group 1 - The current economic environment is characterized by significant uncertainty affecting both equities and fixed income markets [1] Group 2 - Roberts Berzins has over a decade of experience in financial management, focusing on corporate financial strategies and large-scale financings [2] - He has contributed to the institutionalization of the REIT framework in Latvia to enhance liquidity in pan-Baltic capital markets [2] - His work includes developing national SOE financing guidelines and frameworks for channeling private capital into affordable housing [2]
Netflix Stock To $500?
Forbes· 2025-07-18 12:10
Core Viewpoint - Netflix stock has nearly doubled over the last 12 months, currently trading around $1,270, driven by initiatives like password sharing crackdown and the expansion of advertising-supported streaming [1][6] - Despite strong Q2 results with a 16% revenue growth, there are concerns about potential downside risks due to macroeconomic uncertainties and slowing subscriber growth [1][5] Group 1: Financial Performance - In 2024, Netflix added over 40 million subscribers, reaching nearly 302 million paid users, significantly contributing to the stock's rally [6] - The company's Q2 earnings showed improved margins, but there are warnings that operating margins could trend lower in the second half of 2025 due to rising content amortization and marketing costs [8][7] - Netflix's current stock price reflects a valuation of around 50 times consensus 2025 earnings, which is considered expensive compared to a valuation of about 20 times earnings in mid-2022 [11] Group 2: Subscriber Growth and Market Dynamics - Key initiatives like the password-sharing crackdown and ad-supported plans have been rolled out, but these may have pulled forward demand, leading to potential slower subscriber additions in the future [5][6] - The decision to stop reporting subscriber numbers starting in 2025 may indicate internal expectations of slower growth [5] - Economic factors such as inflation and rising costs could negatively impact consumer spending, which is crucial for Netflix's subscription model [7] Group 3: Historical Context and Volatility - Historical data shows that Netflix stock has experienced significant declines in past downturns, including a 75.9% drop from November 2021 to May 2022 [10] - The stock has shown resilience during downturns, performing slightly better than the S&P 500 in some cases [9] - The potential for a 50% to 60% correction from current levels is highlighted as a possibility based on historical performance [1][2]
Basel Medical Group Putting On Hold On The Acquisition of BTC Digital Asset
Globenewswire· 2025-07-17 20:30
Group 1 - Basel Medical Group Ltd has announced a pause on the acquisition of BTC digital asset due to ongoing regulatory reviews by US authorities and the lack of clarity on forthcoming policies [1][2] - Both Basel Medical Group and the consortium of Bitcoin holders have mutually agreed to defer the deal until there is greater regulatory certainty [2] - Basel Medical Group is a Singapore-based provider of orthopedic and trauma services, with over 20 years of experience and strong relationships in various industries [3] Group 2 - The company operates clinics in Singapore and is well-positioned to capitalize on growth opportunities in the private healthcare sector driven by factors such as aging populations and increasing private insurance coverage [3] - Basel Medical Group's management team includes specialists in orthopedic and neurosurgery, as well as corporate finance and healthcare partnerships [3]
Dining demand is steady despite uncertainty, says OpenTable CEO #shorts #dining #nyc #economy
Bloomberg Television· 2025-07-17 19:13
Dining Trends - Despite economic uncertainty, people continue to prioritize dining out across all price points [1] - The industry observes year-over-year growth even in the $50 per person and up segment [2] - Restaurants are largely full and busy, indicating sustained consumer demand [2] Consumer Behavior - Consumers are willing to allocate discretionary income to restaurant experiences [1] - People want to go out to restaurants, have a good time, and enjoy good food [2]
United Airlines says less uncertainty opens door to 'strong finish' to 2025
Fox Business· 2025-07-17 15:25
United Airlines was bullish on Wednesday about a "strong finish" to the year as the carrier saw demand begin to rise earlier in the month amid decreased uncertainty. The Chicago-based airline said in its second-quarter earnings report that demand posted a "sequential 6-point" acceleration beginning in early July, with business demand notching a "double-digit acceleration" compared to the second quarter. That uptick, United said, came from "less geopolitical and macroeconomic uncertainty." "Importantly, Un ...
特朗普豪言要解雇鲍威尔,金价大涨大跌过山车行情
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-17 05:35
特朗普的反复表态令金价在短时间内经历了剧烈波动,市场对美联储独立性的担忧成为金价上涨的重要 推手。尽管特朗普淡化了解雇鲍威尔的可能性,但其对美联储的持续施压仍让投资者对政策不确定性保 持高度警惕。强调美联储的独立性对美国金融体系的信誉至关重要,任何试图将其置于总统直接控制之 下的举动都可能引发市场剧烈反应。这种不确定性为黄金的避险属性提供了支撑,短期内金价或将继续 受到美联储相关消息的牵引。 地缘政治风险点燃避险需求地缘政治的不确定性一直是黄金作为避险资产的重要支撑。近期,以色列对 叙利亚首都大马士革发动猛烈空袭,造成叙利亚国防部建筑受损,总统府附近也遭到袭击。这一事件加 剧了中东地区的紧张局势,市场对地缘政治风险的担忧迅速升温,黄金的避险买盘因此获得提振。历史 上,中东地区的冲突往往会推动金价上涨,因为投资者倾向于将资金转移到安全资产以规避不确定性。 尽管此次空袭的具体影响仍在评估中,但其对金价的短期支撑作用显而易见。 全球贸易摩擦加剧市场不安特朗普的贸易政策进一步为黄金市场注入了不确定性。他威胁对欧盟进口产 品征收30%的关税,并计划向150多个国家发出统一税率为10%或15%的关税函。这一政策不仅扰乱了 ...
Gold Prices Stall as Dollar Gains Strength Amid Sticky Inflation and Fed Uncertainty
KITCO· 2025-07-16 20:52
Neils ChristensenNeils Christensen has a diploma in journalism from Lethbridge College and has more than a decade of reporting experience working for news organizations throughout Canada. His experiences include covering territorial and federal politics in Nunavut, Canada. He has worked exclusively within the financial sector since 2007, when he started with the Canadian Economic Press. Neils can be contacted at: 1 866 925 4826 ext. 1526 nchristensen at kitco.com @Neils_cShareDisclaimer: The views expressed ...
Fed's Beige Book: Central bank on 'wait and see' mode
CNBC Television· 2025-07-16 18:41
Economic Activity & Outlook - Economic activity increased slightly from late May through early July [1] - Five districts reported slight or modest gains, while two noted a modest decline [2] - Overall outlook was neutral to slightly pessimistic, with uncertainty remaining elevated [2] Labor Market - Employment increased very slightly overall, with cautious hiring attributed to economic and policy uncertainty [3] - Many expect to postpone major hiring and layoff decisions until uncertainty diminishes [3] - Layoffs were limited overall, but somewhat more common among manufacturers [4] Inflation & Costs - Prices increased across districts moderately or modestly, similar to the previous report [4] - Businesses reported modest to pronounced input cost pressures related to tariffs in all 12 districts [4] - Cost pressures are expected to remain elevated, increasing the likelihood of faster consumer price increases by year-end [6] - Many firms passed on cost increases to consumers through price hikes or surcharges, while some held off due to price sensitivity [5] - Raw material costs, especially for manufacturing and construction, were impacted by tariffs [5]