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Producer inflation falls in August, pointing to softening demand
Fastcompany· 2025-09-11 13:17
Fast Company Innovation Festival Ticket Giveaway—Enter now! LOGIN SUBSCRIBE | FastCo Works advertisement BYÂ Reuters Listen to this ArticleMore info 0:00 / 0:00 | Fast Company Newsletters A 0.2% drop in the prices of services accounted for the fall in the PPI. That followed a 0.7% rebound in July. Services were last month held down by a 1.7% decline in margins for trade services, reflecting a 3.9% decrease in margins for machinery and vehicle wholesaling. Premium Design Tech Work Life News Impact Podcasts V ...
Bond-Market Bets on Deep Fed Cuts at Risk From Hot CPI Data
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-11 10:05
Group 1 - Bond traders are preparing for a significant US inflation report that could impact expectations for Federal Reserve interest-rate cuts starting this month and extending into 2026 [1][2] - Recent soft jobs data and tame producer-price figures have led traders to anticipate a quarter-point reduction at the Fed's upcoming meeting, with potential for two more cuts by year-end [1][3] - The market has shifted to favor a scenario where rates could be slashed below neutral levels to stimulate growth and avert a recession [1][2] Group 2 - There has been a notable change in trader sentiment, as they previously hesitated to bet on significant easing due to persistent inflation concerns [2] - The upcoming consumer-price index report is expected to show a core annual reading above the Fed's target, increasing scrutiny on inflation [2][3] - A slowing jobs market has led to expectations of a more aggressive rate-cutting trajectory, with economists now predicting a quarter-point cut at each of the remaining three meetings this year [3][4] Group 3 - A report indicated that producer prices unexpectedly fell in August, contributing to a drop in yields on two-year Treasuries, which are closely linked to Fed policy outlook [4] - The unexpected drop in producer prices did not hinder expectations for Fed easing, although components affecting personal consumption expenditures were less dovish [4]
European markets set to open in mixed territory; traders await ECB update
CNBC· 2025-09-11 05:10
A projected illumination marking the 75th anniversary of the Schuman Declaration, on the Grossmarkthalle building at the European Central Bank headquarters in Frankfurt, Germany, on May 9, 2025.LONDON — European stocks are expected to open in mixed territory Thursday as investors await the latest rate decision and update from the European Central Bank.The U.K.'s FTSE index is seen opening 0.13% higher, Germany's DAX 0.14% lower, France's CAC 40 flat and Italy's FTSE MIB slightly lower, according to data fro ...
Bitcoin Taps $114,000 Following Producer Price Inflation Data: Can This Rally Continue?
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-10 16:46
Core Insights - Bitcoin briefly reached $114,000 following cooler-than-expected PPI data, raising speculation about the sustainability of this rally [1] - Key support levels for Bitcoin are identified at $110,600, $107,500–$106,800, and $104,000–$100,000, while resistance levels are at $112,775, $113,700–$114,600, $116,000, and $118,300 [2] - The market is expected to trade between $106,800–$118,300 unless there are significant surprises from CPI or FOMC [2] - A broader market rally for altcoins is contingent on Bitcoin breaking the $120,000–$125,000 range and Ethereum surpassing its all-time high [3] - The recent PPI data showed a 0.1% month-over-month drop, contrasting with the expected growth of 0.3%, and an annual change of 2.6% year-over-year compared to a forecast of 3.3% [4] - Bitcoin liquidations in the past 24 hours amounted to $37.95 million, with short liquidations at $34.96 million due to traders closing short positions amid the price spike [5]
Action Plan for Prudent Investors After Eye Popping Oracle AI Numbers and PPI Shocker - Oracle (NYSE:ORCL)
Benzinga· 2025-09-10 16:13
To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.Eye Popping AI ProjectionsPlease click here for an enlarged chart of Oracle Corp ORCL.Note the following:This article is about the big picture, not an individual stock.  The chart of ORCL stock is being used to illustrate the point.The chart shows the price action in ORCL stock after the company reported earnings.The chart shows ORCL stock is gapping up over 30% as of this writing in the premarket.  It is unusual for the stock of a large company like Orac ...
Producer prices fall, bolstering argument for Fed rate cut
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-10 15:55
Group 1 - The latest Producer Price Index (PPI) data indicates a slight decline, which contrasts with persistent price pressures above the Federal Reserve's target [3][7] - Core inflation, measured by the personal consumption expenditures price index excluding food and energy, increased to 2.9% in July, while the core consumer price index rose at a 3.1% annual rate [3][5] - The PPI unexpectedly decreased by 0.1% in August, with service costs falling by 0.2%, while the annual increase was 2.6%, surpassing the Fed's long-term inflation target of 2% [7] Group 2 - Traders in interest rate futures have raised the likelihood of a 0.75 percentage point cut in the benchmark interest rate by December, with a 73% probability noted [4] - Fed officials have shown concern regarding signs of weakness in the job market and are leaning towards loosening monetary policy despite inflation being above target [5] - Import duties are expected to raise prices by 1% to 1.5% temporarily, with the impact fading by the second half of 2026 [6]
PPI Cools Notably: Is a 50 bps Rate Cut in the Works?
ZACKS· 2025-09-10 15:35
Key Takeaways PPI Numbers for August Show Inflation CoolingTomorrow's CPI Is Key for Understanding InflationThe Fed Last Met in July; a Lot has Changed Since ThenWednesday, September 10, 2025This morning, we saw likely the most consequential series of data for today’s stock market: the Producer Price Index (PPI) for August, the wholesale level of inflation tracked within the U.S. economy. Both headline and core month-over-month PPI came in at -0.1% — a major cool-down from what we feared was heating up in J ...
5 takeaways from the producer price inflation report with another key reading on tap
CNBC· 2025-09-10 13:57
The producer price index, a gauge of costs at the wholesale level in the U.S. economy, posted an unexpected 0.1% decline in August. Here's what to know:"Tomorrow's CPI will carry more weight, but today's PPI print essentially rolled out the red carpet for a Fed rate cut next week. After last week's jobs report, though, the market was already expecting the Fed to begin an easing cycle, so it remains to be seen how much of a near-term impact this will have on sentiment" — Chris Larkin, managing director, trad ...
US producer prices dip 0.1% in August, boosting odds of Fed's first rate cut in 2025
Invezz· 2025-09-10 13:05
Core Viewpoint - The Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand decreased by 0.1% in August, providing the Federal Reserve with potential flexibility to consider interest rate cuts in the upcoming meeting [1] Economic Indicators - The PPI decline contrasts sharply with Wall Street expectations, which anticipated a 0.3% increase for the month, as per economists surveyed by Reuters [1]
美国:生产者价格指数数据显示 7 月核心个人消费支出通胀可能小幅加速-US_ PPI data suggest core PCE inflation likely accelerated modestly in July
2025-08-18 02:52
Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference call primarily discusses the **North American economic outlook**, focusing on **core PCE inflation** and **PPI data**. Core Points and Arguments 1. **Revised Core PCE Inflation Estimate**: The tracking estimate for July core PCE inflation has been revised up by 6 basis points to **0.307%** from a previous estimate of **0.243%** [2][9] 2. **June Core PCE Inflation Revision**: Backward revisions to PPI data suggest that June core PCE inflation will likely be revised up by **2 basis points** [2] 3. **Three-Month Annualized Core Inflation**: If the forecast materializes, the three-month annualized pace of core inflation is expected to increase to **3.22%** in July from **2.70%** in June [2][8] 4. **PPI Components Performance**: PPI's portfolio management and investment prices rose sharply by **5.4%** month-over-month, significantly higher than the forecasted **2.7%** increase [6][9] 5. **Airline Fares Impact**: The increase in portfolio management prices was only partially offset by a decline in airline fares, which fell by **2.3%** month-over-month [12][9] 6. **Federal Reserve Rate Cut Expectation**: The expectation remains for the Federal Reserve to deliver a **25 basis point** cut at the upcoming September meeting, despite the upside surprise in portfolio management prices [9][20] 7. **Core PCE Tracking**: Core PCE is tracking close to the Fed's year-end forecast of **3.1%**, allowing officials to focus on downside risks to growth and employment data [9][20] 8. **Inflation Above Target**: Inflation is currently running well above the Fed's **2%** target, making a **50 basis point** cut unlikely [21] Additional Important Insights 1. **Broadening Price Pressures**: There are signs of broadening price pressures beyond the components that directly feed into core PCE inflation [12] 2. **Final Demand Services Growth**: Final demand services grew by **1.1%** month-over-month, marking the largest advance since March 2022, primarily driven by margins for final demand trade services [13] 3. **PPI's Finished Consumer Goods Prices**: The price index for finished consumer goods continued to rise in July, consistent with factory survey reports [13][18] This summary encapsulates the critical insights from the conference call, highlighting the economic indicators and expectations surrounding inflation and Federal Reserve policy.