Implied volatility

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Bitcoin Options Market Now Big Enough to Move Spot Prices, FalconX Says
CoinDesk· 2025-10-06 14:46
The Bitcoin BTC$ 122,017.51 options market has grown so large and so structurally diverse that it is now influencing the price of bitcoin itself, according to a report by trading firm FalconX.STORY CONTINUES BELOWDon't miss another story.Subscribe to the Crypto Daybook Americas Newsletter today . See all newslettersBy signing up, you will receive emails about CoinDesk products and you agree to our terms of use and privacy policy.Open interest in BTC options has swelled to nearly $80 billion, up from around ...
Long-Term Bull Put Spread Provides Opportunities for Disney Bulls
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-29 11:00
Disney (DIS) is currently one of the most oversold stocks in the Dow Jones Index but is holding nicely above the 200-day moving average while showing good accumulation. A graph on a computer screen AI-generated content may be incorrect. More News from Barchart Options flow was positive on Friday with net trade sentiment of +$101,700 and a delta imbalance of 33,763. A screenshot of a computer AI-generated content may be incorrect. Analysts maintain a positive outlook for DIS stock with 20 Strong Buy ra ...
Options Corner: MU Example Trade
Youtube· 2025-09-23 13:36
Core Insights - Micron's stock has experienced significant growth, hitting an all-time high and rallying 81% over the past 52 weeks, with analysts projecting a Q4 adjusted EPS of 282 on revenue exceeding 11 billion, indicating nearly 140% year-over-year EPS growth [1][2] Group 1: Company Performance - Micron has outperformed the broader market, increasing by 76% in the past year compared to a 17% rise in the broader market [2] - In the context of the chip sector, Micron is outperforming competitors like Intel and AMD, which focus on CPUs and GPUs, while Micron specializes in storage solutions [3] Group 2: Technical Analysis - Micron's stock has shown a series of ascending lows, with consistent resistance around 128, and a recent breakout observed [4] - Key levels to watch include a low point at 147.61 and a high point at 170.45, with the RSI indicating overbought conditions but still showing momentum [5][6] Group 3: Options Strategy - The options market is pricing in a potential 10% move in either direction, reflecting elevated implied volatility due to Micron's recent performance [8][9] - A proposed options strategy involves selling an out-of-the-money put vertical, with a potential credit of approximately $140 and a risk of about $360, providing a break-even point around 153.60, which is about 7.5% below the current share price [10][12] - The probability of the short 155 strike finishing out of the money at expiration is estimated at 68%, favoring a neutral to bullish stance [14]
Interesting MIRM Put And Call Options For November 21st
Nasdaq· 2025-09-19 15:30
Core Insights - New options for Mirum Pharmaceuticals Inc (MIRM) began trading this week, with a focus on contracts expiring on November 21st [1] Options Analysis - A put contract at the $70.00 strike price has a current bid of $0.40, allowing investors to purchase shares at an effective cost basis of $69.60, which is a 6% discount to the current trading price of $74.69 [2][3] - The likelihood of the put contract expiring worthless is estimated at 70%, potentially yielding a 0.57% return on cash commitment or 3.31% annualized [3] - A call contract at the $80.00 strike price has a current bid of $1.00, offering an 8.45% total return if the stock is called away at expiration [6][8] - The $80.00 strike represents a 7% premium to the current stock price, with a 60% chance of the covered call expiring worthless, allowing the investor to retain both shares and premium [8] Volatility Metrics - Implied volatility for both the put and call contracts is approximately 41%, while the actual trailing twelve-month volatility is calculated at 40% [9]
Is the Options Market Predicting a Spike in Savers Value Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-09-17 14:25
Investors in Savers Value Village, Inc. (SVV) need to pay close attention to the stock based on moves in the options market lately. That is because the Oct 17, 2025 $5.00 Put had some of the highest implied volatility of all equity options today.What is Implied Volatility?Implied volatility shows how much movement the market is expecting in the future. Options with high levels of implied volatility suggest that investors in the underlying stocks are expecting a big move in one direction or the other. It cou ...
Is the Options Market Predicting a Spike in Asbury Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-08-19 13:51
Company Overview - Asbury Automotive Group, Inc. (ABG) is experiencing significant attention from investors due to high implied volatility in its options market, particularly the Oct 17, 2025 $360.00 Put option [1] - The company currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold) in the Automotive - Retail and Wholesale industry, which is positioned in the top 24% of the Zacks Industry Rank [3] Analyst Insights - Over the past 30 days, three analysts have raised their earnings estimates for Asbury for the current quarter, while one has lowered theirs, resulting in a net increase in the Zacks Consensus Estimate from $6.64 to $6.67 per share [3] Market Sentiment - The high implied volatility suggests that options traders are anticipating a significant price movement for Asbury shares, indicating potential upcoming events that could lead to a major rally or sell-off [2][4] - Options traders often seek to capitalize on high implied volatility by selling premium, aiming for the underlying stock to not move as much as expected by expiration [4]
Retail Sales Complicate Rate Cuts
Investor Place· 2025-08-16 00:57
Retail Sales and Consumer Spending - U.S. retail sales increased by 0.5% in July, marking the second consecutive monthly gain after declines in April and May, with auto sales rising by 1.6% [2][3] - Excluding auto and gas sales, spending was up only 0.2%, indicating cautious consumer behavior, as some categories like electronics and restaurants saw declines [3][4] - The report suggests that while consumers are still spending, they are doing so more cautiously, which complicates the Federal Reserve's decision-making regarding interest rate cuts [4][5] Tariffs and Semiconductor Industry - President Trump announced plans to impose tariffs on semiconductor imports, potentially as high as 200% to 300%, aiming to encourage domestic manufacturing [6][7][8] - This strategy could lead to significant expenses and uncertainties for businesses, potentially disrupting global supply chains [8][9] - Investors may face challenges due to steep tariffs unless substantial exemptions are provided [9] Ethereum and Cryptocurrency Market - Ethereum (ETH) saw a 25% increase between July 17 and the following Tuesday, with a notable 275% gain reported by options traders [10][19] - Ethereum's unique properties, such as its built-in scarcity and utility in decentralized applications, make it increasingly competitive with traditional financial instruments [11][14][15] - The current market conditions show a spike in implied volatility, which has shifted from being a tailwind to a headwind for buyers, prompting a strategic exit for some traders [24][25]
Peak Tariff Optimism Is New Market Worry: 3-Minute MLIV
Bloomberg Television· 2025-07-28 07:33
Market Sentiment & Trade Agreements - The market views the trade deal with Europe positively, considering "deal is better than no deal" [1][2] - Agreements with the US, such as those with Japan and Europe, have led to market rallies in those countries [2] - Increased certainty regarding trade and tariffs is boosting equities, despite longer-term economic risks [3] - The stock market is reacting positively to growing clarity on Trump's tariff agenda [4] Volatility & Risk Assessment - The VIX (implied volatility index) is at a low of sub 15, the lowest since February, suggesting market complacency [5] - Despite low implied volatility, significant event risk exists, including trade talks with China, earnings reports, and central bank meetings [6] - Analysts are discreetly recommending hedging strategies in options and bond markets to protect against potential drawdowns [7] China Market Perspective - Continuation of trade talks is seen as a positive for China, avoiding escalation and tariff increases [8] - Analyst reports from China indicate optimism and a potential bull market in Chinese equities [9]
Is the Options Market Predicting a Spike in FMX Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-07-07 21:11
Company Overview - Fomento Económico Mexicano, S.A.B. de C.V. (FMX) is currently experiencing significant attention in the options market, particularly with the July 18, 2025 $90 Call option showing high implied volatility, indicating potential for a major price movement [1][3] Implied Volatility Insights - Implied volatility reflects market expectations for future stock movement, with high levels suggesting anticipation of a significant price change or an upcoming event that could trigger a rally or sell-off [2] Analyst Sentiment - The company holds a Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell) within the Beverages - Soft drinks industry, which is positioned in the bottom 40% of the Zacks Industry Rank. Over the past 60 days, no analysts have raised earnings estimates for the current quarter, while some have lowered their estimates, resulting in a decrease of the Zacks Consensus Estimate from $1.12 to $1.07 per share [3] Trading Strategy Implications - The current high implied volatility may indicate a developing trading opportunity. Options traders often seek to sell premium on options with high implied volatility, aiming to benefit from the decay of the option's value if the underlying stock does not move as much as anticipated [4]
Is the Options Market Predicting a Spike in Holley Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-06-25 14:41
Company Overview - Holley Inc. (HLLY) is experiencing significant attention from investors due to high implied volatility in its options market, particularly the Aug 15, 2025 $7.50 Call option [1] - The company currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold) in the Automotive - Original Equipment industry, which ranks in the top 29% of the Zacks Industry Rank [3] Analyst Insights - Over the past 60 days, there has been a mixed sentiment among analysts regarding Holley's earnings estimates; one analyst has increased estimates while five have decreased them, resulting in a consensus estimate drop from 11 cents to 10 cents per share for the current quarter [3] Options Market Dynamics - The high implied volatility suggests that options traders are anticipating a significant price movement for Holley shares, which could indicate an upcoming event that may lead to a substantial rally or sell-off [2][4] - Seasoned options traders often seek to sell premium on options with high implied volatility, aiming to benefit from the decay of the option's value if the underlying stock does not move as much as expected [4]