What happened According to a February 9, 2026, SEC filing, MMCAP International Inc. SPC increased its position in NexGen Energy Ltd. (NYSE:NXE) by 2,379,891 shares during the fourth quarter of 2025. The estimated transaction value was approximately $21.01 million, based on the average closing price for the period. What else to know NexGen Energy now accounts for 2.23% of MMCAP’s 13F reportable assets. Top holdings after the filing: NYSE: ARMN: $224.44 million (22.5% of AUM) NASDAQ: ASTL: $47.11 mil ...

Core Viewpoint - Oklo Inc. (NYSE:OKLO) has experienced a significant decline in share price, dropping by 10.94% from February 3 to February 10, 2026, making it one of the worst-performing energy stocks during that week [1]. Group 1: Price Target and Analyst Ratings - Goldman Sachs has reduced its price target for Oklo Inc. from $106 to $91 while maintaining a 'Neutral' rating, indicating a potential upside of over 37% from current levels [4]. - The reduction in price target reflects a cautious outlook due to rising nuclear fuel costs, which could impact the affordability of nuclear power and subsequently the demand for Oklo's small modular reactors [5]. Group 2: Market Context and Industry Trends - There is a growing global interest in nuclear power, as highlighted by Goldman's February Global Reactor Tracker, which covers developments in North America, Europe, and Asia [4]. - The investment bank has noted a strong start-of-year rally in uranium spot prices, which may influence future pricing forecasts ahead of Q4 earnings [4].

Core Viewpoint - Cameco Corporation (CCJ) is expected to report a 7.7% year-over-year increase in fourth-quarter earnings per share, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate set at 28 cents [1][6]. Financial Performance - The earnings surprise history shows that Cameco has missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate twice and surpassed it twice over the last four quarters, with an average negative earnings surprise of 14.80% [3]. - The Earnings ESP for Cameco is +2.35%, indicating a potential earnings beat, supported by a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy) [5]. Production and Deliveries - Cameco targets uranium deliveries of 32-34 million pounds for 2025, slightly down from 33.6 million pounds delivered in 2024 [10]. - The company has revised its production outlook from the McArthur River mine to 9.8-10.5 million pounds for 2025 due to development delays, while maintaining a target of 9.8 million pounds from the Cigar Lake mine [8][10]. - Through the first nine months of 2025, Cameco produced 15 million pounds and delivered 21.8 million pounds, with expectations to meet delivery targets in Q4 2025 [11]. Market Conditions - Uranium prices averaged approximately $79.12 per pound in Q4 2025, reflecting a 3% year-over-year increase, which is expected to support revenue growth despite lower sales volumes compared to the previous year [13]. - The average realized price of uranium was $58.45 per pound (CAD80.90 per pound) [12]. Cost Management and Financial Health - The company has been reducing debt levels, which is likely to lower interest expenses and boost earnings [15]. - Cameco has raised its share of adjusted EBITDA from Westinghouse to $525-$580 million for 2025, contributing positively to its fourth-quarter results [16]. Stock Performance and Valuation - Cameco shares have appreciated 27.6% over the past six months, outperforming the industry average of 4.2% [17]. - The stock is trading at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 20.48, which is higher than the industry average of 1.45 but lower than peers Energy Fuels and Uranium Energy [19][20]. Investment Thesis - The nuclear power sector is experiencing growth driven by energy security and low-carbon energy demand, positioning Cameco favorably due to its high-quality asset base and strategic involvement in the nuclear fuel supply chain [21]. - The company is expected to meet its 2025 production and delivery targets, with a reasonable probability of earnings growth in Q4 [24].

Core Viewpoint - Oklo, a nuclear start-up, has seen its stock price drop over 60% from its October highs, raising questions about its future and whether it presents a buying opportunity at current levels [2][10]. Company Overview - Oklo is in its pre-commercial phase and does not expect to begin commercial operations until late 2027 or early 2028, making current financial metrics less relevant for long-term prospects [2][5]. - The company's market capitalization is approximately $11 billion, with shares currently trading around $71.15 [2]. Stock Performance - Oklo's stock price has fluctuated significantly, with a 52-week range of $17.42 to $193.84, indicating high volatility [2]. - The stock experienced a notable drop after Cathie Wood's Ark ETF sold a portion of its shares, highlighting the impact of investor sentiment on stock performance [4]. Regulatory Environment - The Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) approval process is a significant hurdle for nuclear projects, requiring years to navigate [6]. - Oklo is currently applying for a combined license from the NRC, which includes design, construction, and operational approval, while also participating in the U.S. Department of Energy's Reactor Pilot Program to expedite testing and deployment [7][8]. Investment Considerations - The current low stock price may present a buying opportunity, especially if any regulatory progress is made, which could lead to a rapid increase in stock value [10][11]. - Investors are advised to consider the inherent risks and volatility associated with investing in speculative stocks like Oklo [5][9].

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company delivered $2.01 of FFO per unit, up 10% year-over-year, aligning with long-term growth targets [3][13] - In Q4, FFO was $346 million, up 14% year-over-year, or $0.51 per unit [13] - For the full year, FFO totaled $1,334 million, reflecting a 10% increase year-on-year [14] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The hydroelectric segment reported FFO of $607 million, a 19% increase from the prior year, driven by solid generation in Canada and Colombia [15] - The wind and solar segments generated a combined FFO of $648 million, supported by acquisitions and investments, though offset by previous gains from asset sales [15] - Distributed energy storage and sustainable solutions achieved record results of $614 million, up almost 90% from the prior year, driven by growth from development and acquisitions [16] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company signed contracts for over 9 GW of generation capacity, with over 8 GW of new capacity brought online globally, marking a record for the business [4] - The energy demand environment is shifting from energy transition to energy addition, with significant growth driven by electrification and industrial activity [5][6] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on scaling development of low-cost, fast-to-market solar and onshore wind to meet rising power demand, targeting a run rate of roughly 10 GW of new capacity per year by 2027 [7] - Investments in hydro and nuclear are emphasized, with a strategic focus on large-scale baseload generation and flexibility [8][9] - The company aims to capitalize on the growing demand for battery storage, expecting to quadruple its capacity to over 10 GW in the next three years [11] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management highlighted the strategic priority of power globally, with rising energy demand creating a need for substantial new generation capacity [5][6] - The company is well-positioned to deliver comprehensive energy solutions across markets, anticipating outsized earnings growth and significant value creation for unitholders [12] - Management expressed confidence in maintaining a strong balance sheet and liquidity, with $4.6 billion available at year-end [16][17] Other Important Information - The company announced a 5% increase in annual distribution to $1.468 per unit, marking 15 consecutive years of annual distribution growth of at least 5% [24] - A record $8.9 billion was deployed or committed in growth, with significant asset recycling generating $4.5 billion in proceeds [4][20] Q&A Session Summary Question: Update on Microsoft Framework Agreement and capacity cadence - Management noted that demand from corporates, including Microsoft, is at an all-time high, with expected growth in capacity from 2026 onwards [26][27] Question: Commentary on liquidity position and ratios - Management expressed comfort with maintaining liquidity around the $4 billion mark, emphasizing the importance of capital recycling to support growth [28][30] Question: Headwinds in U.S. project development - Management indicated no slowdown in solar development, while acknowledging some permitting delays for onshore wind projects [36][38] Question: Realized hydro prices and future expectations - Management expects an increase in hydro power prices due to high demand and new long-term contracts being layered in [39][41] Question: Capital recycling and repeat customers - Management confirmed that capital recycling activities have become a consistent source of funding, with frameworks established for future asset sales [42][44] Question: Battery storage development and M&A opportunities - Management highlighted a strong organic development pipeline for batteries, with a focus on long-term contracts rather than merchant arbitrage [62][66] Question: Offshore wind opportunities - Management is evaluating offshore wind opportunities, particularly in Europe, while ensuring appropriate risk-return profiles [67][68]

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry Overview - **Industry Focus**: Energy, Utilities & Mining, specifically discussing sectors such as Oil, Gas, Nuclear, Power, and Steel [1] Key Insights and Arguments E&P (Exploration and Production) - **Natural Gas Volatility**: Recent cold weather has led to a sharp increase in natural gas prices, with investors balancing global supply risks against strong long-term US demand [1] - **Investor Sentiment**: While bullish on natural gas prices for most of 2025, investors have recently become cautious due to potential global supply risks by 2028 and warmer winter forecasts [1] - **Storage Levels**: Increased heating degree days (HDDs) from colder weather are expected to draw down storage levels more than previously anticipated, positively impacting natural gas producers [1] - **Valuation**: Companies like EXE and EQT are highlighted for their compelling risk-reward profiles, with expected price targets showing 19% and 20% upside respectively [1] Majors & Refiners - **Economic Outlook**: GDP expectations have surprised positively, positioning large-cap refining stocks favorably for potential economic reacceleration [2][4] - **Refining Performance**: Refining equities outperformed the XLE index significantly in 2025, driven by supply disruptions and increased global demand [4] - **Stock Recommendations**: Valero Energy (VLO) and HF Sinclair (DINO) are recommended due to their strong operational positions and expected capital returns [4] Midstream - **LNG Market Sentiment**: Cheniere (LNG) has seen a modest rebound, but investor focus remains on growth plans and global gas margin exposure [5] - **Growth Catalysts**: Cheniere is expected to execute additional brownfield expansions and deliver significant shareholder returns, with a contracted footprint mitigating global gas price fluctuations [5] Utilities - **Affordability Concerns**: Rising utility bills (up 17% over three years) have become a major focus, particularly in the PJM region, with upcoming elections potentially impacting utility policies [6][7] - **Investor Strategy**: Investors are screening for utilities with lower rates and diversified operations to mitigate election-related risks [7] Energy Services - **International Recovery**: Signs of recovery in international markets are noted, with increased activity expected in regions like the Middle East and Latin America [8] - **Stock Recommendations**: SLB and HAL are highlighted as best positioned to benefit from this recovery [8] Clean Technology - **Nuclear Investment**: CCJ is recommended as a key player in the nuclear sector, with potential upside from new reactor deployments and supportive uranium market dynamics [9][11] - **Valuation Risks**: Despite high valuations, positive catalysts are expected to support growth in the medium term [11] Metals & Mining - **Steel Pricing**: HRC prices have firmed up significantly, driven by favorable trade policies and steady demand from key markets [12][45] - **Stock Preference**: CMC is preferred due to its competitive valuation and strong market position in rebar production [12] Additional Important Insights - **Investor Conversations**: Ongoing discussions with investors highlight concerns about the macroeconomic environment, commodity price volatility, and specific company strategies [27][28][30][31] - **Regulatory Environment**: Changes in utility regulations and potential impacts from state elections are creating uncertainty in the utilities sector [36][37] This summary encapsulates the key points discussed in the conference call records, providing a comprehensive overview of the current state and outlook of various sectors within the energy and utilities landscape.

Core Viewpoint - The partnership between Vistra and Meta Platforms highlights the integration of artificial intelligence and nuclear power, with Vistra's shares rising significantly following the announcement of long-term power purchase agreements (PPAs) [1][2]. Group 1: Company Developments - Vistra has entered into 20-year PPAs to supply over 2,600 megawatts (MW) of zero-carbon energy from its nuclear plants to Meta, supporting the latter's AI expansion [2]. - The energy supply includes 2,176 MW from Vistra's Perry and Davis-Besse plants in Ohio, along with 433 MW from planned upgrades at these facilities and the Beaver Valley plant in Pennsylvania [3]. - Vistra plans to pursue license extensions for all three nuclear plants, potentially extending their operational life by another two decades, as they were previously scheduled for retirement before Vistra's acquisition in 2023 [3]. Group 2: Market Impact - Following the announcement, Vistra's stock price increased by over 10%, reaching $15.77, with a market capitalization of $51 billion [4][5]. - Meta's power purchases are set to begin in late 2026, with Vistra aiming to bring additional capacity online through 2034, indicating a long-term commitment to clean energy for AI operations [5].

Core Insights - The nuclear energy stock of Oklo has experienced a significant decline, falling nearly 50% from its all-time high of $193.84 per share in October [6][7] - Analysts have mixed views on Oklo's stock, with some expressing caution after a substantial increase of over 370% in 2025 [1][5] - Oklo is exploring the use of plutonium as a nuclear fuel, which could provide a competitive advantage over rivals [3][5] Company Performance - Oklo's shares dropped by 5.4% in early trading and were down 2.5% by mid-afternoon, with a current price around $100.60 [1][6] - The market capitalization of Oklo is approximately $16 billion [6] - The stock has a 52-week range of $17.14 to $193.84, indicating significant volatility [7] Analyst Ratings - Goldman Sachs analyst Brian Lee maintains a neutral rating with a price target of $106 per share, suggesting limited upside potential of about 5% from the current price [3][4] - In contrast, analysts from Seaport Global have raised their price target to $150 per share, reflecting optimism regarding Oklo's future prospects [5] Strategic Partnerships - Oklo has signed a $2 billion partnership with newcleo to develop advanced nuclear fuel fabrication facilities in the U.S., aimed at repurposing surplus plutonium [7]

Core Viewpoint - Fluor, a Texas-based construction and engineering company, has experienced significant stock volatility in 2025, but its strategic focus on nuclear power is attracting renewed investor interest [1][2]. Company Performance - Fluor's stock has fluctuated dramatically, with a 40% decline in April, a 20% gain in July, and a subsequent 20% drop in August, leading to a current year-to-date loss of 7% [2]. - The company has a market capitalization of $7 billion, making it the smallest among six Construction & Engineering stocks in the SPDR S&P MidCap 400 ETF Trust, and it remains the only one with a negative performance for the year [3]. - Fluor's stock is approximately 55% below its all-time high of $102 from 2008 and about 20% below its 52-week high of $57.50 reached in late July [4]. Financial Results - Fluor missed revenue estimates for the eighth consecutive quarter, reporting a 17% decline in revenue to $3.3 billion, significantly below the average estimate of $4.2 billion [5]. - Adjusted earnings per share increased by 33% to $0.68, surpassing analysts' expectations of $0.45 [5]. - The company secured $3.3 billion in new contracts in Q3, raising its backlog to $28.2 billion, with 82% of this backlog being reimbursable contracts [6]. Strategic Moves - Fluor plans to monetize its remaining 39% stake in NuScale, a company specializing in small modular reactors, which has seen its stock rise over 600% in the past two years due to increased demand for nuclear energy [7]. - After selling a 15 million-share block of NuScale for $605 million, Fluor aims to liquidate the rest of its stake by the end of Q2 2026, expecting to raise $800 million by February to support a stock-buyback program [8][9]. Market Outlook - Analysts have mixed ratings on Fluor, with five recommending a buy and five suggesting a hold, and an average 12-month price target of $51, indicating a potential upside of about 12% from the current price [13]. - The company is projected to achieve earnings growth of approximately 7% and an 8% increase in revenue for the full year 2026 [13]. - Fluor's forward price-to-earnings ratio of 22x places it in the top quintile of its historical range, indicating a higher valuation compared to 80% of the past decade [12].

Core Point - NextEra Energy and Alphabet's Google have signed a power supply deal to assist in the restart of the Duane Arnold nuclear plant in Iowa [1] Group 1: Company Overview - NextEra Energy is a U.S. utility company involved in the power supply sector [1] - Alphabet's Google is a technology company that is expanding its involvement in energy supply through partnerships [1] Group 2: Industry Impact - The deal signifies a collaboration between the utility and technology sectors, highlighting the increasing intersection of energy supply and tech companies [1] - Restarting the Duane Arnold nuclear plant may contribute to the local energy supply and sustainability efforts in Iowa [1]