12 January 2026 | 7:34PM HKT Equity Research Hongfa Technology (600885.SS) Raise TP on likely rising contribution of 800V DC relay with dominant share 600885.SS 12m Price Target: Rmb36.40 Price: Rmb31.62 Upside: 15.1% We raise Hongfa TP to Rmb36.4 (+18% vs. Rmb30.8 previously) and revise up our 2025E-30E sales/net income forecasts by 1%~22 /1%~22% respectively to reflect rising contribution of 800V DC relay, AIDC application for general relay as well as ESS relay. The company has recorded AIDC-related reven ...

Core Insights - onsemi has extended its strategic engagement with FORVIA HELLA by adopting its PowerTrench® T10 MOSFET technology for advanced automotive platforms, enhancing collaboration for the next decade of automotive transformation [2][5] Company Collaboration - The long-term agreement between onsemi and FORVIA HELLA strengthens their partnership, focusing on delivering innovative solutions in the automotive sector [2][5] - This collaboration is built on a 25-year history, showcasing the trust FORVIA HELLA places in onsemi for next-generation power solutions [5] Technology Advancements - onsemi's PowerTrench® T10 MOSFET technology offers industry-leading efficiency with ultra-low conduction and switching losses, enabling higher power density in a compact design [3][6] - The T10 MOSFETs are produced at onsemi's advanced facility in East Fishkill, NY, and are designed to improve efficiency and reduce costs across various automotive applications [3][9] Market Trends - The partnership addresses the growing demand for efficient, compact, and cost-effective power systems as vehicle electrification accelerates [6][9] - By integrating onsemi's intelligent power solutions with FORVIA HELLA's automotive expertise, the collaboration aims to meet the increasing electrical demands of automated driving and electrification trends [6]

Core Insights - Harvey Partners increased its stake in Gentherm by acquiring 431,072 shares, raising its total holdings to approximately 1 million shares valued at $34.9 million as of September 30 [2][3][11] - Gentherm's market capitalization stands at $1.1 billion, with a revenue of $1.5 billion and a net income of $30.6 million for the trailing twelve months [5] - The company specializes in thermal management technologies, providing solutions for automotive interiors, battery performance, and medical applications [6][9] Financial Performance - Gentherm reported a record quarterly revenue of $386.9 million, reflecting a 4% year-over-year increase, driven by an 8.6% growth in automotive climate and comfort solutions [12] - Adjusted EBITDA increased to $49 million, with healthy margins at 12.7%, and year-to-date operating cash flow reached $87.8 million, up from $73.1 million in the previous year [12] - The company secured $745 million in new automotive awards, positioning it to exceed $2 billion in awards for the year, indicating strong demand for its core technologies despite material cost pressures [12] Market Context - Gentherm's stock price is currently at $36.46, down 13% over the past year, underperforming the S&P 500, which has increased by 13% during the same period [4] - The company's stake now represents 3.1% of Harvey Partners' reportable U.S. equity AUM, ranking below the top five fund holdings [4][11] - Gentherm's diversified product portfolio and established relationships with major OEMs enhance its competitive position in the automotive parts industry [9]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Net sales for the quarter were $247 million, up 3% sequentially, but down 16% year-over-year from $292.6 million in fiscal 2025 [4][11] - Adjusted EBITDA rose 12% sequentially to $18 million, but decreased by $9.1 million compared to the same period last year [4][11] - Adjusted net loss for the second quarter was $6.7 million, a $11.9 million change from fiscal 2025, with a sequential reduction of $1.1 million [11] - Free cash flow improved by $47 million year-over-year, with a usage of $11.6 million in the second quarter compared to $58.4 million in the same quarter last year [5][13] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The power solutions segment is aligned with key megatrends, including data centers and vehicle electrification, with expectations for long-term growth [6][8] - Data center activity generated over $80 million in annual sales last year, with continued growth anticipated [7][8] - The company expects power sales in fiscal 2026 to be in line with fiscal 2025, with a sales acceleration expected in the future [8] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Automotive sales represent 44% of total sales, with EVs accounting for 41% of that, but North American EV sales were less than $12 million year-to-date [19][20] - The company has faced headwinds in the EV market primarily due to delays in launches, particularly in North America [19][20] - The data center segment is expected to grow, with the transition to vendor-managed inventory providing opportunities for market share [21] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is undergoing a transformation to improve operational performance, with significant management attention on facilities in Egypt and Mexico [5][6] - A strategic relocation of the corporate headquarters to Southfield, Michigan, aims to enhance operational efficiency and customer proximity [7] - The company is focused on leveraging synergies and improving execution to build credibility with customers and shareholders [10][42] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the second half of fiscal 2026 being stronger, reaffirming full-year sales guidance of $900 million to $1 billion and Adjusted EBITDA of $70 million to $80 million [5][14] - The company is navigating a dynamic operating environment with external volatility impacting revenue predictability [34][66] - There is confidence in the company's ability to return to profitability through cost-cutting and revenue growth initiatives [41][42] Other Important Information - The fiscal 2026 is a 52-week year, while fiscal 2025 was a 53-week year, affecting year-over-year comparisons [11] - The company ended the quarter with $118.5 million in cash, up $21.5 million year-over-year, and net debt decreased by $29.6 million [12][13] Q&A Session Summary Question: Trends in the power business regarding EV and data center growth - Management noted that EV headwinds have already been accounted for, with optimism about data center growth and the impact of vendor-managed inventory [19][21] Question: Guidance comfort level for the second half of the year - Management indicated that external volatility prevents narrowing guidance, but performance has improved compared to previous periods [34] Question: Improvement in industrial operating profit - The improvement is attributed to better plant performance rather than solely data center growth [36] Question: Roadmap to returning to profitability - The focus will be on cost-cutting and ramping up new programs, with expectations for revenue growth as market conditions improve [41][42] Question: Cash outflow in the quarter and receivables - The cash outflow was seasonal, with some receivables collected after the quarter ended [62][64] Question: Tariff impacts and updates - There are no new updates on tariffs, and the company continues to work with customers to mitigate impacts [65] Question: Outlook for calendar year 2026 in problematic end markets - Management expects slight improvements in the automotive sector and commercial vehicles in the latter half of fiscal 2026 [68]

Summary of Kimball Electronics (KE) 2025 Conference Call Company Overview - **Company Name**: Kimball Electronics (KE) - **Industry**: Global electronics manufacturing and contract manufacturing - **Headquarters**: Jasper, Indiana - **Fiscal Year 2025 Revenue**: Approximately $5 billion - **Employees**: 5,700 worldwide - **Public Trading**: NASDAQ traded, publicly listed for 11 years as a spinout of Kimball International [5][2] Core Business and Strategy - **Business Focus**: Kimball Electronics operates in three distinct verticals: automotive, medical, and industrial, avoiding non-commodity products like computers and consumer electronics [3][4] - **Customer Relationships**: Over 70% of customers have been with the company for more than ten years, enhancing business stability [4] - **Competitive Advantages**: Strong balance sheet with $374 million in liquidity, global consistency through a single SAP system, and Lean Six Sigma practices across facilities [7][8][9] Market Position and Growth Opportunities - **Market Ranking**: Ranked sixth in automotive, seventh in medical, and twenty-second in industrial sectors [19] - **Megatrends**: Focus on the electronification of vehicles and the growing demand for medical devices due to an aging population and better healthcare access [21][23] - **New Product Introduction (NPI)**: Provides end-to-end solutions from design to aftermarket support, positioning as a contract manufacturing partner [13][14] Financial Performance - **Fiscal Year 2025 Highlights**: - Cash generated from operating activities reached nearly $185 million, a record for the company [29] - Revenue growth of 35% in FY 2023 followed by declines in the subsequent two years [31] - Inventory reduced by nearly 20% year-over-year [29] - **Guidance for Fiscal Year 2026**: - Expected net sales between $1.35 billion and $1.45 billion, a decrease of approximately 5% compared to FY 2025 [35] - Adjusted operating income margin expected to remain in line with the prior year [35] Capital Allocation and Investments - **Capital Expenditures**: Planned investments of $50 to $60 million primarily for a new facility in Indianapolis focused on the CMO and medical space [36][41] - **Share Repurchase Strategy**: Active in repurchasing shares to support share price and lower EPS [16] Challenges and Risk Management - **Loss of Programs**: Experienced a loss of two significant programs worth $200 million due to external factors, impacting revenue [30][31] - **Employee Reduction**: Reduced global workforce by 2,000 employees in response to softening demand [32] Future Outlook - **Strategic Focus**: Emphasis on expanding the medical CMO segment, leveraging existing customer relationships, and enhancing manufacturing capabilities [48][49] - **Market Positioning**: Aiming to differentiate from traditional EMS players by focusing on the CMO market, which presents significant growth opportunities [48][49] Additional Insights - **Global Footprint**: Facilities located in North America, Asia, and Europe, with a focus on maintaining high standards of regulatory compliance [10][15] - **Innovation in Automotive**: Significant involvement in steering technologies, including steer-by-wire and advanced driver-assistance systems [25][27] This summary encapsulates the key points discussed during the Kimball Electronics conference call, highlighting the company's strategic direction, financial performance, and market positioning.

Summary of Aptiv Conference Call - August 12, 2025 Company Overview - **Company**: Aptiv (APTV) - **Industry**: Automotive parts supplier Key Points and Arguments Financial Performance and Outlook - **Strong Q2 Performance**: Aptiv reported a strong second quarter with vehicle production exceeding expectations, leading to increased confidence in Q3 outlook [3][4] - **Conservative Guidance for H2 2025**: The company has reinstated its 2025 outlook with some conservatism, anticipating potential softening in vehicle production due to tariffs [5][6] - **Cash Position**: Aptiv holds a strong balance sheet with $1.4 billion in cash, allowing for stock repurchases and potential M&A activities [3][9] - **Operational Efficiency**: The company has achieved strong margin expansion and cash flow generation, returning to pre-COVID operational levels [8] Tariff Management - **Direct Impact of Tariffs**: The direct impact of tariffs on Aptiv has been minimal due to effective supply chain management and regional sourcing strategies [11][12] - **Future Tariff Concerns**: The company is monitoring proposed semiconductor tariffs closely, as they could significantly impact operations [13][14] - **USMCA Compliance**: 95% of imports into the U.S. from Aptiv's operations in Mexico are USMCA compliant, which is crucial for maintaining tariff advantages [15][16] Vehicle Electrification - **EV Adoption Forecast**: Aptiv's outlook for EV penetration is around 50% by 2030, lower than IHS's forecast of 70%, with strong growth expected in China and Europe but flat growth in North America [19][20][21] - **Content Opportunities**: EVs present significant content opportunities for Aptiv, particularly in the BEV and plug-in hybrid segments [23][24] Chinese Market Dynamics - **Focus on Top OEMs**: Aptiv is concentrating on partnerships with the top five Chinese OEMs, such as BYD and Geely, while maintaining profitability and cash flow [28][30] - **Growth in Domestic Automakers**: The company has seen a shift towards a higher percentage of business from Chinese domestic automakers, with a focus on maintaining commercial discipline [93][94] EDS Spin-Off - **Value Creation from Spin-Off**: The separation of the EDS business is expected to enhance capital allocation and allow both entities to pursue growth opportunities more effectively [32][38] - **Market Position of EDS**: EDS is a leading player in the wire harness market, with significant margin advantages over competitors [34] Non-Automotive Business Growth - **Increasing Non-Automotive Revenue**: Aptiv's non-automotive revenue is projected to grow, currently at 22% post-spin, with a focus on high-growth markets [46][50] Award Activity and Market Position - **New Business Bookings**: Aptiv has not seen a slowdown in award activity but rather an elongated award cycle due to regulatory uncertainties [52][53] - **Gen Six ADAS Product**: The company has gained traction with its Gen Six ADAS product, which offers cost savings and flexibility for OEMs [56][60] Capital Structure Post-Separation - **Capital Structure Plans**: Post-separation, EDS will have a high sub-investment grade capital structure, while the remaining Aptiv will maintain an investment-grade profile [76][78] Additional Important Insights - **Copper Tariffs**: The impact of copper tariffs is being managed effectively, with minimal exposure anticipated [70][72] - **Mexican Peso Exposure**: The strengthening of the Mexican peso poses a cash flow headwind for Aptiv, as most employees are paid in pesos while revenue is generated in dollars [74][75] This summary encapsulates the key insights and strategic directions discussed during the Aptiv conference call, highlighting the company's performance, market dynamics, and future outlook.

Summary of Vanchip (688153.SS) Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Vanchip - **Ticker**: 688153.SS - **Industry**: Semiconductor, specifically focusing on RF (Radio Frequency) Power Amplifiers (PA) for smartphones and automotive applications Key Points Industry and Market Dynamics - Vanchip is diversifying its product offerings towards automotive applications due to slowing growth in the smartphone market [1] - The company provides comprehensive 5G cellular solutions for vehicles, including various automotive-grade chips that meet AEC-Q100 qualification [1] - The automotive market presents higher technical barriers compared to consumer electronics, with chips needing to operate under a wide temperature range and have life cycles exceeding 12 years [1] Financial Performance and Projections - Management expects Vanchip to generate revenues of over Rmb10 million in 2025, significantly lower than the estimated Rmb2.8 billion for the same year [2] - Earnings estimates for 2025-2027 have been revised down by 62%, 51%, and 23% respectively due to lower revenue expectations and gross margins [3] - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 have been cut by 20%, 21%, and 21% respectively, reflecting a flat smartphone market and intense competition [3] Revenue and Earnings Estimates - Revised revenue estimates for 2025: Rmb2.846 billion (down from Rmb3.578 billion), 2026: Rmb3.892 billion (down from Rmb4.951 billion), and 2027: Rmb4.721 billion (down from Rmb5.965 billion) [8] - Gross profit and net income estimates have also been significantly reduced, with net income for 2025 now projected at Rmb105 million (down from Rmb280 million) [8] Growth Outlook - Despite the downward revisions, Vanchip is expected to see solid revenue growth with a projected 66% year-over-year growth in the second half of 2025, driven by better seasonality and increased shipments of high-end smartphone RFFE products [3] - The company anticipates a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 29% in revenues from 2025 to 2027 [3] Competitive Landscape - The smartphone market is saturated, and competition among PA players is expected to impact Vanchip's near-term valuation expansion [2] - The company is focusing on product expansion into higher-end 5G PA modules and increasing adoption by local smartphone customers [10][19] Valuation and Price Target - The 12-month target price for Vanchip is set at Rmb35.4, reflecting a P/E multiple of 68x based on 2026E EPS [18] - The target P/E is lower than the company's historical average, indicating the impact of competition in the saturated smartphone market [18] Risks and Considerations - Key risks include fluctuations in smartphone demand, the pace of new product development, and the level of competition in the market [18] Conclusion - Vanchip is positioned to benefit from the growing demand for 5G RF ICs and product line expansion, but the current valuation suggests that most positives have already been factored in, leading to a Neutral rating [20]

Core Insights - onsemi's EliteSiC technology enables electric vehicles to achieve the longest driving range in their class, particularly in select Xiaomi YU7 electric SUV models featuring an advanced 800V drive platform [1][2][3] Group 1: Technology and Performance - The integration of onsemi's EliteSiC M3e technology into traction inverters enhances performance and power density while reducing system costs, allowing for longer driving ranges [2][3] - onsemi's EliteSiC technology boasts the lowest on-resistance in the industry, facilitating faster vehicle acceleration without compromising efficiency and range [2][3] Group 2: Industry Impact - The technology is positioned to redefine electric mobility standards by enabling higher power density, improved thermal performance, and superior energy efficiency, which are essential for next-generation electric vehicles [3] - As the global shift towards electrification accelerates, onsemi's solutions are becoming integral in setting new benchmarks for longer ranges and higher performance in electric vehicles [3] Group 3: Company Overview - onsemi is focused on driving innovations in automotive and industrial markets, addressing megatrends such as vehicle electrification, sustainable energy grids, and industrial automation [4] - The company is included in the Nasdaq-100 Index and S&P 500 index, highlighting its significant presence in the market [4]

Core Insights - onsemi has announced that select Xiaomi YU7 electric SUV models will utilize its advanced 800V drive platform powered by EliteSiC M3e technology, which enhances performance and efficiency for electric vehicles [1][2][3] Group 1: Technology and Performance - The integration of onsemi's EliteSiC M3e technology into traction inverters improves performance and power density while lowering overall system costs, enabling longer driving ranges for electric vehicle users [2] - EliteSiC technology boasts the lowest on-resistance in the industry, facilitating faster vehicle acceleration without compromising efficiency and range [2][3] - The technology is designed to support the development of electric vehicles that offer longer ranges, quicker acceleration, and enhanced reliability, setting new standards in electric mobility [3] Group 2: Company Overview - onsemi focuses on automotive and industrial markets, driving innovations in vehicle electrification, sustainable energy, industrial automation, and 5G infrastructure [4] - The company is recognized for its differentiated product portfolio that addresses complex global challenges, contributing to a safer, cleaner, and smarter world [4] - onsemi is listed in the Nasdaq-100 Index and S&P 500 Index, indicating its significant presence in the market [4]

Core Insights - Lear's Q2 2025 earnings report showed both GAAP revenue and non-GAAP adjusted EPS exceeded analyst expectations, with revenue at $6.03 billion and adjusted EPS at $3.47 [1][2] - Despite the revenue and EPS beats, earnings and profit margins declined compared to the same quarter last year, indicating ongoing operational challenges [1][5] Financial Performance - Q2 2025 Non-GAAP EPS was $3.47, beating the estimate of $3.30 but down 3.6% from Q2 2024 [2] - GAAP EPS was $3.06, a slight increase of 1.3% from Q2 2024 [2] - GAAP revenue was $6.03 billion, surpassing the estimate of $5.92 billion and showing a marginal increase of 0.3% year-over-year [2] - Adjusted net income decreased by 8.7% to $188 million compared to $205.8 million in Q2 2024 [2] - Core operating earnings fell by 3.3% to $292 million from $302 million in Q2 2024 [2] - Free cash flow was reported at $171 million, a slight increase of 0.5% from $170 million [2] Business Segments - Lear operates in two main segments: Seating and E-Systems, with steady sales in both areas [5] - Seating sales saw a slight increase compared to Q2 2024, while E-Systems sales dipped by less than 1% [5] - Adjusted segment margins for Seating held at 6.7%, while E-Systems margins decreased to 4.9% from 5.3% in Q2 2024 [5] Geographic Performance - Lear experienced a notable 9% increase in vehicle production in China, while sales in North America and Europe/Africa declined [6] - Global vehicle production rose by 3%, but Lear's sales-weighted production remained flat, indicating challenges in demand shifts [6] Cash Position and Shareholder Returns - The company reported $888 million in cash and equivalents and $2.9 billion in liquidity at the end of the quarter [7] - Share repurchases totaled $25 million, with $41 million paid out in dividends [7] - Since 2011, the share repurchase program has reduced outstanding shares by approximately 57%, with about $1.0 billion remaining authorized for buybacks [7] Innovation and Strategic Focus - Lear is focusing on innovation in product design and automation, with partnerships like the one with Palantir to enhance profitability [8][9] - The company has secured new contracts in the E-Systems segment for integrated wiring and high-voltage systems, particularly with EV manufacturers [9] Guidance and Future Outlook - Management restored financial guidance for 2025, projecting net sales between $22.47 billion and $23.07 billion and free cash flow estimated at $420 million to $520 million [11] - The guidance assumes a 2% decrease in global industry production compared to 2024 on a Lear sales-weighted basis [11] - Ongoing international trade negotiations may introduce uncertainty in auto demand and production schedules [12]