Freight recession

Search documents
First look: Ryder’s earnings eke out a gain, revenue stagnant
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-23 14:35
Core Insights - Ryder System reported total revenue of $3.17 billion, showing a slight increase from $3.168 billion a year ago, while non-GAAP earnings per share rose to $3.57 from $3.44 [1] Revenue Performance - Dedicated Transportation Solutions (DTS) experienced a 10% decline in revenue to $570 million, reflecting challenges in the trucking market [2] - DTS revenue decreased sequentially from $606 million in the second quarter, which was down from $635 million in the same quarter of 2024 [3] - Fleet Management Solutions saw a minor revenue drop of $5 million year-on-year, but earnings before taxes increased by 11% to $146 million [5] - Supply Chain Solutions achieved the highest revenue growth among the divisions, with a 5% increase to $1.38 billion, although earnings before taxes fell by 8% to $86 million [6] Operational Insights - Ryder's CEO noted that benefits from strong operating performance and acquisition synergies in DTS were offset by fleet reductions due to weaker freight market conditions [4] - Used vehicle pricing for tractors and trucks decreased by 6% and 15%, respectively, compared to the second quarter of 2024, although tractor pricing remained unchanged sequentially and truck pricing increased by 7% [7] Cost Management - Fuel expenses decreased significantly from $116 million a year ago to $94 million in the second quarter of 2025, providing a positive impact on Ryder's financials [8] - The company adjusted its fiscal non-GAAP EPS forecast to a range of $12.85-$13.05, slightly down from the previous range of $12.85-$13.30, while most other forecast numbers remained unchanged [8]
Truckstop.com rolls out SONAR-integrated dry van load board
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-20 20:46
Truckstop.com has launched the freight industry’s first load board exclusively for dry vans, aiming to provide an affordable edge for owner-operators and small fleets. The new platform starts at $35 per month for unlimited searches, giving carriers access to verified loads and real-time market data. According to Scott Moscrip, CEO of Truckstop.com, the new board was created to address the challenges of the current freight recession, where van rates have trailed other equipment types. “This Founder’s orig ...
How Triumph’s data reveals owner operator resilience
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-15 23:01
Core Insights - Triumph Capital's CEO Aaron Graft highlighted unexpected strength in factoring data for owner operators amidst a freight recession [1][2] - Government actions may tighten trucking capacity, potentially marking an "inflection point" in the market [2] Factoring Data - The average transportation invoice factored by Triumph in Q3 was $1,690, an increase of $27 from Q2, influenced by rising diesel prices [3] - The average factoring invoice price for fleet customers was $1,817, down $92 year-over-year, while owner operator invoices rose by $16 to $1,317 [4] Owner Operator Resilience - Owner operators are surviving due to lower fixed operating costs and greater flexibility, allowing them to adapt to unfavorable freight rates [4] - The ability to switch to alternative income sources, such as driving for Uber, enables owner operators to remain active in the market longer than anticipated [4]
Jim Cramer on J.B. Hunt: “They’ve Been Talking About a Freight Recession for Ages”
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-14 17:22
Core Viewpoint - J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc. is highlighted as a key stock to watch, with its upcoming report expected to provide significant insights into the current economic conditions, particularly in the trucking sector [1] Company Overview - J.B. Hunt provides a range of transportation, delivery, and logistics solutions, including intermodal, truckload, final mile, and freight brokerage services [1] Market Sentiment - Jim Cramer suggests that the company has been vocal about a freight recession, indicating potential challenges ahead for the trucking industry [1] - Following Cramer's comments, J.B. Hunt's stock has increased by approximately 6% [1] Investment Considerations - While J.B. Hunt is recognized for its investment potential, there are suggestions that certain AI stocks may offer better upside potential with lower downside risk [1]
If You'd Invested $1,000 in UPS 5 Years Ago, Here's How Much You'd Have Today
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-09 14:52
Key Points UPS saw a surge in shipping volume during the pandemic, but has seen volumes decline in recent years. UPS made a big change to its agreement with Amazon at the beginning of the year. The company is also dealing with macro challenges and navigating tariffs. 10 stocks we like better than United Parcel Service › United Parcel Service (NYSE: UPS) is one of the largest shipping and logistics companies in the world. The company went public in 1999, raising a record-breaking nearly $5.5 billio ...
Latest supply chain data looks eerily like a freight recession
Youtube· 2025-10-08 19:04
Core Viewpoint - FedEx shares were downgraded by JP Morgan from overweight to neutral, with a price target reduction of $10 to $274 per share, reflecting concerns over significant headwinds in the logistics sector [1] Industry Overview - The logistics management index indicates a poor state of freight, with September recording the lowest levels since the index's inception, which is concerning as it typically anticipates increased activity for Halloween and holiday seasons [4][5] - The broader economy is impacting freight movement, with tariffs leading to a backlog of goods in warehouses, resulting in a lack of new orders from retailers and manufacturers [5][6] Freight and Transportation Insights - Freight companies are facing reduced revenues as fewer items are being moved, which is critical as they are compensated per item transported [8] - The upcoming holiday season is expected to see lean inventory levels, which will further affect the volume of freight moving from warehouses to stores [9] - Year-over-year data shows a decrease of 1 million containers compared to the previous year, indicating a significant drop in parcels available for transport [11]
J.P. Morgan downgrades Fedex, freight stocks under pressure
CNBC Television· 2025-10-08 16:09
Welcome back. JP Morgan downgrading shares of FedEx to neutral this morning. Our Frank Holland has more on the call.Frank. Well, Sarah, FedEx moving lower, uh, underperforming the transports in the broader market on a JP Morgan downgrade, citing weakness in its freight division. The analysts say could challenge its fullear EPS guidance and possibly continue into the plan spin-off of FedEx freight coming up in June.It's just the latest trucking downgrade this week. Almost all major players have seen a price ...
J.P. Morgan downgrades Fedex, freight stocks under pressure
Youtube· 2025-10-08 16:09
Company Summary - JP Morgan downgraded FedEx shares to neutral, citing weakness in its freight division which may challenge its full-year EPS guidance and impact the upcoming spin-off of FedEx Freight in June [1] - FedEx is underperforming compared to the broader transport market, reflecting a trend seen across major trucking companies, including XPO and Old Dominion, due to a freight recession affecting the entire sector [2][3] - Analysts noted that recent channel checks indicate that while price discipline in the industry is maintained, it is under pressure, which could affect multiples until volume conditions improve [3] Industry Overview - The freight market is currently experiencing contraction, particularly in the manufacturing sector, which is a significant source of high-margin freight [4] - The ISM index has remained below 50 for most of the year, indicating a contraction in manufacturing, compounded by tariffs affecting CEO confidence [5] - Increased capacity in the trucking sector is putting downward pressure on pricing, with orders for new tractor trailers rising significantly year-over-year and month-over-month as companies prepare for new truck tariffs effective November 1 [5][6] Competitive Landscape - FedEx faces heightened competition in the parcel business, particularly from smaller players entering the market, which is impacting its market share against UPS [7][8] - The ongoing tariff situation on heavy trucks and rising costs associated with cardboard are additional factors influencing the competitive dynamics in the freight and parcel sectors [8]
JB Hunt to close Georgia facility, citing ‘changing business conditions’
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-02 11:10
This story was originally published on Trucking Dive. To receive daily news and insights, subscribe to our free daily Trucking Dive newsletter. Dive Brief: J.B. Hunt Transport Services will close its facility at the Home Depot Distribution Center in Lithonia, Georgia, on Oct. 27, according to a Worker Adjustment and Retraining Notification Act letter. The company cited “changing business conditions” as the reason for the permanent closure at the site. An email requesting additional comment was not imm ...
ODFL Suffering From Weak Revenues Despite Dividend Strength
ZACKS· 2025-10-01 14:30
Core Insights - Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL) is experiencing revenue weakness due to geopolitical uncertainty and high inflation impacting consumer sentiment and growth expectations [1][4] - The operating ratio remains above 70, deteriorating from 72% in 2023 to 73.4% in 2024, despite cost-cutting initiatives [3][9] - Low fuel surcharge revenues are negatively affecting ODFL's yields [1][4] Economic Environment - Macroeconomic concerns are creating a challenging freight environment, with high interest rates limiting growth prospects [2] - Consumer spending and business investments are low, contributing to a freight recession [2] Demand and Performance - Reduced demand for freight services has led to low shipment volumes and rates, impacting revenues [3] - The trucking industry is facing a driver shortage, complicating the situation further [5] Pricing Strategy - ODFL's disciplined pricing approach has allowed it to retain customers, with LTL revenue per hundredweight improving by 2.4% in 2024 despite weak demand [6] Financial Health - ODFL has a solid balance sheet, ending 2024 with cash and equivalents of $109 million against a debt level of $20 million [7] - The company has been able to reward shareholders with dividends of $267.6 million and share repurchases of $967.3 million in 2024 [7][9] Industry Comparisons - Other transportation companies like J.B. Hunt and Norfolk Southern are also facing revenue challenges, with J.B. Hunt's revenues flat year over year and Norfolk Southern's revenues missing estimates [8][9]